Core Viewpoint - The domestic narrow passenger car market in China experienced a retail sales decline of 13.9% year-on-year in January 2026, with sales reaching 1.544 million units, attributed to the end of the 12-year new energy vehicle purchase tax exemption policy, leading to a temporary dip in demand [2][4]. Sales Data Summary Wholesale Sales Rankings (January 2026) - Geely Automobile led with 270,167 units sold, a 1.3% increase, capturing 13.7% market share - BYD Automobile followed with 205,518 units, down 30.7%, holding 10.4% market share - Chery Automobile sold 193,969 units, down 12.0%, with a 9.8% market share - Volkswagen sold 128,001 units, down 1.7%, with a 6.5% market share - SAIC Passenger Vehicle sales increased by 53.6% to 77,421 units, capturing 3.9% market share [6]. Retail Sales Rankings (January 2026) - Geely Automobile again led with 209,661 units sold, down 12.6%, holding 13.6% market share - Volkswagen sold 132,300 units, down 3.5%, with an 8.6% market share - BYD's retail sales dropped significantly by 53.0% to 94,176 units, capturing 6.1% market share - SAIC Volkswagen sold 89,600 units, down 9.3%, with a 5.8% market share - Changan Automobile's sales decreased by 33.5% to 81,074 units, holding 5.2% market share [7]. New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Wholesale Sales Rankings (January 2026) - BYD led NEV sales with 205,518 units, down 30.7%, capturing 23.8% market share - Geely followed with 124,252 units, up 2.6%, holding 14.4% market share - Tesla China sold 69,129 units, up 9.3%, with an 8.0% market share - Chery sold 46,802 units, down 14.9%, with a 5.4% market share - SAIC Passenger Vehicle saw a significant increase of 576.9% to 28,179 units, capturing 3.3% market share [9]. New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Retail Sales Rankings (January 2026) - BYD again led with 94,176 units sold, down 53.0%, holding 15.8% market share - Geely sold 92,135 units, down 21.6%, with a 15.5% market share - Hongmeng Zhixing saw a significant increase of 65.5% to 57,915 units, capturing 9.7% market share - SAIC's sales increased by 83.3% to 40,016 units, holding 6.7% market share - Xiaomi Automobile sold 39,002 units, up 70.3%, with a 6.5% market share [10].

Group 1: Used Car Market - In January 2025, the national used car market transaction volume reached 1.7292 million units, showing a year-on-year increase of 18.33% but a month-on-month decrease of 7.59% [1] - The transaction amount for January was 110.612 billion yuan, indicating a robust market performance across various vehicle types, particularly in passenger cars and commercial vehicles [1] - The demand for MPVs continued to rise significantly, contributing to the overall market growth, while the commercial vehicle sector also showed positive year-on-year growth in both passenger and cargo vehicles [1] Group 2: Automotive Dealer Inventory - The comprehensive inventory coefficient for automotive dealers in January was reported at 1.48, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 13.0% and a year-on-year increase of 5.7% [2] Group 3: Pickup Truck Market - In January 2026, the pickup truck market saw sales of 49,000 units, marking a year-on-year growth of 22.5%, the highest level in the past five years [3] - Pickup truck production in January was 52,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 29.3%, while exports reached 28,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 12% [3] Group 4: Xiaomi Automotive - Xiaomi Automotive announced the delivery of the last unit of the first-generation SU7, with production halted to prepare for the next generation, expected to launch in April [4] - The company will continue to provide maintenance and spare parts for the first-generation SU7 for at least 10 years [4] Group 5: Changan Automobile Legal Action - Changan Automobile has filed lawsuits against two media outlets for alleged online infringement, which have been accepted by the court [5] Group 6: Zeekr Automotive - Zeekr Automotive has established a new sales service company in Shenzhen with a registered capital of 10 million yuan, focusing on the sale of new energy vehicles and related services [6] Group 7: Great Wall Motors - Great Wall Motors' chairman confirmed that the company is successfully promoting its MPV models in the U.S. market through intermediaries [7] Group 8: Japanese Automakers' Profit Forecast - Seven major Japanese automakers, including Toyota and Honda, expect a 35.5% decrease in net profits for the fiscal year 2025, totaling approximately 3.765 trillion yen (about 169.7 billion yuan) [8] - Specific forecasts include a 25.1% profit reduction for Toyota and a 64.1% decrease for Honda, with Nissan anticipating a net loss of 650 billion yen [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Great Wall Motors [2][5] Core Views - Great Wall Motors reported a revenue of 69.2 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.3 billion yuan. The company is entering a new vehicle cycle and has a clear global strategy, justifying the "Buy" rating [2][11] - The company launched the world's first native AI all-powertrain vehicle platform, "Guiyuan," which aims to enhance efficiency and competitiveness in the market [11] - The "Ecological Overseas" strategy is progressing effectively, with the completion of a factory in Brazil, expected to produce 50,000 vehicles annually [11] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 222.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10% [11] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is estimated at 9.918 billion yuan, a decrease of 21.9% year-on-year [11] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is forecasted to be 1.16 yuan, with a target price of 24.64 yuan based on a 14x PE ratio for 2026 [11] - The company achieved a total sales volume of 400,000 vehicles in Q4 2025, a 5% increase year-on-year [11] - The overseas sales volume reached 172,000 vehicles in Q4 2025, marking a 33% increase year-on-year [11] Market Data - The current market capitalization of Great Wall Motors is 176.891 billion yuan, with a total share capital of 8.558 billion shares [6] - The stock price has fluctuated between 20.44 yuan and 27.52 yuan over the past 52 weeks [6] Financial Ratios - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 11.3% in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.84 [4][12] - The net asset value per share is estimated at 10.10 yuan, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 2.0 [7][12]

