Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Views of the Report - After the cross - quarter period, the spread compression market of credit bonds will continue. Seasonal decline in interest rates, stable capital, and the risk - taking preference of asset management products are the main reasons. The short - term market for medium - and long - term credit bonds will continue, and the term spread will further compress [5][8]. - The allocation value of industrial bonds can be concerned. The market may chase high - yield subjects, and the follow - up sinking motivation may strengthen. The sectors with thick spreads such as construction local state - owned enterprises, coal state - owned enterprises, etc., are expected to be further explored [5][10]. - There is a callback risk due to the "scar effect" of previous adjustments. For ultra - long - term credit bonds, a small - scale participation is advisable. The rapidly expanding credit bond ETF helps compress the liquidity premium [5][13]. - The Shanghai Composite Index has started a new round of market, and the bullish sentiment has driven up the market risk preference. The underlying logic of the convertible bond market remains unchanged, and the long - term allocation logic is still valid. When the convertible bond valuation reaches an absolute high and the equity market has a small upward trend, it may be a good window period. Convertible bonds can be appropriately added to the position [5][14]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Credit Bonds and Convertible Bonds Views: Spread Compression Market May Continue - The spread compression market of credit bonds will continue after the cross - quarter. The market's risk - taking preference for extending the duration to obtain capital gains may increase, and the term spread of medium - and long - term credit bonds will further compress [5][8]. - The allocation value of industrial bonds is worthy of attention. The market may continue to chase high - yield subjects, and sectors with thick spreads may be further explored [5][10]. - There is a potential callback risk for credit bonds, and ultra - long - term credit bonds can be participated in with a small position. The convertible bond market's basic logic remains unchanged, and it can be appropriately added to the position when the equity market is strong [5][13][14]. 2. Credit Bond Review: The Market Continues to Chase Absolute Coupon Income 2.1 Negative Information Monitoring - From June 23 to June 29, 2025, there were no bond defaults or overdue events. However, there were several cases of corporate rating downgrades and negative events, such as the rating downgrades of Montz New Urbanization Development Investment Co., Ltd. and some overseas companies like Longfor Group [17][18]. 2.2 Primary Issuance: Issuance Volume Declined, and the Financing Cost of Medium - and High - Grade Bonds Slightly Decreased - The primary issuance volume of credit bonds decreased to 300 billion yuan, with the maturity scale remaining flat and the net financing slightly negative. Six credit bonds were cancelled or postponed, with a total scale of 4 billion yuan. The average coupon rates of AAA and AA + grade bonds decreased by 1bp and 4bp respectively [19][21]. 2.3 Secondary Trading: Medium - and Low - Valued, Medium - and Long - Term Bonds Outperformed - Except for AAA - grade bonds, the valuations of credit bonds generally declined, and the spreads of medium - and low - grade credit bonds significantly narrowed. The term spread of each grade mainly narrowed, and the 3Y - 5Y part continued to outperform. The credit spreads of urban investment bonds in most provinces widened by about 2bp, while industrial bonds fluctuated slightly and outperformed urban investment bonds. The liquidity of credit bonds weakened slightly, with the turnover rate dropping by 0.06pct to 2.25% [25][29][34]. 3. Convertible Bond Review: Convertible Bonds Rose Significantly, and the Right - Side Window Opened 3.1 Market Overall Performance: The Stock Market Continued to Rise, and Convertible Bonds Followed Strongly - From June 23 to June 27, 2025, major stock indices rose. The leading convertible bonds outperformed their underlying stocks, and some convertible bonds were actively traded [39]. 3.2 Convertible Bonds Followed Strongly, Seize the Right - Side Opportunity - This week, convertible bonds rose significantly, but the average daily trading volume decreased to 7.5907 billion yuan. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 2.08%, the parity center rose 3.7% to 98.0 yuan, and the conversion premium center fell 2.8% to 25.9%. Medium - and low - rated, small - cap, and high - priced convertible bonds performed well [43].

