2025 年 10 月 13 日 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 观点： 四季度补贴额度吃紧带来一波市场抢装，好产品也需要大产能支撑。我们看到近 ● 期密集上市一批改款车型,有望让火爆的 Q4 车市再上强度。对于整车可关注供给能有 效释放的企业,如吉利、比亚迪、长城,理想、蔚来等。同时我们建议在消费端不明朗 的情况下关注"未来产业"，科技才是持续创造超额收益的主要阵地。而当下阶段更应 该关注业绩有支撑、估值相对较低目有提升潜力的公司，包括机器人、AI、低空经济等 科技引领赛道。推荐质地优、成长空间大的企业如科博达、星宇、继峰、松原等；以及 业绩恢复,估值具备明显性价比的敏实、宁波华翔等。与此同时，央国企改革带来的突 破性变化,包括上汽及东风,建议继续关注。 行业情况更新： ○ o 根据上险量数据, 2025 年第 39 周(2025.9.22-2025.9.28)乘用车零售总量 65 万 辆,环比+27.95%，同比-1.02%。其中传统能源车销量为 28.0 万辆,环比 +32.70%，同比-15.07%；新能源车销量为 37.0 万辆，环比+24.58%，同比 +13.15%,新能源渗透率 5 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000625 长安汽车 | | 1.39亿 | 9.32% | -6276.59万 | -4.21% | -7623.45万 | -5.11% | | 601633 长城汽车 | | 869.50万 | 1.63% | -1432.68万 | -2.69% | 563.18万 | 1.06% | | 601238 广汽集团 | | -1711.84万 | -6.81% | 558.62万 | 2.22% | 1153.22万 | 4.59% | | 000572 海马汽车 | | -2191.08万 | -4.41% | 433.56万 | 0.87% | 1757.51万 | 3.54% | | 600733 北汽蓝谷 | | -6190.11万 | -7.46% | -1702.93万 | -2.05% | 7893.04万 | 9.51% | | 600104 ...

长城智选作为长城汽车旗下的直营服务品牌，于2024年4月正式发布，旨在对标国内新势力品牌，实现产品的直接管控和销售。品牌成立初期，长城智选 门店主要销售魏牌和坦克旗下相对高端的车型。随着此次调整，魏牌成为长城智选展厅的唯一主角，显示出长城汽车对魏牌的资源聚焦。 在经销商渠道方面，早在2022年，长城就调整旗下组织架构，将魏牌和坦克的管理团队和销售渠道合并，目前二者仍并网销售。而在直营渠道上，长城汽 车将更多资源向魏牌倾斜。长城智选门店选址聚焦北京、上海等一二线城市核心商圈，目前已在全国布局430家门店，覆盖超110个城市。按照计划，其直 营店将在今年扩展至600家，覆盖200个以上城市，构建超过1000家的渠道网络。 大规模的渠道布局，将全力为承载着长城汽车品牌向上重任的魏牌提供支撑。数据显示，2025年9月，魏牌销量达1.10万辆，同比增长63.23%，创单月销 量新高；1—9月累计销量6.36万辆，同比增长96.35%。如今渠道的进一步调整，或将为魏牌的销量增长再添动力。 相比之下，坦克品牌的增长面临一些挑战。其9月销量为2.14万辆，同比增长14.41%，但前九个月累计销量同比下滑2.75%。受国内越野 ...

业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 2025 年 10 月 13 日 政策支撑需求爆发，优势白马企业 稳健性值得重视 看好 ——汽车行业 2025 年三季报前瞻 本期投资提示： 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 证券分析师 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 樊夏沛 A0230523080004 fanxp@swsresearch.com 联系人 邵翼 (8621)23297818× shaoyi@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 行 证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车 - ⚫ 国内外汽车总量情况，根据中汽协会数据，2025 年 7-8 月汽车产销完成 540.6/545 万 辆，同比分别+13.1％/+15.6％，均呈两位数稳步增长。①乘用车，2025 年 7-8 月产销 分别完成 479.3/482.7 万辆，同比分别+12.7%/+15.6%。②商用车，2025 年 7-8 月 产销分别完成 61.3/62.2 万辆，同比分别+16.3%/+15.2%。③海外，2025 年 7-8 月 汽车出 ...

