Core Viewpoint - The current economic growth in China is primarily driven by improvements in production efficiency, which lays the foundation for the revaluation of RMB assets and a stronger exchange rate [3]. Group 1: Economic Growth and RMB Valuation - The majority of the approximately 5% economic growth in China over the past two years has come from enhanced production efficiency rather than simple capital expansion [3]. - The improvement in the quality of growth is expected to lead to a revaluation of RMB assets, providing solid fundamental support for the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate [3]. Group 2: Policy Recommendations - Short-term focus should be on stabilizing the real estate market and local finances to prevent deterioration that could drag down the economy, requiring corresponding policy support [3]. - In the long term, it is essential to utilize the current adjustment period in the real estate market to address housing issues for certain groups, thereby stimulating domestic demand and alleviating pressure in the real estate sector [3]. - A critical task is to "activate the stock," meaning effectively utilizing existing state-owned asset stock to support low-income group consumption and fill social security funding gaps [3]. Group 3: Expected Outcomes - Progress in the aforementioned areas is anticipated to not only achieve actual economic growth but also restore "nominal growth" to normal levels, promoting a more resilient and sustainable appreciation phase for the RMB exchange rate [3].

专题：财经中国2025年会 12月7日，"和讯财经中国2025年会"在北京举行，主题为"寻找中国经济破局之路"。华泰证券机构业务 委员会主席梁红出席并演讲。 梁红表示，今年最显著的变化之一，是以DeepSeek为代表的技术突破，展现出中国在科技、消费等多 个领域的创新活力。 她指出，创新已成为中国区别于其他经济体的一大特征，这种趋势在资本市场中反映得尤为明显。"投 资者正在用信心投票，尤其是在那些代表未来方向的行业。" 专题：财经中国2025年会 12月7日，"和讯财经中国2025年会"在北京举行，主题为"寻找中国经济破局之路"。华泰证券机构业务 委员会主席梁红出席并演讲。 梁红提到，民营企业在"出海"与创新方面做出了重要尝试。中国产品正凭借其竞争力，从高端到中低端 全面进入全球市场，尤其在发展中国家市场中表现活跃。"当前出口的支撑，已不仅是价格优势，更多 是产品和技术的综合竞争力。"她强调，这种转变在今年复杂的国际环境下，展现出了令人意外的韧 性。 与此同时，梁红也提醒关注近期经济中出现的变化。她指出，尤其是十月以来，房地产与国内消费增速 出现下滑，这或将成为接下来需要重点应对的课题。在她看来，尽管中长期的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the brokerage sector, indicating a potential for gradual realization of the sector's rebound logic [3]. Core Insights - The recent speech by the chairman of the China Securities Association has shifted market expectations positively for the brokerage sector, with a strong certainty of an upward adjustment in the long-term ROE central [3]. - The report highlights three main investment themes: 1. The attractiveness of the equity market will benefit wealth management and asset management businesses of brokerages, with a specific recommendation for Dongfang Securities [3]. 2. Companies benefiting from an improved competitive landscape, with key recommendations including Guotai Junan, GF Securities, and CITIC Securities [3]. 3. Valuation mismatches in Huatai Securities A+H and strong international business competitiveness in China Galaxy and CICC [3]. Market Review - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 4,584.54, with a weekly change of +1.28%. The non-bank index closed at 1,975.96, with a weekly change of +2.27%. The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported changes of +1.14%, +5.08%, and +0.49%, respectively [6]. - The average daily trading volume for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 16,962.89 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 61.08% compared to the previous year [17]. Non-Bank Industry Data - As of December 5, 2025, the 10-year government bond yield was 1.85%, with a weekly change of +1.14 basis points. The credit spread for corporate bonds was 0.54%, with a weekly change of +3.61 basis points [11]. - The insurance sector's original premium income for the first ten months of 2025 reached 5.48 trillion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8% [28]. Individual Stock Highlights - In the insurance sector, notable A-share performances included China Pacific Insurance (+8.23%), Ping An (+5.09%), and China Life (+4.32%) [8]. - In the brokerage sector, the top performers included Zhongyin Securities (+7.89%) and Xingye Securities (+6.35%) [8].

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 07 日 券商板块信心提振，补涨逻辑有望 逐步兑现 看好 ——非银金融行业周报（2025/12/1-2025/12/5） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 评 非银金融 - ⚫ 券商：本周申万券商 II 指数收涨 1.14%，跑输沪深 300 指数 0.14pct。中证协第八次会员大会上吴清主 席讲话扭转市场对券商板块预期，证券业中长期 ROE 中枢上移确定性强。1）适度拓宽优质券商资本空间 与杠杆上限：会上，吴清主席提到" 在监管政策上，我们将着力强化分类监管、"扶优限劣"。对优质机 ...

