汽车股集体走低，截至发稿，小鹏汽车-W(09868)跌4.62%，报73.25港元；长城汽车（601633）(02333) 跌4.54%，报13.24港元；广汽集团(02238)跌1.29%，报3.83港元。 国泰海通证券则表示，2025年全年，乘用车批发销量2990.8万辆，同比+9%。综合考虑新能源购置税优 惠退坡及2026年以旧换新政策力度边际减弱，我们预计2026年整体乘用车市场销量约3021万辆，同比 +1%，新能源乘用车销量约1685万辆，同比+10%。 消息面上，1月22日，乘联分会发布数据，1月狭义乘用车零售销量预计约为180万辆，环比下降 20.4%，同比微增0.3%。其中，新能源乘用车零售量预计达80.0万辆，渗透率约为44.4%。国金证券发布 研报称，1月处于政策衔接期，消费者观望情绪较强，上半月车市表现较弱。 ...

中国汽车产业向绿而行，正为全球汽车产业绿色转型注入关键动能。2025年，新能源汽车在中国国内新 车销量中占比超过50%，全球一半以上的新能源汽车行驶在中国。与此同时，中国新能源汽车全年出口 261.5万辆，同比增长一倍。中国汽车全产业链加速技术降本、规模降本，让绿色交通在各国特别是广 大发展中国家成为更加可及的发展选项。全球新能源汽车产业发展，不仅需要优质产品和技术供给，更 需要可落地的系统性解决方案。从中国实践看，绿色出行蔚然成风，离不开"里程焦虑"的逐步解 决。"十四五"时期，中国已建成全球最大电动汽车充电网络，可支撑超4000万辆新能源汽车充电需求。 日渐成熟的解决方案，为各国转型提供了借鉴。 筋骨强健的中国汽车产业正加速"走出去"，为各国发展直接赋能。从"产品出口"到"生态出海"，中国车 企坚持开放合作，被视为"开放战胜保护主义的生动案例"。近年来，中国车企在海外加快实施本土化战 略，建立海外工厂、完善本地供应链，让更多当地民众因产业升级而受益。比亚迪、长城等中国汽车品 牌在泰国东部经济走廊建厂，推动泰国汽车产业转型升级；江淮汽车在阿尔及利亚建立组装工厂，并为 当地员工提供专业技能培训；奇瑞与西班牙埃 ...

全指现金流ETF鹏华紧密跟踪中证全指自由现金流指数，中证全指自由现金流指数选取100只自由现金 流率较高的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映现金流创造能力较强的上市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，中证全指自由现金流指数(932365)前十大权重股分别为中国海油、上 汽集团、格力电器、中远海控、牧原股份、中国铝业、TCL科技、宝钢股份、长城汽车、正泰电器，前 十大权重股合计占比53.78%。 有色石油领涨市场，消息面上，现货黄金延续涨势，最新报每盎司5080.60美元，创历史新高，涨幅达 2%。现货白银盘中一度突破108美元/盎司，日内涨幅超过4.6%。此外，区域局势升温和美天然气价格 上涨，推动石油板块走高。 近期，现金流指数独有的"强周期资源"权重（如有色、化工）与市场热点高度共振，彰显了其作为工具 型产品的精准赛道价值和结构优势。展望后市，有机构指出：随着年报预告窗口开启及交易规则影响显 现，纯粹题材博弈将面临业绩与政策双检验，市场或回归理性。在全球避险与资源品定价权重估的背景 下，现金流指数重点布局的有色金属、化工、石化等板块的景气度和确定性突出。 截至2026年1月26日 1 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report indicates a transition from "stable volume and slow price" to "price increase and stable volume" for the automotive industry in 2026 [6][16] - The domestic demand for passenger vehicles is expected to show positive growth in 2026, supported by policies such as scrapping and replacement subsidies [27][28] - The report highlights that the average selling price (ASP) of passenger vehicles is projected to increase, with a notable rise in ASP observed in December 2025 [16][20] Summary by Sections 1. Passenger Vehicle Sales and Market Dynamics - In December 2025, domestic passenger vehicle sales reached 2.278 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 16.4% but a month-on-month increase of 13.6% [16] - The total sales for 2025 were 23.052 million units, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 0.6% [16] - The report notes that December's performance was significantly below seasonal norms, attributed to the suspension of scrapping subsidies in some regions [16] 2. ASP Trends and Market Expectations - The ASP for passenger vehicles in 2025 showed a year-on-year decline of 2.1%, with December 2025 ASP increasing by 13.7% compared to the previous year [16][20] - The report anticipates that the continuation of scrapping policies will enhance the sales of mid-to-high-end vehicles, contributing to price increases [27] 3. Inventory and Supply Chain Considerations - As of December 2025, the inventory of passenger vehicles stood at 4.708 million units, with a dynamic inventory-to-sales ratio of 2.48 [40] - The report suggests that short-term inventory risks are manageable, as leading domestic manufacturers may adjust production based on current demand [40] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on various companies within the passenger vehicle supply chain, including Geely, BYD, and Xpeng Motors for growth potential [6][27] - It also highlights companies like Great Wall Motors and SAIC Group as having potential turning points in their performance [6][27]

南方财经1月26日电，港股汽车股盘初下探，长城汽车跌超4%，蔚来-SW、零跑汽车、理想汽车-W跌超 2%，赛力斯、吉利汽车跟跌。 ...

