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国泰海通:零售及自营业务驱动券商业绩全年高增 推荐华泰证券、中金公司
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 08:21
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan indicates that the wealth effect from medium to long-term capital entering the market will continue to drive retail funds into the market, leading to a gradual release of brokerage performance, with a positive outlook on the brokerage sector driven by both capital inflow and performance improvement [1] Group 1: Brokerage Sector Performance - The brokerage sector is expected to benefit from the resonance of capital inflow and performance elasticity, with a focus on high-quality leading firms and wealth management-oriented companies [1] - The report forecasts a significant improvement in the performance of listed brokerages, with a projected year-on-year increase of 46.4% in net profit attributable to shareholders [1] - It is estimated that the adjusted operating revenue of 42 listed brokerages will increase by 34.1% year-on-year to 565.7 billion yuan, with net profit expected to reach 216.4 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Business Revenue Contributions - Active trading is driving high growth in market turnover and margin financing balance, which supports the growth of retail business and self-operated business [2] - For 2025, brokerage and credit businesses are expected to contribute 50.4% to revenue growth, while investment business is projected to contribute 45.5% [2] - Daily average stock trading volume is expected to reach 20.576 trillion yuan, a 70% year-on-year increase, with daily average margin financing balance expected to reach 20.793 trillion yuan, a 33% year-on-year increase [2] Group 3: Business Segment Forecasts - Brokerage business net income and interest net income are expected to grow by 49% and 57% year-on-year, respectively [2] - Self-operated business income is anticipated to grow due to the recovery in equity markets and stable bond markets [2] - Investment banking revenue is projected to increase by 12% year-on-year, supported by a marginal recovery in equity financing [2] - Asset management business scale is expected to see a slight year-on-year increase, leading to a 4% growth in asset management revenue [2]
国泰海通:零售及自营业务驱动券商业绩全年高增 推荐华泰证券(601688.SH)、中金公司(03908)
智通财经网· 2026-01-21 08:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the wealth effect from medium to long-term capital entering the market will continue to drive retail funds into the market, leading to improved performance in the brokerage sector, supported by both allocation power and performance improvement [1] - The report recommends increasing holdings in quality leading brokerages that benefit from incremental capital entering the market, specifically mentioning Huatai Securities (601688.SH) and China International Capital Corporation (03908) [1] - The expected significant improvement in the performance of listed brokerages includes a year-on-year increase of 46.4% in net profit attributable to shareholders, with projected adjusted operating revenue rising by 34.1% to 565.7 billion yuan by 2025 [1] Group 2 - Active trading has driven a high increase in market transaction volume and margin financing balance, which supports the growth of retail business and self-operated business, contributing to the overall performance growth of brokerages [2] - For 2025, the brokerage and credit business is expected to contribute 50.4% to revenue growth, while investment business is projected to contribute 45.5% [2] - In retail business, the average daily trading volume of stock funds is expected to reach 20,576 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70%, and the average daily margin financing balance is projected to reach 20,793 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33% [2]
研报掘金丨华泰证券:维持星宇股份“买入”评级,目标价222.42元
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-21 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Xingyu Co., Ltd. is advancing its Micro-LED industry layout by establishing a strategic partnership with ChipLink Integration and Jiufengshan Laboratory, aiming to invest 3 billion yuan in a new Micro-LED technology research and manufacturing project [1] Group 1: Strategic Partnership and Investment - Xingyu Co., Ltd. has signed a strategic cooperation agreement to jointly establish Wuhan Xingxi Guangke Technology Co., Ltd. with ChipLink Integration and Jiufengshan Laboratory [1] - The partnership involves a total investment of 3 billion yuan to develop Micro-LED intelligent lighting technology for automotive applications, optical communication, and AI display [1] Group 2: Industry Development and Goals - The collaboration aims to integrate automotive application scenarios, advanced chip manufacturing, and a national-level pilot platform to create a closed-loop from basic research to engineering mass production [1] - The initiative is expected to accelerate the industrialization and cost reduction of Micro-LED automotive lighting [1] Group 3: Growth Potential and Valuation - The company is extending its reach into high-value areas such as micro-displays and optical interconnects, seeking new growth trajectories [1] - The report anticipates performance growth driven by new vehicle cycles from new force customers and strategic investments in robotics, maintaining a "buy" rating with a target price of 222.42 yuan based on a 28x PE for 2026 [1]
研报掘金|华泰证券:上调中国太平目标价至26港元,维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-21 07:24
该行将其目标价从20港元上调至26港元,维持"买入"评级。 华泰证券发表研报指,中国太平公布2025年业绩预增公告,预计归母净利润较2024年增加215%至 225%,估计公司下半年归母净利润按年涨幅高达723.1%至758.2%,大幅超出此前预期。报告指,去年 利润大增主要来源于投资业绩按年提升,及所得税税收政策的一次性影响。 展望今年,行业负债端有望全面转向分红险。当前分红险的实际收益率在3%左右水平,已较为明显地 高出传统险(预定利率2%),在居民储蓄需求仍处于高位的背景下,储蓄性质较强的寿险产品仍具有较强 的吸引力,分红险有望在今年推动负债端保持有韧性的增长。 ...
