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多晶硅价格降幅近两成 行业进入洗牌阶段
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 05:47
在经历了一周的短暂暂停后,中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会恢复更新了周度硅料报价。 通威股份董事会秘书严轲提到,伴随硅料价格逐步下探触及行业部分产能成本线,部分相对落后产能将 逐步出清,部分新项目的投建与运行也存在较大不确定性,考虑到多晶硅环节具有高投入、高风险的化 工属性,长期来看将保持较为合理的价格与毛利率。同时,在短期供应相对过剩和N型产品占比提升的 背景下,不同产能产品品质的差异也将带来价格分化。 特变电工总经理黄汉杰表示,当前多晶硅新产能处于全面爬坡过程中,当下公司主要采取的措施是全面 落实安全生产,确保产出稳定、质量全面提升,更高比例的生产N型硅料,满足下游需求的结构性变 化,不断改进工艺,实施精细化成本管理,进一步降低成本。 数据显示,本周N型料成交均价为7.52万元/吨,较两周前市场价格下降19.23%。单晶致密料成交均价为 6.79万元/吨,较两周前市场价格下降15.23%。 硅业分会指出,本周成交量基本来源于一线大厂,大厂和小厂的成交价差逐步拉大。同时,N-P价差开 始收窄,N型成交量高于P型成交量,N型降价幅度略高于P型。 价格变动原因主要有两点,一是当前下游硅片企业减产超50%,对多晶硅需 ...
多家光伏巨头密集发声:产能过剩或短期内再平衡
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 05:47
在接受记者采访时,刘汉元进一步补充说,行业参与者应当多增加"我对你的环节的支持,你对我的环 节的支持",相互有所差异、有所侧重,然后相互成全、彼此兼顾,这实际上才是最好的生态。"不要搞 简单的重复、简单的内卷,否则会让行业生态很难维持。行业同仁逐渐会有这种共识,哪怕有时卷了, 哪怕有时过度竞争了,理性还是会重新回归。" 证券时报记者获悉,大会期间,各地政府和光伏龙头企业抢抓招商契机,成都、乐山、眉山等地的重大 合作项目先后签约落地,签约总金额累计已超过500亿元。四川省及相关地市负责人均表态将大力推动 光伏产业发展,加快打造成乐眉光伏产业经济走廊。 推动能源转型应摒弃成见 "当前,中国光伏行业确实存在一定阶段性和结构性过剩风险,但总体属于行业发展正常范围。"11月15 日,工信部对光伏行业现状的这一表态受到各方关注,而在11月13日启幕的2023第六届中国国际光伏产 业大会上,如何实现行业良性发展同样是业内热议的话题。 本次大会期间,通威集团董事局主席刘汉元在接受证券时报等媒体采访时被问及如何看待当下光伏行业 产能过剩问题,刘汉元回应称,光伏行业的发展才刚刚开始,未来需要比今天大得多的产业规模才能够 支撑能源 ...
包头市举行晶硅光伏产业政商恳谈会:企地合力推动晶硅光伏产业高质量发展
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-11 16:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the collaboration between government and enterprises in Baotou to promote the high-quality development of the crystalline silicon photovoltaic industry [1] - The meeting included discussions among leaders from various crystalline silicon photovoltaic companies, indicating a strong confidence in the industry's future and development in Baotou [1] - Companies such as Meike Co., Daqo New Energy, Tongwei High Purity Silicon, and others participated in the dialogue, providing feedback and suggestions regarding their development and industry trends [1]
钙钛矿电池概念涨2.78%,主力资金净流入这些股
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-11 08:50
截至8月11日收盘,钙钛矿电池概念上涨2.78%,位居概念板块涨幅第10,板块内,52股上涨,大族激 光、上海港湾等涨停,帝尔激光、杰普特、聚赛龙等涨幅居前,分别上涨10.54%、9.02%、8.93%。跌 幅居前的有中创环保、大胜达、中利集团等,分别下跌1.25%、0.63%、0.30%。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅(%) | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | PEEK材料 | 5.99 | 中船系 | -1.24 | | MicroLED概念 | 3.32 | 黄金概念 | -0.28 | | 天津自贸区 | 3.27 | 金属铅 | -0.27 | | AI PC | 3.11 | 金属锌 | -0.23 | | MiniLED | 3.11 | 可燃冰 | -0.10 | | 同花顺果指数 | 3.09 | 高股息精选 | 0.02 | | 共封装光学(CPO) | 2.91 | 同花顺中特估100 | 0.07 | | 兵装重组概念 | 2.90 | 大豆 | 0.11 | | PCB概念 | 2.85 | ST板块 | ...