今日具体限售解禁股情况如下： 智通财经APP获悉，1月26日共有8家上市公司的限售股解禁，解禁总市值约21.1亿元。 | 股票简称 | 股票代码 | 限售股类型 | 解禁股数 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 美丽生态 | 000010 | 股权激励限售流通 | 4548万 | | 佳电股份 | 000922 | 股权激励限售流通 | 23.65万 | | 南京医药 | 600713 | 股权激励限售流通 | 543.07万 | | 诺普信 | 002215 | 股权激励限售流通 | 443.38万 | | 长城汽车 | 601633 | 股权激励限售流通 | 1366.73万 | | 雪天盐业 | 600929 | 股权激励限售流通 | 51.36万 | | 天正电气 | 605066 | 股权激励限售流通 | 46.25万 | | 益方生物 | 688382 | | 1.61亿 | ...

本报记者 刘钊 1月23日，中欧协会智能网联汽车分会正式发布2025年度中国商用车品牌影响力指数报告。报告依据中 国汽车工业协会数据，以及商用车市场特有的政策导向与工具属性，采用差异化的科学评估模型，对重 卡、皮卡、轻卡、轻客四大核心细分领域进行了全景式量化分析。数据表明，2025年中国商用车市场整 体呈现出"结构高度稳定、传统龙头引领"的鲜明特征，中国一汽、东风、江铃汽车等车企凭借长期积淀 的产品可靠性、深厚的渠道网络与强大的品牌信任，在各自主导的细分领域构筑了坚实的竞争壁垒。 重卡市场呈现三强鼎立格局 政策响应与高效升级成主导逻辑 在作为商用车市场价值与技术高地的重卡领域，头部品牌格局异常稳固，形成了由三大领军企业主导的 鼎立之势。中国一汽以738.53分的综合影响力得分强势问鼎年度榜首，其高达17.50%的主流媒体声量占 比远超同业平均水平，这不仅彰显了其在国民经济命脉与重大项目建设中不可或缺的支柱地位，更体现 了其卓越的政策响应与权威背书能力；与此同时，99.53%的正面信息占比与满分级别的4.80分用户满意 度，则从市场端印证了其产品无与伦比的可靠性与深厚的用户口碑积淀。 | | 10-0.000 ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several companies in the automotive sector, indicating an expected performance that will exceed the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [5][22]. Core Insights - The change in subsidy policies has led to the disappearance of the tail effect in Q4 2025, resulting in a reduction of demand overdraw for 2026. In December 2025, the number of insured vehicles was 2.278 million, down 16.4% year-on-year but up 13.6% month-on-month. The total number of insured vehicles for the year reached 23.047 million, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, with the penetration rate of new energy vehicles rising to 54.0%, an increase of 7.1 percentage points year-on-year [4][7][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Changes in Subsidy Policies - The report highlights that the changes in subsidy policies have caused consumers to adopt a wait-and-see approach, leading to a decrease in demand overdraw for 2026. The expectation is that as replacement subsidy application channels open, pent-up demand will materialize, and the domestic terminal market will trend towards "price increase and stable volume" [4][7]. 2. PHEV Market Share Tracking - The focus is on the performance of PHEV market shares, particularly for BYD and Geely, as the "mid-level assisted driving equity" leads to share differentiation. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring configuration adjustments and terminal discount changes to understand further market share differentiation [9][16]. 3. Recent Report Insights - The report notes that the passenger vehicle inventory saw a slight reduction in December 2025, with an estimated 1.5 million vehicles in demand waiting to be fulfilled. The overall industry theme for 2025 was "emerging from deflation," with a judgment of "stable volume and slow price increase" being validated. The outlook for 2026 remains "price increase and stable volume," differing from market consensus due to regulatory changes and risk-return assessments [16][17]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a "shelf-style" investment approach, recommending various companies across the passenger vehicle chain. Right-side targets include Geely, BYD, and others, while left-side targets include Great Wall Motors and Changan Automobile. In the commercial vehicle chain, recommended companies include China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Weichai Power [17].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the automotive industry [22]. Core Insights - The report forecasts that the wholesale sales of passenger vehicles in China will reach 30.21 million units in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1%. The sales of new energy passenger vehicles are expected to be approximately 16.85 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 10% [20][21]. - In December 2025, the wholesale sales of passenger vehicles in China were 2.814 million units, a decrease of 9% year-on-year and a decrease of 7% month-on-month. For the entire year of 2025, the wholesale sales reached 29.908 million units, an increase of 9% year-on-year [7][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Total Passenger Vehicle Sales - In December 2025, the total wholesale sales of passenger vehicles in China were 2.814 million units, down 9% year-on-year and down 7% month-on-month. The wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles were 156.3 thousand units, up 3% year-on-year and down 8% month-on-month. For the entire year of 2025, the wholesale sales of passenger vehicles were 29.908 million units, up 9% year-on-year, while new energy passenger vehicle sales reached 1.5319 million units, up 25% year-on-year [7][8]. 