Group 1: Monetary and Financing Trends - As of the end of January, broad money (M2) balance, social financing scale stock, and RMB loan balance grew by 9%, 8.2%, and 6.1% year-on-year respectively [2] - M2 growth rate reached a recent high, hitting the "9" level, which is 0.5 percentage points higher than the previous month and 2.0 percentage points higher than the same period last year [2] - The increase in social financing scale was driven mainly by government bond financing, which net financed 976.4 billion yuan in January, an increase of 283.1 billion yuan year-on-year [2] Group 2: Corporate Financing and Loan Trends - By the end of January, the RMB loan balance was 276.62 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.1%, still above nominal economic growth [3] - The first quarter typically sees high credit issuance, and early policy implementation can yield quicker results [3] - Significant project launches at the beginning of the year have led to increased medium to long-term loans for enterprises, while consumer short-term loans have seen stable growth due to pre-holiday consumption [3] Group 3: Regulatory Actions and Corporate Developments - Six travel platform companies were interviewed by financial regulators regarding issues in their lending practices, emphasizing the need for clear disclosures and improved consumer protection [4] - Tianfeng Securities faced severe penalties from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for illegal financing and information disclosure violations, with fines totaling 25 million yuan [5] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange issued a regulatory warning to Trina Solar for misleading information regarding its collaboration with SpaceX [6] Group 4: Market and Investment Insights - Meituan expects a net loss of approximately 23.3 billion to 24.3 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, primarily due to increased competition and higher investments in its ecosystem [6] - Anta Sports received shareholder approval for the acquisition of a 29.06% stake in Puma, indicating strategic expansion plans [7][8] - The Hang Seng Index will include CATL, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Laopu Gold, increasing the number of constituent stocks to 90 [16]

