证券代码：600111 证券简称：北方稀土 公告编号：2025-054 中国北方稀土（集团）高科技股份有限公司 关于召开2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 10 月 29 日（星期三）15:00～16:00 会议召开地点：上海证券交易所上证路演中心 （https://roadshow.sseinfo.com） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 投资者可于 2025 年 10 月 22 日（星期三）至 2025 年 10 月 28 日（星期二）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页，点击"提问预征 集"栏目或者通过中国北方稀土（集团）高科技股份有限公司（以下 简称公司）邮箱（cnrezqb@126.com）进行提问，公司将在说明会上 对投资者普遍关注的问题进行回答。 公司将于 2025 年 10 月 28 日发布 2025 年第三季度报告。为便于 广大投资者更全面深入了解公司 2025 年第三季度经营成果、财务状 况等信息，公司计 ...

Group 1 - As of October 21, a total of 568 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net outflows of main funds for five consecutive days or more [1] - The stock with the longest continuous net outflow is Dayu Ming, with 26 days of outflows, followed by Tianma Technology with 25 days [1] - The largest total net outflow amount is from Northern Rare Earth, with a cumulative outflow of 5.277 billion yuan over six days [1] Group 2 - Shanghai Electric follows with a net outflow of 3.698 billion yuan over eight days [1] - The stock with the highest proportion of net outflow relative to trading volume is Yongxin Zhicheng, which has seen a 9.22% decline over the past six days [1] - The cumulative decline percentages for several stocks with significant net outflows include: Sanzi Gaoke at -12.87%, and Lansi Technology at -13.59% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The strategic value of rare earth elements is being highlighted due to China's export controls and policy upgrades, leading to a significant increase in stock prices and overall market performance in the rare earth sector [6][10][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - Shenghe Resources (600392.SH) saw its stock price rise by 5.04% to 26.26 yuan, with a year-to-date increase of 155.45% [6]. - The rare earth index (8841089.WI) has increased by 118.86% year-to-date, with five out of seven stocks in the sector doubling in value [6][10]. - On October 9, the rare earth sector surged by 7.97%, followed by a 9.49% increase on October 13, with several stocks recording over 110% gains [10][11]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - China's rare earth reserves account for approximately 48% of the global total, with a production capacity of about 27,000 tons, representing nearly 70% of global output [8][9]. - The recent export controls by China, which include restrictions on key technologies and production lines, have tightened global supply and increased the strategic importance of rare earths [9][13]. - The demand for rare earths is expected to grow significantly, particularly in sectors like electric vehicles and renewable energy, with projections indicating a need for 3-5 kg of rare earth permanent magnets per electric vehicle [14][15]. Group 3: Price Trends - The price index for rare earths has been on an upward trend, with light rare earths like praseodymium and neodymium increasing from approximately 440,000 yuan/ton to 562,000 yuan/ton, a rise of about 27.7% [15]. - Heavy rare earths, such as dysprosium oxide, have seen even more dramatic increases, with prices soaring from around 830,000 yuan/ton to 2.6 million yuan/ton, marking a 212% increase [15]. - Recent announcements from companies like Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel have indicated continuous price increases for rare earth concentrates, reflecting ongoing supply constraints [17][19]. Group 4: Company Performance - In 2023, several rare earth companies are showing signs of recovery, with five out of seven companies reporting revenue growth in the first half of the year [21]. - Northern Rare Earth reported a revenue of 188.66 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with a net profit increase of 45.24% [22]. - Shenghe Resources anticipates a net profit of 740 million to 820 million yuan for the first nine months of the year, representing a growth of 696.82% to 782.96% [23]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Industry experts predict that while short-term fluctuations may occur, the mid-term price center for rare earths is likely to rise due to tightening supply and increasing strategic value [26]. - Analysts suggest that the recent export control measures will likely lead to price increases, particularly for light rare earth products, while cautioning about potential overvaluation of stocks in the sector [25][27].