2. Key Automotive Companies' December Sales - **BYD**: In December, BYD delivered 420 thousand vehicles, down 18% year-on-year and down 12% month-on-month. The overseas sales reached 132 thousand units, up 130% year-on-year [8][9]. - **Geely**: In December, Geely delivered 237 thousand vehicles, up 13% year-on-year. The 2026 sales target is set at 3.45 million units, a 14% increase from 2025 [10]. - **Changan**: In December, Changan delivered 257 thousand vehicles, down 19% year-on-year. The 2026 sales target is 3.3 million units, a 13% increase from 2025 [12]. - **Great Wall Motors**: In December, Great Wall Motors delivered 124 thousand vehicles, down 8% year-on-year. The company launched the "Guiyuan Platform" globally [13][14]. - **Li Auto**: In December, Li Auto delivered 44 thousand vehicles, down 24% year-on-year. The OTA 8.2 version was fully pushed [15]. - **Leap Motor**: In December, Leap Motor delivered 60 thousand vehicles, up 42% year-on-year. The 2026 sales target is set at 1 million units [16][17]. - **Xpeng Motors**: In December, Xpeng Motors delivered 38 thousand vehicles, achieving double growth year-on-year and month-on-month. The 2025 total deliveries reached 429 thousand units, up 126% year-on-year [18][19]. 3. Policy Impact and Market Outlook - The report notes that the effectiveness of the old-for-new vehicle policy is expected to diminish, with a projected total of over 11.5 million vehicles replaced in 2025, of which nearly 60% are new energy vehicles. The new policy for 2026 will shift from fixed subsidies to a "proportional subsidy + cap" model [20]. - The report anticipates that the reduction in new energy vehicle purchase tax incentives will lead to a more competitive market, pushing the industry towards higher performance and efficiency standards [21].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the automotive industry [22]. Core Insights - The report forecasts that the wholesale sales of passenger vehicles in China will reach 30.21 million units in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1%. The sales of new energy passenger vehicles are expected to be approximately 16.85 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 10% [20][21]. - The report highlights that the overall passenger vehicle market in December 2025 saw a wholesale sales volume of 2.814 million units, a decrease of 9% year-on-year and a decrease of 7% month-on-month. For the entire year of 2025, the wholesale sales volume was 29.908 million units, an increase of 9% year-on-year [7][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Total Passenger Vehicle Sales - In December 2025, the total wholesale sales of passenger vehicles in China were 2.814 million units, down 9.4% year-on-year and down 7.0% month-on-month. The wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles were 156.3 thousand units, up 3% year-on-year and down 8% month-on-month. For the entire year of 2025, the wholesale sales of passenger vehicles reached 29.908 million units, up 9% year-on-year, while new energy passenger vehicle sales were 1.5319 million units, up 25% year-on-year [7][8]. 2. Key Automotive Companies' December Sales - **BYD**: In December, BYD delivered 420 thousand new vehicles, down 18% year-on-year and down 12% month-on-month. The overseas sales reached 132 thousand units, up 130% year-on-year [8][9]. - **Geely**: In December, Geely delivered 237 thousand new vehicles, up 13% year-on-year. The 2026 sales target is set at 3.45 million units, a 14% increase from 2025 [10]. - **Changan**: In December, Changan delivered 257 thousand new vehicles, down 19% year-on-year. The 2026 sales target is 3.3 million units, a 13% increase from 2025 [12]. - **Great Wall Motors**: In December, Great Wall Motors delivered 124 thousand new vehicles, down 8% year-on-year. The company launched the "Guiyuan Platform" globally [13][14]. - **Li Auto**: In December, Li Auto delivered 44 thousand new vehicles, down 24% year-on-year. The OTA 8.2 version was fully pushed [15]. - **Leap Motor**: In December, Leap Motor delivered 60 thousand new vehicles, up 42% year-on-year. The 2026 sales target is set at 1 million units [16][17]. - **Xpeng Motors**: In December, Xpeng Motors delivered 38 thousand new vehicles, achieving growth in both year-on-year and month-on-month comparisons. The 2025 cumulative delivery was 429 thousand units, up 126% year-on-year [18][19]. 3. Policy Impact and Market Outlook - The report notes that the effectiveness of the old-for-new vehicle policy is expected to diminish, with the total number of vehicles replaced exceeding 11.5 million in 2025, of which nearly 60% were new energy vehicles. The new policy for 2026 will shift from fixed subsidies to a "proportional subsidy + cap" model [20]. - The report anticipates that the reduction in new energy vehicle purchase tax incentives will lead to a more competitive market, pushing the industry towards higher performance and efficiency standards [21].