Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the electricity sector [3] Core Viewpoints - In March, national electricity consumption growth was 4.8%, with significant growth in the internet and automotive manufacturing sectors [10][12] - The future three-year coal power upgrade action plan emphasizes the importance of coal power upgrades and flexible adjustment capabilities [11][12] Summary by Sections Electricity Consumption - In March, total electricity consumption reached 828.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%. By sector, the first, second, and third industries, along with urban and rural residents, consumed 106, 557.8, 148.4, and 111.4 billion kWh respectively, with growth rates of 9.9%, 3.8%, 8.4%, and 5.0% [12][65] - Cumulative electricity consumption from January to March was 23,846 billion kWh, up 2.5% year-on-year [12][66] Power Generation - In March, industrial power generation was 778 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, with a narrowing decline in thermal power generation [12][10] - Water and nuclear power generation increased by 9.5% and 23.0% respectively, while wind and solar power generation growth slowed [12][10] Coal Power Upgrade Plan - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration released a new coal power upgrade action plan for 2025-2027, focusing on enhancing existing units and developing new generation units with improved performance indicators [11][12] - Key upgrade requirements include deep peak regulation, load change rates, and clean carbon reduction measures [11][12] Investment Recommendations - Emphasize investment opportunities in the electricity sector, particularly in thermal power stocks such as Huadian International, Waneng Power, and Zhejiang Energy, as well as in leading companies in thermal power upgrade equipment like Qingda Environmental Protection [6][7] - Recommend focusing on undervalued green electricity sectors, including Hong Kong-listed green electricity and wind power operators [6][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company's wind power generation in Fujian reached 838 million kWh in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.25%. Overall, the company achieved a total power generation of 899 million kWh, up 12.40% year-on-year, driven by stable growth in electricity generation [2][10] - The company is expected to benefit from the injection of high-quality assets from its parent group, which will enhance earnings per share. The injection includes a 51% stake in Yongtai Pumped Storage, which had a net profit of 218 million yuan in 2023 and a return on equity of 16.49% [10][10] - The approval of the ChangLe B District project and the convergence station project is anticipated to contribute to future earnings growth. The ChangLe B District project has a total installed capacity of 114,000 kW and is expected to operate efficiently due to favorable wind conditions [10][10] Summary by Sections Power Generation Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a total power generation of 899 million kWh, a 12.40% increase year-on-year, with grid-connected power generation of 876 million kWh, up 12.89% [6][10] - The performance in different regions showed mixed results, with a significant decrease in Heilongjiang's wind power generation by 35.79% and biomass power generation down by 52.67% [10] Future Growth Potential - The company has a robust pipeline of projects awaiting approval or meeting injection conditions, which is expected to accelerate growth [2][10] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 0.36 yuan, 0.47 yuan, and 0.51 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 13.95, 10.70, and 9.86 [10][10]

证券代码：600163 证券简称：中闽能源 公告编号：2025－009 特此公告。 中闽能源股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 4 月 10 日 中闽能源股份有限公司 2025 年第一季度发电量完成情况的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 据中闽能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）统计，截至 2025 年 3 月 31 日，公司下属各项目累计完成发电量 89,880.48 万千瓦时，比去年同期 79,967.90 万千瓦时增加 12.40%；累计完成上网电量 87,619.25 万千瓦时，比去年同期 77,618.10 万千瓦时增加 12.89%，详情如下： | 经营地区/ 发电类型 | | 发电量(万千瓦时) | | | 上网电量(万千瓦时) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 本期 | 上年同期 | 同比 | 本期 | 上年同期 | 同比 | | 福建省 | | | | | | | | 风电 | 83,839.38 | 70,308.42 ...

