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光伏龙头,独家回应!
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the response of companies in the photovoltaic industry to market rumors and their commitment to support the "anti-involution" initiative, which aims to restore fair competition in the market [2][3] - JinkoSolar expressed confidence in the implementation of related policies and the establishment of a storage platform to promote healthy industry development, acknowledging the need for collaboration to overcome challenges [2] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association emphasized the importance of industry self-discipline and warned against malicious rumors that aim to undermine the industry [3] Group 2 - Since July, the photovoltaic industry has been undergoing an "anti-involution" phase, leading to an increase in silicon material prices, with a significant price rise observed from July to September 2025 [3] - The average price of N-type recycled silicon material increased from 34,700 yuan per ton on July 2 to 53,200 yuan per ton on September 24, marking a price increase of approximately 53% [3] - On the cost side, the production costs of silicon materials have shown a stable downward trend, with unit losses significantly narrowing due to price increases driven by the "anti-involution" initiative [4]
光伏“反内卷”遇到了“鬼故事”
虎嗅APP· 2025-11-12 13:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent turmoil in the photovoltaic (PV) industry due to rumors about the failure of anti-involution policies, which led to significant stock declines. However, the industry association's clarification has stabilized the market, highlighting the determination to combat unhealthy competition and restore value in the sector [3][4][17]. Group 1: Industry Context - The term "involution" has become synonymous with the PV industry in 2023, characterized by homogenized expansion, price wars, and inefficient competition amid slowing installation demand [7]. - The capital market's reaction is evident, with the PV ETF experiencing a dramatic decline of 68.39%, reflecting the industry's struggles and the negative sentiment surrounding it [8]. - The anti-involution initiative began planning in May 2024, officially launching in October 2024, with policies aimed at curbing unhealthy competition and restoring market balance [9][10]. Group 2: Policy Measures - Current policies focus on "price protection" and "volume control," aiming to eliminate below-cost sales and facilitate the exit of outdated production capacities [10]. - Initial results of the price protection measures show significant price increases in key materials: silicon materials up 33.33%, silicon wafers up 17.39%, batteries up 8.92%, and modules up 2.45% [11]. - The silicon material segment is crucial for reversing the industry's overcapacity, as it has the least production elasticity and is capital-intensive, making it difficult to restart production once halted [12][13]. Group 3: Market Recovery - The anti-involution actions have led to expectations of rapid capacity reduction in the silicon material sector, which is essential for improving the overall PV industry landscape [17]. - The establishment of a joint storage platform for silicon material by multiple companies is anticipated to facilitate the exit of smaller players and further stabilize the market [16]. Group 4: Asset Revaluation - The article posits that the anti-involution policies will drive a revaluation of PV assets, transitioning the industry from scale expansion to quality competition [20]. - Companies like Tongwei, TCL Zhonghuan, and Longi Green Energy are showing signs of recovery, with some reporting improved quarterly performance despite still being in the red [22]. - The focus on technological advancements, such as perovskite solar cells, is seen as a pathway for companies to differentiate themselves and enhance their market value [24][25].
光伏“反内卷”遇到了“鬼故事”
Hu Xiu· 2025-11-12 12:49
Core Viewpoint - The recent rumors regarding the failure of the "anti-involution" policy in the photovoltaic industry led to significant stock declines, but subsequent clarifications from industry associations helped stabilize the market, indicating a strong commitment to reversing negative competition in the sector [1][5][18]. Group 1: Market Reaction - Following the spread of rumors, the photovoltaic sector experienced a sharp decline, with companies like Jingao Technology and Tongwei Co. seeing drops of 6.84% and 6.06% respectively [5]. - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association issued a statement to refute the rumors, emphasizing the importance of maintaining industry integrity and combating malicious market manipulation [1][5]. Group 2: Anti-Involution Policy - The term "involution" has become synonymous with the photovoltaic industry since 2023, characterized by homogenized expansion and price wars amid slowing installation demand [7]. - The core of the current policy focuses on "price protection" and "volume control," aiming to eliminate below-cost sales and facilitate the exit of outdated production capacities to restore market balance [9][10]. Group 3: Price Recovery - Initial results from the price protection measures show positive trends, with significant price increases in key materials: silicon materials up 33.33%, silicon wafers up 17.39%, and battery cells up 8.92% [10]. - The recovery of prices is expected to improve profitability for companies, laying a solid foundation for valuation increases [20]. Group 4: Capacity Control - The silicon material segment is crucial for addressing overcapacity issues, as it has the least production flexibility and is capital-intensive [11][12]. - Companies are beginning to implement production and sales controls, with expectations to limit annual output to 1.4 million tons, aligning with earlier targets [14]. Group 5: Asset Revaluation - The anti-involution policies are transitioning from expectation to substantial implementation, driving the revaluation of assets in the photovoltaic sector [18][19]. - Companies like Tongwei Co., GCL-Poly Energy, and Daqo New Energy are expected to attract market attention as they benefit from reduced silicon material production and subsequent price increases [22]. Group 6: Technological Advancements - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated efforts to accelerate the development of advanced photovoltaic technologies, such as perovskite solar cells, which have the potential for higher efficiency compared to traditional silicon cells [23]. - Recent announcements from companies like GCL-Poly regarding the commercialization of perovskite technology indicate a shift towards innovative production methods, which could lead to significant market opportunities [24].
