事件描述 息差：绝对水平领先行业，存款成本率加速下行。Q1 净息差2.61%，较2024 全年下降10BP，绝对值显 著高于银行同业。贷款收益率预计继续下行，测算Q1 生息资产收益率4.52%，较2024 全年下降25BP， 主要反映重定价及零售贷款占比下降影响，未来资产端收益率预计仍将继续下降。负债成本加速下行， 测算Q1 计息负债成本率2.06%，较2024 全年下降17BP，常熟银行零售定期存款占比较高，随着前期存 款到期重定价，以及存款结构将不断优化，预计今年负债成本将持续压降，将有效缓解息差下行的压 力。 资产质量：不良率环比回落，关注零售不良新生成率改善预期。Q1 末不良率环比下降1BP，拨备覆盖 率环比回落，主要反映零售不良生成压力，但预计继续保持上市农商行最高，风险抵补实力雄厚，各项 资产质量指标仍显著优于同业。2024 全年不良净生成率同比上升51BP 至1.43%，反映行业零售产品风 险波动的共性压力。预计随着前期部分风险客户的暴露逐步充分，同时公司内部通过成立风险专班、持 续加大核销处置力度，结合延期还本付息等小微领域扶持政策，今年预计不良生成率有望企稳回落。 投资建议：业绩增速领先，长 ...

Core Viewpoint - Changshu Bank reported a slight decline in performance growth for Q1 2025, with revenue growth at 10.04%, pre-provision profit growth at 12.58%, and net profit growth at 13.81, while still maintaining a high level of performance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Changshu Bank's total assets increased by 6.67% year-on-year, with a total asset addition of 22.4 billion yuan, where financial investments contributed 11.7 billion yuan, accounting for 52.00% of the increase [2] - The bank's net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 2.61%, showing a year-on-year decline of 22 basis points but a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 2 basis points [4] - Non-interest income saw a significant increase of 62.01% year-on-year, driven by a 495.23% rise in net fee income and a 48.84% increase in other non-interest income [4] Group 2: Asset and Liability Management - Retail loan demand remains weak, with retail loan balance growing only 0.1% year-on-year, and a quarterly addition of 0.3 billion yuan, which is a decrease of 2.7 billion yuan year-on-year [2] - Corporate loans increased by 13.04% year-on-year, with a quarterly addition of 8.5 billion yuan, supporting overall loan growth [3] - The bank's deposit balance grew by 9.00% year-on-year, outpacing loan growth, with a notable increase in the proportion of demand deposits [3] Group 3: Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved to 0.76% at the end of Q1 2025, with a provision coverage ratio of 489.56%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [5] - The bank is focusing on enhancing retail risk management, expecting to see a turning point in NPL generation rates as retail risks are gradually addressed [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - The bank is projected to achieve a revenue growth of 9.71% and a profit growth of 13.39% for 2025, with a target price of 9.63 yuan, equivalent to a 0.90X price-to-book ratio [6]

事件：常熟银行披露2025 年一季报，1Q25 实现营收30 亿元，同比增长10.0%，实现归母净利润11 亿 元，同比增长13.8%。1Q25 不良率季度环比下降1bp 至0.76%，拨备覆盖率季度环比下降11pct 至 490%。 集中兑现债市投资收益叠加利息净收入平稳正增支撑营收延续双位数增长，业绩增速略有放缓但预计仍 保持行业第一梯队。1Q25 营收同比增长10.0%（2024：10.5%），归母净利润同比增长 13.8%（2024:16.2%）。细拆驱动因子，① 一季度非息收入高增，一方面源自4Q24 滞后反映债市浮 盈，另一方面也体现1Q25 国债利率明显回升前及时兑现的精准择时。1Q25 非息收入同比增长62%，贡 献营收增速9.3pct，投资相关其他非息增长49%（4Q24 同比下降17%），贡献营收增速7.1pct。② 以量 补价下利息净收入延续正增长。 1Q25 利息净收入同比增长0.9%，规模扩张（正贡献7.4pct）对冲息差收窄扰动（拖累6.7pct）。③ 主动 处置、增提拨备夯实资产质量，拨备小幅拖累利润增速0.3pct。 一季报关注点：① 信贷投放主动降速，全年主线回归小微本源、优 ...