中闽能源（600163）公告，截至2025年3月31日，公司下属各项目累计完成发电量8.99亿千瓦时，比去 年同期8亿千瓦时增加12.40%；累计完成上网电量8.76亿千瓦时，比去年同期7.76亿千瓦时增加 12.89%。其中，福建省风电发电量为8.38亿千瓦时，上网电量为8.18亿千瓦时，同比分别增长19.25%和 19.49%。黑龙江省风电发电量为4569.93万千瓦时，上网电量为4431.71万千瓦时，同比分别下降35.79% 和35.78%。生物质发电发电量为888.3万千瓦时，上网电量为782.92万千瓦时，同比分别下降52.67%和 50.41%。新疆哈密光伏发电发电量为582.87万千瓦时，上网电量为569.21万千瓦时，同比分别下降 12.42%和12.37%。 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the defensive attributes of the public utility sector, particularly in light of recent policy changes aimed at enhancing price governance mechanisms [1][14][30] - In March, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.07%, while the public utility index rose by 1.87%, indicating a relative outperformance of the sector [1][32] - The report highlights the significant drop in coal prices, which enhances the profitability of thermal power generation, with a projected increase in earnings per kilowatt-hour as coal prices decrease [2][16][18] Group 2 - The report recommends major thermal power companies such as Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, citing their resilience in the face of declining coal prices and electricity prices [3][30] - It notes that the water and waste incineration sectors are entering a mature phase, with improved free cash flow and a favorable investment environment due to declining risk-free rates [31] - The report identifies high-dividend water power stocks, particularly Changjiang Electric Power, as having strong defensive characteristics and long-term investment value [24][25][29] Group 3 - The report discusses the expected stability in nuclear power company earnings, recommending companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [3][30] - It highlights the growth potential in the renewable energy sector, recommending leading companies such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy, which are expected to benefit from ongoing government support for new energy development [3][30] - The report also points out the significant market opportunity in the domestic waste oil recycling industry, recommending companies like Shanggou Environmental Energy as beneficiaries of upcoming EU policies [31]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the central government's commitment to advancing electricity price reforms and the expectation of a more refined market mechanism [11][12] - The market-oriented reform of electricity pricing is expected to benefit various power sources, particularly thermal power, which is anticipated to gain significantly from these changes [11][12] - The report highlights the importance of green electricity price reforms and the acceleration of environmental value realization [11][12] Summary by Sections Event Description - The Central Committee and the State Council issued an opinion on improving price governance mechanisms, advocating for a gradual and systematic market-oriented reform of electricity pricing across various power sources [6][11] Event Commentary - The report notes that the elevation of electricity reform to the central government level indicates a strong commitment to market-oriented reforms, with a focus on establishing a supportive system for smooth reform progression [11] - It discusses the potential for capacity and ancillary service price reforms to create systemic benefits for stable output and flexible adjustment capabilities, particularly for thermal and nuclear power [11] - The report also mentions the need to eliminate unreasonable price competition and government interference in price formation, which could lead to a more orderly market environment [11] - The emphasis on green electricity pricing reform suggests that the environmental value of green power is expected to be realized more rapidly [11] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "carbon neutrality" era and electricity market reforms will redefine the intrinsic value of power operators throughout the 14th Five-Year Plan period [11] - It recommends focusing on quality thermal power operators such as Huadian International, China Resources Power, and Huaneng Power, as well as large hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power [11] - For the renewable energy sector, it highlights companies like Longyuan Power, China Nuclear Power, and China Three Gorges Energy as potential investment opportunities [11]

证券代码：600163 证券简称：中闽能源 公告编号：2025－008 中闽能源股份有限公司 关于副总经理辞职的公告 2025 年 4 月 3 日 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 中闽能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"） 董事会于近日收到副总经理林滨 牧先生提交的辞职报告，林滨牧先生因工作变动原因申请辞去公司副总经理职务。 根据《中华人民共和国公司法》、《公司章程》等有关规定，林滨牧先生的辞职 报告自送达公司董事会之日起生效。 林滨牧先生在担任公司副总经理期间，恪尽职守、勤勉尽责，在公司工程管 理、生产运营和安全管理等方面发挥了积极作用。在此，公司及董事会对其在任 职期间为公司发展所做出的突出贡献表示衷心的感谢！ 特此公告。 中闽能源股份有限公司董事会 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [1][4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the high-quality development of the environmental equipment manufacturing industry, aiming to create a trillion-level industry with international competitiveness by 2027 [2][16]. - It highlights the synergy between computing power and electricity, particularly in the context of data centers, which require substantial and reliable electricity supply [18][20]. - The report suggests that the profitability of coal-fired power generation is expected to remain reasonable due to the simultaneous decline in coal and electricity prices [28]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.59%, while the public utility index increased by 2.19% and the environmental index by 2.53% [1][29]. - Among the sub-sectors, coal-fired power saw a 3.39% increase, while renewable energy generation rose by 1.48% [31]. Important Policies and Events - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, and the State Administration for Market Regulation jointly issued opinions to promote the high-quality development of the environmental equipment manufacturing industry [2][16]. - By 2030, the report anticipates a complete upgrade of the environmental equipment manufacturing industry towards green, low-carbon, and circular development [2]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major coal-fired power companies like Huadian International and regional power companies like Shanghai Electric due to stable electricity prices [3][28]. - For renewable energy, leading companies such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy are recommended, alongside regional offshore wind power companies [3][28]. - The report also suggests focusing on water and waste incineration sectors, which are entering a mature phase with improved free cash flow [3][28]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that the electricity and heat production and supply industry prices fell by 0.8% year-on-year in February 2025 [17]. - It highlights the increasing importance of green electricity and nuclear power in meeting the energy demands of data centers [24][21]. Company Performance - The report lists several companies with "Outperform" ratings, including Huadian International, Longyuan Power, and China Nuclear Power, among others, indicating their strong market positions and growth potential [6][28].

