| 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入(元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600585 海螺水泥 | | -5274.41万 | 8.70% | -2753.37万 | -4.54% | -2521.05万 | -4.16% | | 000877 天山股份 | | 4149.20万 | 9.45% | 566.17万 | 1.29% | -4715.37万 | -10.74% | | 600425 青松建化 | | 3111.32万 | 8.21% | -975.70万 | -2.58% | -2135.61万 | -5.64% | | 600801 华新水泥 | | 2902.73万 | 10.77% | -775.71万 | -2.88% | -2127.02万 | -7.89% | | 002233 塔牌集团 | | 788.74万 | 5.78% | 96.11万 | 0.70% | -884.84万 | -6.48% | | 0023 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 16.047 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.17%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.103 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 51.05% [2][4] - In Q2 2025, the revenue was 8.885 billion yuan, down 2.94% year-on-year, but the net profit increased by 57.22% to 870 million yuan [2][4] - The cement gross margin improved, while aggregate sales declined. H1 2025 cement and clinker sales were 27.737 million tons, down 2.6% year-on-year, with overseas sales increasing by 10.4% to 8.388 million tons [5][6] - The company expects the Nigerian project to bring high elasticity to its performance, with anticipated earnings of 3 billion yuan and 3.6 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to a PE ratio of 11 and 9 times [11] Financial Performance Summary - H1 2025 cement revenue was 9.15 billion yuan, up 5.6% year-on-year, with domestic cement revenue at 5.02 billion yuan, down 1.26%, and overseas cement revenue at 4.128 billion yuan, up 15.37% [5][6] - The overall gross margin increased by 5.3 percentage points to 23.65% compared to the same period last year, driven by higher domestic cement prices and lower costs [6] - The company’s EBITDA from non-cement businesses accounted for 44% of total profits, indicating diversification in revenue streams [6] Regional Performance - Revenue from the African region was 2.136 billion yuan, up 21.51% year-on-year, while the Asian region's revenue was 2.204 billion yuan, up 12.14% year-on-year [11] - The company has initiated several overseas technical transformation projects, including upgrades in Zimbabwe, Zambia, and South Africa, enhancing production capacity [11]

水泥行业中期业绩逆势企稳，龙头企业战略并购亦在提速。8月29日，华新水泥宣布完成对尼日利亚拉 法基非洲公司（简称"拉法基非洲"）83.81%股权的收购，交易对价7.7386亿美元；与此同时，海螺水泥 拟以16.5亿元收购西部水泥在新疆的五家公司及相关资产项目也取得关键进展——已于8月初通过反垄 断审查并获得无条件批准。 业内看来，龙头企业加速并购旨在通过产能整合与市场重构提升水泥行业集中度，以应对需求走弱、竞 争加剧的挑战。海外并购有利于企业开拓增量市场，资产整合则有助于优化区域竞争格局、降本提效， 为稳价增利提供支撑。 2025年上半年，华新水泥海外水泥业务收入41.28亿元，同比增长15.37%；海外业务净利润总额约6.55 亿元，占公司归母净利润的近六成。海螺水泥海外市场收入24.62亿元，同比增长7.06%；海外业务毛利 率高达45.23%，同比提升5.24个百分点。 作为中国水泥行业全球化布局的典型代表，截至2025年6月末，华新水泥已在塔吉克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯 坦等12个海外国家建有生产基地，公司海外运营水泥粉磨产能已达2470万吨/年，并有多个在建项目。 其中，非洲是华新水泥海外业务发展的重要板块 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in its 2025 H1 financial results, with a slight decline in revenue but a significant increase in net profit, driven by higher average selling prices in the cement business and growth in overseas operations [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2025 H1, the company achieved revenue of 160.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.17%, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 11.03 billion yuan, up 51.05% year-on-year [1][2]. - The cement business generated revenue of 91.52 billion yuan in 2025 H1, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.60%, with sales volume at 27.74 million tons, down 2.63% year-on-year [2]. - The average selling price of cement was approximately 330 yuan per ton, an increase of 26 yuan per ton year-on-year, while production costs decreased by 9 yuan per ton to 232 yuan [2]. Overseas Business Growth - The overseas cement business reported revenue of 41.28 billion yuan in 2025 H1, a year-on-year increase of 15.37%, accounting for about 25.37% of total revenue [3]. - The company achieved net profit of 5.88 billion yuan from overseas operations, up 17.1% year-on-year, with sales volume of approximately 8.39 million tons, an increase of 10.41% year-on-year [3]. - Significant projects included the upgrade of production lines in Zambia and South Africa, and