Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that China International Capital Corporation maintains a "buy" rating for SMIC (00981) and raises the target price to HKD 93.0, following the announcement of a plan to acquire 49% of Northern SMIC for CNY 40.6 billion, which will make it a wholly-owned subsidiary [1] - The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's EPS and net profit, with the diluted EPS forecasted to increase from CNY 0.49 to CNY 0.55 for the period of January to August 2025, and from CNY 0.46 to CNY 0.53 for 2024 [1] - The total equity attributable to shareholders is projected to rise from approximately CNY 1,482 billion before the transaction to about CNY 1,682 billion after [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that Northern SMIC primarily engages in 12-inch wafer foundry services, which are highly profitable, and the acquisition is expected to increase SMIC's net profit by over USD 120 million in 2026, positively impacting EPS and BVPS [2] - SMIC plans to invest approximately USD 77.8 billion into Southern SMIC, with about USD 36.6 billion coming from SMIC, increasing its ownership from approximately 38.5% to 41.6% [3] - The capital increase will raise Southern SMIC's registered capital from USD 6.5 billion to USD 10.08 billion, and the net profit for Southern SMIC is estimated to be around CNY 3.67 billion and CNY 3.93 billion for the fiscal years 2023 and 2024, respectively [3]

2026年开年第一个交易日，A股放量普涨迎开门红，沪指12连阳重返4000点。板块来看，医药、半导体方向领涨市场，受益于产业链涨价趋势 延续，上游半导体设备ETF（561980）全天大涨5.64%，五个交易日内获资金净流入超2亿元。 一方面，行业并购重组动作频频成为半导体产业链重要催化。 半导体设备ETF（561980）第一权重股中微公司近期发布重大资产重组预案，拟以发行股份及支付现金方式购买杭州众硅64.69%股权，并募集 配套资金，股票于1月5日复牌。 中微表示，交易完成后公司将形成"刻蚀+薄膜+量测+湿法"四大前道工艺设备矩阵，业务版图将首次覆盖芯片制造80%的关键工序，与国际巨 头业务结构趋同。 数据显示，自"科八条"发布以来，科创板半导体公司已合计新增49单并购重组，其中有25单已经完成，有14单在流程中，重大资产重组是23 单，此外还有多单并购交易正在积极推进中。 42.16% 18.06% 58.38% 沪深300 中证未言 中证全指半导体 数据来源:iFinD,截至2025.12.31 多 市场热点 存储芯片全年涨幅最高达1800% 另一方面，存储涨价超级周期对半导体设备需求形成明确利好。 据 ...

Group 1 - The core theme of the 2026 CES is edge AI, with terminal manufacturers in smartphones, PCs, and smart cars launching new products equipped with AI capabilities, accelerating the migration of AI from the cloud to devices [2] - The consumption electronics ETF closely tracks the CSI Consumer Electronics Theme Index, which selects 50 listed companies involved in component production and brand design to reflect the overall performance of the sector [2] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Consumer Electronics Theme Index account for 54.35% of the index, including companies like Luxshare Precision, Cambricon, and BOE Technology Group [2] Group 2 - The CES event features significant presentations from industry leaders, including AMD's CEO Lisa Su and Lenovo's Chairman Yang Yuanqing, showcasing advancements in mixed AI technology [1] - NVIDIA will demonstrate its solutions driving innovation in various fields such as automotive, gaming, content creation, AI agents, physical AI, and robotics during CES [1]

MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 责任编辑：石秀珍 SF183 2026年真是起个好头啊，假期发酵的脑机题材直接起飞，带飞了医药；存储又带飞了半导体。基本上算 全线起飞，尤其是港股，撑住了获利跑的资金，生物科技更是大涨4%，港股信息技术 ETF（159131） 大涨3.2%~ 港股信息技术 ETF（159131）是一只非常有特色且稀缺的ETF品种，也是目前全市场唯一一只跟踪中证 港股通信息技术综合指数的 ETF，其标的指数创新性地采用 "70% 硬件 + 30% 软件" 的配置结构，剔除 大市值互联网企业，聚焦 "半导体 + 电子 + 计算机软件" 三大核心领域。 从成分股构成看，该指数涵盖 42 家港股硬科技龙头，前十大权重股合计占比达 70.71%，龙头效应显 著，其中中芯国际以 20.48% 的权重稳居第一，华虹半导体、小米等芯片与电子制造龙头紧随其后，形 成 "国产替代核心 + 终端应用龙头" 的立体布局。港股信息技术 ETF（159131）不受 QDII 额度限制， 支持日内 T+0 交易。 2026年大家要重视港股行情，尤其是港股的稀缺资产，通过ETF投资港股应该是普通人最好的选择，没 有之 ...