Core Insights - The securities industry is experiencing accelerated personnel turnover and structural changes as of the first half of 2025, with a total of 323,900 practitioners, a decrease of 6,870 or 2.12% from the beginning of the year [1] Personnel Changes - The number of general securities business personnel decreased by 5,521, a decline of 2.74% - Securities sponsors saw a reduction of 330, marking a 3.90% drop - Securities brokers experienced a decrease of 2,264, which is an 8.75% decline - Conversely, investment advisors increased by 1,264, reflecting a growth of 1.55% - The number of securities analysts rose by 50, indicating a 0.89% increase [1] Firm-Specific Changes - Among 42 listed securities firms, 35 reported a reduction in employee numbers, representing 83.33% of the firms - Major firms like Guotai Junan, CITIC Securities, CITIC Jianan, and GF Securities saw significant reductions of 421, 401, 337, and 305 employees respectively - Smaller firms, while having lower absolute reductions, exhibited substantial percentage declines, with Tianfeng Securities experiencing a reduction of over 5%, specifically 6.36% [1] Detailed Personnel Data - The following firms reported notable changes in employee numbers from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025: - Guotai Haitong: Increased by 7,308 (39.18%) - CITIC Securities: Decreased by 401 (-2.90%) - CITIC Jianan: Decreased by 337 (-3.06%) - China Galaxy: Decreased by 244 (-2.22%) - GF Securities: Decreased by 305 (-2.91%) - Guoxin Securities: Decreased by 421 (-4.43%) [2] Investment Advisor Changes - Specific reductions in investment advisors included: - Industrial Securities: Decreased by 40 - CITIC Securities: Decreased by 32 - Guoxin Securities: Decreased by 19 - Caitong Securities: Decreased by 12 [3] Securities Sponsor Changes - The total number of securities sponsors decreased by over 300, marking the first decline in three years - Notable reductions included: - Oriental Securities: Decreased by 35 (16.83%) - Dongxing Securities: Decreased by 33 (14.77%) [4] Analyst Changes - A total of 16 listed securities firms had more than 100 analysts as of mid-2025 - The leading firm, Zhongjin Company, had 340 analysts, followed by Guotai Junan (287) and CITIC Securities (268) - However, firms like CITIC Jianan, GF Securities, and others experienced varying degrees of analyst reductions [5]

Core Viewpoint - The event "I am a Shareholder" organized by Dongfang Securities showcased the operational achievements and future potential of Huanxu Electronics, emphasizing its leadership in the global electronic design and manufacturing industry [1][2]. Company Overview - Huanxu Electronics, established in 1976 in Taiwan, officially listed on the Shanghai A-share main board in 2012 and is a leading global manufacturer in the System in Package (SiP) module sector [1]. - The company provides design, miniaturization, material procurement, manufacturing, logistics, and after-sales services for electronic devices/modules across various sectors, including communications, cloud and storage, consumer electronics, industrial, medical, and automotive electronics [1]. Operational Performance - Since its listing, Huanxu Electronics has seen continuous revenue growth, reaching a historical high of $10.1 billion in 2022, up from approximately $2 billion at the time of its IPO [2]. - The company ranks twelfth among global peers in its industry, attributed to its efforts in technological innovation, customer expansion, and global layout [2]. Industry Trends and Challenges - The global supply chain is undergoing reconstruction due to geopolitical factors, prompting companies to focus on supply chain security and stability [2]. - Huanxu Electronics is optimizing its global production layout and enhancing collaboration with clients to improve competitiveness in response to potential market risks [2]. Technological Advancements - The company showcased its SiP module technology, which integrates multiple functional chips into a compact module, widely used in consumer electronics like smartwatches and Bluetooth headsets, highlighting its strong technical capabilities in miniaturization [3]. Future Strategy - Huanxu Electronics aims to combine localized operations with a global framework to leverage regional resource advantages, reduce operational costs, and enhance customer service quality [2]. - The company is committed to innovation-driven and customer-centric principles to continuously enhance its capabilities and create greater value for shareholders [3].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective rise on June 30, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.59%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.35% [1][2][3] - Over 4,000 stocks in the market closed in the green, indicating a broad-based rally [1] Performance Metrics - The Shanghai Composite Index recorded a cumulative increase of 2.76% in the first half of the year, while the North Star 50 Index surged nearly 40% [2] Sector Performance - The military equipment sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Changcheng Military Industry, Hunan Tianyan, and Beifang Navigation hitting the daily limit [5] - Other active sectors included gaming, brain-computer interfaces, and photovoltaics, while the financial sector underperformed [5] Capital Flow - Main capital inflows were observed in the defense, media, and electronics sectors, while there were net outflows from non-bank financials, banks, and non-ferrous metals [5] - Notable net inflows included Chengfei Integration (6.95 billion), Dongxin Peace (5.15 billion), and Rongfa Nuclear Power (5.13 billion) [5] - Conversely, Hengbao Co., Tianfeng Securities, and Dongfang Fortune experienced significant net outflows of 7.32 billion, 6.62 billion, and 5.33 billion respectively [5] Institutional Insights - Dongfang Securities highlighted the ongoing development of AI and the expanding potential in the gaming sector [7] - Boxin Securities projected that the market may continue to rebound in the second half of the year, potentially reaching above 3,600 points if trading volume supports the trend [9] - Guocheng Investment noted that the index has completed a bottoming process and may strongly approach 3,700 points in the latter half of the year [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rapid growth and increasing popularity of ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) among investors due to their convenience, low fees, and stable investment styles [1] - Major securities firms are seizing the opportunities presented by the expanding ETF market, with leading firms like Huatai Securities dominating various segments of the ETF business [1][2] - As of the end of May, the total number of ETFs in the Shanghai market reached 691, with a total market value of 3 trillion yuan, while the Shenzhen market had 483 ETFs valued at 1.1 trillion yuan [2] Group 2 - In May, the top three securities firms by ETF trading volume on the Shanghai Stock Exchange were Huatai Securities, CITIC Securities, and Guotai Junan, with market shares of 11.3%, 9.35%, and 7.48% respectively [2] - By the end of May, China Galaxy Securities led in ETF holdings with a market share of 24.63%, followed by Shenwan Hongyuan Securities at 18.05% [3] - The trading account numbers for ETFs in May showed that Huatai Securities and East Money Securities each held over 10% of the market share in the Shanghai market [4] Group 3 - The ETF market has shown strong growth, with the total number of ETFs reaching 1,207 by June 29, a year-on-year increase of 24.05%, and total net assets growing by 73.03% to 4.28 trillion yuan [5] - Analysts predict that the Chinese ETF market is entering a historic expansion phase, with a focus on broad-based ETFs and thematic ETFs in sectors like technology and finance [5] - Securities firms are enhancing their ETF strategies to capture growth opportunities, with firms like China Merchants Securities focusing on the entire ETF value chain and Guohai Securities optimizing their product offerings [5][6]

