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研判2026!中国光伏储能行业政策、产业链、装机规模、产值、市场规模、企业布局情况及发展趋势:未来十年光伏储能市场规模有望迎来爆发式增长[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2026-01-29 01:28
内容概要:光伏储能即光伏储能系统,是一种将光伏发电与储能技术相结合的一种能源解决方案。目 前,光伏储能行业正处于快速增长阶段。光伏储能系统核心硬件(电池、PCS、BMS等)的供给已具备 大规模量产基础,技术成熟度较高的常规储能产品供给充足,可适配多数电源侧、用户侧光伏配储项目 的基础需求。光伏储能系统集成端的供给能力已从单一标准化配置,转向多场景定制化供给。受国内光 伏配置储能项目年度装机数量以及系统价格变动的影响,近年来我国光伏储能系统市场规模呈现出较大 的波动性,截至2024年底,中国已投运光伏配置储能项目累计装机规模达到15.55GW/36.60GWh,光伏 配置储能项目新增装机容量为7.31GW/18.42GWh,光伏储能市场规模为115.68亿元,行业产值为122.22 亿元。未来十年,光伏储能行业将成为新能源革命的核心赛道,市场规模有望迎来爆发式增长。 上市企业:阿特斯[688472]、晶科能源[JKS]、隆基绿能[601012]、通威股份[600438]、阳光电源[300274] 相关企业:宁德时代、比亚迪、阳光电源、派能科技、德业股份、海博思创、科华数据、江苏海四达电 源、湖南科力远、盛虹集团 ...
马斯克的“太空光伏梦”,离不开中国供应链
3 6 Ke· 2026-01-28 11:06
经历过集体亏损至暗时刻的中国光伏,能否因马斯克的太空光伏计划开启新的产业叙事? 太空光伏,正在改写中国光伏企业的"价值锚点"。作为全球光伏制造的主导力量,中国企业正成为马斯克太空能源蓝图中,不可回避的 供应链核心。 近日,A股市场掀起一轮"太空光伏"热潮,光伏板块整体仍在持续升温,延续强势行情。1月26日,润泽新能盘中触及20%涨停板并保持 封板状态,拓日新能、亚玛顿、协鑫集成、明阳智能等涨停。到1月28日,盘面开始分化,但光伏胶膜、BIPV等细分方向仍延续上涨趋 势。 这次引爆行情的直接触发点来自1月22日的达沃斯论坛:马斯克在会上公开表示,SpaceX与特斯拉正联手在美国建设年产能达200GW的 光伏生产基地,预计三年内投产,主要用于地面数据中心和太空AI卫星供电。根据估算,200GW的规划规模接近美国全国电力需求的四 分之一,如此宏大的规划,使得"太空光伏"这一原本偏研究层面的概念,被推向商业化叙事的前台。 一家光伏技术公司炎和科技创始人冯凡表示:" 当下资本市场对太空光伏的高预期并不异常,因为资本通常在技术萌芽期就介入,而不 是等成熟后再关注。AI和商业航天就是典型例子"。 市场的亢奋情绪背后,是昙花 ...
隆基绿能2025年亏损收窄
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2026-01-28 02:45
根据公告,尽管业绩承压,隆基绿能仍持续以高价值、场景化解决方案为核心塑造差异化竞争优势,凭 借长期积累的领先产品、全球化渠道和品牌优势,组件产品市占率维持领先地位,高效BC二代产品良 率达成预期,出货量快速增长。 隆基绿能相关负责人表示,此次业绩亏损主要受制于产品价格持续低迷和成本压力。光伏企业去年的经 营环境依然严峻复杂。去年第四季度银浆、硅料等产品成本大幅上涨,显著推升了硅片、电池及组件产 品成本,使得企业经营进一步承压。 中化新网讯 1月18日,隆基绿能科技股份有限公司(以下简称隆基绿能)披露2025年业绩预告,预计2025 年归属于上市公司股东的净亏损为60亿至65亿元。值得关注的是,尽管2025年仍处于亏损状态,但相比 2024年亏损86.18亿元,隆基绿能业绩修复态势明显。 ...
隆基绿能成立两家新公司,含无人飞行器业务
Qi Cha Cha· 2026-01-28 02:30
(原标题:隆基绿能成立两家新公司,含无人飞行器业务) 企查查APP显示,近日,山西榆锦绿储新能源有限公司、山西襄锦绿储新能源有限公司成立,法定代表人同为何江涛,经营范围均包含:新材料 技术推广服务;资源循环利用服务技术咨询;智能无人飞行器销售等。企查查股权穿透显示,二者皆由隆基绿能(601012)间接全资持股. 相关ETF 汽车零部件ETF (产品代码: 562700) ★ 跟踪:中证汽车零部件主题指数 沂五日涨跌: -2.30% 资金流向: 最新份额为6744.6万份,减 少了300.0万份,净申 赎-412.0万元。 估值分位:7.93% 新能源车ETF 市盈率: 33.21倍 资金流向: 最新份额为1.8亿份, 增加 了0.0份,净申赎0.0元。 估值分位: 66.78% 智能车ETF (产品代码:159888) ★ 跟踪:中证智能汽车主题指数 近五日涨跌: - 0.94% 市盈率: 33.31倍 (产品代码: 515030) ★ 跟踪:中证新能源汽车指数 近五日涨跌: -0.15% 市盈率:34.01倍 资金流向: 最新份额为22.1亿份,增加 了400.0万份, 净申赎783.8 厅元。 估值分位: ...
