摩根士丹利发表研报指，山东黄金预计2025年度净利润介乎46亿至49亿元，按年增长56%至66%，逊于 市场预测的约60亿元。大摩提到，预测数据意味着公司上季净利润介乎6.44亿至9.44亿元，虽然期内金 价上升，但净利润仍低于第三季的11.5亿元。该行认为，净利润下滑可能是受到多个因素受拖累，包括 公允价值变动亏损、黄金期货交易的投资亏损等。该行予山东黄金目标价45.7港元，评级"增持"。 ...

摩根士丹利发布研报称，山东黄金（600547）(01787)预计2025年度净利润介乎46亿至49亿元人民币， 同比增长56%至66%，逊于市场预测的约60亿元人民币。该行予山东黄金目标价45.7港元，评级为"增 持"。 大摩提到，预测数据意味着公司上季净利润介乎6.44亿至9.44亿元人民币，虽然期内金价上升，但净利 润仍低于第三季的11.5亿元人民币。该行认为，净利润下滑可能是受到多个因素受拖累，包括公允价值 变动亏损、黄金期货交易的投资亏损等。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shandong Gold's stock price has dropped over 12% amid declining spot gold prices and a disappointing profit forecast for 2025, which is below market expectations [1] Company Summary - Shandong Gold's stock price fell by 11.48%, trading at 39.18 HKD with a transaction volume of 1.505 billion HKD [1] - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.6 billion to 4.9 billion RMB for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 66% [1] - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Shandong Gold's profit forecast is below the market's expectation of approximately 6 billion RMB [1] Industry Summary - Spot gold prices have continued to decline, breaking below 4,550 USD per ounce for the first time since January 16, with a drop of over 330 USD from the daily high [1] - Despite an increase in gold prices during the last quarter, Shandong Gold's net profit is expected to be between 644 million to 944 million RMB, which is lower than the previous quarter's net profit of 1.15 billion RMB [1] - The decline in net profit may be attributed to several factors, including fair value changes and losses from gold futures trading [1]

大摩提到，预测数据意味着公司上季净利润介乎6.44亿至9.44亿元人民币，虽然期内金价上升，但净利 润仍低于第三季的11.5亿元人民币。该行认为，净利润下滑可能是受到多个因素受拖累，包括公允价值 变动亏损、黄金期货交易的投资亏损等。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，山东黄金(01787)预计2025年度净利润介乎46亿至49亿元人 民币，同比增长56%至66%，逊于市场预测的约60亿元人民币。该行予山东黄金目标价45.7港元，评级 为"增持"。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" [1] Core Views - Gold prices experienced extreme volatility, with a significant rise followed by a sharp decline due to market sentiment and external factors, but the nomination of Waller is not seen as a turning point for the market [2][12] - Copper prices are expected to stabilize after recent fluctuations, supported by strong fundamentals and low inventory levels, suggesting a buy-and-hold strategy for copper mining stocks [3][13] - Lithium prices have been declining, but demand is expected to increase due to new policies and seasonal factors, indicating potential for future price support [4][14] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Research Insights - Gold: After a rapid increase, gold prices faced a sharp drop, but the overall upward trend remains intact for long-term investors [2][12] - Copper: The extreme market sentiment has subsided, and the fundamentals for copper remain strong, suggesting a hold on copper mining stocks [3][13] - Lithium: Inventory levels are decreasing, and new demand drivers are emerging, indicating a potential rebound in prices [4][14] 2. Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 3.70%, outperforming the market by 4.14%, ranking 4th among 30 sub-industries [16] - Top performers in the non-ferrous metals sector included gold, copper, and lead-zinc, with individual stocks like Hunan Gold showing significant gains [16][22] 3. Metal Prices and Inventory - New energy metals: Cobalt prices increased, while lithium prices decreased significantly [23][24] - Base metals: Domestic prices for copper, aluminum, and zinc rose, while lead prices slightly declined [33][35] - Precious metals: Gold and silver prices fell sharply, with gold down 4.7% and silver down 22.5% [47][48]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，山东黄金(01787.HK)午后一度跌超12%，截至发稿跌11.48%，报39.18港元，成交额15.05 亿港元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，山东黄金(01787)午后跌超12%，截至发稿，跌11.48%，报39.18港元，成交额15.05 亿港元。 摩根士丹利发布研报称，山东黄金的盈利预告逊于市场预测的约60亿元人民币。大摩提到，预测数据意 味著公司上季净利润介乎6.44亿至9.44亿元人民币，虽然期内金价上升，但净利润仍低于第三季的11.5 亿元人民币。净利润下滑可能是受到多个因素受拖累，包括公允价值变动亏损、黄金期货交易的投资亏 损等。 消息面上，现货黄金延续上一交易日跌势，日内跌破4550美元/盎司，为1月16日以来首次，较日高回落 超330美元。此外，山东黄金发布业绩预告，预计2025年度归母净利润46亿元至49亿元，同比增加56% 到66%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic precious metals market experienced a historic shock on February 2, 2026, with significant declines in futures and stocks, prompting the Shanghai Gold Exchange to implement emergency risk control measures to stabilize the market [2][3][4]. Market Reaction - On February 2, the main silver futures contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange hit the limit down, while gold futures fell over 10%, leading to a collective drop in the A-share precious metals sector, with over ten stocks hitting the limit down [2][6][7]. - The spot gold price fell below $4600 per ounce, with an intraday decline of 6.25%, reflecting a broader panic in the market [2][9]. Regulatory Response - The Shanghai Gold Exchange issued an urgent announcement to adjust the margin levels and price fluctuation limits for silver deferred contracts, aiming to curb excessive volatility and maintain market stability [3][4]. - The margin for silver contracts was raised from 20% to 26%, and the price fluctuation limit was increased from 19% to 25% in response to significant price movements [3][4]. Underlying Factors - The recent volatility in the precious metals market was attributed to multiple factors, including external liquidity concerns, changes in Federal Reserve policies, and panic selling among investors [11][12][14]. - The sharp decline in international gold prices, which fell over 12% in a single day, and the extreme volatility in silver prices, which dropped over 36%, were significant contributors to the market's instability [4][11]. Broader Market Impact - The panic in the precious metals market led to a domino effect, causing declines in related sectors such as oil and gas and telecommunications, with many stocks in these sectors also experiencing significant drops [10][11]. - The domestic commodity futures market saw widespread declines, with various precious metal futures hitting limit down, reflecting a broader market retreat [8][10]. Future Outlook - The long-term outlook for precious metals remains influenced by several key variables, including Federal Reserve policy adjustments, global liquidity changes, and geopolitical uncertainties [27][28]. - Despite the short-term volatility, the fundamental drivers for gold's long-term value, such as ongoing monetary easing and strong central bank demand, remain intact [24][25].

