Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2][5] Core Views - The company achieved revenue growth against the trend, with cement and related businesses, as well as overseas income, supporting its performance. In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 34.217 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.36%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.52% to 2.416 billion yuan [3][5]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - Despite a decline in overall industry demand, the company managed to achieve revenue growth. The cement production in the industry fell by 9.5% year-on-year to 1.825 billion tons, yet the company's revenue increased by 1.36% [5]. Business Segments - The company's "Cement+" business has steadily improved, becoming a significant contributor to profits. In 2024, external aggregate sales reached 14.3 million tons, up 9%, and ready-mixed concrete sales were 31.81 million cubic meters, up 17% [5]. International Expansion - The company accelerated its international layout, signing contracts for cement and aggregate projects in Nigeria and Brazil. By the end of 2024, overseas production capacity exceeded 22.5 million tons per year, a year-on-year increase of 8%. Overseas cement sales reached 16.2 million tons, up 37%, generating revenue of 7.984 billion yuan, a 47% increase [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to maintain revenue growth despite ongoing market challenges, with projected revenue growth rates of 5.90%, 5.50%, and 5.31% for 2025-2027. The adjusted profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are 2.543 billion yuan and 3.016 billion yuan, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 11.1, 9.3, and 8.6 for the next three years, compared to an average valuation of 15.6 times P/E for comparable companies [5][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [9]. Core Views - The company is experiencing steady overseas expansion while domestic profitability is expected to stabilize and recover [1]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 34.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 2.42 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 12.5% [4]. - The report highlights the successful expansion of overseas operations, particularly in Africa, with a significant increase in overseas cement sales by 37% year-on-year [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 33.76 billion yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11% [2]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 2.58 billion yuan, representing a 7% increase from 2024 [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 1.24 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.5 [2]. Revenue and Profitability - The company’s cement clinker sales volume for 2024 is expected to be 60.27 million tons, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, while overseas cement sales are projected at 16.2 million tons, an increase of 37% [4]. - The average selling price of cement clinker is forecasted to be 312 yuan per ton, with a slight increase of 0.3 yuan year-on-year [4]. - The gross profit margin for cement clinker is expected to be 73 yuan per ton, down 8.1% year-on-year, but is anticipated to improve in Q4 2024 due to domestic price recovery [4]. Strategic Developments - The company has successfully launched several projects in Africa, including a new cement clinker production line in Mozambique and expansions in Zambia and South Africa, contributing to a total overseas operational capacity exceeding 25 million tons [4]. - The report indicates that the company’s integrated strategy is progressing steadily, with aggregate and commercial concrete revenues increasing by 5.2% and 10.0% year-on-year, respectively [4].

国内盈利抬升，海外风险下降 华新水泥(600801) ——华新水泥 2024 年报点评 | [table_Authors] 鲍雁辛(分析师) | 花健祎(分析师) | 杨冬庭(分析师) | [Table_Target] 目标价格： | 上次评级: | 增持 17.67 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0755-23976830 | 0755-23976858 | 0755-23976166 | | 上次预测: | 17.67 | | baoyanxin@gtjas.com | huajianyi@gtjas.com | yangdongting@gtjas.com | | | | | 登记编号 S0880513070005 | S0880521010001 | S0880522080004 | Table_CurPrice] [当前价格： | | 12.97 | 本报告导读： 公司 2024 年报符合预期，24 年国内水泥销量同比下滑被海外强劲增量对冲，同时 国内外水泥盈利兑现能力均在修复通道上。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 15.2 CNY for the next six months [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 34.217 billion CNY for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.36%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.52% to 2.416 billion CNY [2][3]. - The domestic cement revenue faced pressure due to insufficient demand, while overseas revenue saw significant growth, increasing by 46.79% to 7.984 billion CNY [2][9]. - The company's integrated strategy has shown significant results, with non-cement business revenue accounting for 45% of total revenue, contributing to stable performance [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross profit margin of 24.69%, down 2.02 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 8.63% [3]. - The quarterly net profit growth rates were -28.43%, -41.45%, -40.17%, and 43.94%, with Q4 showing a significant increase primarily due to asset disposal gains [3]. Revenue Breakdown - The main cement business generated 18.031 billion CNY in revenue, a decrease of 1.64% year-on-year, with sales volume around 57.02 million tons [2]. - The average selling price of cement was approximately 316.21 CNY per ton, with a cost of 241.11 CNY per ton, leading to a gross profit of 75.10 CNY per ton [2]. International Expansion - The company accelerated its international expansion, signing contracts for new cement production capacities in Nigeria and Brazil, and completed several new production lines in Mozambique and Zambia [9]. - By the end of 2024, the company's overseas operational and under-construction cement capacity exceeded 25 million tons, ranking third nationally in clinker capacity [9]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 36.352 billion CNY, 39.697 billion CNY, and 43.037 billion CNY, with expected net profits of 2.425 billion CNY, 2.696 billion CNY, and 3.047 billion CNY respectively [11].