光伏反内卷攻坚,政企同心方得始终
第一财经· 2026-01-27 13:08
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a deep reform to combat internal competition, with regulatory measures and policy adjustments reflecting a commitment to high-quality development. However, many companies are still facing significant losses, indicating that this battle is not a short-term fix but a necessary step to resolve structural issues within the industry [2][5]. Industry Performance - Major companies like Tongwei Co., Ltd. and LONGi Green Energy are projected to incur substantial losses in 2025, with estimated net losses of 9 to 10 billion yuan and 6 to 6.5 billion yuan respectively. Other companies such as JA Solar, JinkoSolar, and Trina Solar are also expected to report significant losses, highlighting the severe challenges faced by the industry [2][3]. - The average gross margin for the entire industry is only 3.64%, with many companies trapped in a cycle of "production equals loss" due to oversupply and rising raw material costs [3][4]. Causes of Losses - The industry's performance crisis is primarily attributed to excessive homogenous production capacity and fierce price competition, compounded by soaring raw material costs. The supply of silicon materials is projected to exceed global demand by more than double over the next three years, leading to a significant imbalance [3][4]. - The price of silver, a key material in photovoltaic cells, has surged by 231% in 2025, pushing companies to adopt cost-cutting measures at the expense of technological innovation and quality [4][5]. Recommendations for Improvement - Companies must shift their focus from price competition to technological innovation and quality improvement, investing in advanced battery technologies such as TOPCon, BC, and ABC to enhance efficiency and reduce costs [4][6]. - The industry needs to establish self-regulatory standards to combat unfair competition practices, such as selling below cost and misrepresenting product capabilities, while promoting collaboration among companies to consolidate resources [4][6]. Government Role - Government policies and regulatory actions are crucial for supporting the industry's reform efforts. A unified and clear policy direction is necessary to stabilize market expectations and foster industry consensus [5][6]. - Regulatory bodies should enhance oversight on low-price dumping and set higher energy consumption and environmental standards for mature production stages, while also optimizing bidding rules to prioritize technology and quality over price [5][6]. Future Outlook - The photovoltaic industry is at a critical juncture, with the potential for recovery as companies begin to reduce losses and improve profitability. Analysts suggest that the industry may see a turning point in profitability by early 2026 [6][7]. - A collaborative effort between companies and government is essential to ensure that innovation becomes the cornerstone of industry development, allowing China to transition from a manufacturing hub to a center of innovation in the global energy transformation [7].
多数光伏企业2025年延续亏损状态,部分企业锚定2026年业绩扭亏
第一财经· 2026-01-27 12:49
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry in A-shares is facing significant losses, with many leading companies projecting substantial pre-loss figures for 2025 due to a challenging operating environment and supply-demand imbalances [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - Major PV companies are expected to report significant pre-loss figures for 2025, including Tongwei Co. with a projected loss of 9 to 10 billion yuan, LONGi Green Energy with 6 to 6.5 billion yuan, and JinkoSolar with 5.9 to 6.9 billion yuan [2]. - The overall operating environment remains difficult, with many companies experiencing nine consecutive quarters of losses since Q4 2023, driven by price declines and insufficient end-demand [3]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The PV module prices are under pressure due to "involutionary competition" and a lack of terminal demand, with market transaction prices around 0.6 yuan per watt expected in mid-2025 [3]. - The industry is witnessing a supply surplus, with production rates declining across various segments, while core material prices, such as silver, continue to rise [3]. Group 3: Recovery Efforts and Future Goals - Some companies are beginning to emerge from the loss cycle, with LONGi Green Energy projecting a maximum reduction in losses of 30.38% and Aiko Solar up to 77.44% compared to 2024 [4]. - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association noted a 16.9% year-on-year decline in revenue for the main industry chain in the first three quarters of 2025, but an improvement in gross margins to 3.64% [4]. - Several leading PV companies have set profit targets for 2026, with Trina Solar aiming for a net profit of no less than 200 million yuan and LONGi Green Energy targeting positive net profits in subsequent years [5].