the acquisition of a 100% stake in a Brazilian aggregate company [3]. Aggregate and Concrete Business - The aggregate business generated revenue of 27.63 billion yuan in 2025 H1, a year-on-year decrease of 6.72%, with sales volume of 76.05 million tons, up 6.33% year-on-year [4]. - The concrete business reported revenue of 34.57 billion yuan, down 12.33% year-on-year, with sales volume of 1.325 million cubic meters, a decline of 9.88% year-on-year [4]. Profitability Metrics - The overall gross profit margin improved to 28.92%, an increase of 5.27 percentage points year-on-year, with the cement business gross margin at 29.74%, up 9.03 percentage points [5]. - The company’s operating cash flow was approximately 16.24 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.17% year-on-year [5]. Strategic Developments - The company announced plans to integrate all overseas assets into a subsidiary intended for overseas listing, focusing on cement manufacturing, sales, and related services [6]. - This strategic move aims to enhance financing capabilities and improve competitiveness in the global cement market [6]. Future Outlook - The company expects continued growth in overseas revenue and performance contributions, supported by an integrated strategy and high-margin aggregate business [7]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 360.27 billion yuan, 393.43 billion yuan, and 428.37 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 27.20 billion yuan, 30.90 billion yuan, and 34.49 billion yuan [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Huaxin Cement (600801) [1][4]. Core Views - The company's profitability has significantly improved, with a net profit of 1.103 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.05% [1][3]. - The cement business revenue increased, while concrete and aggregate business revenues declined [1][3]. - The company is accelerating its internationalization strategy, having completed the acquisition of assets in Nigeria and expanded its presence in Africa [3][4]. - The overall profitability of the industry is expected to rise due to the implementation of self-discipline and staggered production policies in 2025 [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 16.047 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.17%, while total profit increased by 50.74% to 2.025 billion yuan [1][3]. - The gross profit margin improved to 31.13% for cement, 13.12% for concrete, and 47.91% for aggregates, with a comprehensive gross margin rising from 23.65% to 28.92% [3]. Business Segments - Cement sales generated revenue of 8.755 billion yuan, up 4.62% year-on-year, accounting for 54.56% of total revenue [1]. - Concrete sales revenue decreased by 12.33% to 3.457 billion yuan, while aggregate sales revenue fell by 6.72% to 2.763 billion yuan [1]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 1.24 yuan and 1.43 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 13.2 and 11.4 [4][5].

水泥 盈利能力大幅提升，尼日利亚项目落地 ——华新水泥 25 中报点评 华新水泥（600801.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 09 月 02 日 加速布局》2025-05-01 2、《海外扩张稳步推进，国内盈利 望筑底修复》2025-03-28 2025-02-20 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：孙颖 | | 营业收入（百万元） | | 33,757 | 34,217 | 34,099 | 38,069 | 39,950 | | | | 增长率 yoy% | | 11% | 1% | 0% | 12% | 5% | | 执业证书编号：S0740519070002 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | | 2,762 | 2,416 | 2,673 | 3,253 | 3,550 | ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600801 | 华新水泥 | 15.62 | -4.05% | 31.43万 | 4.94亿 | | 600326 | 西藏天路 | 14.03 | -3.44% | 97.43万 | 13.77 亿 | | 600668 | 尖峰集团 | 11.98 | -2.76% | 14.49万 | 1.75亿 | | 002233 | 塔牌集团 | 8.96 | -2.29% | 19.22万 | 1.72亿 | | 003037 | 三和营桩 | 8.55 | -2.29% | 12.26万 | 1.05亿 | | 600449 | 宁夏建材 | 13.55 | -1.88% | 9.69万 | 1.32亿 | | 000877 | 天山股份 | 6.50 | -1.66% | 63.76万 | 4.11亿 | | 002302 | 西哥维设 | 6.77 | -1.60% | 18.15万 | 1.23亿 | | 002596 | 烘脂屋與 | 3 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from a slight recovery in cement demand, particularly in southern regions as rainfall decreases. However, demand in areas like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Shandong, and Henan is weakening