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a significant price increase for rare earth minerals by Northern Rare Earth on October 11, 2025, signals the beginning of a new upward cycle in rare earth prices, highlighting the company's strong recovery and strategic importance in the industry [2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Northern Rare Earth reported a staggering net profit increase of 1951%, with a non-GAAP net profit growth of 5645%, marking a significant turnaround from the previous years' performance [5]. - The company's financial recovery is attributed to the increase in rare earth quotas and the rebound in prices, which had previously caused a downturn in performance [5]. Industry Position - Northern Rare Earth is recognized as a leader in the rare earth industry, with a clear revenue structure that includes raw materials, functional materials, and end-use products [7]. - The company holds nearly 70% of the national quota for light rare earth mining, with a production capacity of approximately 189,000 tons, providing a stable and low-cost raw material supply for its functional materials business [7][10]. Competitive Advantages - The company benefits from exclusive access to the Baiyun Obo mine, the world's largest iron and rare earth co-mining site, ensuring a continuous resource supply [9]. - A transparent pricing mechanism established with its parent company, Baogang Group, allows for stable raw material costs and shared profits, enhancing the company's competitive edge [9]. - The rare earth industry in China has formed a concentrated supply structure, with Northern Rare Earth dominating the light rare earth market, which strengthens its market pricing power [10]. Market Drivers - The demand for rare earth materials is driven by the growth of the electric vehicle market and the emerging humanoid robot industry, both of which require significant amounts of rare earth elements [12][13]. - The estimated rare earth usage for a single humanoid robot is about 4 kilograms, potentially surpassing the demand from electric vehicles, indicating a substantial future market for rare earths [17]. Long-term Outlook - The company is positioned for sustained growth due to the dual demand from electric vehicles and humanoid robots, suggesting a long-term growth period of 5-10 years for the rare earth market [17][18]. - Northern Rare Earth's strategic resource control and comprehensive industry chain layout are expected to enhance its long-term value in the context of the energy and intelligent revolutions [18][19].

Group 1: Market Performance - The liquidity of the Rare Earth ETF managed by Jiashi has a turnover rate of 1.61%, with a transaction volume of 1.74 billion yuan [2] - The latest scale of the Rare Earth ETF reached 108.04 billion yuan, marking a new high since its establishment and ranking first among comparable funds [2] - The latest share count of the Rare Earth ETF is 6.034 billion shares, also a new high since its inception, and ranks first among comparable funds [2] - Over the past 7 days, the Rare Earth ETF has seen continuous net inflows, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 1.184 billion yuan, totaling 3.405 billion yuan [2] - As of October 20, the net value of the Rare Earth ETF has increased by 88.93% over the past two years, ranking 59th out of 2358 index equity funds, placing it in the top 2.50% [2] - The highest monthly return since the establishment of the Rare Earth ETF is 41.25%, with the longest consecutive monthly increase being 4 months and the longest increase percentage being 83.89% [2] Group 2: Industry Developments - On October 19, Tianhe Magnetic Materials announced plans to invest 850 million yuan in a project for high-performance rare earth permanent magnets and related equipment in Baotou City [3] - Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel announced an increase in rare earth prices for the fourth quarter of 2025 [3] - In September, the export of rare earths and related products reached 10,538 tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.6%, with a cumulative export of 95,875 tons from January to September, up 3.1% year-on-year [3] - The Ministry of Commerce of China issued two announcements on October 9 regarding rare earth export controls, indicating that products containing Chinese-origin rare earths valued at 0.1% or more may be subject to export restrictions [3] - The new regulations on rare earths are seen as a necessary response in the context of global supply chain competition, following similar measures for gallium and germanium [3] - It is recommended to focus on investment opportunities along the "resources + growth" dual lines, considering the potential impact of regional politics and export policies