Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the oil processing industry [1] Core Insights - As of January 23, 2026, international oil prices have seen a slight increase due to multiple favorable factors, including temporary production halts in Kazakhstan, an upward revision of global economic growth forecasts, the cancellation of tariffs on eight European countries by Trump, and extreme cold weather potentially affecting supply and demand [2][9] - Brent and WTI crude oil prices were reported at $65.07 and $61.07 per barrel, respectively, marking increases of 1.47% and 2.92% from the previous week [2][20] - The oil and petrochemical sector outperformed, with a 7.71% increase, while the broader Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell by 0.62% [10][13] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - Brent crude futures settled at $65.07 per barrel, up $0.94 (+1.47%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures rose to $61.07 per barrel, an increase of $1.73 (+2.92%) [2][20] Offshore Drilling Services - As of January 19, 2026, the number of global offshore self-elevating drilling platforms was 376, a decrease of 1 from the previous week, while floating drilling platforms increased by 3 to a total of 133 [29] Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.732 million barrels per day as of January 16, 2026, a decrease of 21,000 barrels from the previous week [39] - The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. increased by 1 to 411 as of January 23, 2026 [39] Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude oil processing volume was 16.604 million barrels per day as of January 16, 2026, down by 354,000 barrels from the previous week, with a refinery utilization rate of 93.30%, a decrease of 2.0 percentage points [47] Oil Inventory - As of January 16, 2026, total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 841 million barrels, an increase of 4.408 million barrels (+0.53%) from the previous week [48] Related Stocks - Key stocks in the sector include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), PetroChina, Sinopec, and China Oilfield Services [3]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the petrochemical sector, with the oil and petrochemical index outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 6.87% this week [10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical risks are the primary drivers of oil price fluctuations, with current prices reflecting a rebound due to tensions involving Iran and production delays in Kazakhstan [15][16]. - The report notes that while supply fundamentals remain weak, geopolitical factors are currently dominating market sentiment, suggesting that unless there is a miscalculation regarding Iran, price increases driven by geopolitical conflicts may not be sustainable [15]. Market Overview - The oil and petrochemical sector indices showed significant weekly gains, with the petrochemical index rising by 8.16% and the refining and chemical index increasing by 7.58% [10]. - As of January 23, WTI crude oil was priced at $61.07 per barrel, up by $1.63, while Brent crude was at $68.73, up by $0.95 [16]. - The EIA reported a weekly increase in commercial crude oil inventories by 3.602 million barrels, with gasoline inventories also rising [16]. Oil Sector Analysis - The report indicates that U.S. crude oil production is at 13.732 million barrels per day, with a slight decrease in net imports [16]. - The active oil rig count in the U.S. increased by one to 411 rigs as of January 23 [16]. Refining Sector Insights - The average operating rate of domestic refineries increased to 78.78%, while independent refineries in Shandong saw a slight decrease in operating rates [16]. - The average refining margin for major refineries was reported at 761.48 yuan per ton, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous period [14]. Petrochemical Sector Insights - The PX-Naphtha spread has decreased to $330 per ton, while PTA processing fees have increased to 402 yuan per ton [15]. - The report notes that polyester production margins are showing signs of recovery, with POY150D average profit levels rising significantly [15]. Olefins Market Overview - The average price of ethylene decreased to 5,788 yuan per ton, while propylene prices in Shandong increased to 6,175 yuan per ton [15].

