Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index is at 4164.11 points, slightly above the five-day moving average, with a change of -0.03% [1] - The total trading volume of A-shares is 18505.22 billion yuan, with 228 A-shares breaking through the five-day moving average [1] Stocks with Significant Deviation - The stocks with the largest deviation from the five-day moving average include: - Dapeng Industrial (证券代: 920091) with a deviation of 8.06% and a price increase of 10.14% [1] - Hongxing Development (证券代: 600367) with a deviation of 7.42% and a price increase of 10.01% [1] - Prologis Pharmaceutical (证券代: 000739) with a deviation of 7.37% and a price increase of 10.03% [1] Additional Notable Stocks - Other notable stocks with significant price movements include: - Lek Electric (证券代: 603355) with a deviation of 7.20% and a price increase of 9.99% [1] - Tianyi Medical (证券代: 301097) with a deviation of 6.87% and a price increase of 11.59% [1] - Meihu Co., Ltd. (证券代: 603319) with a deviation of 6.30% and a price increase of 7.73% [1] Stocks with Smaller Deviations - Stocks that have just crossed the five-day moving average with smaller deviations include: - Cangge Mining (证券代: 300300) with a deviation of 3.83% and a price increase of 5.01% [1] - ST Xiangxue (证券代: 300147) with a deviation of 3.57% and a price increase of 4.79% [1] - Shandong Molong (证券代: 002490) with a deviation of 3.43% and a price increase of 5.62% [1]

Group 1 - The chemical sector is experiencing a rebound, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing a significant increase, reaching a maximum intraday gain of 1.56% and closing up by 0.89% [1] - Key stocks in the sector include Kasei Bio, which surged by 12.54%, and Salt Lake Co., which rose by 7.13%, among others [1][2] - Recent capital inflow into the chemical sector has been strong, with the chemical ETF accumulating a net subscription of 560 million yuan over the last five trading days and over 910 million yuan in the last ten days [2] Group 2 - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial products decreased by 1.9% year-on-year in December 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2%, indicating a narrowing decline compared to the previous month [3] - The chemical industry is expected to undergo a revaluation, as its industry position and profit levels do not align, with potential recovery in profitability anticipated [3] - The chemical sector is at a new starting point of supply-demand rebalancing, influenced by policies aimed at reshaping competition and advancements in new production capabilities [3] Group 3 - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry theme index, with nearly 50% of its holdings concentrated in large-cap leading stocks, providing an opportunity for investors to capitalize on strong performers [4] - Investors can also access the chemical ETF through linked funds, enhancing investment efficiency in the chemical sector [4]

Group 1 - A total of 11 companies were investigated by funds on January 12, with a focus on Xingfa Group, Jintian Co., and Tianlu Technology [1] - Among the companies surveyed, Xingfa Group received the most attention with 18 funds participating, while both Jintian Co. and Tianlu Technology had 7 funds each [1] - The surveyed companies included 6 from the Shenzhen Main Board, 2 from the ChiNext Board, and 3 from the Shanghai Main Board, covering 7 different industries [1] Group 2 - The electronic industry had the highest representation with 3 companies, followed by home appliances and basic chemicals, each with 2 companies [1] - Among the surveyed companies, 2 had a total market capitalization exceeding 50 billion yuan, with one exceeding 100 billion yuan, while 5 companies had a market capitalization below 10 billion yuan [1] - In terms of market performance, 10 out of the surveyed stocks increased in value over the past 5 days, with Liou Co., Newcap, and Tianlu Technology showing the highest gains of 32.42%, 21.60%, and 16.17% respectively [1] Group 3 - In terms of net capital inflow over the past 5 days, 5 stocks saw positive inflows, with Liou Co. leading at 64.48 million yuan [2] - The only company to release an annual performance forecast among the surveyed was Whirlpool, expecting a net profit of 505 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 150% [2] - The detailed list of surveyed companies includes Xingfa Group, Tianlu Technology, Jintian Co., Newcap, Huadian Co., Liou Co., Taihe New Materials, China National Heavy Duty Truck, Changhong Meiling, Yidao Information, and Whirlpool [2]

兴发集团（600141.SH）1月12日在投资者互动平台表示，谢谢您对公司的关注！2025年公司有机硅材 料业务进展显著，例如气凝胶薄毡产能提升近50%，并成功供应宁德时代、比亚迪等头部客户，销量同 比激增15倍；高纯度D4已实现向全球光纤光缆行业头部企业送样等。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：能否介绍一下公司在有机硅新材料业务板块的最新进 展？ ...