公司报告 | 年报点评报告 华新水泥（600801） 证券研究报告 非水泥板块量增带动业绩贡献提升，海外连攻数城，利润释放正当时 公司 24 年全年实现归母净利润 24.16 亿元，Q4 扣非利润环比显著修复 公司发布 24 年年报，全年实现收入/归母净利润 342.17/24.16 亿元，同比+1.36%/-12.52%， 全年实现扣非归母净利润 17.84 亿元，同比-23.15%，非流动性资产处置损益所致（7.4 个亿）。 其中 Q4 单季度实现收入/归母净利润 94.98/12.78 亿元，同比-0.98%/+43.94%，扣非归母净利 润 7.21 亿元，同比+44.62%。 非水泥板块量增带动业绩贡献提升，海外连攻数城 24 年公司水泥及熟料业务收入同比-2.5%达 187.9 亿元，水泥熟料销量同比-3%达 6027 万吨， 主要受国内水泥销量下滑较多所致，测算吨均价/吨成本分别为 311.8/239.0 元，同比分别 +0.4/+8.4 元，最终实现吨毛利 72.9 元，同比下滑 8.1 元。受益于去年四季度水泥涨价行情， 24Q4 公司收入/归母净利润环比分别+12%/+213%达 95/1 ...

公司报告 | 年报点评报告 华新水泥（600801） 证券研究报告 非水泥板块量增带动业绩贡献提升，海外连攻数城，利润释放正当时 公司 24 年全年实现归母净利润 24.16 亿元，Q4 扣非利润环比显著修复 公司发布 24 年年报，全年实现收入/归母净利润 342.17/24.16 亿元，同比+1.36%/-12.52%， 全年实现扣非归母净利润 17.84 亿元，同比-23.15%，非流动性资产处置损益所致（7.4 个亿）。 其中 Q4 单季度实现收入/归母净利润 94.98/12.78 亿元，同比-0.98%/+43.94%，扣非归母净利 润 7.21 亿元，同比+44.62%。 24 年公司累计现金分红 9.6 亿元，分红率保持 40%，对应当前股息率 4.09%。考虑到公司海外 业绩释放，上调公司 25-26 年公司归母净利润为 31/36 亿元（前值：28.8/31.5 亿元），预计 27 年归母净利润为 41 亿元，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示：公司水泥价格推涨不及预期、水泥需求不及预期、煤炭成本上涨等。 | 财务数据和估值 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 202 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·水泥 华新水泥（600801） 2024 年年报点评：海外发展持续提速，国内 景气有望反弹 股价走势 -21% -17% -13% -9% -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 19% 2024/3/27 2024/7/26 2024/11/24 2025/3/25 华新水泥 沪深300 市场数据 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 33757 | 34217 | 38243 | 39957 | 41680 | | 同比（%） | 10.79 | 1.36 | 11.77 | 4.48 | 4.31 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2762 | 2416 | 2738 | 3064 | 3334 | | 同比（%） | 2.34 | (12.52) | 13.30 | 11.91 | 8.82 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.33 | 1.16 | 1. ...

证券研究报告 华新水泥 (6655 HK/600801 CH) 港股通 Q4 盈利环比改善，海外收入高增 | 华泰研究 | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 3 月 | 27 日│中国内地/中国香港 | 水泥 | 公司公布 24 年年报：24 年公司收入/归母净利 342.2/24.2 亿元，同比 +1.4%/-12.5%，其中 Q4 收入/归母净利 95.0/12.8 亿元，同比-1.0%/+43.9%， Q4 归母净利同比明显增长主要系毛利率改善及公司实现资产处置收益 7.3 亿元。我们认为水泥价格反弹有望催化 25Q1 盈利能力继续修复，国际化和 节能降碳有望推动公司中长期成长，华新水泥-A /H 均维持"买入"。 骨料业务销量延续增长，Q4 毛利率环比提升 24 年公司水泥/骨料/混凝土销量 0.57 亿吨/1.43 亿吨/0.32 亿方，同比 -2.0%/+9.0%/+16.7% ， 分 别 实 现 收 入 180.3/56.4/84.2 亿 元 ， 同 比 -1.6%/+5.2%/+10.0%，骨料业务延续较快增长，水泥整体销量下滑但海外 销量同比+37% ...