Group 1 - The core message of the meeting emphasizes the need for the new leadership of the China Securities Association to enhance member recognition, cohesion, and participation to improve collaborative governance and shared effectiveness [1] - The eighth member congress of the China Securities Association elected new leadership, including Zhu Jian as the president and several other industry representatives as executive vice presidents and directors [2] - The newly elected leadership includes prominent figures from various securities firms, indicating a diverse representation within the association [2][3] Group 2 - The meeting highlighted the importance of the association's role in promoting high-quality development in the capital market through a first-class investment banking and investment institution framework [1] - The election results reflect a strategic move towards strengthening the association's governance structure by involving industry representatives in key positions [2] - The new leadership aims to foster a collaborative environment among members to enhance the overall effectiveness of the association [1][2]

Core Points - The eighth member conference of the China Securities Association was held on December 6, where the new leadership was announced [1] - Zhu Jian from Guotai Junan Securities was appointed as the Executive Director and President [1] - Wu Yunhao from the China Securities Association was appointed as the Executive Director and Vice President [1] Group 1 - The new leadership includes several prominent figures from major securities firms, such as Liu Cheng from CITIC Securities and Lin Chuanhui from GF Securities, who were appointed as Executive Directors and Vice Presidents [1] - Other notable appointments include Liu Jian from Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, Zhou Yi from Huatai Securities, Zou Yingguang from CITIC Securities, Huo Da from China Merchants Securities, Zhang Nashan from Guosen Securities, Zeng Shan from Yimeng Co., and Chen Liang from China International Capital Corporation [1] - Supervisory roles were filled by Wang Sheng from Galaxy Securities as Chairman and Su Junliang from Industrial Securities as Vice Chairman [2]

Core Insights - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the essential consumer sector has entered a favorable left-side layout window, with expectations for a mild recovery in consumption in the second half of 2026 due to stabilizing real estate prices, increased policy stimulus, and the recovery of household balance sheets [1][2]. Industry Overview - The essential consumer sector is currently at historical low valuation levels and public fund allocation ratios, providing a high safety margin and potential upside for investors [1][2]. - Some sub-industries are showing signs of bottoming out, with leading companies shifting focus from price wars to product innovation and adapting to channel changes [1][2][6]. - Structural changes such as the rebalancing of raw milk cycles, recovery in restaurant demand, and stricter regulations on zero additives are optimizing the competitive landscape of the industry [1][2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends four categories of stocks: 1. Cyclical high-upside stocks, including Gujing Gongjiu, Luzhou Laojiao, China Resources Beer, Qingdao Beer, Haitian Flavoring, Anjuke Food, and Qianhe Flavoring [2][7]. 2. Companies at fundamental turning points, such as Mengniu Dairy and Master Kong [2][7]. 3. High-dividend blue-chip leaders like Yili and Shuanghui Development [2][7]. 4. Small but promising growth stocks, including Ximai Food, Baoli Food, and Yanjinpuzi [2][7]. Market Trends - The report emphasizes a three-stage market strategy from expectation recovery to performance realization for 2026 [2]. - The essential consumer sector is expected to see a gradual improvement in retail sales growth, projected to reach 4.8% in 2026 [25]. - The consumer confidence index has shown some recovery but remains in a low range, indicating cautious consumer sentiment [26]. Sub-Industry Insights - Specific sub-industries are highlighted: 1. Frozen food is showing signs of bottoming out, with expectations for a reduction in price wars in 2026 [6][10]. 2. The dairy sector is anticipated to see a rebalancing of the raw milk cycle, enhancing domestic substitution logic [6][10]. 3. The beer industry is expected to maintain profit resilience due to rational competition and a diminishing demand dividend [6][10]. 4. Traditional condiment leaders are actively adjusting strategies to capture market share [6][10]. Conclusion - The essential consumer sector is positioned for a potential recovery, with various sub-industries adapting to market changes and focusing on innovation and strategic adjustments to enhance competitiveness [1][2][6].

注:为保护投资者的利益，本基金管理人决定自2025年12月8日（含）起暂停华泰紫金景泓12个月持有期 混合型发起式证券投资基金的申购、转换转入及定期定额投资业务，在本基金暂停申购等业务期间，本 基金正常办理基金的赎回业务。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 证券之星消息，12月5日华泰证券（上海）资产管理有限公司发布《华泰紫金景泓12个月持有期混合型 发起式证券投资基金暂停申购、转换转入及定期定额投资业务的公告》。公告中提示，为保护投资者的 利益，自2025年12月8日起华泰紫金景泓12个月持有期混合型发起式证券投资基金暂停申购、转换转入 及定期定额投资业务，下属分级基金调整明细如下： | 分级基金筒称 | 代码 | 是否暂停（大额）申购 (转入转出、赎回、定投) | 申购限额 转入限额 定投限额 (元) (元) (元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 华泰紫金景泓12个月 持有期混合发起A | 017077 | 를 | | | 华泰紫金景泓12个月 持有期混合发起C | 017078 | ...

华泰证券（601688）(06886)发布公告，公司发行的2022年面向专业投资者公开发行公司债券(第八期) (品种二)(以下简称"本期债券")，将于2025年12月12日开始支付自2024年12月12日至2025年12月11日期 间的利息。 据悉，本期债券简称"22华泰11"，发行总额人民币5亿元,票面利率为3.49%。 ...

据悉，本期债券简称"22华泰11"，发行总额人民币5亿元,票面利率为3.49%。 智通财经APP讯，华泰证券(06886)发布公告，公司发行的2022年面向专业投资者公开发行公司债券(第 八期)(品种二)(以下简称"本期债券")，将于2025年12月12日开始支付自2024年12月12日至2025年12月11 日期间的利息。 ...