from major resource countries [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry in China [6]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of future positioning rather than past defensive strategies, suggesting that investors should focus on opportunities for excess returns in the upcoming year [9][15]. - Gold prices are expected to experience high volatility in the short term but are projected to reach new highs in the medium term due to credit and safe-haven demand [16]. - The rare earth sector is anticipated to maintain its strategic importance despite short-term price declines, with a widening supply-demand gap expected in the medium term [17]. - The copper market is viewed positively, with expectations of price increases in the medium term, encouraging investors to buy on dips [17]. Summary by Sections 1. Non-Ferrous Metals - Gold: Short-term volatility is high, but medium-term prospects are strong with expectations of new highs supported by credit and safe-haven demand [16]. - Rare Earths: Short-term price declines do not diminish the medium-term strategic position, with an anticipated widening supply-demand gap [17]. - Copper: Strong medium-term price outlook, with a recommendation to buy on dips due to expected economic recovery and increased manufacturing investment [17]. 2. Steel Industry - Profitability: Short-term profitability is under pressure, with both prices and costs declining [28]. - Supply and Demand: Weekly rebar consumption decreased to 2.2 million tons, down 8.84% week-on-week and 14.77% year-on-year [24][18]. - Inventory: Both social and steel mill inventories have increased, indicating a potential oversupply situation [25]. - Prices: The overall steel price index has slightly decreased, with specific products like hot-rolled steel experiencing a notable drop [38]. 3. New Energy Metals - Supply: Significant increase in lithium production, with August 2025 output reaching 80,040 tons, up 46.54% year-on-year [42]. - Demand: High growth in new energy vehicle production and sales, with August 2025 figures showing a 26% increase year-on-year [48]. - Prices: Lithium prices have risen, with battery-grade lithium carbonate averaging 75,750 yuan per ton, reflecting a 3.55% week-on-week increase [55].

Core Insights - A total of 133 companies have announced their performance forecasts for the first three quarters, with 107 companies expecting profit increases, representing 80.45% of the total [1] - The overall proportion of companies reporting positive forecasts is 86.47%, with 8 companies expecting profits and 12 and 3 companies forecasting profit declines and losses, respectively [1] - Among the companies expecting profit increases, 48 companies anticipate a net profit growth of over 100%, while 42 companies expect growth between 50% and 100% [1] Company Performance - XianDa Co. is projected to have the highest net profit growth at 3009.81%, followed by ChuJiang New Materials at 2150.09% and YingLian Co. at 1602.05% [1][2] - The sectors with the most companies expecting profit growth include electronics, basic chemicals, and non-ferrous metals, with 9, 6, and 5 companies, respectively [1] Stock Performance - Since July, stocks of companies expecting profit growth have averaged a 25.04% increase, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - Guangku Technology has seen the highest increase at 131.37%, followed by Northern Rare Earth and ChangChuan Technology with increases of 109.72% and 83.11%, respectively [2] - Conversely, stocks like NaRui Radar have experienced significant declines, with a drop of 24.50% [2] Capital Flow - In the last five days, major capital inflows have been observed in Guangku Technology, YuanDa Intelligent, and YaHua Group, with net inflows of 256.12 million, 155.79 million, and 108 million, respectively [2] - Major capital outflows were noted in Northern Rare Earth, ChangChuan Technology, and Ruixin Micro, with outflows of 485.71 million, 165.20 million, and 86.07 million, respectively [2]