证券日报网讯1月12日，兴发集团（600141）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，产业化方面，公司黑 磷制备技术已实现百公斤级连续化稳定生产，百吨级生产线具备快速建成能力，同时产品制造成本显著 下降，从经济性角度已具备商业化条件。应用研发方面，基于当前高质量、低成本的黑磷制备能力，公 司前瞻布局未来潜力巨大的应用领域，合作科研机构及企业数量从2024年末的30余家扩大至2025年末近 90家。近期公司与合作伙伴在航天材料领域取得重大科研成果，将黑磷下游应用领域从磷碳负极材料、 光电子芯片、生物医药和催化剂等领域进一步扩大。商业应用方面，黑磷-钯催化剂已在兴瑞公司双氧 水生产中实现工业化应用，氢效最高提升近20%；黑磷净味催化剂已通过美的集团（000333）企业标准 认证，标志着相关技术产业化与市场应用取得重要进展。2025年公司对外供应黑磷产品近200公斤，同 比增长超210%。 ...

Core Insights - The chemical industry is expected to experience a recovery in profitability in 2026, marking a new starting point for supply-demand rebalancing, driven by anti-involution policies and advancements in new productive forces such as AI and robotics [2][5]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The chemical industry faced a downturn in profitability and valuation in 2025, but signs of stabilization and recovery are anticipated in 2026 [2]. - The peak of capital expenditure in the chemical sector has passed, with fixed asset investment turning negative in the second half of 2025, indicating the end of the capacity expansion cycle [5][14]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for chemicals is expected to gradually turn positive in 2026 after a prolonged period of decline [14]. Group 2: Investment Themes - Capital expenditure is decreasing, and leading companies like Wanhua Chemical are expected to see a recovery in profitability as they reduce capital spending and increase their global market share in MDI [5]. - The anti-involution policy is reshaping supply dynamics, with a focus on quality development and the exit of outdated capacities, benefiting companies with innovative capabilities and export advantages [5]. - New materials are driving demand growth in traditional chemicals, with companies like Dinglong Technology and Anji Technology positioned to benefit from domestic substitution in high-end materials [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Chemical prices have been under pressure, with the chemical product price index declining approximately 8.8% in 2025, but stock prices in the sector have rebounded by 33.3% [10][16]. - The operating rates of mainstream chemical products are showing signs of weakness, with inventory levels varying significantly across different products [17][18]. - The supply-demand balance for phosphate rock remains tight, with stable prices for high-grade phosphate rock, while the market for phosphate fertilizers is influenced by policy and demand fluctuations [46][43]. Group 4: Global Trends - The global chemical supply is shifting towards China, which has become the largest chemical producer, while European chemical production faces challenges due to high energy costs [31][33]. - The restructuring of supply chains due to tariff disturbances is prompting companies to adapt, with a focus on overseas expansion for leading chemical firms [26][22]. - The anti-involution policies are expected to enhance industry cash flow and promote sustainable development by curbing disorderly expansion and prioritizing profitability [40].