“反内卷”政策推动下新能源板块景气度或迎反转,新能源ETF(159875)半日收涨2.09%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 04:25
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the new energy sector, with the CSI New Energy Index rising by 2.20% and significant gains in key stocks such as Di'er Laser and Xinzhou Bang [1] - The New Energy ETF (159875) recorded a half-day increase of 2.09%, with a turnover rate of 4% and a transaction volume of 36.22 million yuan [1] - The New Energy ETF has shown impressive returns since its inception, with a highest single-month return of 25.07% and an average monthly return of 7.60% over the months it has risen [1] Group 2 - In the wind power sector, Guojin Securities emphasizes a bullish outlook, particularly on the turbine manufacturing segment, as domestic offshore wind projects are set to accelerate [3] - The recent meeting by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology regarding photovoltaic glass pricing indicates a positive trend, with new pricing set at 11 yuan per square meter, signaling a potential growth cycle for photovoltaic glass prices [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI New Energy Index account for 43.41% of the index, with leading companies including CATL, Sungrow, and Longi Green Energy [4]
中国- 脉冲式结构改革还是温和通胀-China Sustainability_ Pulse_ structural reform or soft reflation_
2025-08-11 02:58
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **Chinese solar and chemicals sectors** in the context of the **anti-involution campaign** initiated by Chinese regulators aimed at addressing excessive price competition and overcapacity in these industries [1][8]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Economic Policy Shift**: Chinese regulators are moving from tolerating capacity races to enforcing quality-led discipline, emphasizing "rational capacity planning" and discouraging investment in unutilized solar-grade polysilicon manufacturing [1][2]. 2. **Behavioral Reflation**: The anti-involution campaign aims to restore pricing discipline, boost private sector confidence, and limit local government investments in overcapacity zones. However, without sustained demand growth, pricing power gains may be temporary, particularly in export-heavy sectors like solar modules and EVs [2][5]. 3. **Solar Sector Dynamics**: The solar sector is currently facing price wars and overcapacity. Policymakers are advocating for consolidation and margin repair, favoring integrated leaders with cost and technology advantages. Top picks include GCL Technology, Tongwei, and LONGi [3][8]. 4. **Chemicals Sector Challenges**: The chemicals sector is experiencing deflation due to overcapacity, with recent policies targeting higher-value applications and greener production. Companies like Hualu-Hengsheng and Hengli Petrochemical are preferred due to their potential benefits from the anti-involution measures [4][8]. 5. **Long-term Outlook**: The effectiveness of addressing overcapacity for long-term pricing power will depend on downstream demand recovery, which cannot be solely engineered through domestic policy [5][8]. Additional Important Points - **Investment Recommendations**: The report highlights specific companies as investment opportunities based on their market positions and potential for recovery, including: - **GCL Technology (3800.HK)**: Granular silicon leadership - **Tongwei (600438.SH)**: Vertical integration - **LONGi (601012.SH)**: Strong balance sheet [3][25]. - **Risks Identified**: Potential risks for these companies include slowing global demand for solar energy, intense price competition, and slower-than-expected technological advancements [11][12][13]. - **Market Monitoring**: Investors are advised to monitor sector-specific policy moves, CPI/PPI momentum in Q3-Q4, and external demand signals for export growth [5][8]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and recommendations from the conference call, focusing on the implications for the solar and chemicals sectors in China.
