A股逐步迎来业绩预告高峰。截至1月20日晚间，已有超过500家A股公司披露2025年业绩预告或业绩快 报。 2025年，在AI技术的强势赋能下，科技领域多个细分赛道保持高景气态势，产业链上下游大量企业凭 借技术迭代与需求释放，实现了业绩的稳健增长。而光伏、白酒、生猪养殖等细分领域受市场环境波 动、供需格局调整等因素影响，企业业绩承压。 百余家公司预计净利翻倍 从行业来看，科技赛道尤其是"硬科技"赛道企业的盈利能力较为突出。尤其是全球AI基础设施与算力需 求的持续扩张，带动了相关产品的需求提升，产业链上下游龙头企业盈利能力普遍增强。 以存储板块为例，受益于AI基础设施产生的海量数据存储与高速访问需求，存储板块正迎来"超级周 期"，相关企业业绩高速增长。 据证券时报记者统计，截至1月20日19时，共有525家A股公司披露2025年业绩预告或业绩快报，其中约 200家企业预计2025年业绩实现增长，逾百家企业预计归母净利润最高增幅将超过100%。 | | | 可 7 NO 2020年 中 内 内 可 有 下 N A R 公 F P T T C F P T C F P T C F P A F | | | | --- ...

A股逐步迎来业绩预告高峰。截至1月20日晚间，已有超过500家A股公司披露2025年业绩预告或业绩快 报。 良好的业绩推动回盛生物股价大幅攀升。自业绩预告披露后，1月12日至1月20日，回盛生物区间涨幅接 近40%。 在已披露预告的企业中，预计盈利规模最大的是矿业龙头紫金矿业（601899）。早在2025年12月30日， 紫金矿业就率先披露了2025年业绩预告，预计2025年归母净利润为510亿元至520亿元，同比增加约189 亿元至199亿元，同比增幅59%至62%。 紫金矿业在高基数上保持高速增长，主要得益于其矿产品产量上升，且价格同比上升。2025年，紫金矿 业的矿产金、矿产铜、矿产银价格同比均上升。2025年内，紫金矿业的股价累计涨幅达133%。 除紫金矿业外，洛阳钼业（603993）、药明康德（603259）、立讯精密（002475）、宝丰能源 （600989）等多家公司预计2025年归母净利润规模超百亿元，上述公司盈利规模同比均有明显增长。 2025年，在AI技术的强势赋能下，科技领域多个细分赛道保持高景气态势，产业链上下游大量企业凭 借技术迭代与需求释放，实现了业绩的稳健增长。而光伏、白酒、生猪 ...

截至1月20日，近十家光伏龙头企业陆续发布了2025年业绩预告。从已公布数据看，光伏行业遭遇财务 寒冬，全产业链陷入亏损困局。 通威股份（600438）预亏超100亿元，隆基绿能（601012）预亏超60亿元，晶澳科技（002459）、爱旭 股份（600732）、天合光能、晶科能源、钧达股份（002865）、大全能源、时创能源业陆续公布了业绩 预亏公告…… "2025年，随着136号文落地，政策驱动了需求前置，引发前5个月的抢装潮，导致光伏出货量激增，仅5 月单月新增装机就达到92.92GW，创下历史新高。在政府干预与行业自律的背景下，光伏行业在一定程 度上控制了无序发展，但仍然难掩产能过剩、行业竞争激烈以及盈利能力差的局面。" 万创投行研究院 院长段志强在接受《国际金融报》记者采访时分析称。 他表示，更严峻的局面在今年，从2026年4月1日起，光伏产品出口将不再享受增值税退税，这直接增加 了成本压力。对于行业来说，像是投放一颗重磅炸弹，预计生存博弈将更加激烈。 通威股份表示，报告期内，光伏新增装机规模总体维持同比增长，但下半年增速明显放缓，行业阶段性 供应过剩问题尚未缓解，产业链各环节开工率下行，白银等部分 ...