港交所消息：10月8日， 贝莱德 持有的 长城汽车 H股多头头寸从6.71%增至7.24%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese passenger car market experienced significant growth in September, with retail sales reaching 2.241 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6.3% and a month-on-month increase of 11.0%. Cumulatively, retail sales for the year reached 17.005 million units, marking a 9.2% year-on-year growth and setting a new historical peak [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - In September, 11 out of 14 listed car companies reported year-on-year sales growth, accounting for 78.6% of the sample. New energy vehicles (NEVs) were the primary driver of this growth, with total sales exceeding 1.32 million units among the 14 major companies [1]. - The penetration rate of NEVs in the overall passenger car retail market reached 57.8% in September, an increase of 5 percentage points compared to the same period last year. Among domestic brands, the penetration rate for NEVs reached 78.1% [1]. Group 2: Company-Specific Sales Data - SAIC Motor Corporation achieved sales of 439,777 units in September, a year-on-year increase of 40.39%, reclaiming the title of monthly sales champion among Chinese listed car companies after five months. Cumulative sales for the first nine months reached 3.193 million units, up 20.53% year-on-year [2]. - BYD's sales in September were 396,270 units, marking a year-on-year decline of 5.52%, ending an 18-month growth streak. The sales of pure electric models were 205,000 units, up 24.31%, while plug-in hybrid models saw a significant drop of 25.58% [3]. - Geely Automobile reported sales of 273,125 units in September, a year-on-year increase of 35.24%. NEV sales reached 165,201 units, up 81.27%, with a market penetration rate of 60.49% [3]. - Chery Automobile's sales reached 255,584 units in September, a year-on-year increase of 8.90%, with NEV sales at 83,498 units, up 17.24% [4]. - New force in the automotive sector, Leap Motor, achieved a record monthly delivery of 66,657 units in September, a year-on-year increase of 97.4% [4]. Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The automotive market in September saw the launch of over 70 new models, driven by government subsidies and local purchase incentives, which boosted consumer purchasing enthusiasm [5]. - The Secretary-General of the China Passenger Car Association, Cui Dongshu, indicated that the rapid release of new models, particularly from domestic brands, is enhancing competitiveness in the NEV market. The fourth quarter is expected to maintain stable growth due to policy guidance and a strong growth foundation [5].

（於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） ，2025 10月13日 股份代號：2333（港幣櫃檯）及82333（人民幣櫃檯） 董 事 會 會 議 通 知 長城汽車股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）謹此宣佈，本公司董事會會議 將於2025年10月24日（星期五）於中國河北省保定市朝陽南大街2266號舉行，藉以審議及批 准（其中包括）本公司及其子公司截至2025年9月30日止3個月之未經審計的第3季度業績 （以《中國企業會計準則》編製）。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任 何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任 。 承董事會命 長城汽車股份有限公司 公司秘書 李紅栓 長 城 汽 車 股 份 有 限 公 司 GREAT WALL MOTOR COMPANY LIMITED* 非執行董事：何平先生。 獨立非執行董事：樂英女士、范輝先生及鄒兆麟先生。 * 僅供識別 於本公告日期，董事會成員如下： 執行董事：魏建軍先生、趙國慶先生及李紅栓女士。 職工董事：盧彩娟女士。 ...

业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 樊夏沛 A0230523080004 fanxp@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱傅哲 (8621)23297818× zhufz@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 2025 年 10 月 13 日 紧抓科技主线，寻找低估成长新机 会 看好 ——2025/10/9-2025/10/10 汽车周报 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 行 业 及 产 业 行 汽车 - ⚫ 观点：四季度补贴额度吃紧带来一波市场抢装，好产品也需要大产能支撑。我们看到近 期密集上市一批改款车型，有望让火爆的 Q4 车市再上强度。对于整车可关注供给能有 效释放的企业，如吉利、比亚迪、长城，理想、蔚来等。同时我们建议在消费端不明朗 的情况下关注"未来产业"，科技才是持续创造超额收益的主要阵地。而当下阶段更应 该关注业绩有支撑、估值相对较低且有提升潜力的公司，包括机器人、AI、低空经济等 科技引领赛道。推荐质地优、 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the automotive industry [1][4]. Core Views - The automotive industry is transitioning into a technological era, with electric, intelligent, and connected vehicles driving growth. The report emphasizes the importance of energy flow applications in electrification and data flow applications in intelligence [14][15]. - The report highlights the rise of domestic brands and the opportunities in incremental components driven by electric and intelligent trends [4][25]. - The forecast for the domestic automotive market indicates a compound annual growth rate of 2% over the next 20 years, with significant growth in new energy vehicles [15][22]. Monthly Sales and Market Performance - In September, the narrow passenger car market is expected to see a retail sales volume of approximately 2.15 million units, representing a month-on-month increase of 6.5% and a year-on-year increase of 2% [1][10]. - The automotive sector's performance in September showed a 6.38% increase, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.18 percentage points [2][10]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Key companies such as Leap Motor, Geely, and JAC Motors are rated as "Outperform" with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios indicating strong future performance [5][10]. - Leap Motor is projected to have an EPS of 0.62 in 2025, with a PE ratio of 107, while Geely is expected to have an EPS of 1.57 with a PE of 13 [5]. Market Trends and Innovations - The report notes significant advancements in autonomous driving technologies, with companies like Tesla and local players making strides in robotaxi operations and intelligent vehicle features [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new product cycles, particularly for companies like Huawei and Xiaomi entering the automotive space, which are expected to drive growth in the industry [3][4]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic brands that are rising in the electric and intelligent vehicle segments, as well as companies involved in the supply of incremental components [4][25]. - Specific recommendations include companies like Top Group, Horizon Robotics, and various domestic auto parts suppliers that are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing transformation in the automotive industry [4][24].

格隆汇10月13日丨长城汽车(02333.HK)宣布，本公司董事会会议将于2025年10月24日（星期五）于中国 河北省保定市朝阳南大街2266号举行，藉以审议及批准（其中包括）本公司及其子公司截至2025年9月 30日止3个月的未经审计的第3季度业绩（以《中国企业会计准则》编制）。 ...