Core Viewpoint - The strategic cooperation between Great Wall Motors and Faraday Future (FF) is entering a deep implementation phase, with the FX Super One project progressing as planned, opening new avenues for Chinese automotive exports and expansion into the North American market [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Cooperation - Great Wall Motors' Chairman Wei Jianjun confirmed that the collaboration with FF is advancing smoothly, indicating a strong commitment to the partnership [1]. - The recent strategic upgrade agreement between FF and Hebei Huanzhou Automotive Sales Co., Ltd. focuses on compliance certification, mass production, and delivery of the FX Super One in the U.S. market, as well as the joint development of three new models including the FX 4 [1][2]. - Hebei Huanzhou serves as a crucial intermediary linking FF and Great Wall Motors, facilitating resource integration and project implementation [2]. Group 2: Market Impact - The upcoming mass production and delivery of the FX Super One, along with the launch of the FX 4 and other new projects, will enhance the strategic synergy between Great Wall and FF [3]. - The collaboration is expected to leverage FF's established brand presence and compliance systems in North America, combined with Great Wall's strengths in vehicle development and supply chain management, to create a new model for cost-effective and efficient overseas market entry for Chinese automakers [2][3]. - The partnership is seen as a validation of FF's EAI bridge strategy, potentially serving as a model for future collaborations between Chinese and American automotive industries, and showcasing the global reach of Chinese high-end manufacturing [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Great Wall Motors [2][5]. Core Views - Great Wall Motors reported a revenue of 69.2 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.3 billion yuan. The company is entering a new vehicle cycle and has a clear global strategy [2][11]. - The report highlights the launch of the "Guiyuan" platform, which is the world's first native AI all-powertrain automotive platform, aiming to enhance product efficiency and competitiveness [11]. - The company's overseas expansion strategy is progressing effectively, with the completion of a factory in Brazil, which will initially produce key models [11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 222.79 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 9.91 billion yuan, a decrease of 21.9% [4][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to 1.16 yuan, 1.76 yuan, and 2.01 yuan, respectively [11]. - The company’s net profit margin is projected to be 4.5% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 11.3% [4][11]. Sales Performance - In Q4 2025, Great Wall Motors achieved a sales volume of 400,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13% [11]. - The overseas sales reached 172,000 vehicles in Q4, marking a 33% increase year-on-year [11]. Strategic Developments - The "Guiyuan" platform is designed to support multiple powertrains and vehicle types, with plans to launch over 50 models [11]. - The company is enhancing its brand through increased investment in new models and technology, which has impacted short-term profitability [11].

Core Insights - In 2025, Chinese automakers achieved a total global sales volume of 27 million vehicles, surpassing Japan for the first time in over 20 years, marking a significant milestone in the automotive industry [1] - Chinese automobile exports reached 8.32 million units in 2025, maintaining the title of the world's largest exporter for the third consecutive year, with Japan trailing at 4.21 million units [1] - Nine Chinese automakers have already set ambitious overseas sales targets for 2026, indicating confidence in continued growth in international markets [1][2] Group 1: Sales Performance - In 2025, Chery, SAIC, and BYD each exceeded 1 million units in overseas sales, with Chery selling 1.34 million units, representing nearly half of its total sales and a 17% increase year-on-year [3] - BYD's overseas sales surged by 145%, showcasing rapid growth from negligible figures to over 1 million units in just four years [3] - The overall export volume of Chinese automobiles grew by 29.9% in 2025, with December alone witnessing a remarkable 73.2% year-on-year increase, reaching 994,000 units [5] Group 2: Market Trends - The export of Chinese new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 3.43 million units in 2025, a 70% increase, reflecting a growing global acceptance of electric vehicles [8] - In Europe, electric vehicles accounted for a record 19% of the market share in 2025, with Germany producing 1.67 million electric passenger cars, marking a 23% year-on-year growth [10] - Chinese brands are increasingly gaining traction in international markets, with significant sales growth in Australia and Europe, where they are becoming more competitive against traditional automakers [10][12] Group 3: Strategic Developments - Chinese automakers are expanding their presence in North America and Latin America, with Mexico becoming the largest market for Chinese car exports in 2025 [14] - Agreements with Canada allow Chinese companies to export electric vehicles at a reduced tariff rate, indicating a favorable trade environment [16] - The establishment of local supply chains and partnerships in various regions is a strategic move to enhance competitiveness and market penetration [16][17]