Market Overview - The market opened positively, with a notable increase of 4000 points, indicating strong investor sentiment [1] - Resource sectors, particularly precious metals and oil and gas extraction, experienced significant gains due to geopolitical events [1][21] Key Industry Trends - Emerging industries such as commercial aerospace, controllable nuclear fusion, and brain-machine interfaces are on the rise, with brain-machine interfaces gaining attention due to advancements in automated surgical processes [2][22] - The semiconductor industry and consumer electronics are leading the market, with AI applications showing active performance [3][23] Semiconductor Sector Highlights - Semiconductor stocks have seen a resurgence, with notable events such as the increase in state fund holdings in SMIC from 4.79% to 9.25%, indicating strong governmental support [3][23] - Huahong Semiconductor's acquisition of 97.5% of Huali Microelectronics was priced at 8.2 billion, lower than market expectations of 15-20 billion [3][23] - The IPO application of Changxin Technology has been accepted, marking a significant step in the storage chip market [4][24] ETF Insights - The Hong Kong Information Technology ETF (159131) has shown a strong performance, with a rise of over 3.63%, focusing on the semiconductor industry [6][26] - This ETF, launched on November 5, 2025, tracks the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology Composite Index, emphasizing core hard technology without internet tech [7][27] - The top holdings in this ETF include major players like SMIC and Xiaomi, with a significant focus on AI computing and chip manufacturing [8][28] Performance Comparison - The Hong Kong Information Technology ETF has outperformed other major indices over various time frames, with a 7-year growth of 85.82%, ranking fourth overall [11][31] - The ETF's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) stands at 33.98, indicating a valuation below two-thirds of the time over the past three years, suggesting a reasonable valuation cushion [12][32] Additional ETF Developments - The domestic chip sector is also seeing the launch of the Huabao Science and Technology Chip ETF, which focuses on the core segments of the chip industry, with a 74.3% allocation to integrated circuits [14][34] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) is positioned as a complementary product to the Information Technology ETF, focusing on AI applications rather than hardware manufacturing [19][39]

Group 1 - Core viewpoint: Recent mergers and acquisitions by companies such as SMIC, Hua Hong, and Zhongwei reflect a significant trend in the semiconductor industry, with distinct integration strategies being employed [1] - Hua Hong plans to issue shares to acquire 97.5% of its "brother company" Huali Micro [1] - Zhongwei intends to issue shares and pay cash to purchase 64.69% of Hangzhou Zhonggui's equity [1] - SMIC announced a draft transaction to acquire 49% equity of its subsidiary, SMIC North [1] Group 2 - Since the release of the "Science and Technology Innovation Board Eight Articles," nearly 170 equity acquisition transactions have been disclosed by companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board [1] - In 2025, over 100 transactions are expected, indicating a significant policy effect [1] - Major asset restructurings have reached 50 transactions, with 37 occurring in 2025, surpassing the total of 17 from 2019 to 2023 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Recent mergers and acquisitions in the semiconductor sector by leading companies such as SMIC, Huahong, and Zhongwei highlight a significant trend in industry consolidation and strategic integration, driven by favorable policies and market conditions [1][2] Group 1: Mergers and Acquisitions Overview - Huahong plans to issue shares to acquire 97.5% of Huali Micro's equity, while Zhongwei intends to purchase 64.69% of Hangzhou Zhonggui's equity through a combination of shares and cash [1] - SMIC announced a proposal to acquire 49% of its subsidiary, SMIC North, for approximately 406.01 billion yuan, marking the largest share-based asset acquisition in the history of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [3][5] - Since the introduction of the "Sci-Tech Innovation Board Eight Articles," nearly 170 equity acquisition transactions have been disclosed, with over 100 expected in 2025, indicating a strong policy impact [1][8] Group 2: Strategic Integration Approaches - SMIC's strategy involves acquiring minority stakes in its subsidiaries to enhance asset quality and business synergy after stabilizing operations [3][4] - Huahong's acquisition of Huali Micro addresses competitive concerns and aims to expand production capacity and process collaboration, with a transaction value of approximately 82.68 billion yuan [5][6] - Zhongwei's acquisition of Hangzhou Zhonggui focuses on horizontal expansion to build a comprehensive capability in semiconductor manufacturing, integrating various core processes [7] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trends - The capital market is becoming a primary channel for mergers and acquisitions, with leading companies leveraging policy opportunities to strengthen their core competitiveness [2] - The trend of introducing external capital for capacity construction and technology iteration is prevalent in the semiconductor sector, facilitating a virtuous cycle of investment and financing [4] - The overall completion rate of equity transactions on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board is close to 70%, reflecting the market's vitality and improved resource allocation efficiency [8]