研报掘金|华泰证券:维持泡泡玛特“买入”评级,目标价为410港元
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-21 02:57
Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities reports that Bubble Mart's performance in Q4 last year showed strong resilience both domestically and internationally, supported by the strength of its IP matrix after the sales peak of Labubu 3.0 [1] Group 1: Performance Insights - The company's sales growth is underpinned by the strength of its IP matrix, indicating a solid foundation for future performance [1] - Bubble Mart repurchased 1.4 million shares for HKD 251 million on January 19, reflecting the company's confidence in its growth prospects [1] Group 2: Valuation and Recommendations - Huatai Securities believes that the sustainability of Bubble Mart's performance growth and its medium to long-term potential are undervalued [1] - The current market valuation is considered attractive amid existing market discrepancies, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 410 [1]
华泰证券党委书记王会清:打造兼具本土优势和全球影响力的一流投资银行
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-21 00:28
钟山风雨,秦淮河畔。自江苏本土起步,从一家根植于此的地方券商,到跻身行业头部的综合金融集 团,华泰证券以"技术先锋"之姿屡开行业先河——首推远程交易终端、引领网上交易风潮、率先布局移 动互联网理财终端……在每一次市场变革中破局而立。其发展脉络,既是一部以创新为舟、以风控为桨 的奋进史,亦是中国证券业从初萌到茁壮的时代缩影。 而今,作为总资产逾万亿元、客户资产规模超五万亿元的行业头部机构,华泰证券既肩负着金融强国的 时代使命,也怀揣金融报国的赤子之心,在科技赋能与国际化战略驱动下,坚定锚定建设一流投资银行 的宏伟目标,矢志为中国式现代化注入澎湃金融动能。 王会清表示,随着中国经济新旧动能转化加速推进,"三新经济"(新产业、新业态、新商业)占到整个 中国GDP的比重从2020年的16%提升至2024年的18%,科技企业日益成为资本市场的中坚力量。A股市 值前50强中科技企业数量从"十三五"末的18家增至24家,人工智能、机器人、创新药等领域企业业绩增 长显著。 "作为连接实体经济与资本市场的桥梁,证券公司在服务现代化产业体系发展、助力新质生产力崛起等 方面正承担着愈发重要的角色,具有不可替代的关键作用。"王会清表 ...