Economic Overview - In 2025, China's GDP reached 1401879 billion yuan, growing by 5% year-on-year, with quarterly growth rates of 5.4%, 5.2%, 4.8%, and 4.5% respectively [2] - The industrial added value increased by 5.9%, while the service sector grew by 5.4%. Retail sales totaled 501202 billion yuan, up by 3.7% [2] - Fixed asset investment decreased by 3.8%, with a notable decline in real estate investment [3] Trade and Investment - Canada has reduced the import tax on Chinese electric vehicles to 6.1%, allowing an annual quota of 49,000 vehicles, which is a significant policy shift aimed at filling market gaps [4][5] - The adjustment in tariffs is expected to enhance the competitiveness of Chinese electric vehicles in the Canadian market, which has seen a decline in sales due to high costs and tariffs [5] Real Estate Market - In December 2025, new home prices in first-tier cities fell by 0.3%, with a notable increase in Shanghai, while overall new home sales area decreased by 8.7% year-on-year [6] - The real estate market is still in a bottoming phase, with a significant reduction in new supply and ongoing inventory pressure [7] Mobile Phone Industry - Several smartphone manufacturers, including Xiaomi and OPPO, have lowered their annual shipment forecasts due to rising storage costs, with reductions exceeding 20% for some brands [8] - The impact of rising storage prices is uneven across manufacturers, with larger firms like Apple and Samsung less affected [9] Solar Industry - Nine leading solar companies, including LONGi Green Energy and Tongwei Co., have announced expected losses for 2025, with Tongwei projecting a loss of 90 to 100 billion yuan [10] - The solar industry is facing significant challenges, including high inventory levels and price competition, leading to a prolonged period of losses [11] Wealth Disparity - The global wealth of billionaires reached a record 18.3 trillion USD in 2025, with a 16% increase in total wealth, highlighting a growing wealth gap amid stagnant poverty reduction efforts [12][13] - The AI sector's growth has significantly contributed to the increase in billionaire wealth, while ordinary residents face declining purchasing power due to inflation [13] Space Tourism - A startup has announced the opening of reservations for the world's first lunar hotel, aiming to begin operations by 2032, although the feasibility of such a project remains uncertain [14][15]

转自：成都日报锦观 亏损规模其次的是TCL中环。作为光伏硅片龙头，主产业链的产品价格在低位调整且传导不足，导致预 计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净利润亏损82亿元至96亿元。对于业绩亏损的原因，公司分析表示，报 告期内，光伏新增装机量保持增长，但整体供需仍持续失衡，公司经营继续承压。 隆基绿能预计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净亏损为60亿元到65亿元。公司提到，去年四季度银浆、硅 料成本大幅上涨，显著推升了硅片、电池及组件产品成本，使得企业经营进一步承压。 银浆是太阳能电池板的关键材料，而白银价格在过去一年里已翻了逾三倍。据研究显示，这意味着太阳 能板中白银的使用成本现已占面板总成本的29%，远高于2023年的3.4%和去年的14%。 对此，部分组件制造商已将价格上调，以反映白银成本的增加。此外，行业也积极通过技术调整来化解 白银价格上涨的压力，加速用铜等更廉价材料替代白银的计划来做出应对。例如隆基绿能称，报告期内 公司已完成贱金属替代银浆技术中试完成，开始规模化产能建设。 成都日报锦观新闻记者 刘泰山 白银价格再创新高 光伏行业成本攀升 国际黄金和白银价格19日均创历史新高。伦敦现货黄金价格一度涨破每盎 ...

Group 1 - Trump's threat to impose tariffs on Denmark and other European countries has led to significant market volatility, with European stock markets declining and a surge in demand for safe-haven assets like gold and silver [2][7] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has outlined key tasks for 2026, focusing on market stability, regulatory enforcement, and promoting the development of listed companies [2][7] - Five leading solar companies, including Tongwei Co. and Longi Green Energy, have announced a combined expected loss exceeding 28.9 billion yuan due to industry challenges such as supply-demand imbalances and rising raw material costs [2][7] Group 2 - Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has announced the restart of the Dojo 3 project, with the new AI5 chip expected to have five times the computing power of the current HW4 chip, impacting the rollout of full self-driving capabilities [3][8] - Rare earth prices have been rising, with a projected supply-demand gap of 140,000 tons by 2030, driven by strong demand from the global electric vehicle sector [3][8] - Several small and medium-sized banks have raised deposit rates as part of a strategy to attract deposits amid low net interest margins, although future rates may stabilize or slightly decrease [3][9] Group 3 - Rongbai Technology is under investigation by the CSRC for misleading statements regarding a significant contract, raising concerns about its ability to fulfill orders due to production capacity issues [4][9] - The minimum margin requirement for financing purchases on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges has been increased from 80% to 100% for new contracts, aimed at controlling market leverage risks [4][9] - The 2025 Hurun Report has ranked Cambrian as the top AI company in China, valued at 630 billion yuan, with an increasing number of AI chip companies listed, reflecting a shift towards domestic computing power independence [5][10]