Market Overview - Recent theme investment has narrowed, and the ETF market continues to experience net outflows, indicating that investor sentiment has not fully recovered [1] - The brand index has shown volatility, with a weekly decline of 1.29%, closing at 1148.75 points [1] - Major indices showed mixed performance: Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84% to 4136.16 points, Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.11% to 14439.66 points, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.34% [1] Company Performance - TCL Electronics saw a significant weekly increase of 24.77% [3] - Weichai Power maintained strong performance with a weekly rise of 12.33% [3] - Other companies such as Baidu Group-SW, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, China Merchants Shekou, Sichuan Changhong, Poly Developments, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and Sinopec all experienced weekly gains exceeding 5% [3] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation's market value increased by 983.87 billion yuan, approaching the 1 billion yuan mark [3] Technological Advancements - Zhejiang Weile Company is expected to see steady improvements in profitability and profit margins due to ongoing enhancements in technology and operational capabilities [5] - Sichuan Changhong is focusing on AI technology, which has improved home air quality and unlocked new consumer potential [5] - At the 2026 International Consumer Electronics Show, Sichuan Changhong and Qualcomm launched the new AT TV Q10Light, featuring AI subtitle translation capabilities [5] - The Changhong Cloud AI model, the first in the home appliance sector to be nationally registered, enhances smart TV functionalities, enabling voice interaction and personalized content retrieval [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for major companies in the petrochemical sector, including China National Petroleum Corporation, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Zhongman Petroleum, and New Natural Gas [2][4]. Core Insights - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East is influencing oil prices, with expectations of supply surplus in 2026. The report suggests that geopolitical developments will continue to dominate oil price movements, with potential for narrow fluctuations before any escalation [8][10]. - Major oil institutions predict a surplus in global oil supply for 2026, with the EIA forecasting a surplus of 2.83 million barrels per day, OPEC indicating a surplus of 70,000 barrels per day, and IEA adjusting its surplus forecast to 3.84 million barrels per day [11][12]. - The report highlights a decrease in U.S. crude oil production and refinery processing rates, with crude oil production at 13.73 million barrels per day, down by 20,000 barrels week-on-week [12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The petrochemical sector saw a 7.8% increase as of January 23, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which fell by 0.6% [16][19]. - Among sub-sectors, other petrochemical segments had the highest weekly increase of 11.9%, while oil extraction had the lowest at 4.5% [19]. 2. Company Performance - Notable stock performances include Runbei Hangkai with a 33.40% increase, followed by Intercontinental Oil and Gas at 30.95% [21]. - The largest decline was seen in Baomo Co., which fell by 6.33% [21]. 3. Industry Dynamics - Natural gas production in China showed steady growth, with December output at 23 billion cubic meters, a 5.1% year-on-year increase [24]. - The report notes a decrease in oil exports through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium, dropping from 5.09 million tons in November to 3.98 million tons in December [24]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on industry leaders with stable performance and high dividends, such as China National Petroleum and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation [15]. - It also suggests monitoring companies like China National Offshore Oil Corporation, which has low production costs and is expected to see valuation increases due to stable oil prices [15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for major companies in the petrochemical sector, including China National Petroleum Corporation, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Zhongman Petroleum, and New Natural Gas [2]. Core Insights - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East is influencing oil prices, with expectations of supply surplus leading to narrow fluctuations in oil prices [8][10]. - Major oil institutions predict a surplus in global oil supply for 2026, with the EIA forecasting a surplus of 2.83 million barrels per day, OPEC indicating a surplus of 70,000 barrels per day, and IEA adjusting its surplus forecast to 3.84 million barrels per day [11][12]. - The report suggests three main investment themes: focusing on stable, high-dividend companies like China National Petroleum and China Petroleum & Chemical; investing in China National Offshore Oil Corporation due to its low production costs; and considering growth-stage companies like New Natural Gas and Zhongman Petroleum [15]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for key companies in the petrochemical sector [2]. Market Performance - As of January 23, the petrochemical sector increased by 7.8%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which decreased by 0.6% [19]. Oil and Gas Prices - Brent crude oil prices rose by 2.73% to $65.88 per barrel, while WTI prices increased by 2.74% to $61.07 per barrel [12]. - The NYMEX natural gas price surged by 72.18% to $5.35 per million British thermal units [12]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - U.S. crude oil production decreased to 13.73 million barrels per day, while refinery throughput fell to 16.60 million barrels per day [12]. - U.S. crude oil inventories rose, with strategic reserves increasing by 810,000 barrels [13]. Company Performance - The report highlights significant stock price movements, with companies like Runbei Hangke and Zhongjie Oil experiencing substantial gains [21][22]. - Conversely, Baomo Co. saw the largest decline in stock price [22]. Industry Developments - The report notes stable growth in natural gas production, with a year-on-year increase of 6.2% [24]. - It also mentions fluctuations in oil exports from the Caspian Pipeline Consortium [24]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on industry leaders with stable earnings and high dividends, as well as companies with growth potential in the domestic market [15].

Group 1 - The geopolitical situation has become increasingly tense since 2022, with major powers taking unilateral actions, leading to instability in international relations. The deep sea has emerged as a critical frontier for the competition over strategic resources and energy dominance [4] - The U.S. government, under Trump's administration, aims to become a global leader in responsible deep-sea mineral exploration and development, expediting the approval of mining licenses in international waters to encourage domestic companies to develop key mineral resources [4] - Although global legislation and environmental concerns may hinder the supply of deep-sea mineral resources in the short term, breakthroughs in technology and regulations could reshape the global mineral supply structure, making deep-sea resources a strategic asset for major powers in the long term [4] Group 2 - The Chinese government has recognized the strategic value of deep-sea resources, incorporating "deep-sea technology" as a key area in its 2025 government work report. This sector is crucial for resource independence, technological autonomy, and national defense [5] - A multi-level policy framework has been established by various government bodies, including the State Council and local governments, to support the growth of the deep-sea technology market and enhance the marine economy [5] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is a leader in deep-sea resource development, aiming to strengthen its oil and gas operations while exploring marine mineral resources. CNOOC has developed a comprehensive marine energy system, including conventional and deep-water oil and gas, LNG, and offshore wind power [6][7]

