8月25日上海市六部门联合印发《关于优化调整本市房地产政策措施的通知》。8月29日晚间，有中国银 行、农业银行、建设银行、招商银行、平安银行、光大银行、北京银行、江苏银行、南京银行等多家银 行上海市分行通过官方微信公众号发布《关于优化调整商业性个人住房贷款利率定价机制的公告》，各 家银行《公告》内容一致。新增方面，在利率定价机制安排上，各行不再区分首套住房和二套住房。每 位客户商业性个人住房贷款的具体利率水平，将根据上海市市场利率定价自律机制要求，并结合本行经 营状况、客户风险状况等因素合理确定。对于上海二套房业主来说，如果在9月1日以后申请房贷，最低 利率有望达到3.09%，与首套房房贷利率保持一致。而存量房贷利率为3.45%的二套房贷款可申请降低 房贷利率至3.36%。这与人民银行上海市分行此前发布的调整要求相一致。（21财经） ...

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai's housing market has introduced new mortgage interest rate pricing mechanisms, eliminating the distinction between first and second home loans, aiming to optimize the real estate policy in the city [1][4]. Group 1: New Mortgage Policies - The new mortgage interest rate pricing mechanism will no longer differentiate between first and second homes, with rates determined based on the Shanghai market interest rate self-discipline mechanism and individual bank conditions [2][4]. - For new loans, the specific interest rate will be set according to market conditions and customer risk profiles [2][4]. Group 2: Existing Loan Adjustments - Existing loan policies will continue to follow the adjustments made in October of the previous year, allowing for the adjustment of interest rates on certain second home loans if they exceed the average new loan rate by 30 basis points [2][3]. - The minimum interest rate for second home loans applied after September 1 is expected to align with the first home loan rate at 3.09%, while existing loans at 3.45% could be reduced to 3.36% [3]. Group 3: Regulatory Framework - The central bank's adjustments include guidelines for banks to ensure compliance with market order and to provide clear communication regarding the new policies to borrowers [4]. - Banks are expected to enhance their pricing autonomy while maintaining consistency in mortgage pricing across the sector [4].

Regulatory Voice - The People's Bank of China, the Financial Regulatory Administration, and the National Forestry and Grassland Administration jointly issued a notice to support high-quality development in forestry, proposing 15 specific measures across five areas, including financial services for collective forest rights reform and enhancing financial support for strategic forestry initiatives [1] Industry Focus - Several small and medium-sized banks have announced a reduction in RMB deposit rates, with decreases ranging from 10 to 20 basis points, including adjustments to the 3-year fixed deposit rates by banks such as Jiangsu Bank and Nanjing Bank [2] Personal Pension Products - The ninth batch of personal pension financial products was released, with two new products added by China Post Investment Management, bringing the total to 37 products supported by the registration center. The new products are primarily fixed-income investments, focusing on bonds while including a small portion of equity and derivative assets [3] Corporate Dynamics - Zhejiang International Trade Group and Zhejiang Oriental Financial Holding Group have increased their shareholding in Hangzhou United Bank to 6.06% and 3.94%, respectively, following the approval of share transfers by the Zhejiang Regulatory Bureau [4] - Shengjing Bank announced plans to delist from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with Shengjing Financial Holdings and its concerted parties proposing a cash offer to acquire all issued H-shares for HKD 2.967 billion and domestic shares for CNY 3.929 billion [5] - Three banks in Sichuan, namely Chengdu Bank, Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank, and Sichuan Bank, are planning to jointly establish a wealth management company, with preparations already underway [6] - Jilin Rural Commercial Bank has been approved to commence operations, marking the establishment of the 11th provincial-level rural commercial bank in China [7]