从自身攻坚到全链推进 光伏产业减碳加速破局
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-10 21:05
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese photovoltaic industry is transitioning towards a model that balances "green manufacturing" and "manufacturing green" as it faces challenges in carbon emissions and resource consumption while expanding capacity [1][2]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with a cumulative installed capacity of over 1 billion kilowatts as of May 2023, surpassing thermal power for the first time [1]. - The industry is under pressure to enhance its green and low-carbon transformation, with 95% of surveyed companies setting climate goals and 87% disclosing carbon emissions data [1][2]. Carbon Emissions - The total carbon emissions from the 44 companies that disclosed their operational data reached 105 million tons of CO2 equivalent for 2024, with a notable increase from 45.23 million tons in 2022 to 70.57 million tons in 2024, marking a 46.6% rise from 2022 to 2023 and a 5.7% increase from 2023 to 2024 [2]. - The primary drivers of rising carbon emissions are production expansion and potential increases in energy consumption due to technological upgrades [2]. Policy and Regulation - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is set to release guidelines to promote high-quality development in the photovoltaic sector, focusing on resource utilization, energy management, and ESG disclosures [2]. - Regulatory guidance from stock exchanges emphasizes the need for companies to disclose 21 ESG-related topics, including emissions and biodiversity [2]. Product Carbon Footprint - The carbon footprint of photovoltaic products is becoming a critical factor in market competitiveness, with strict requirements in regions like France and South Korea [3]. - 25 companies have disclosed carbon footprint data for over 80 products, while 11 others are working on carbon footprint assessments without disclosing quantitative data [3]. Supply Chain Emissions - Scope 3 emissions from the supply chain account for over 90% of total greenhouse gas emissions for companies focused on photovoltaic components, and over 50% for those producing silicon materials [4]. - 20 companies have disclosed their Scope 3 emissions, with several integrating supplier emissions into their management practices [4][5]. Renewable Energy Utilization - 40 companies reported using renewable energy, totaling 57.1 million megawatt-hours in 2024, resulting in a reduction of over 32.55 million tons of CO2 equivalent [5]. - Companies like Sungrow Power Supply and Tongwei Co. have reported that renewable energy constitutes over 60% of their total energy consumption [5]. Water Resource Management - 80% of companies involved in the production of polysilicon, silicon wafers, and solar cells have disclosed water resource consumption data, with some taking targeted actions based on water resource assessments [6]. - The industry faces challenges in recycling retired photovoltaic components, with predictions of significant volumes of waste starting in 2025 [6][7]. Recycling Challenges - 16 out of 31 companies involved in component production have disclosed efforts in waste component recycling, but the lack of a mandatory recycling mechanism and high costs of recycling technologies pose significant challenges [7]. - The industry is encouraged to adopt a circular economy approach, integrating production, usage, and recycling processes [7].
电力设备新能源2025年8月投资策略:互联网巨头上修AI资本开支,反内卷政策推进下光伏、风机价格提高
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-09 13:58
Group 1: AIDC Power Equipment Industry - The AIDC power equipment industry is expected to benefit from increased AI capital expenditure by global internet giants, with Google raising its 2025 capital expenditure from $75 billion to $85 billion, and Meta adjusting its range from $64-72 billion to $66-72 billion [1][28] - The release of OpenAI's GPT-5 model is anticipated to drive advancements in AI large models, further supporting the AIDC power equipment sector [29] - Key companies to focus on in the AIDC power equipment chain include Jinpan Technology, New Special Electric, Igor, and others [1][30] Group 2: Photovoltaic Industry - The "anti-involution" policy is leading to a recovery in photovoltaic product prices, with significant rebounds in prices for polysilicon, silicon wafers, and battery cells [2][84] - The photovoltaic industry is expected to enter a stable development phase by 2027, with a focus on capacity integration and clearing, particularly in the silicon material segment [2] - Key companies in the photovoltaic sector include GCL-Poly Energy, New Special Energy, Tongwei Co., and TBEA [2][84] Group 3: Wind Power Industry - Wind turbine prices are recovering, which is likely to lead to sustained profitability across the industry chain, with all model bidding prices in the first half of the year exceeding the lowest cost prices of 2024 [2][55] - The wind power industry is projected to achieve record installations in 2025, with stable main machine prices and a rebound in profitability driven by technological cost reductions [55] - Recommended companies in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Dongfang Cable, and Daikin Heavy Industries [2][55] Group 4: Solid-State Battery Industry - The solid-state battery industry is making progress, with several companies announcing advancements in production and testing phases, including Qianyan and Honeycomb Energy [3][69] - Major automotive manufacturers like SAIC and Mercedes-Benz are planning to launch solid-state battery models by 2030, indicating a growing market for this technology [3][69] - Key players in the solid-state battery supply chain include Xiamen Tungsten, Tiannai Technology, and others [3][70] Group 5: Power Battery and Charging Pile Industry - The domestic electric vehicle market is expected to show slight improvement in August, with battery production anticipated to increase as companies prepare for peak season deliveries [68] - The production of positive electrode materials is expected to recover, driven by sustained demand for lithium iron phosphate from overseas battery manufacturers [68] - Key companies in the power battery sector include CATL, EVE Energy, and others [70]
