Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qingdao Beer (600600.SH) [5][7] Core Views - Qingdao Beer reported a Q1 2024 revenue of 10.15 billion yuan, down 5.2% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 10.1% to 1.6 billion yuan [2][3] - Despite a decline in sales volume, the company is successfully upgrading its product structure, with a 2.6% increase in average selling price (ASP) to 4,647 yuan per thousand liters [3][4] - The company has improved its net profit margin to 15.99%, up 2.23 percentage points year-on-year, driven by cost control and a favorable product mix [4] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - Q1 2024 revenue was 10.15 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.2% year-on-year, with sales volume down 7.6% to 2.184 million kiloliters [2][3] - The main brand's sales volume fell by 5.6%, while mid-to-high-end products saw a smaller decline of 2.4% [3] - Gross margin improved to 40.44%, up 2.12 percentage points year-on-year, aided by lower costs for barley and packaging materials [4] Cost Management - The company achieved a sales expense ratio of 12.83%, down 1.02 percentage points, reflecting improved efficiency in expense allocation [4] - Management expense ratio increased slightly to 3.4%, up 0.41 percentage points [4] Future Outlook - The report anticipates easing of high base pressure in the coming quarters, with expectations for improved sales during the peak season [5] - The company aims for double-digit growth in sales of its premium products, indicating a continued focus on high-end market segments [5] - Profit forecasts for 2024-2026 are set at 5.033 billion, 5.753 billion, and 6.353 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.69, 4.22, and 4.66 yuan [5][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qingdao Beer (600600) [5] Core Views - The company reported a Q1 2024 revenue of 10.15 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 10% to 1.597 billion, exceeding expectations [5] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 5 billion, 5.63 billion, and 6.22 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with current price-to-earnings ratios of 22x, 19x, and 17x for the respective years [5] - The report highlights the potential for continuous improvement in the dividend payout ratio, with a projected dividend yield of 2.5% for 2023, making it attractive for investors [5] Summary by Sections Market Data - Closing price: 79.31 yuan - One-year high/low: 112.79/67.56 yuan - Market capitalization: 55.89 billion yuan - Price-to-book ratio: 3.7 - Dividend yield: 0.63 [2] Financial Data - Net asset per share: 21.31 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 40.85% - Total shares: 1.364 billion, circulating A shares: 705 million [3] Sales Performance - Q1 2024 sales volume: 2.184 million tons, down 7.6% year-on-year - Main brand sales volume: 1.322 million tons, down 5.6% - Mid-to-high-end product sales volume: 960,000 tons, down 2.4% - The proportion of mid-to-high-end products in total sales increased by 2.3 percentage points to 43.96% [6] Cost and Profitability - Q1 2024 cost per ton: 2,768 yuan, down 1% year-on-year - Gross margin: 40.44%, up 2.1 percentage points year-on-year - Net profit margin: 15.7%, up 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [6] Future Projections - Total revenue projections for 2024-2026: 35.907 billion, 37.932 billion, and 39.622 billion respectively - Expected net profit growth rates: 16.9%, 12.8%, and 10.4% for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [7][8]