华泰证券:资金交易情绪分化 后续A股整体走势或向上
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 00:25
Core Insights - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the A-share market saw an increase in trading volume exceeding 3 trillion yuan in the first half of last week, but experienced a pullback in the latter half due to increased counter-cyclical policy adjustments [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment and Fund Flows - There is a divergence in funding sentiment, with leveraged funds and ETFs with a high proportion of individual holdings continuing to see net inflows into the market [1] - Financing activity remains robust, with a financing activity rate above 11% [1] - Conversely, broad-based ETFs with a high proportion of institutional holdings experienced significant net inflows, while ETFs with a high proportion of Huijin holdings saw a net outflow of approximately 135.1 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Market Performance and Future Outlook - The report analyzes the performance of the A-share market following the surge in trading volume, suggesting that short-term market sentiment remains elevated, leading to a volatile market trend [1] - It is noted that if there are catalysts related to fundamentals or liquidity, the overall trend of the A-share market may move upward [1] - Industries that have shown sustained growth following the increase in trading volume are primarily those that have fundamental backing and align with market themes [1]
华泰证券:2026年是全球L4级自动驾驶产业化关键一年
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 00:25
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. House of Representatives is set to review the "SELF DRIVE Act of 2026" on January 13, 2026, which proposes to increase the FMVSS exemption limit from 2,500 vehicles to 90,000 and establish federal priority, indicating a rare bipartisan consensus that may break a decade-long legislative deadlock [1] Group 1: Legislative Developments - The proposed legislation aims to enhance the framework for autonomous driving, potentially accelerating the commercialization of Level 4 (L4) autonomous driving technology [1] - The bipartisan agreement in Congress is seen as a significant step towards resolving long-standing legislative issues in the autonomous vehicle sector [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - Waymo has reached a weekly order volume of 450,000, while Tesla's Cybercab is expected to begin mass production in April, marking a period of scale expansion for Robotaxi commercialization in the U.S. [1] - 2026 is identified as a critical year for the global L4 autonomous driving industry, with the clarification of the federal legislative framework in the U.S. and the rollout of Level 3 (L3) pilot programs in China [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key players within the autonomous driving industry chain, given the anticipated acceleration in commercialization and legislative support [1]
华泰证券党委书记王会清: 打造兼具本土优势和全球影响力的一流投资银行
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-20 21:52
■ "证券公司学习宣传贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神"系列报道 华泰证券(601688)党委书记王会清: 打造兼具本土优势和全球影响力的一流投资银行 钟山风雨,秦淮河畔。自江苏本土起步,从一家根植于此的地方券商,到跻身行业头部的综合金融集 团,华泰证券以"技术先锋"之姿屡开行业先河——首推远程交易终端、引领网上交易风潮、率先布局移 动互联网理财终端……在每一次市场变革中破局而立。其发展脉络,既是一部以创新为舟、以风控为桨 的奋进史,亦是中国证券业从初萌到茁壮的时代缩影。 而今,作为总资产逾万亿元、客户资产规模超五万亿元的行业头部机构,华泰证券既肩负着金融强国的 时代使命,也怀揣金融报国的赤子之心,在科技赋能与国际化战略驱动下,坚定锚定建设一流投资银行 的宏伟目标,矢志为中国式现代化注入澎湃金融动能。 潮平岸阔,正当扬帆破浪之时。华泰证券党委书记王会清日前在接受中国证券报记者专访时表示,党的 二十届四中全会擘画了"十五五"时期加快建设金融强国的宏伟蓝图,全会审议通过的"十五五"规划建议 提出"提高资本市场制度包容性、适应性,健全投资和融资相协调的资本市场功能",标志着资本市场将 在培育新质生产力、服务实体经济中发挥 ...
打造兼具本土优势和全球影响力的一流投资银行
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-20 21:05
■ "证券公司学习宣传贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神"系列报道 华泰证券党委书记王会清: 打造兼具本土优势和全球影响力的一流投资银行 钟山风雨,秦淮河畔。自江苏本土起步,从一家根植于此的地方券商,到跻身行业头部的综合金融集 团,华泰证券以"技术先锋"之姿屡开行业先河——首推远程交易终端、引领网上交易风潮、率先布局移 动互联网理财终端……在每一次市场变革中破局而立。其发展脉络,既是一部以创新为舟、以风控为桨 的奋进史,亦是中国证券业从初萌到茁壮的时代缩影。 而今,作为总资产逾万亿元、客户资产规模超五万亿元的行业头部机构,华泰证券既肩负着金融强国的 时代使命,也怀揣金融报国的赤子之心,在科技赋能与国际化战略驱动下,坚定锚定建设一流投资银行 的宏伟目标,矢志为中国式现代化注入澎湃金融动能。 潮平岸阔,正当扬帆破浪之时。华泰证券党委书记王会清日前在接受中国证券报记者专访时表示,党的 二十届四中全会擘画了"十五五"时期加快建设金融强国的宏伟蓝图,全会审议通过的"十五五"规划建议 提出"提高资本市场制度包容性、适应性,健全投资和融资相协调的资本市场功能",标志着资本市场将 在培育新质生产力、服务实体经济中发挥更为关键的枢纽功 ...