Core Insights - The report highlights a mixed performance in various sectors, with growth in technology and healthcare industries while traditional sectors face challenges [4][5][12] - The macroeconomic environment shows a GDP growth of 5.2% year-on-year for the first three quarters, indicating a stable economic backdrop [7] - The report suggests that the A-share market is experiencing a phase of consolidation with structural opportunities emerging, particularly in technology and consumer sectors [6][8] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,863.89, with a slight increase of 0.63%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.98% to 12,813.21 [3] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext are 15.74 and 46.77, respectively, indicating a favorable long-term investment environment [6][10] - Trading volume in the A-share market remains robust, with a daily average exceeding 17,000 billion, suggesting strong investor interest [6][10] Industry Analysis - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a slowdown in revenue growth, with a notable decline in certain sub-sectors such as prepared foods and health products [12][14] - The semiconductor industry is on an upward trajectory, with a 13.86% increase in September, driven by strong demand for AI-related hardware [19][20] - The telecommunications sector is seeing growth in 5G services, with a significant increase in mobile data usage and a focus on digital transformation in key industries [23][24] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors such as soft drinks, health products, and baked goods within the food and beverage industry for potential investment opportunities [14][39] - In the semiconductor space, companies involved in AI infrastructure and storage solutions are highlighted as key areas for investment due to rising demand [21][26] - The telecommunications sector is advised for investment, particularly in companies that are leveraging AI and digital technologies to enhance service offerings [26][27]

Economic Data Summary - In September, the GDP growth rate slowed to 4.8%, marking the lowest point in a year, while the cumulative GDP growth for the first three quarters reached 5.2% [3] - The industrial added value significantly exceeded expectations, growing by 6.5% year-on-year in September, supported by an increase in working days and strong export performance [4] - Fixed asset investment turned negative at -0.5% year-on-year for the first nine months, the first negative growth since mid-2020, with real estate investment in September dropping by 21.2%, a historical low [4] - Retail sales growth further slowed to 3.0%, the lowest since December last year, influenced by the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival and a decrease in consumer spending [4] - Urban residents' disposable income grew by 4.5%, while spending increased by only 3.9%, indicating a savings rate of 38.3%, consistent with the past two years but higher than pre-pandemic levels [4] Market Trends - On October 20, A-shares saw collective gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.63%, Shenzhen Component by 0.98%, and ChiNext by 1.98% [8] - The coal and gas sectors experienced significant gains due to cold weather impacts, with coal prices rising, and expectations of supply tightening due to safety inspections [8] - The cultivated diamond sector saw a surge, with stocks like Huifeng Diamond hitting the daily limit [8] Company Performance - Keda Xunfei reported a net profit of 172 million yuan for Q3, a year-on-year increase of 202.40% [12] - Alloy Investment's Q3 net profit surged to 2.68 million yuan, up 4985.25% year-on-year [12] - China Shipbuilding's net profit for the first three quarters is expected to be between 4.08 billion and 4.68 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 106.93% to 137.36% [12] Industry Insights - The deep earth economy is gaining attention, focusing on the development of deep earth resources and related industries, as highlighted by the Ministry of Natural Resources [13] - Goldman Sachs noted China's strong influence over rare earths, suggesting that the country is unlikely to abandon proposed controls, which could lead to various market responses [7] Stock Market Dynamics - The net inflow of main funds reached 37.95 billion yuan, with the electronics sector seeing the largest inflow [17] - The top five sectors for net inflow included electronics, communication, machinery, power equipment, and coal [17] - Northbound trading totaled 234.73 billion yuan, with significant transactions in banks and rare earths [20]

| 证券代 | 证券简称 | 主力资金净流出 | 主力资金净流出金额 | 主力资金净流出比例 | 累计涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 码 | | 天数 | （亿元） | （%） | （%） | | 300059 | 东方财富 | 9 | 92.21 | 9.59 | -9.28 | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 5 | 48.57 | 7.15 | -9.54 | | 688981 | 中芯国际 | 5 | 47.77 | 9.08 | -10.14 | | 002460 | 赣锋锂业 | 7 | 39.42 | 7.41 | -9.38 | | 601727 | 上海电气 | 7 | 36.69 | 7.73 | -11.75 | | 300803 | 指南针 | 9 | 35.02 | 7.45 | -14.69 | | 002602 | ST华通 | 11 | 33.16 | 9.88 | -21.17 | | 600010 | 包钢股份 | 5 | 25.56 | 6.31 | -4.66 | | 603799 | 华友钴业 | 5 | ...