Group 1 - The glyphosate concept index declined by 0.02%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with companies like Hebang Biotechnology, Jiangshan Shares, and Xingfa Group experiencing significant drops [1] - Among the companies in the glyphosate sector, 9 stocks saw price increases, with notable gains from Nuo Shun (up 4.20%), Li Er Chemical (up 3.45%), and Jiang Tian Chemical (up 2.26%) [1][3] Group 2 - The glyphosate concept sector experienced a net outflow of 234 million yuan, with 13 stocks seeing net outflows, and 5 stocks exceeding 10 million yuan in outflows, led by Hebang Biotechnology with a net outflow of 134 million yuan [2] - Other companies with significant net outflows include Jiangshan Shares (57.89 million yuan), Hongtaiyang (29.72 million yuan), and Xin'an Shares (23.04 million yuan) [2] - Conversely, the companies with the highest net inflows included Li Er Chemical (40.21 million yuan), Nuo Shun (18.77 million yuan), and Zhongnong Lihua (3.39 million yuan) [2]

格隆汇1月12日丨兴发集团(600141.SH)在互动平台表示，产业化方面，公司黑磷制备技术已实现百公斤 级连续化稳定生产，百吨级生产线具备快速建成能力，同时产品制造成本显著下降，从经济性角度已具 备商业化条件。应用研发方面，基于当前高质量、低成本的黑磷制备能力，公司前瞻布局未来潜力巨大 的应用领域，合作科研机构及企业数量从2024年末的30余家扩大至2025年末近90家。近期公司与合作伙 伴在航天材料领域取得重大科研成果，将黑磷下游应用领域从磷碳负极材料、光电子芯片、生物医药和 催化剂等领域进一步扩大。商业应用方面，黑磷-钯催化剂已在兴瑞公司双氧水生产中实现工业化应 用，氢效最高提升近20%；黑磷净味催化剂已通过美的集团企业标准认证，标志着相关技术产业化与市 场应用取得重要进展。2025年公司对外供应黑磷产品近200公斤，同比增长超210%。 ...

化工板块今日（1月12日）深度回调，反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF（516020）开盘后迅速走弱， 而后持续低位震荡，截至发稿，场内价格跌1.21%。 成份股方面，磷化工、氟化工、锂电等板块部分个股跌幅居前。截至发稿，和邦生物大跌超5%，兴发 集团、巨化股份、三美股份等多股跌超3%，拖累板块走势。 | | | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 日 周 ▼ | | | | | | F9 盘前盘玩 图加 九转 测试 工具 (6 2 > | | 化工ETF O | | | 516020 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0.92 | | | | | 516020(化工ETF) 10:54 价 0.896 源跌 -0.011(-1.21%) 均价 0.900 成交量 975 IOPV 0.8973 | | | | | 0.896 | | | -0.011 -1.21% | | 0.914 | | | | | | | | | | SSE CNY 10:54:5 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [2][3] Core Insights - The macroeconomic outlook for the chemical industry indicates a stable increase in oil demand due to global economic recovery and tariff adjustments, with Brent oil prices expected to remain in the range of $55-70 per barrel [2][3] - The report highlights the potential for price increases in the organic silicon sector, driven by supply constraints and rising demand ahead of the Lunar New Year [2] - The report suggests focusing on key sectors such as industrial silicon, PVC, and phosphorus, as well as companies like Xinjiang Tianye and Xingfa Group, which are expected to benefit from differentiated electricity pricing policies in Shaanxi Province [2][3] Summary by Sections Chemical Macro Outlook - Oil supply is tightening due to OPEC+ production delays and peak shale oil output, while demand is stabilizing with an expected increase in oil prices [3] - Coal prices are expected to stabilize at a low level, alleviating pressure on downstream industries [3] - The U.S. is likely to accelerate natural gas export facility construction, potentially lowering import costs [2][3] Price Trends - Brent crude oil prices increased by 3.7% to $63.02 per barrel, while WTI prices rose by 2.7% to $58.84 per barrel [9] - The PPI for all industrial products decreased by 1.9% year-on-year but increased by 0.2% month-on-month, indicating a slight recovery in manufacturing activity [5] Sector Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the textile chain, agricultural chemicals, export-related chemical products, and companies benefiting from "de-involution" policies [2] - Specific companies to watch include: - For textiles: Lu Xi Chemical, Tongkun Co., and Hengli Petrochemical - For agricultural chemicals: Hualu Hengsheng and Baofeng Energy - For export-related chemicals: Juhua Co. and Wanhu Chemical [2][15] Key Company Valuations - The report includes a valuation table for key companies, indicating their market capitalizations and projected earnings [15][16]