Core Insights - The social security fund has disclosed its stock holdings, appearing in the top ten shareholders of 551 companies by the end of Q4 last year, with new investments in 159 companies and increased holdings in 151 companies [1][2] Group 1: Stock Holdings - The total number of shares held by the social security fund is 10.407 billion, with a total market value of 166.236 billion yuan [1] - The most significant holdings include Changshu Bank (601128) with 268.4005 million shares, Sun Paper (002078) with 159.4633 million shares, and Hisense Visual (600060) with 75.2357 million shares [1][2] - The highest holding percentage is in Changshu Bank at 8.90%, followed by Biyin Lefen (002832) at 8.33% [2] Group 2: Performance Metrics - Among the stocks held, 302 companies reported a year-on-year increase in net profit, with Guangxi Energy (600310) showing the highest growth of 3704.04% [2] - The average performance of the social security fund's heavy stocks has seen a slight decline of 0.04% this year, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [3] Group 3: Sector Distribution - The social security fund's holdings are primarily concentrated in the pharmaceutical and biological, basic chemicals, and machinery equipment sectors, with 62, 46, and 44 companies respectively [2]

银行 2025 年 4 月 28 日 常熟银行(601128.SH) 非息支撑营收稳健，资产质量保持优异 强烈推荐（维持） 股价：7.26 元 主要数据 | 行业 | 银行 | | --- | --- | | 公司网址 | www.csrcbank.com | | 大股东/持股 | 交通银行股份有限公司/9.01% | | 实际控制人 | | | 总股本(百万股) | 3,015 | | 流通 A 股(百万股) | 3,015 | | 流通 B/H 股(百万股) | | | 总市值（亿元） | 219 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | 219 | | 每股净资产(元) | 9.57 | | 资产负债率(%) | 91.9 | 行情走势图 相关研究报告 【平安证券】常熟银行（601128.SH）*年报点评*息差 显韧性，资产质量保持优异*强烈推荐20250328 证券分析师 | 袁喆奇 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060520080003 | | | YUANZHEQI052@pingan.com.cn | | 许淼 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S10605250 ...

A股银行板块震荡走强，重庆银行涨近3%，常熟银行、沪农商行、上海银行、农业银行、建设银行跟 涨。 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The Social Security Fund has significantly adjusted its stock holdings, with a total of 483 stocks appearing in the top ten circulating shareholders list, indicating active investment strategies and potential market trends [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Holdings and Changes - The Social Security Fund holds a total of 8.961 billion shares across 483 stocks, with a total market value of 142.383 billion yuan [1]. - There were 141 new stock positions and 130 increased holdings, while 124 stocks were reduced [1]. - The top three stocks by holding volume are Changshu Bank (26.840 million shares), Sun Paper (15.946 million shares), and Hisense Visual (7.524 million shares) [1][2]. Group 2: Stock Performance and Profit Growth - Among the stocks held, 278 companies reported year-on-year net profit growth, with Guangxi Energy showing the highest increase of 3,704.04%, followed by Andisoo and Hand Information with increases of 2,208.66% and 842.28% respectively [2]. - The average increase of the Social Security Fund's heavy stocks this year is 1.30%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2]. - The best-performing stock is Shuanglin Shares with a cumulative increase of 184.12%, while the largest decline is seen in Dekeli with a drop of 42.00% [2]. Group 3: Sector Distribution - The stocks held by the Social Security Fund are primarily concentrated in the pharmaceutical and biological, basic chemical, and machinery equipment sectors, with 55, 43, and 41 stocks respectively [2]. - The distribution of stocks includes 345 on the main board, 81 on the ChiNext board, and 57 on the Sci-Tech Innovation board [2].