2024年04月30日 公 司点评 公 买入 / 维持 司 青岛啤酒(600600) 研 究 目标价: 92.25 昨收盘:79.31 一季度成本端改善，利润增长超预期 事件：青岛啤酒发布2024年一季报，2024Q1实现营收101.50亿 ◼ 走势比较 元，同比-5.19%，归母净利润15.97亿元，同比+10.06%，扣非归母净 利润15.13亿元，同比+12.11%。 10% 销量因高基数略有承压，利润释放超预期。公司一季度收入端高 太 0% 基数下略有承压，利润端超预期。2024Q1销售收现达96.22亿元，同 平 (10%)4/5/32 51/7/32 52/9/32 6/21/32 61/2/42 82/4/42 比+5.17%，高于收入增速。量价拆分来看，2024Q1 公司销量/吨价分 洋 别为 218.4 万千升/4647 元/千升，同比-7.6%/+2.6%，其中主品牌青 (20%) 证 岛啤酒/中高端及以上产品分别实现销量 132.2/96 万千升， 同比- (30%) 5.6%/-2.4%，中高端及以上产品销量占比44.0%，同比+2.3pct，预计 券 (40%) 经典、白啤持续高增， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of Qingdao Beer [1] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2024 earnings that exceeded expectations, with a significant improvement in profit margins [1][3] - The sales volume of mid-to-high-end products continues to increase, contributing to a rise in average selling price [3] - Raw material costs have decreased, and product structure upgrades have led to a substantial increase in gross margin [3] - The company is expected to maintain a steady sales rhythm with a focus on core product development and cost control, leading to profit growth outpacing revenue growth [3] Financial Performance Summary - Q1 2024 total revenue reached 10.15 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 5.2%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.6 billion yuan, an increase of 10.1% [2][3] - The sales volume for Q1 2024 was 2.184 million kiloliters, down 7.6% year-over-year, but the sales of mid-to-high-end products accounted for 44.0% of total sales, up 2.3 percentage points [3] - The gross margin for Q1 2024 was 40.4%, an increase of 2.1 percentage points year-over-year, driven by lower raw material costs and product upgrades [3] - The company expects a profit growth rate of 12% CAGR from 2024 to 2026, with net profit forecasts adjusted to 5.1 billion, 5.7 billion, and 6.4 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2][3]

公司研 究 证券研究报告 啤酒 2024年04月29日 青 岛啤酒（600600）2024年一季报点评 强 推 （维持） 目标价：105元 成本红利兑现，业绩略超预期 当前价：79.31元 事项： 华创证券研究所  公司发布 2024年一季报，2024年 Q1公司实现营业总收入 101.5亿元，同比- 证券分析师：欧阳予 5.2%；实现归母净利润 16.0 亿元，同比+10.1%；实现扣非归母净利润 15.1 亿元，同比+12.1%。 邮箱：ouyangyu@hcyjs.com 评论： 执业编号：S0360520070001 证券分析师：范子盼  高基数下总量承压，结构升级趋势不改。量价拆分看，24Q1公司实现啤酒销 量 218.4 万千升，同比-7.6%，主要系去年同期疫后消费高涨及公司销售节奏 邮箱：fanzipan@hcyjs.com 前置发力导致基数较高。但结构升级趋势不改，主品牌/中高端以上分别实现 执业编号：S0360520090001 销量 132.2/96 万千升，同比-5.6%/-2.4%，占比同增 1.2/2.3pcts 至 60.5%、 证券分析师：董广阳 44.0%，表现优于整体销 ...

证 券 2024 年 04 月 29 日 研 究 毛销差同比扩大，释放业绩弹性 报 告 —青岛啤酒（600600.SH）公司事件点评报告 买入(维持) 事件 分析师：孙山山 S1050521110005 2024 年 04 月 29 日，青岛啤酒发布 2023 年一季度业绩报 sunss@cfsc.com.cn 告。 分析师：廖望州 S1050523100001 liaowz@cfsc.com.cn 投资要点 基本数据 2024-04-29 ▌ 毛销差扩大，高端化升级推升盈利能力 当前股价（元） 79.31 总市值（亿元） 1082 公司 2024 年一季度营收 101.50 亿元（同比-5.19%），归母 净利润 15.97 亿元（同比+10.06%），扣非归母净利润为 总股本（百万股） 1364 15.13 亿元（同比+12.11%）。2024 年一季度毛利率为 流通股本（百万股） 705 40.44% （ 同 比 +2.12pcts ） ， 净 利 率 15.99% （ 同 比 52周价格范围（元） 68.35-112.15 +2.23pcts）；销售费用率为 12.83%（同比-1.02pcts），管 ...