Summary of Conference Call on Fujian Energy Sector Companies Involved - Zhongmin Energy (中闽能源) - Funiu Co., Ltd. (福能股份) Key Points and Arguments Industry Overview - Fujian Province has a significant advantage in electricity supply and demand, with a 100% full consumption rate of wind and solar energy, a condition met by only four provinces in China as of now [2][3] - The province has not approved new onshore wind projects since 2017, leading to future growth in offshore wind energy [2][3] - The share of renewable energy in Fujian's total electricity generation is only 11% as of 2024, indicating low volatility and manageable grid absorption [3] Zhongmin Energy - Zhongmin Energy focuses primarily on wind energy, with 60% of its total profit in 2023 derived from offshore wind energy [2][6] - The company has a total installed capacity of 960,000 kW, with a strong focus on clean energy development [6] - Historical ROE for Zhongmin's offshore wind projects ranges from 23% to 26%, outperforming industry averages [8] - Expected profit for 2025 is around 700 million yuan, with a potential increase of 12% to 800 million yuan in 2026 due to new wind and solar projects [2][8] - Current valuation corresponds to a PE ratio of 14, indicating over 30% upside potential [2][8] Funiu Co., Ltd. - Funiu is the largest comprehensive power company in Fujian, with a total installed capacity of 6.05 million kW [9] - The company derives 60% of its profits from wind energy, 30% from thermal power, and 10% from nuclear power [9] - Funiu's historical ROE ranges from 11% to 15%, with thermal power potentially reaching 25% in favorable years [9] - Expected profit for 2025 is approximately 2.9 billion yuan, with a projected 12% increase to 3.2 billion yuan in 2026 due to enhanced thermal competitiveness [2][9] - Current valuation is below 9 times PE, suggesting a 20% upside potential [2][9] Market Dynamics - Both companies are well-positioned in the market, with Zhongmin holding a 24% market share and Funiu holding 10% [2][5] - The profitability of offshore wind projects is enhanced by lower cost per kilowatt-hour and additional green certificate revenues [4][5] - The upcoming projects in 2026-2027 are expected to significantly boost both companies' profitability, with IRR estimates of 8% or higher for Zhongmin and 10%-12% for Funiu [2][9] Risks and Considerations - The companies face potential risks from declining thermal power prices and the impact of coal price fluctuations on their competitive load [9] - Monitoring the release of new offshore wind resources and subsidy progress in Fujian is crucial for both companies' future performance [2][9] Conclusion - Zhongmin Energy and Funiu Co., Ltd. are positioned to benefit from the stable electricity market in Fujian, with strong fundamentals and growth potential in renewable energy projects [2][9]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 | 公用事业 公用事业 报告日期：2025 年 03 月 16 日 绿电直供凸显环境属性，清洁能源迎来专项资金 ——环保与公用事业行业周报 投资要点 ❑ 行情回顾 本周，公用事业板块指数上涨 2.19%，涨跌幅在 31 个申万一级行业中排名第 11，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.61%；本周，环保板块指数上涨 2.53%，涨跌幅在 32 个 申万一级行业中排名第 9，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.94%。截至 2025 年 3 月 7 日，公 用事业（申万）PE（TTM）为 16.87 倍，PB（LF）为 1.48 倍；环保（申万）PE （TTM）为 21.60 倍，PB（LF）为 1.48 倍。 ❑ 行业重要动态 ❑ 核心观点与投资建议 ❑ 公用事业行业，本周重点关注个股组合：佛燃能源+东方电子+中国核电。 A.绿电运营板块。去年以来政策推动典型高耗能行业参与绿证绿电交易，绿电环 境价值有望进一步兑现；此外新能源全面入市有望带动电价下行，叠加电网发债 持续推进下绿电企业国补欠补问题有望改善。考虑到当前绿电估值已处价值洼地， 尤其是港股绿电普遍处于破净状态，后续可进一步关注新能源大基地 ...