山东黄金 紫金矿业 山东黄金 紫金矿业 紫金黄金国际 灵宝黄金 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 49.10 -5.45 -9.99% 9.99% 6.65% 3.34% 0.00% 3.34% 6.65% 9.99% 49.10 50.92 52.73 54.55 56.37 58.18 60.00 09:30 10:30 11:30/13:00 14:00 15:00 600 43万 87万 130万 黄金股大幅低开，截至发稿，灵宝黄金(03330)跌13.87%，报20港元；中国黄金（600916）国际(02099) 跌12.28%，报180港元；山东黄金（600547）(01787)跌10.8%，报39.48港元；紫金矿业（601899） (02899)跌9.98%，报37.72港元；紫金黄金国际(02259)跌8.14%，报200.8港元。 消息面上，美国总统特朗普提名凯文·沃什出任美联储主席，引爆市场鹰派预期，贵金属遭恐慌抛售。1 月30日，伦敦黄金现货大跌7.8%，创1980年2月以来最大单日跌幅，COMEX纽约金期货单日暴跌 9.3%。对此，国泰海通证券认为，沃什时刻"导致贵金属为代表的市场大幅 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 ^ | 最新价 | 总市值 | 年初至今涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01787 | 山东黄金 | -8.72% | 40.400 | 1862.41 Z | 16.76% | | 06693 | 赤峰黄金 | -7.52% | 36.900 | 701.25亿 | 23.99% | | 03330 | 灵宝黄金 | -6.12% | 21.800 | 280.56 Z | 21.72% | | 00815 | 中国白银集团 | -5.71% | 0.660 | 20.04亿 | -1.49% | | 01818 | 招类矿业 | -5.69% | 34.140 | 1209.37亿 | 11.06% | | 02489 | 集海黄金 | -5.56% | 1.190 | 28.56亿 | 11.21% | | 02899 | 紫金矿业 | -4.87% | 39.860 | 1.06万亿 | 11.78% | | 02099 | 中国黄金国际 | -4.87% | 195.200 | 773.8亿 | 24.41% ...