行业景气度是业绩胜负手 A股市场已有超过350家公司发布2025年度业绩预告，一幅清晰的产业景气度"分野图"就此展开。 业绩预告数据显示，在全球科技浪潮与商品周期驱动下，半导体、有色金属行业业绩耀眼，龙头公司普 遍实现高增长；而曾备受瞩目的光伏产业则因产能过剩、价格内卷深陷亏损，多家龙头预亏合计超300 亿元。更为引人深思的是，商业航天、AI应用等此前遭资金热捧的赛道，多数公司业绩预告亏损，凸 显概念炒作后基本面与估值的严重脱节。 综观已披露的业绩预告，A股市场正在经历一场从"预期叙事"到"报表验证"的切换，市场资金正基于业 绩真实成色进行博弈与调仓，业绩确定性已成为当前市场的核心锚点。 半导体业绩实现高增长，光伏龙头陷亏损泥潭 目前已披露的2025年业绩预告清晰地刻画了不同产业周期的分化态势。其中，受益于全球人工智能基础 设施建设浪潮及存储芯片的涨价周期，半导体产业链成为业绩增长的"优等生"。 佰维存储（688525.SH）预计2025年营收、净利均创历史新高。公司预计全年实现营业收入100亿元至 120亿元，同比增长49.36%至79.23%；实现归母净利润8.5亿元至10亿元，同比增长427.19%至 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.13% at midday, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.01%, the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.64%, and the Sci-Tech Innovation Index decreased by 0.19% [3]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.79 trillion yuan, a decrease of 198.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 3,300 stocks rising [6]. Sector Performance - The ultra-high voltage concept stocks surged, with companies like China Xidian hitting the daily limit, and several other stocks in the electric grid equipment sector also saw significant gains [5][6]. - The retail and tourism sectors experienced a rally, with Xinhua Department Store hitting the daily limit and Guangbai Co. rising over 7% [6]. - The AI application sector showed signs of recovery, with Tianqi Co. reaching the daily limit and other companies like Giant Network and Shiji Information also performing well [7]. Notable Stocks - Cambridge Technology hit the daily limit down, despite forecasting a 51%-67% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2025, as Q4 performance fell short of expectations [7]. - Yongjiang Co. reached the daily limit after announcing plans to acquire 98.54% of Yongqiang Technology [11]. - Tongwei Co. opened down over 5%, with an expected net loss of approximately 9 to 10 billion yuan for 2025 [12]. Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 158.3 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, with 86.1 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing today [12].

1月19日，A股市场震荡上行，沪指冲高回落在平盘附近震荡，同类费率最低档的光伏龙头ETF（516290）爆量涨1.37%，成交额超3000万元，冲 击日线四连阳！ 光伏龙头ETF（516290）标的指数成分股涨跌不一，特变电工涨超7%，迈为股份、正泰电气涨超5%，TCL科技等涨超2%，隆基绿能、捷佳伟创 等回调。 | 【光伏龙头ETF（516290）标的指数前十大成分股】 | | --- | | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万一级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 估自权重 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 600089 | 特变电工 | 电力设备 | 7.07% | 11.13% | | 2 | 601012 | 陸其绿能 | 电力设备 | -2.24% | 8.94% | | 3 | 000100 | TCL科技 | 电子 | 2.90% | 7.98% | | 4 | 300274 | 阳光电源 | 电力设备 | 1.40% | 7.77% | | 5 | 600438 | 通威胎份 | 电力设备 | -3.95% | 4.25% | | 6 | 3007 ...

1月18日晚间，两大光伏龙头通威股份（600438.SH）、隆基绿能（601012.SH）披露2025年年度业绩预 告。两家企业预计2025年全年经营将录得净亏损，其中通威股份成目前已披露业绩预告的光伏企业中 的"亏损王"，预亏90亿元至100亿元；隆基绿能预亏60亿元到65亿元。两家企业合计预亏最高165亿元。 或受业绩利空影响，1月19日开盘，光伏指数下跌，业绩领亏的通威股份股价下跌超5%，隆基绿能股价 下跌超1%。 行业供需错配下的价格下跌是企业亏损的共因。记者注意到，光伏组件价格受困于行业内卷式竞争以及 终端需求不足，长期处于低位，2025年年中的市场成交价在0.6元/瓦上下。 关于业绩预亏的原因，隆基绿能表示，2025年，光伏行业供需错配、低价内卷式竞争持续，开工率维持 低位，同时国内电力市场化改革不断深入，海外贸易壁垒持续加剧，光伏企业经营环境严峻复杂。 2026.01.19 本文字数：1441，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 |第一财经 陆如意 隆基绿能还表示，四季度银浆、硅料成本大幅上涨，显著推升了硅片、电池及组件产品成本，使得企业 经营进一步承压。受制于产品价格持续低迷和成本压力，2025年度公司 ...