Group 1: A-Share Market Performance - The A-share market opened high and closed strong, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.38% to close at 4023.42 points, surpassing the 4000-point mark again [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index reached a new high, increasing by 2.24% to close at 13828.63 points [1] - The total trading volume exceeded 2.56 trillion yuan, indicating significant market activity [1] - Sectors such as media and pharmaceuticals led the gains, while oil and banking sectors faced declines, with over 4100 stocks rising [1] - The market outlook remains bullish, supported by the New Year effect and macroeconomic policies [1] Group 2: Hong Kong Market and Technology Sector - The Hong Kong market showed strong performance during the mainland's holiday, with the technology ETF rising over 4% [3] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 28% in 2025, marking its best annual performance since 2017 [3] - Key factors supporting the technology sector include improved macroeconomic conditions and a truce in US-China tariffs, alongside expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3] - China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating economic resilience [3] - The AI industry's explosive growth has significantly boosted market confidence, exemplified by a 117% increase in shares of SMIC in 2025 [3] Group 3: ETF Insights - The Hong Kong Technology ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index, which includes major internet platforms and hard technology stocks [4] - The index structure allows it to benefit from both internet giants' profit releases and the growth in AI and semiconductor sectors [4] - Despite potential short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for the Hong Kong technology sector remains strong, with a favorable price-to-earnings ratio compared to US tech stocks [4] - Investors are encouraged to consider the Hong Kong Technology ETF for gradual investments to capitalize on the technology bull market [4] Group 4: Gaming Sector Performance - The gaming ETF rose by 4.55%, reflecting strong confidence in the sector's performance for 2026 [14] - The domestic gaming market's actual sales revenue surpassed 350 billion yuan in 2025, marking a 7.68% year-on-year increase [14] - The growth in the gaming sector is driven by the explosive performance of mini-program games, which generated 53.54 billion yuan in revenue, a 34.39% increase [14] - Chinese game developers are increasingly competitive globally, with overseas sales reaching $20.455 billion, a 10.23% increase [14] Group 5: Semiconductor and Storage Market - The semiconductor equipment ETF rose by 5.96%, indicating strong market interest [16] - The demand for storage products has surged, with DRAM and NAND Flash prices increasing over 300% since September [16] - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to see continued price increases in storage due to ongoing supply constraints and rising AI-related demand [16] - The semiconductor equipment sector is poised for significant growth, with order growth expected to exceed 30% in 2026 [16] Group 6: Gold Market Outlook - Gold ETFs saw increases of 2.09% and 2.41% for gold funds and gold stock ETFs, respectively [17] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly in Venezuela and ongoing conflicts in Ukraine, are expected to drive demand for gold as a safe haven [18] - The Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest rate cuts and the ongoing trend of de-dollarization globally are likely to support gold prices in the medium to long term [18]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. plans to impose tariffs on Chinese chips of 28nm and above starting June 2027, initially set at 0% and gradually increasing, reflecting a cautious approach due to reliance on Chinese supply chains [2][4][12]. Group 1: U.S. Tariff Announcement - The U.S. Trade Representative's office announced tariffs based on Section 301 investigations into China's semiconductor trade practices, but the timing appears late given previous tariff increases [2][4]. - The initial tariff rate of 0% for 18 months suggests a strategic delay, allowing U.S. companies to adjust to the ongoing reliance on Chinese markets [2][4][12]. Group 2: U.S.-China Semiconductor Dynamics - The U.S. is targeting 28nm technology, crucial for automotive, industrial, and IoT applications, where China has gained significant market share due to cost efficiency and rapid delivery [6][14]. - Despite U.S. efforts to maintain its competitive edge, China's investments in semiconductor manufacturing have been substantial, with over $100 billion since 2014, indicating a robust industrial foundation [6][12]. Group 3: Chinese Industry Response - Chinese companies are leveraging the 18-month window to enhance production capabilities, with firms like Huagong Technology expanding operations in Vietnam and Malaysia [8][20]. - Domestic players such as SMIC and Hua Hong are increasing their production capacities, while local funds are supporting the semiconductor sector with significant investments [8][20]. Group 4: Global Semiconductor Landscape - The U.S. semiconductor legislation has not yet yielded significant results, with high costs and slow implementation hindering domestic production [10][16]. - China's position in the global semiconductor supply chain remains strong, with imports accounting for 37% and packaging exceeding 50%, indicating a critical role in the industry [16][18]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The tariff announcement may serve as a test of China's resilience, with the potential for accelerated domestic industry consolidation and innovation in response to external pressures [18][22]. - The evolving landscape suggests that U.S. attempts to decouple from China may inadvertently strengthen China's semiconductor capabilities, positioning it for greater global influence [10][22].

Group 1 - Southbound funds net bought Hong Kong stocks worth 18.723 billion HKD on January 5, with notable purchases including 6.826 billion HKD in the Tracker Fund, 1.556 billion HKD in Kuaishou-W, and 1.019 billion HKD in Xiaomi Group-W [1] - Tencent Holdings experienced a net sell-off of 9.18 billion HKD, marking six consecutive days of net selling totaling 4.86189 billion HKD [1] - Semiconductor companies saw increased interest, with SMIC receiving net purchases totaling 1.5115 billion HKD over three days and Hua Hong Semiconductor seeing net buys of 936.63 million HKD over five days [1] Group 2 - Kuaishou-W ranked first in graphic and design applications in South Korea and was among the top ten in markets like the US, Turkey, and Vietnam, with 500,000 downloads and 900,000 USD in revenue in December [3] - SMIC was significantly supported by the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, which increased its stake from 4.79% to 9.25% by acquiring over 357 million shares at an average price of 74.2 RMB per share [3] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) faced a decline in oil prices due to concerns over supply despite political turmoil in Venezuela, with Brent crude falling to around 60 USD per barrel [3] - Alibaba Group is launching a service to help restaurants utilize AI to showcase their environments, part of a broader strategy to compete with Meituan in the Chinese dining sector [3]