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a net profit of CNY 1,928,498,891, with a consolidated net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 2,416,280,487[6]. - The company's operating revenue for 2024 was CNY 34,217,347,727, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.36% compared to CNY 33,757,087,272 in 2023[21]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.52% from CNY 2,762,116,715 in 2023 to CNY 2,416,280,487 in 2024[21]. - The basic earnings per share for 2024 was CNY 1.16, down 12.78% from CNY 1.33 in 2023[22]. - The company's total assets as of the end of 2024 were CNY 69,512,689,187, a 1.11% increase from CNY 68,747,865,736 in 2023[21]. - The net cash flow from operating activities for 2024 was CNY 5,977,317,233, a decrease of 4.14% from CNY 6,235,555,071 in 2023[21]. - The company's net assets attributable to shareholders increased by 4.7% to CNY 30,291,427,176 at the end of 2024[21]. - The weighted average return on equity for 2024 was 8.16%, down from 9.82% in 2023[22]. Sales and Market Performance - Aggregate sales volume of aggregates reached 143.23 million tons, up 9% year-on-year[32]. - Concrete sales volume increased to 31.81 million cubic meters, reflecting a 17% year-on-year growth[32]. - In 2024, the company achieved total sales of cement and clinker of 60.27 million tons, a year-on-year decline of 3%[61]. - The company reported a total revenue of RMB 34.217 billion, an increase of 1.36% compared to the previous year[61]. - The company's aggregate sales reached 143.23 million tons, representing a year-on-year growth of 9%[61]. - The sales volume of ready-mixed concrete was 31.81 million cubic meters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17%[61]. International Expansion - The company signed contracts for cement and aggregate projects in Nigeria and Brazil, accelerating international expansion[32]. - The company has established a cement production network across nine provinces in China and has operational and under-construction capacity exceeding 25 million tons overseas, solidifying its presence in Africa[47]. - The company’s overseas cement production capacity exceeded 25 million tons by the end of 2024[33]. Environmental Initiatives - The company was recognized with multiple awards for its green initiatives, including being named a national "Green Factory" in 2024[34]. - The company achieved a heat value substitution rate of 21.66%, an increase of 1.66 percentage points from 2023[32]. - The total amount of alternative fuels used reached 4.41 million tons, an increase of 50,000 tons year-on-year[33]. - The company has accumulated the ecological use of nearly 25 million tons of waste-derived alternative fuels by the end of 2024[53]. - The company reduced carbon emissions by 4,160,305 tons during the reporting period[163]. - The carbon emission intensity of domestic kiln factories decreased by 1.32 kg compared to the same period last year[163]. Corporate Governance and Management - The company has implemented measures to ensure the independence of its operations from its controlling shareholders[106]. - The company has proposed to reappoint Ernst & Young as its auditor for the 2024 fiscal year[109]. - The company is focused on enhancing its corporate governance structure in compliance with relevant regulations[106]. - The company has a structured approach to executive compensation, ensuring alignment with performance metrics and shareholder interests[119]. - The company appointed several new executives, including a new vice president starting from May 2024, indicating a strategic shift in management[115]. Future Outlook and Strategic Plans - The company anticipates a rebound in cement prices in 2024, which will improve overall industry profitability[87]. - For 2025, the company expects total revenue to reach 37.1 billion yuan, with planned sales of 5.7 million tons of cement and clinker, and 1.7 million tons of aggregates[92]. - The company plans capital expenditures of approximately 13.3 billion yuan in 2025, focusing on aggregate and overseas cement capacity[92]. - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs through various strategies, including optimizing industrial indicators and improving fuel cost strategies[96]. Research and Development - The company holds 99 invention patents and 121 utility model patents, showcasing its strong innovation capabilities[55]. - The total R&D investment accounted for 0.70% of the company's revenue[72]. - The company is investing $50 million in research and development for new technologies aimed at enhancing product efficiency[111]. Financial Management - The company has implemented a cash-centric business model to control credit risk, achieving its annual accounts receivable control targets without any overdue incidents[36]. - The company reported a total investment in public fund products of CNY 1,060,000,000, with a redemption amount of CNY 1,030,000,000[182]. - The company has not proposed any capital reserve fund conversion into share capital for the fiscal year 2023[138]. Shareholder Information - The total number of ordinary shareholders increased from 51,386 to 52,723 during the reporting period[191]. - The top ten shareholders hold a total of 1,588,000,000 shares, representing 77.34% of the total shares[193]. - The largest unrestricted shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holds 734,719,919 shares[194]. Compliance and Legal Matters - The company has not faced any penalties from securities regulatory agencies in the past three years, indicating a clean compliance record[122]. - The company is involved in a significant arbitration case with Moncement, with a claim amount of approximately 77.07 million USD[172].