中国光伏协会发布声明!
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-12 11:52
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Photovoltaic Industry Association has issued a statement addressing false information circulating online, emphasizing its commitment to industry self-discipline and combating negative narratives about the photovoltaic sector [1] Market Performance - On November 12, the photovoltaic sector experienced a decline, with notable drops in stock prices: - Canadian Solar (阿特斯) fell over 17% - Photovoltaic ETF dropped over 4% - Longi Green Energy (隆基绿能) decreased over 7% - Tongwei Co. (通威股份) and JA Solar (晶澳科技) both fell over 6% [3] Stock Performance - The photovoltaic equipment index was reported at 8277.90, down 3.51% - Specific stock performances included: - Canadian Solar: 20.56, down 14.33% over five days - Aiko Solar (艾罗能源): 68.65, down 10.16% over five days - Yuhuan Energy (亿晶光电): 4.72, down 7.81% over five days - Longi Green Energy: 38.75, down 7.23% over five days - JA Solar: 14.03, down 6.84% over five days [4]
小作文传谣,光伏板块突然大跌!官方紧急辟谣
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-12 10:40
Group 1 - The China Photovoltaic Association issued a statement refuting rumors circulating online, emphasizing that the association and industry players are working steadily to maintain national and industry interests [1] - The association condemned malicious actions aimed at defaming the photovoltaic industry and stated their commitment to combat such behaviors [1] Group 2 - JinkoSolar's staff responded to media inquiries, clarifying that no executives claimed "the storage platform is failing," labeling the rumor as false [3] - The staff noted that JinkoSolar is not a participant in the storage platform and lacks detailed information on its implementation [3] - The photovoltaic sector experienced a significant decline, with leading companies like Longi Green Energy dropping over 7% and Canadian Solar falling over 14% [3]
硅料“收储”黄了?中国光伏行业协会紧急辟谣|快讯
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-11-12 10:32
Core Viewpoint - Recent rumors regarding the failure of the silicon material storage platform have caused significant turmoil in the photovoltaic industry, leading to a sharp decline in the stock prices of various solar companies [3][4]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On November 12, stock prices of major photovoltaic companies dropped significantly, with notable declines including: - Aiko Technology down 14.33% - Tongwei Co. down 6.06% - Longi Green Energy down 7.35% - JA Solar down 6.84% - Daqo New Energy down 8.76% [3]. Group 2: Industry Response - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association issued a statement on November 12, refuting the rumors and emphasizing that the industry is working steadily towards its goals, urging caution against misinformation [4]. - JA Solar representatives expressed confidence in the photovoltaic industry's policies against "internal competition" and support for the establishment of the storage platform, while acknowledging the need for collaboration to overcome challenges [4].
“小作文”致光伏股跳水 行业协会发声辟谣称“不走出内卷誓不罢休”
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 10:15
新华财经上海11月12日电(记者 郭慕清)11月12日,一则关于"光伏收储平台已黄"的"小作文"在资本市 场迅速发酵。消息称:晶澳科技董秘在北京建投策略会上透露,"平台黄了"。 记者了解到,这场风波的焦点是"收储平台",这一消息源于市场自2025年5月以来的盛传。网传消息 称,所谓"光伏收储计划联盟",是由国内数十家头部光伏企业共同讨论的"承债收购"方案,主要由多晶 硅龙头牵头,意在通过市场化手段加速行业出清。 根据流传方案,联盟计划组建统一的平台公司,以"承债收购+永久关停"的方式,对约100万吨的落后多 晶硅产能进行收购与退出,将全行业产能控制在220至250万吨区间,以此维持60%至70%的合理开工 率。该计划被视为在行业深度低谷期中的一次"自救式整合",一旦落地,或将重塑上游供需格局。因 此,市场对相关进展极为敏感。 业内人士表示,从目前多方表态看,"平台黄了"的传闻纯属无稽之谈。无论是企业层面还是行业协会, 都强调"相关工作正在稳步推进",并呼吁市场理性看待,不被"小作文"牵着走。 晶澳科技随后回应媒体称:"公司始终坚定看好并充分相信,光伏行业反'内卷'的相关政策必将落地实 施,并将积极支持和配合各 ...