利弗莫尔证券显示，上海锦江国际酒店股份有限公司向港交所提交上市申请，保荐人为 东方证券国 际。 ...

- The report introduces a dividend forecast model to predict the impact of dividends on index futures contracts, specifically for the July contracts of SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indices [6][10][19] - The model's construction involves estimating component stocks' net profits, calculating pre-tax dividend totals, assessing the impact of dividends on indices, and predicting the influence on futures contracts based on historical dividend timelines and weights [19][20][22] - The formula for estimating stock weights in the index is provided as: $$\mathrm{w_{it}={\frac{w_{i0}\times\mathrm{\(\1+R\)}}{\sum_{1}^{n}w_{i0}\times\mathrm{\(\1+R\)}}}}$$ where \(w_{i0}\) is the initial weight, and \(R\) is the price change ratio over the period [20] - The theoretical pricing model for futures under discrete dividend distribution is: $$F_t = (S_t - D)(1 + r)$$ where \(F_t\) is the futures price, \(S_t\) is the spot price, \(D\) is the present value of dividends, and \(r\) is the risk-free rate [25] - For continuous dividend distribution, the pricing model is: $$F_t = S_t e^{(r-d)(T-t)}$$ where \(d\) is the annualized dividend yield, and other variables are as defined above [26] - The model predicts dividend points for July contracts as follows: SSE 50 (28.77), CSI 300 (27.38), CSI 500 (13.98), and CSI 1000 (12.41) [6][10][13] - The annualized hedging costs (excluding dividends) for July contracts are: SSE 50 (-3.60%), CSI 300 (1.05%), CSI 500 (6.74%), and CSI 1000 (9.50%) [6][10][13] - The remaining impact of dividends on July contracts is estimated as: SSE 50 (1.06%), CSI 300 (0.70%), CSI 500 (0.24%), and CSI 1000 (0.20%) [13] - The report evaluates the model as a useful tool for identifying arbitrage opportunities and managing hedging costs, particularly in the context of dividend season [6][7][10]

Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange has decided to terminate the review of Zhejiang Changcheng Mixing Equipment Co., Ltd.'s application for an initial public offering (IPO) and listing on the Growth Enterprise Market [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Changcheng Mixing is a high-tech enterprise specializing in the research, development, production, sales, and service of mixing equipment, customizing products based on customer needs to meet specific application requirements [3]. - As of the signing date of the prospectus, the company has no controlling shareholder [4]. Group 2: Shareholding Structure - A group of seven individuals, including Yu Peiqing and Jin Youxiang, collectively holds 90.47% of the company's shares, with direct holdings of 89.42% [4]. - Yu Peiqing and others have signed a concerted action agreement, which remains effective until three years after the company's IPO and listing [4]. Group 3: IPO Details - The company originally planned to issue no more than 45 million shares, accounting for at least 25% of the total share capital post-issue [5]. - The intended fundraising amount was approximately 434.05 million yuan, aimed at expanding production capacity and establishing a research and development center [5][6]. Group 4: Project Investment - The total investment for the mixing equipment production expansion project is approximately 380.19 million yuan, with 374.25 million yuan expected to be funded from the IPO proceeds [6]. - The research and development center construction project has a total investment of about 70.29 million yuan, with 59.79 million yuan planned to be raised from the IPO [6].

Core Viewpoint - The audit report highlights weaknesses in financial risk management among certain financial institutions, including issues related to non-compliance in asset disposal and improper lending practices. Financial Risk Weaknesses - The audit report indicates that while financial risks are being effectively managed, there are still notable weaknesses, such as six banks issuing a total of 20.968 billion yuan in development loans to real estate projects lacking complete documentation since 2022 [3] - Seven banks failed to adhere to guidelines that differentiate between the overall risk of real estate companies and the risks of individual projects when issuing loans [3] - Five banks exhibited inadequate supervision over unusual account fund flows, leading to 11 local financing platforms raising 24.743 billion yuan from the public, primarily to repay existing debts [4] Improper Disposal of Non-Performing Assets - The audit revealed that major banks, including the Agricultural Development Bank of China and the Export-Import Bank of China, did not classify 19.38 billion yuan in loans as non-performing despite borrowers being unable to repay [6] - Three local small and medium-sized banks concealed 31.8 billion yuan in non-performing loans by extending repayment periods and adjusting repayment plans, resulting in a true non-performing loan ratio of 2.77%, significantly higher than the national average [7] Non-Compliance in Lending Practices - The report noted that the Agricultural Development Bank of China issued loans to 270 enterprises with fabricated documents from November 2020 to 2024, indicating a lack of due diligence [13] - The Export-Import Bank of China engaged in improper fundraising practices by linking deposit and loan rates, increasing financing costs for enterprises [13] - The report emphasizes that issues identified in policy banks are indicative of broader risks faced by many commercial banks [14] Trends in Deposit Competition - As major state-owned banks have lowered deposit rates, the phenomenon of "deposit migration" has intensified, leading to unconventional deposit solicitation methods [15] - Some banks have offered promotional activities, such as deposits linked to popular IP products, reflecting the pressure on banks to attract deposits [16] - A report from Dongfang Securities indicates that while the overall deposit gap in the banking sector has eased since 2025, state-owned banks still face significant deposit shortages, highlighting a divergence in deposit growth between large and small banks [17][18]

Core Viewpoint - The company is implementing a differentiated profit distribution plan for 2024, which includes a cash dividend of 4.00 RMB per 10 shares, while excluding repurchased shares from profit distribution [2][3][4]. Group 1: Reasons for Differentiated Dividend - The company approved a share repurchase plan using excess funds, with a maximum repurchase price of 220 RMB per share and a total repurchase amount between 100 million RMB and 200 million RMB [1]. - The repurchase plan was completed with 1,743,788 shares bought back, representing 1.1158% of the total share capital [1]. Group 2: Details of the Differentiated Dividend Plan - The cash dividend will be distributed based on the total share capital minus the shares held in the repurchase account, resulting in a total of 154,533,647 shares eligible for distribution [2][3]. - The total cash dividend to be distributed amounts to 61,813,458.80 RMB, calculated as 154,533,647 shares multiplied by 0.40 RMB per share [3]. Group 3: Calculation Basis for the Dividend - The company will not conduct capital reserve transfers or issue new shares, and the remaining undistributed profits will be carried forward to future years [3][4]. - The reference price for ex-dividend trading will be calculated based on the previous closing price adjusted for the cash dividend [4]. Group 4: Verification by Intermediary Institutions - The sponsoring institution has confirmed that the differentiated profit distribution plan complies with relevant laws and regulations, ensuring no harm to the interests of the company and its shareholders [4][5].