光伏专利大战:TOP10企业专利护城河深度解析
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-08-09 10:02
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing patent wars in the photovoltaic (PV) industry, emphasizing the shift from an incremental growth phase to a competitive landscape where companies are focusing on retaining advanced production capacity and eliminating outdated capacity. Patents are seen as a crucial tool in this "anti-involution" strategy [1]. Group 1: Patent Litigation Overview - The patent litigation between JinkoSolar and LONGi Green Energy is highlighted as a significant ongoing conflict in the PV sector, with a need to assess the patent situations of the top 10 companies in terms of module shipments [3]. - Since 2019, the patent wars in the PV industry have been continuous, with only two companies, GCL-Poly and Hengdian East Magnetic, not involved in any patent litigation [3]. - Tongwei Co., while rapidly rising in the top 10, has had minimal patent litigation exposure, primarily due to its dual leadership in silicon materials and cells [3]. Group 2: Patent Application Statistics - Trina Solar leads in patent applications with 7,219 patents, followed by JinkoSolar and LONGi Green Energy in second and third places, respectively [7]. - Canadian Solar, despite facing multiple patent infringement lawsuits, has a substantial patent application count of 4,669, placing it among the top tier of PV companies [7]. - GCL-Poly has a relatively low patent application count, while Hengdian East Magnetic has over 3,700 patents, but only 681 are related to PV technology, making it the lowest among the top 10 [7]. Group 3: Patent Validity and Status - LONGi Green Energy holds the highest number of valid patents at 3,900, while Trina Solar has 3,448 valid patents, and JinkoSolar has 2,449 [10]. - The analysis shows that Yida New Energy has the lowest percentage of expired patents at 3%, while GCL-Poly and Canadian Solar have high expiration rates of 40% and 32%, respectively [10]. - The proportion of pending patents indicates that Trina Solar has over 33% pending, while Hengdian East Magnetic and JinkoSolar have around 30% [10]. Group 4: Patent Types and Quality - JinkoSolar and Trina Solar have the highest number of invention patents, with JinkoSolar's invention patents making up 70% of its total applications [12]. - GCL-Poly's patent applications are primarily domestic, with minimal international presence, indicating a focus on the domestic market [17]. - GCL-Poly has a total of 1,138 patent applications, with 519 being valid, but a significant number of low-value patents have been abandoned or rejected [19]. Group 5: Legal Events and Patent Management - GCL-Poly has engaged in various legal events related to its patents, including transfers and acquisitions, indicating active management of its patent portfolio [25]. - Hengdian East Magnetic has also seen significant patent pledges, with over 75 patents pledged for financing, reflecting a strategic approach to leveraging its patent assets [38]. - The company has a relatively high number of invention patents, with 445 out of 681 total patents, indicating a focus on high-quality innovations [35]. Group 6: Strategic Insights and Recommendations - Both GCL-Poly and Hengdian East Magnetic have lower overall patent strengths compared to leading companies like JinkoSolar and LONGi Green Energy, which may impact their competitive positioning [42]. - GCL-Poly's strategy of acquiring external patents could enhance its litigation capabilities, while Hengdian East Magnetic's effective maintenance of patent validity is crucial for future legal defenses [42]. - The article suggests that PV companies should enhance innovation and proactively manage patent risks to minimize litigation exposure [45].
前五名厂商上半年电池片出货87.8GW TOPCon占比近九成
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-08 13:39
Core Insights - The global total shipment volume of the top five battery manufacturers is projected to reach approximately 87.8 GW in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 12.5% [1] - The top five manufacturers are Tongwei Co., Ltd., Zhongrun Guoneng, Yingfa Ruineng, Jietai Technology, and Aiko Solar, with only Yingfa Ruineng and Jietai Technology swapping positions compared to 2024 [1] - The market is witnessing a significant shift towards TOPCon technology, which accounted for 88.3% of shipments, while PERC and BC technologies had shares of approximately 11.2% and less than 1%, respectively [2] Company-Specific Developments - Zhongrun Guoneng continues to ship PERC battery cells from its Chinese production base while advancing technology upgrades and product iterations [1] - Yingfa Ruineng's N-type battery cell shipments ranked second globally, and the company began shipping BC battery cells in Q2 2025, becoming the first specialized battery manufacturer to export BC cells [1] - Aiko Solar primarily uses BC batteries for its own module products, with PERC still being the main product line, accounting for 70% of its shipments [1] Market Trends and Pricing Dynamics - The shipment of 210RN size TOPCon cells reached approximately 31.4% in the first half of 2025, a significant increase from about 8% in the same period last year, indicating rapid market acceptance [2] - The battery cell market experienced a price surge in March due to a domestic installation rush, with TOPCon prices briefly exceeding 0.3 yuan/W, but prices fell to historical lows of 0.23 to 0.24 yuan/W by early July [2] - The introduction of "anti-involution" measures is expected to provide positive signals for the industry, potentially alleviating the oversupply situation and guiding the market towards healthier operating levels [3] Future Outlook - While the policy effects and market recovery are anticipated to take time, the long-term outlook suggests that these measures could help battery manufacturers mitigate losses and improve operational structures [3] - The industry is at a transformative juncture, where companies that can effectively respond to challenges and enhance brand competitiveness will be better positioned to seize new growth opportunities [3]