通威股份(600438):季报点评:季度亏损大幅收窄,关注行业反内卷进程
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-11-12 09:08
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [11][13]. Core Views - The company's quarterly losses have significantly narrowed, indicating signs of performance bottoming out. In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was -3.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year reduction of 62.69% and a quarter-on-quarter reduction of 86.67% [11]. - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a de-involution process, leading to inventory reduction and capacity elimination, which is expected to gradually improve the oversupply situation in the polysilicon market [11]. - The company is enhancing its technological research and development, achieving breakthroughs in perovskite-silicon tandem cell technology, which is crucial for long-term competitiveness [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 240.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1.57%. For the first three quarters, revenue was 646.00 billion yuan, down 5.38% year-on-year, with a net profit of -52.70 billion yuan, an increase in losses of 32.64% year-on-year [7][11]. - The gross margin and net margin for the company were 7.23% and -1.12%, respectively, showing improvements of 5.3 and 11.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [11]. Industry Outlook - The polysilicon industry is experiencing a significant reduction in production, with a cumulative output of approximately 956,000 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 35.1%. Consumption during the same period was about 964,000 tons, down 20.1% year-on-year [11]. - The report highlights that the company's polysilicon business has become profitable due to a rebound in polysilicon prices and reduced electricity costs during the wet season [11]. Technological Advancements - The company has established a global innovation R&D center focusing on TOPCon, HJT, BC, and perovskite/silicon tandem cell technologies. It has automated production processes and completed technical validations for various stages [11]. - The efficiency of the small-sized tandem cells developed by the company has reached 34.78%, with the full-area conversion efficiency of the 210-sized half-cell perovskite-silicon tandem cells exceeding 28.39% [11]. Future Projections - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be -49.83 billion yuan, 31.96 billion yuan, and 69.37 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding fully diluted EPS of -1.11 yuan, 0.71 yuan, and 1.54 yuan [11][13].
BC电池概念下跌2.84%,主力资金净流出35股
Group 1 - The BC battery concept sector experienced a decline of 2.84%, ranking among the top losers in the concept sector, with notable declines from companies like Longi Green Energy and Aters, while a few companies like GCL-Poly, JinkoSolar, and Zhonglai Co. saw increases of 5.74%, 5.53%, and 4.36% respectively [1][2] - The BC battery concept sector faced a net outflow of 5.205 billion yuan, with 35 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 11 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 100 million yuan, led by Longi Green Energy with a net outflow of 1.887 billion yuan [2][3] - The top gainers in terms of net inflow included JinkoSolar, Dongcai Technology, and Dier Laser, with net inflows of 319 million yuan, 4.405 million yuan, and 3.189 million yuan respectively [2][3] Group 2 - The concept sectors with the highest gains included cell immunotherapy at 2.20%, while the BC battery sector was among the largest decliners at -2.84% [2] - Longi Green Energy had a significant drop of 7.35% in stock price, with a turnover rate of 6.89% and a net outflow of 1.887 billion yuan [2][3] - Other companies with notable declines included Tongwei Co. at -6.06%, GCL-Poly at +5.74%, and Trina Solar at -6.43% [2][3]
传闻引发光伏板块重挫,行业协会紧急辟谣,秘书长放话不走出恶性竞争誓不罢休
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-12 08:39
Core Viewpoint - A recent rumor regarding the photovoltaic industry led to a significant decline in the sector, prompting the China Photovoltaic Industry Association to issue a denial and emphasize the need to avoid unhealthy competition [1][4][5] Market Reaction - On November 12, the A-share photovoltaic sector experienced a sharp decline, with the Photovoltaic 50 ETF dropping over 50% at one point and closing down 3.85% [1] - Individual stocks such as Aters saw a drop of over 17% during trading, ultimately closing down 14.3%, while leading companies like Longi Green Energy, Tongwei Co., and JA Solar also faced substantial losses [1][3] Rumor Details - The market downturn was triggered by rumors suggesting that a planned industry consolidation was "off," which quickly spread and affected investor sentiment [1][3] Association's Response - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association publicly refuted the rumors, stating that the circulating information was false and reaffirming their commitment to industry stability [4][5] - Liu Yiyang, the association's executive secretary, emphasized the importance of industry self-regulation and the need to combat unhealthy competition, urging stakeholders to remain vigilant against misinformation [8]