due to stricter environmental controls [2][14] - The report highlights the potential for price increases in cement, driven by improved demand and supply-side discipline, with a focus on leading companies such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement [4][5] - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing the real estate market, which are expected to positively impact the home improvement and building materials sectors [17] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Overview - The construction materials sector saw a slight increase in the PMI for August, indicating a seasonal uptick in activity, particularly in major infrastructure projects initiated in July [4] - The construction materials index showed a marginal increase of 0.14% during the week, underperforming compared to the broader market indices [4] 2. Bulk Construction Materials 2.1 Cement - The national average price for high-standard cement is reported at 344.3 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.7 RMB/ton but a year-on-year decrease of 35.2 RMB/ton [22][23] - The average cement inventory level among sample enterprises is 63.6%, down 1.0 percentage points from the previous week [25] - The report anticipates a potential price stabilization and recovery in the cement market, particularly in the second half of the year [5][14] 2.2 Glass - The average price for float glass is reported at 1189.7 RMB/ton, down 16.1 RMB/ton from the previous week and down 176.6 RMB/ton year-on-year [4] - The report suggests that supply-side adjustments are likely to improve the supply-demand balance in the glass industry, with a focus on leading companies benefiting from cost advantages [16] 2.3 Fiberglass - The report notes a stable pricing environment for fiberglass, with the average price for non-alkali roving at 3100-3700 RMB/ton, remaining stable compared to previous periods [4] - The demand for specialty fiberglass products is expected to grow significantly, driven by technological advancements and increased applications in various industries [15] 3. Home Improvement Materials - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies aimed at stimulating domestic consumption, particularly in the home improvement sector, with expectations for a recovery in demand [17] - Leading companies in the home improvement materials sector are encouraged to explore new business models and enhance their market positioning [17]

Group 1 - The core players in the fiberglass electronic cloth industry are accelerating their capacity expansion, with China National Materials announcing an addition of 35 billion low dielectric cloth capacity and China Jushi indicating progress in developing specialty electronic cloth series products [1] - China Jushi's scale and cost control capabilities, along with its strong cooperation with downstream CCL manufacturers, suggest that it will penetrate the supply chain and capture a certain market share in the future [1] - The cement industry is expected to see a continuous decline in capacity under the anti-overproduction policy, leading to a significant increase in capacity utilization rates, with a potential demand recovery and price increase anticipated in August [2] - The glass industry is facing a downward trend in demand due to real estate impacts, but the supply side is expected to improve as most companies meet environmental requirements, accelerating the industry's cold repair progress [2] - The fiberglass sector is experiencing a surge in demand driven by the AI industry, with low dielectric products seeing both volume and price increases, indicating a trend of continuous growth in demand [2]

玻纤：传统无碱粗砂需求表现平淡，细分领域表现景气。行业今年受AI产业链需求景气驱动，行业低 介电产品迎来量价齐升，目前一代、二代、及三代(Q布)产品结构升级明确，行业需求有望伴随AI呈现 爆发式增长，看好行业需求持续的量价齐升趋势。中国巨石(600176.SH)、中材科技(002080.SZ)。 风险提示：反内卷政策落地不及预期，地产及基建需求超预期下行风险。 水泥：7月1日水泥协会发布响应反内卷政策文件，判断会推动限制超产政策更好的执行。从中期维度来 看，水泥行业产能有望在限制超产政策下产能持续下降，产能利用率从而大幅提升，目前水泥行业处于 淡季需求低点及价格低点，判断行业有望在8月份需求回暖后逐步价格提升。关注：海螺水泥 (600585.SH,00914)、华新水泥(600801.SH,06655)。 玻璃：行业需求端在地产影响下25年呈现持续下行态势，6-8月淡季需求表现尚可，但供需仍有矛盾。 供给端，考虑到目前浮法玻璃行业中大部分企业已能达到环保要求，判断反内卷政策不会产生一刀切式 产能出清，但仍会提升环保要求及成本，加速行业的冷修进度。关注：旗滨集团(601636.SH)。 智通财经APP获悉，中邮 ...