多数光伏企业2025年延续亏损状态,部分企业锚定2026年业绩扭亏
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-27 10:56
隆基绿能分析称,2025年,光伏行业供需错配、低价内卷式竞争持续,开工率维持低位,同时国内电力 市场化改革不断深入,海外贸易壁垒持续加剧,导致了光伏企业经营环境严峻复杂。 不过,随着"反内卷"的持续深入,部分光伏企业正走出亏损"泥潭"——相较2024年,隆基绿能最高预计 减亏30.38%、爱旭股份最高减亏77.44%。 中国光伏行业协会名誉理事长王勃华此前公开指出,2025年前三季度,光伏主产业链环节营业收入同比 下降16.9%,但毛利率持续改善至3.64%,其中第三季度达5.61%,同时产能无序扩张得到有效控制。 此外,值得一提的是,虽然光伏行业整体仍深陷亏损的寒冬,多家光伏龙头近期在股权激励等方案中制 定了2026年利润转正的目标。 "预亏"成为各光伏企业2025年业绩预告单的关键词。 随着2025年业绩预告的陆续披露,A股光伏上市企业的经营状况已经逐步明晰。整体来看,第一财经记 者注意到,因受经营环境和行业供需影响,多数光伏企业仍延续亏损状态。 "预亏"成为各家业绩预告单的关键词。以出货量领先的头部企业为例,2025年,通威股份 (600438.SH)预亏90亿元至100亿元;隆基绿能(601012.S ...
隆基绿能创始人李振国:光伏出海不止是“卖东西”,更输出了最好的技术
中国光伏在支撑全球的能源转型,为全人类的可持续发展做出了贡献。 他举例称,近两年中国每年生产约500GW的光伏组件,制造这些组件需消耗约2000亿度电,相当于25 座核反应堆的发电量。 1月27日,隆基绿能创始人李振国在亚洲金融论坛上表示,技术领先性是企业全球化的第一要素,中国 光伏产业对全球能源转型做出的巨大贡献。 李振国在发言中回顾了隆基绿能过去的发展历程,自豪地表示隆基推动并引领了全球光伏行业的技术进 步与成本降低。他指出,在过去的15年里,光伏发电的成本降低了95%,这使得光伏在今天全球绝大多 数国家和地区,已经成为当地最便宜的电力能源,有力支撑了全球的能源转型和碳中和进程。 谈及中国光伏产业的全球地位,李振国指出,中国目前占据了全球80%的光伏组件生产量。 针对中国企业"走出去"的战略,李振国分享了隆基的经验。他认为,真正的"走出去"必须将技术领先性 放在第一位。 "我们拿出去的技术也是我们最好的技术,不仅仅是到那边去卖东西。"李振国表示。同时,他也提到在 海外建厂及资本合作过程中,香港作为一个很好的中转平台,为企业联合海外基金、获得资本支持提供 了重要助力。 ...
BC电池概念涨3.09%,主力资金净流入22股
资金面上看,今日BC电池概念板块获主力资金净流出1.28亿元,其中,22股获主力资金净流入,5股主 力资金净流入超亿元,净流入资金居首的是中来股份,今日主力资金净流入3.13亿元,净流入资金居前 的还有捷佳伟创、赛伍技术、隆基绿能等,主力资金分别净流入3.00亿元、2.45亿元、1.29亿元。 资金流入比率方面,赛伍技术、中来股份、裕兴股份等流入比率居前,主力资金净流入率分别为 18.15%、14.83%、7.75%。 BC电池概念资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅 | 今日换手率 | 主力资金流量(万 | 主力资金净流入比率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | (%) | 元) | (%) | | 300393 | 中来股 份 | 13.25 | 25.21 | 31259.52 | 14.83 | | 300724 | 捷佳伟 创 | 3.89 | 16.81 | 30009.09 | 4.71 | | 603212 | 赛伍技 术 | 10.01 | 18.68 | 24463.51 | 18.15 | | 601012 | ...
壹快评丨光伏反内卷攻坚,政企同心方得始终
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-27 04:26
企业作为市场主体,是反内卷的核心执行者,其自觉与努力决定着反内卷的实际成效,而当前全行业的 业绩困境,正是低价内卷叠加成本压力的集中恶果。2025年的光伏行业,鲜有企业能独善其身,从头部 龙头到细分领域玩家,业绩预亏成为行业常态,亏损规模与范围均创下历史新高—— 笔者认为,唯有企业筑牢自律自觉的根基,政府打出协同一致的政策组合拳,将反内卷坚持到底,才能 让光伏行业彻底走出低价厮杀的泥潭,回归技术创新与价值创造的核心赛道。 通威股份(600438.SH)预计2025年净亏损90亿~100亿元,隆基绿能(601012.SH)预亏60亿~65亿元, 两大龙头的巨亏直接折射出行业的严峻形势,其中隆基绿能明确提及四季度银浆、硅料成本大幅上涨进 一步推升了产品成本,加剧经营压力;晶澳科技(002459.SZ)、晶科能源(688223.SH)、天合光能 (688599.SH)归母净利润分别预亏45亿~48亿元、59亿~69亿元、超42亿元,组件赛道的价格战厮杀已 到白热化阶段,天合光能更坦言受硅料、银浆等原材料成本上涨影响,组件业务盈利能力同比下滑;硅 料龙头大全能源(688303.SH)持续亏损,虽三季度起硅料价格呈现恢 ...