Group 1: Overall Market Performance - In January 2026, the pickup truck market in China saw strong growth, with sales reaching 49,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, marking a high point for the same period in the last five years [1] - Pickup truck production in January 2026 was 52,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.3% [1] - The export of pickup trucks in January 2026 was 28,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 12% but a month-on-month decrease of 13% [1] Group 2: Leading Companies - Great Wall Motors maintained its leading position in the pickup truck market, with strong performance both domestically and internationally [1] - Other notable companies included SAIC Maxus, JAC Motors, Changan Automobile, and Zhengzhou Nissan, which showed strong performance driven by continuous export growth [1] - In the domestic retail market, the top performers were Great Wall pickups, JMC, Zhengzhou Nissan, Radar Auto, and Jiangxi Isuzu, maintaining a "one strong, many strong" market structure [1] Group 3: Export Trends - The export share of pickup trucks is projected to reach 45% of total sales in 2024, 50% in 2025, and 54% in January 2026, indicating a significant growth trend for Chinese pickup brands in international markets [1] - The strong growth of new Chinese pickup brands is largely driven by exports, contributing positively to the overall export performance of Chinese pickups [1] Group 4: New Energy Pickup Trucks - In January 2026, sales of new energy pickup trucks reached 6,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 18% and a month-on-month increase of 6%, outperforming the overall pickup growth rate [2] - Major contributors to new energy pickup sales included BYD with 3,150 units, Geely Radar with 1,241 units, Zhengzhou Nissan with 785 units, and Changan with 410 units [2] - The market for new energy pickups is expected to grow rapidly to meet both domestic and international demand as the market develops [2]

Group 1: Core Insights - The pickup truck market is experiencing strong growth, with sales reaching 49,000 units in January 2026, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, marking a high level for the same period in the past five years [2] - Production of pickup trucks in January 2026 was 52,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.3% [2] - Great Wall Motors continues to lead the pickup truck market, with strong performance both domestically and internationally, supported by consistent export growth [2] Group 2: Export Performance - In January 2026, the total export of pickup trucks reached 28,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 12%, although it saw a month-on-month decline of 13% [2] - The export share of pickup trucks is projected to reach 45% of total sales in 2024, 50% in 2025, and 54% in January 2026, indicating a robust growth trajectory for Chinese pickup truck brands in international markets [2] Group 3: New Energy Pickup Trucks - Sales of new energy pickup trucks in January 2026 were 6,000 units, showing an 18% year-on-year increase and a 6% month-on-month increase, outpacing the overall growth rate of the pickup truck market [3] - Major contributors to new energy pickup sales include BYD with 3,150 units, Geely Radar with 1,241 units, and Zhengzhou Nissan with 785 units, among others [3] - The development of electric vehicles is seen as a key factor for commercial vehicles to gain road rights, with expectations for rapid growth in the Chinese pickup market to meet both domestic and international demand [3] Group 4: Manufacturer Sales Rankings - In January 2026, the top manufacturers by sales volume were: - Great Wall Motors: 15,350 units, up 24.6% year-on-year - SAIC Maxus: 5,924 units, up 25.8% year-on-year - Jianghuai Automobile: 5,401 units, up 23.8% year-on-year - Zhengzhou Nissan: 4,053 units, up 145.6% year-on-year - JMC: 3,930 units, up 19.5% year-on-year [7]

Core Viewpoint - Great Wall Motor (GWM) is re-entering the European market with a focus on hybrids and combustion-engine vehicles, aiming to double its overseas sales to 1 million vehicles by 2030, despite previous setbacks in the region [1]. Group 1: Market Strategy - GWM plans to establish a European factory with a production capacity of 300,000 cars per year by 2030, necessitating a nearly hundredfold increase in sales [1]. - The company aims to appeal to European markets by introducing a range of vehicles, including the Ora 5 electric vehicle and models from its Haval SUV brand, while also considering sedans and station wagons [1]. - GWM is focusing on enhancing resale values, which are crucial for European consumers, and is actively recruiting new dealers in the region [1]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The European market has evolved since GWM's initial entry in 2021, with other Chinese brands like BYD and Chery gaining traction, while European automakers are launching more affordable models [1]. - GWM's sales in Europe fell by 25.4% in 2024 and nearly 30% in 2025, totaling just 3,500 cars sold [1]. - The company faces a challenging environment as European brands have become more competitive, making it harder for GWM to regain market share [1]. Group 3: Sales Performance - GWM's total vehicle sales increased by 7.3% year-on-year to 1.32 million vehicles, with overseas sales rising by 11.7% to 506,066 vehicles, driven by growth in markets like Australia and Latin America [1]. - The U.S. market remains inaccessible for Chinese automakers, and limited access in India and Japan poses challenges for GWM in achieving its 2030 sales target without a strong presence in Europe [1]. - Analysts suggest that GWM's target of 1 million vehicles is pragmatic, provided the company maintains a consistent approach in the European market [1].