Financial Performance - Revenue for the first quarter of 2024 was RMB 10.15 billion, a decrease of 5.19% year-over-year[4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was RMB 1.597 billion, an increase of 10.06% year-over-year[4] - Net profit for the first quarter of 2024 was 1.62 billion RMB, compared to 1.47 billion RMB in the same period last year[18] - Operating income for the first quarter of 2024 was 10.15 billion RMB, down from 10.71 billion RMB in the same period last year[17] - Basic earnings per share were RMB 1.175, an increase of 9.71% year-over-year[4] - Basic earnings per share (EPS) for the first quarter of 2024 was 1.175 RMB, up from 1.071 RMB in the same period last year[19] - Weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 5.65%, an increase of 0.12 percentage points[4] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Net cash flow from operating activities was RMB 2.853 billion, an increase of 57.29% year-over-year[4] - Net cash flow from operating activities increased by 57.3% to 2,853,166,067 yuan in Q1 2024 from 1,813,957,743 yuan in Q1 2023[21] - Total cash inflow from operating activities reached 10,020,892,260 yuan in Q1 2024, up 7.5% from 9,325,415,046 yuan in Q1 2023[21] - Cash outflow for purchasing goods and services decreased by 5.6% to 3,776,378,876 yuan in Q1 2024 from 4,000,150,030 yuan in Q1 2023[21] - Cash payments for investments surged to 7,200,000,000 yuan in Q1 2024, a 12.7% increase from 6,386,109,500 yuan in Q1 2023[21] - Net cash flow from investment activities was -5,925,636,971 yuan in Q1 2024, compared to -4,190,214,856 yuan in Q1 2023[21] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2024 stood at 6,183,503,443 yuan, a 40.8% decrease from 10,444,423,063 yuan at the end of Q1 2023[22] - Cash payments for employee compensation increased by 4.5% to 1,392,868,601 yuan in Q1 2024 from 1,333,509,933 yuan in Q1 2023[21] - Tax payments decreased by 17.2% to 1,135,815,605 yuan in Q1 2024 from 1,370,839,687 yuan in Q1 2023[21] - Cash received from disposal of fixed assets and intangible assets dropped significantly to 7,273,212 yuan in Q1 2024 from 586,174,150 yuan in Q1 2023[21] Sales and Product Performance - Total product sales volume for the first quarter was 2.184 million kiloliters, with the main brand Tsingtao Beer contributing 1.322 million kiloliters[5] - Sales volume of mid-to-high-end products reached 960,000 kiloliters[5] - Sales of goods and services received cash of 9,622,455,676 yuan in Q1 2024, a 5.2% increase from 9,149,118,050 yuan in Q1 2023[20] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased by 2.44% to RMB 50.459 billion compared to the end of the previous year[5] - Total assets increased to 50.46 billion RMB, up from 49.26 billion RMB in the previous period[15] - Equity attributable to shareholders of the listed company increased by 5.89% to RMB 29.068 billion[5] - Total equity increased to 29.85 billion RMB from 28.25 billion RMB[16] - Total liabilities decreased to 20.61 billion RMB from 21.00 billion RMB[16] - Contract liabilities decreased to 5.94 billion RMB from 7.69 billion RMB[15] - The company's monetary funds increased to RMB 21.60 billion as of March 31, 2024, compared to RMB 19.28 billion at the end of 2023[13] - Trading financial assets rose to RMB 3.04 billion in Q1 2024, up from RMB 1.92 billion at the end of 2023[14] - Inventory decreased to RMB 2.51 billion in Q1 2024 from RMB 3.54 billion at the end of 2023[14] - Total current assets reached RMB 30.11 billion as of March 31, 2024, compared to RMB 29.61 billion at the end of 2023[14] - Fixed assets stood at RMB 10.95 billion as of March 31, 2024, slightly down from RMB 11.15 billion at the end of 2023[14] - Construction in progress increased to RMB 603.06 million in Q1 2024 from RMB 498.57 million at the end of 2023[14] - Intangible assets grew to RMB 2.62 billion as of March 31, 2024, up from RMB 2.49 billion at the end of 2023[14] - Deferred tax assets rose to RMB 2.14 billion in Q1 2024 from RMB 2.03 billion at the end of 2023[14] - The company's total non-current assets increased to RMB 19.05 billion as of March 31, 2024, compared to RMB 18.13 billion at the end of 2023[14] Investments and Acquisitions - The company acquired a 20% stake in Qingdao Beer (Anshan) Co., Ltd. for RMB 18.065 million, increasing its ownership to 80%[12] Expenses and Costs - Research and development expenses increased to 17.83 million RMB from 10.70 million RMB[18] - Sales expenses decreased to 1.30 billion RMB from 1.48 billion RMB[18] - Financial expenses showed a net income of 141.21 million RMB, compared to 102.26 million RMB in the same period last year[18] Government Subsidies - Government subsidies received during the period amounted to RMB 94.924 million[6]