Market Overview - The city commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.92% on August 29, with Suzhou Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3857.93, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12696.15, up 0.99% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Xi'an Bank saw a significant increase of 10.00%, closing at 4.18, with a trading volume of 1.51 million shares and a transaction value of 623 million yuan [1] - Qingdao Bank and Xiamen Bank also reported slight increases of 1.03% and 0.75%, respectively [1] - Conversely, Suzhou Bank experienced a decline of 2.40%, closing at 8.12, with a trading volume of 744,000 shares and a transaction value of 612 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The city commercial bank sector had a net outflow of 1.793 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 913 million yuan [2] - The capital flow data indicates that retail investors are showing interest in the sector despite the overall decline [2] Detailed Capital Flow by Stock - Xi'an Bank had a net inflow of 99.76 million yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 42.89 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Hangzhou Bank also saw a net inflow of 61.29 million yuan from institutional investors, but retail investors withdrew 35.94 million yuan [3] - In contrast, Qilu Bank experienced a significant net outflow of 62.93 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 35.68 million yuan [3]

Key Insights - The report highlights the stable recovery of the macroeconomic environment, with Japan's GDP growth exceeding expectations in Q2 and manufacturing PMI showing unexpected improvement, leading to a rise in the Nikkei 225 index to a historical high [2][3] - The report emphasizes the investment opportunities in the "AI+" sector, particularly in hardware and infrastructure, driven by government policies promoting AI development [3][4] - The report discusses the performance of specific companies, such as Xiaoxiong Electric and Water Well, noting their revenue growth and strategic focus on product innovation and channel health [5][6][10][12] Company Performance - Xiaoxiong Electric reported a total revenue of 2.535 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18.94%, with a net profit of 205 million yuan, up 27.32% [5] - Water Well's H1 2025 revenue was 1.5 billion yuan, with a net profit decline of 56.5%, indicating challenges in demand but a focus on channel health [6] - Guolian Minsheng's H1 2025 revenue reached 4.011 billion yuan, a significant increase of 269%, with net profit soaring by 1185% due to the consolidation of Minsheng Securities [7] Industry Trends - The "AI+" initiative is expected to accelerate the development of related industries, with a focus on hardware such as AI glasses and smart home devices [3] - The report notes the increasing demand for data center services, with companies like WanGuo Data expanding their operations and achieving significant order growth [16] - The banking sector shows signs of stability, with several banks reporting steady growth in net profit and revenue, indicating a resilient financial environment [10][19][23]

| | | | 早见:八尺中十九 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要会计数据 | 2025 年 1-6 月 | 2024年1-6月 | 同比增减 | 2023 年 1-6 月 | | | | | (%) | | | 经营业绩 | | | | | | 营业收入 | 28, 480, 211 | 26, 215, 568 | 8. 64 | 24, 303, 937 | | 营业利润 | 15, 356, 880 | 14, 123, 051 | 8.74 | 12, 888, 988 | | 利润总额 | 15, 340, 688 | 14, 102, 989 | 8.78 | 12, 899, 648 | | 归属于上市公司股东净利润 | 12, 619, 215 | 11, 594, 146 | 8.84 | 10, 684, 857 | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经 | 12, 520, 620 | 11, 476, 892 | 9.09 | 10, 378, 032 | | 常性损益后的净利润 | | | | | | 经营活动产生/(使用)的现金流 | ...