Group 1: Key Insights on Gujinggong Liquor (古井贡酒) - The company reported 2024 revenue of 23.58 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.4%, and a net profit of 5.52 billion, up 20.2% year-on-year [12][16] - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 9.15 billion, growing 10.4% year-on-year, with net profit at 2.33 billion, a 12.8% increase [12][16] - The company maintains a buy rating with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 5.92 billion, 6.29 billion, and 6.63 billion respectively, reflecting growth rates of 7.3%, 6.3%, and 5.3% [16] Group 2: Key Insights on Chongqing Bank (重庆银行) - In Q1 2025, Chongqing Bank achieved revenue of 3.6 billion, a 5.3% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.6 billion, also up 5.3% [15][20] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.21%, with a provision coverage ratio rising to 248% [15][20] - The bank's loan growth accelerated, with a 16.4% year-on-year increase, driven by a more than 30% growth in corporate loans [20] Group 3: Industry Insights on Real Estate - The recent political bureau meeting emphasized the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, highlighting the need for high-quality housing supply [22][26] - The meeting also called for optimizing the policies for acquiring existing housing stock, indicating a proactive approach to address market challenges [26] - The real estate sector is viewed as crucial for economic stability, with ongoing support expected to enhance market conditions [22][26]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Changshu Bank [1] Core Views - Changshu Bank's Q1 2025 revenue reached 3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.0%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.1 billion yuan, up 13.8% year-on-year [4][6] - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased by 1 basis point to 0.76% quarter-on-quarter, and the provision coverage ratio fell by 11 percentage points to 490% [4][9] - The bank's performance remains strong, with revenue and profit growth placing it in the leading tier of the industry despite a slight slowdown in growth rates [6][9] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total operating revenue (in million yuan) is projected to grow from 9,870.29 in 2023 to 11,601.01 in 2025E, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.05% in 2023, 10.53% in 2024, and 6.34% in 2025E [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 3,281.50 million yuan in 2023 to 4,199.74 million yuan in 2025E, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.60% in 2023, 16.20% in 2024, and 10.14% in 2025E [5] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 13.69% in 2023, 14.12% in 2024, and 13.83% in 2025E [5] Key Operational Insights - The bank's non-interest income saw a significant increase of 62% year-on-year in Q1 2025, contributing 9.3 percentage points to revenue growth [6][9] - Interest income grew by 0.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, supported by asset expansion despite a narrowing interest margin [6][9] - Loan growth was 6.1% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with a focus on optimizing the loan structure and reducing risk exposure [6][11]

Core Insights - The performance of A-share listed rural commercial banks in 2024 shows significant growth, with notable leaders being Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank, whose revenue and net profit gaps are narrowing [1][2] - Changshu Bank stands out with the highest net interest margin among all rural commercial banks and A-share listed banks, achieving a net interest margin of 2.71% [3][5] - Many rural commercial banks have seen substantial increases in investment income due to favorable market conditions, with some banks reporting over 100% growth in this area [9][12] Group 1: Performance Comparison - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank achieved approximately 28.3 billion in revenue, while Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank reached about 26.6 billion, with both banks significantly outperforming others [2] - The net profit for Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank was 12.6 billion and 11.8 billion respectively, indicating a close competition [2] - The revenue gap between the two banks is around 1.5 billion, and the net profit gap is less than 1 billion [2] Group 2: Changshu Bank's Leadership - Changshu Bank's net interest margin of 2.71% is significantly higher than the average of other rural commercial banks, which are generally below 2.0% [3][5] - The bank's loan structure, with 56% of total loans being personal loans, contributes to its leading position in net interest margin [5] - The average interest rate on personal loans for Changshu Bank reached 6.8%, the highest among A-share listed rural commercial banks [6] Group 3: Investment Income Growth - Several rural commercial banks, including Zhangjiagang Bank, Zijin Bank, and Ruifeng Bank, reported investment income growth rates exceeding 100% [9] - Zhangjiagang Bank attributed its investment income increase to a significant expansion in its bond trading account [12] - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's investment income growth was driven by improved market analysis and diversified investment strategies [13]