Group 1 - Southbound funds increased their holdings in China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) by 8.2913 million shares on January 23 [1] - Over the past 5 trading days, southbound funds have reduced their holdings on 3 days, with a total net reduction of 7.4552 million shares [1] - In the last 20 trading days, there have been 11 days of net increases in southbound fund holdings, totaling 55.1502 million shares [1] Group 2 - As of now, southbound funds hold 10.264 billion shares of CNOOC, accounting for 21.58% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1] - CNOOC is primarily engaged in the exploration, development, production, and sales of crude oil and natural gas [1] - The company operates through three segments: exploration and production, trading, and business segment management [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the oil and gas sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry over the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The geopolitical landscape has intensified competition for global deep-sea strategic resources, with deep-sea areas becoming a focal point for geopolitical and energy dominance [1][27]. - China's deep-sea resources hold significant strategic value, with comprehensive policy frameworks promoting high-quality development in the industry [2][29]. - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is positioned as a leading player in deep-sea resource development, aiming to enhance its capabilities and expand its market presence during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3][35]. Summary by Sections 1. Global Deep-Sea Resource Dynamics - The global utilization of marine resources has deepened, with increasing demands for food, materials, and space, leading to intensified competition in marine resource acquisition [14][17]. - The OECD predicts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.45% for the marine economy from 2010 to 2030, with significant growth expected in offshore wind power and aquaculture [18][19]. 2. CNOOC's Strategic Positioning - CNOOC has established a comprehensive marine energy development system, covering conventional oil and gas, deep-water oil and gas, LNG, and offshore wind power [3][36]. - The company holds over 95% of China's offshore oil and gas development rights, reinforcing its dominant position in the sector [37]. 3. Policy Support for Deep-Sea Technology - The Chinese government has elevated "deep-sea technology" to a strategic emerging industry, emphasizing its importance for resource development, national defense, and technological innovation [2][28]. - A multi-level policy framework has been established to support the growth of the deep-sea technology market, ensuring sustainable development and increased contributions to the marine economy [29][31]. 4. Investment Recommendations - CNOOC is recommended as a key investment opportunity due to its strong growth in production and reserves, along with its cost advantages [39]. - Other companies in the sector, such as CNOOC Services and CNOOC Engineering, are also highlighted for their potential benefits from the ongoing development of China's marine resources [39].

Core Viewpoint - The oil and gas extraction sector experienced a decline of 0.62% on January 23, with Blue Flame Holdings leading the drop, while the overall market indices showed slight increases [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16, up by 0.33% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14439.66, up by 0.79% [1] - The oil and gas extraction sector saw a net outflow of 624 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 360 million yuan [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Intercontinental Oil & Gas (600759) closed at 4.40, with a rise of 3.53% and a trading volume of 9.76 million shares [1] - Blue Flame Holdings (000968) closed at 7.95, down by 1.85% with a trading volume of 689,400 shares [1] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (600938) closed at 31.40, down by 1.32% with a trading volume of 562,000 shares [1] - ST Xinchao (600777) closed at 4.08, down by 0.49% with a trading volume of 205,600 shares [1] Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - Blue Flame Holdings had a main fund net inflow of 19.10 million yuan, but a net outflow from retail and speculative funds [2] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation experienced a slight net outflow from main funds but a net inflow from speculative funds [2] - ST Xinchao saw a significant net outflow from main funds, while retail investors showed a positive net inflow [2] - Intercontinental Oil & Gas had a notable net outflow from main funds, with substantial net inflows from retail investors [2]

Group 1 - The oil sector is experiencing fluctuations, with funds entering the market at lower prices, as evidenced by the net subscription of 23 million units for the Penghua Oil ETF (159697) [1] - A cold wave in the U.S. has led to a significant increase in natural gas prices [1] - From 2022 to 2025, 67% (195 cities) of cities at the prefecture level and above in China have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [1] Group 2 - The price difference for leading city gas companies in 2024 is projected to be between 0.53 and 0.54 yuan per cubic meter, with a reasonable distribution fee expected to exceed 0.6 yuan per cubic meter, indicating a potential 10% recovery space [1] - Cost optimization for city gas companies is expected due to relaxed supply conditions, and the pricing mechanism is being refined while demand is anticipated to increase [1] - There is a focus on companies with quality long-term contracts, flexible scheduling, and long-term cost advantages, as well as the importance of energy self-sufficiency due to increased uncertainty in U.S. gas imports [1] Group 3 - As of January 23, 2026, the National Oil and Gas Index (399439) shows mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Intercontinental Oil and Gas leading at a 3.29% increase, followed by Fuan Energy at 2.73% and Hupoo Co. at 1.96% [1] - The latest price for the Penghua Oil ETF (159697) is 1.29 yuan, which closely tracks the National Oil and Gas Index [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Oil and Gas Index (399439) as of December 31, 2025, include major companies such as China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and China National Offshore Oil, collectively accounting for 67.11% of the index [2]