公 价格提升驱动增长 盈利能力获得提升 司 研 ——青岛啤酒（600600.SH）年报点评 食品饮料/非白酒 究 事件： 公司发布 2023年度年报，全年实现营收/归母净利润 339.37/42.68亿元，同 评级 买入 比增长5.49%/15.02%。其中Q4实现营收29.58亿元、同比下滑3.37%，归 2024年04月08日 母净利润-6.4 亿元，较同期（22Q4 归母净利润-5.56 亿元）亏损加大。业绩 符合市场预期。 徐广福 分析师 投资摘要： SAC执业证书编号：S1660524030001 主品牌组合发展提升产品结构，千升酒价提升趋势延续，23年4季度销量短 年 期承压。23年全年销量801万千升，同比下滑0.82%，千升酒价4170元/千 报 升、同比增长 6.18%，全年千升酒价提高为业绩增长驱动力。全年青岛品牌/ 其他品牌销量分别为 456 万/345 万千升，同比增长 2.67%/下滑 5.08%。青 交易数据 时间 2024.4.8 点 岛品牌实现营收 232.63亿元，其他品牌实现营收 101.43亿元，青岛品牌/其 总市值/流通市值（亿元） 1,063.39/549.31 他品 ...

2024年04月10日 公司研究●证券研究报告 青岛啤酒（ ） 公司快报 600600.SH 食品饮料 | 啤酒Ⅲ 结构升级延续，成本改善可期 投资评级 买入-B(首次) 股价(2024-04-09) 78.45元 事件： 公司发布2023年年报，2023全年公司实现营业收入339.37亿元，同比+5.5%，实 交易数据 现归母净利润42.68亿元，同比+15.02%，实现扣非归母净利润37.21亿元，同比 总市值（百万元） 107,021.24 +15.94%。单季度来看，23Q4公司实现营业收入29.58亿元，同比-3.4%，实现归母 流通市值（百万元） 55,283.59 净利润-6.4亿元，同比-15.01%，实现扣非归母净利润-8.76亿元，同比-34.53%。 总股本（百万股） 1,364.20 流通股本（百万股） 704.70 投资要点 12个月价格区间 118.72/69.11 收入分析：高端化进程稳步推进，基地市场增长亮眼。2023年公司实现营收339.37 一年股价表现 亿元，同比+5.5%（其中Q1：+16.27%；Q2：+8.16%；Q3：-4.58%；Q4：-3.37%）。 公司啤 ...

证券研究报告 公司点评 青岛啤酒(600600.SH) 食品饮料｜ 非白酒 延续中高端化趋势 2024年03月31日 预测指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 评级 增持 主营收入（亿元） 321.72 339.37 358.01 376.94 396.07 归母净利润（亿元） 37.11 42.68 48.76 54.96 61.06 评级变动 首次 每股收益（元） 2.72 3.13 3.57 4.03 4.48 交易数据 每股净资产（元） 18.69 20.12 21.91 23.92 26.16 当前价格（元） 83.37 P/E 30.65 26.65 23.33 20.69 18.63 52周价格区间（元） 68.35-124.33 P/B 4.46 4.14 3.81 3.48 3.19 总市值（百万） 91069.26 资料来源：Wind，财信证券 流通市值（百万） 58750.71 总股本（万股） 136419.70 投资要点： 流通股（万股） 135976.80  收入利润均实现增长。2023年，公司实现营业收入339.37亿元，同比 增长5.49%，实现归母 ...