浙商证券研报指出，南京银行25H1营收和归母利润增速均环比提升，呈现U型改善态势，略好于市场预 期。展望全年，营收、利润增速有望继续维持大个位数增长，主要考虑上半年生息资产高增，为全年营 收打下良好基础。测算25Q2息差环比下降10bp至1.31%，主要受资产收益率下行幅度大于负债成本率影 响。上半年南京银行持股1%以上的股东持续增持，主动增持金额近60亿元，显示了股东对南京银行未 来发展的信心和价值的认可。认为不排除主要股东继续增持的可能，主要考虑大股东受转债摊薄影响， 持股比例较历史高位和持股上限还有空间。目标价为15.70元/股，对应25年PB1.04倍，现价空间39%， 维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - In the first half of 2025, Nanjing Bank's revenue and profit growth accelerated, continuing a "U" shaped trend, supported by regional advantages and a stable net interest margin [1][9] Financial Performance - Nanjing Bank reported a revenue of 28.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.62 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year [2][3] - The bank's net interest income grew by 22.1% year-on-year, driven by increased volume and improved pricing [3][4] - Non-interest income increased by 6.7%, primarily from growth in custody, guarantee, agency, and consulting services [3] Revenue and Profit Drivers - The main contributors to profit growth were scale expansion, operating expenses, and non-interest income, with respective positive contributions of 17.54%, 0.94%, and 0.67% [4] - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) was 1.86%, with a restored NIM of 1.38%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5 basis points [4][6] Asset Quality - Nanjing Bank maintained excellent asset quality, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.84%, slightly up by 1 basis point [8] - The bank's credit cost decreased to 0.79%, while the provision coverage ratio fell to 311.7% [8] Capital Position - The successful conversion of "Nanjing Convertible Bonds" improved the bank's capital position, with the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio rising to 9.47% [9][10] - The bank's annualized average return on equity was 15.32%, indicating strong profitability [9] Market Outlook - Nanjing Bank is expected to achieve nearly double-digit growth in revenue and profit for the full year, supported by favorable regional conditions and strong asset quality [4][10] - The bank's stock is currently trading at 0.76 times the 2025 price-to-book ratio, with a projected dividend yield of 4.75%, indicating a balance of growth and dividend attributes [10]

Core Viewpoint - Nanjing Bank demonstrates robust growth and stability in its operations, aligning with its new five-year strategic plan, showcasing a balanced development across strategic business segments and overall positive quality improvement [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - As of June 30, Nanjing Bank's total assets reached 2.9 trillion yuan, an increase of nearly 12% from the end of the previous year [2] - The bank's deposit scale was 1.64 trillion yuan, and loan scale was 1.38 trillion yuan, growing by 9.98% and 10.41% respectively compared to the previous year [2] - Operating income was 28.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.64%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.6 billion yuan, up 8.84% year-on-year [2] - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 0.84%, with a provision coverage ratio of 311.65%, indicating good asset quality [2] Group 2: Business Segment Development - Nanjing Bank focuses on differentiated competitive advantages in sectors such as technology innovation, investment banking, green finance, and inclusive finance, leading to balanced growth across three major business segments [3] - Retail business revenue surged by 21.4% year-on-year to 7.6 billion yuan, contributing 829 million yuan in profit [3] - The corporate loan segment exceeded 1 trillion yuan, increasing by 119 billion yuan since the beginning of the year, enhancing credit support for the real economy [3] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Nanjing Bank actively supports national and local development strategies, increasing financial supply to key areas, and enhancing financial services for high-quality economic development [4] - The bank has launched various innovative financial products, including technology innovation bonds and green loans, to support the transformation of traditional industries and promote sustainable development [4] - As of June 30, the balance of green finance loans reached 258.3 billion yuan, an increase of 56.2 billion yuan, representing a growth rate of nearly 28% [4] Group 4: International and Consumer Services - Nanjing Bank is optimizing its cross-border financial product and service system, enhancing international business and free trade zone collaboration [5] - The bank has introduced digital products to support foreign trade enterprises, serving 1,257 small and micro foreign trade enterprises [5] - In the consumer finance sector, the bank has launched various initiatives to stimulate consumption, including the "Su Travel Loan" and support for the "old-for-new" policy in key consumer areas [6]

证券研究报告 南京银行 (601009 CH) 信贷有力投放，业绩稳步提升 华泰研究 中报点评 投资评级(维持): 买入 目标价(人民币): 14.79 沈娟 研究员 SAC No. S0570514040002 SFC No. BPN843 贺雅亭 研究员 heyating@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 李润凌* 联系人 SAC No. S0570123090022 lirunling@htsc.com 蒲葭依 联系人 SAC No. S0570123070039 SFC No. BVL774 pujiayi@htsc.com +(86) 755 8249 2388 基本数据 | 目标价 (人民币) | 14.79 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 (人民币 截至 8 月 28 日) | 11.28 | | 市值 (人民币百万) | 139,461 | | 6 个月平均日成交额 (人民币百万) | 604.63 | | 52 周价格范围 (人民币) | 9.67-12.15 | | BVPS (人民币) | 16.71 | 股价走势图 (6) 5 15 26 36 Aug ...