Core Viewpoint - The report from Zheshang Securities highlights that Yaxing Anchor Chain is a core supporting enterprise in "deep-sea technology," benefiting from the rising demand in the shipping and offshore oil and gas sectors, as well as the growth potential in floating wind power [1] Group 1: Project Overview - Currently, there are five connected floating offshore wind power projects, including the Three Gorges Leading No. 1, China Shipbuilding Fuyun No. 1, CNOOC Guanquan No. 1, State Power Sharing No. 1, and Mingyang Tiancai No. 1, all of which are demonstration projects [1] - Three actively promoted domestic projects include the Hainan Wanning commercial project (100MW), CNOOC Lufeng Oilfield Group clean energy power supply transformation demonstration project (16MW), and the Three Gorges 16MW floating offshore wind power project [1] Group 2: Market Potential - According to the Global Wind Energy Council, it is estimated that by 2030, the global installed capacity of floating wind power will increase by 1.03GW, with a CAGR of 70% from 2024 to 2030; by 2034, the new installed capacity will reach 5.724GW, with a CAGR of 63% from 2024 to 2034 [1] - The estimated market space for new mooring chains corresponding to the new installed capacity of floating wind power in 2034 is approximately 14.3 billion [1] Group 3: Company Outlook - Previously, the company's performance was mainly reliant on the contributions from ship anchor chains and offshore oil service mooring chains, which had limited market space; however, with the active expansion into the floating wind power sector and product matrix, the market space has opened up [1] - The company is positioned as a key player in the shipping sector and is recognized as a strong alpha logic stock among wind power component companies, with positive prospects in shipping, offshore engineering, and floating wind power [1]

9月22日，爱科赛博涨5.09%，截至发稿，报39.01元/股，成交6265.15万元，换手率1.85%，总市值45.01 亿元。 资料显示，西安爱科赛博电气股份有限公司位于陕西省西安市高新区新型工业园信息大道12号，成立日 期1996年1月19日，上市日期2023年9月28日，公司主营业务涉及电力电子变换和控制设备的研发、生产 和销售。主营业务收入构成为：精密测试电源62.98%，电能质量控制设备17.25%，特种电源16.85%， 其他(补充)2.74%，其他0.19%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，浙商证券资管旗下1只基金重仓爱科赛博。浙商汇金量化精选混合（006449）二季度持有股 数11.5万股，占基金净值比例为4.72%，位居第五大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约21.74万元。 浙商汇金量化精选混合（006449）成立日期2019年3月25日，最新规模1.04亿。今年以来收益70.46%， 同类排名296/8244；近一年收益102.42%，同类排名503/8066；成立以来收益66.39%。 浙商汇金量化精选混合（006449）基金经理为庞雅菁。 截至发稿，庞雅菁累计任职时间1年238天， ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment in the bond market is expected to be supported by domestic monetary easing following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, which may enhance the bond market's performance in the fourth quarter [1][5]. Group 1: Interest Rate Changes - The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, from a target range of 4.25%-4.5% to 4.00%-4.25%, marking its first rate cut in nine months [2]. - Domestic banks are likely to follow suit with interest rate cuts, with predictions of a 10 basis points reduction in policy rates and a potential 20 basis points cut in the LPR for loans over five years [3][5]. Group 2: Currency and Export Dynamics - The weakening of the US dollar, which fell from around 100 points in late July to approximately 97 points by September 18, has led to a passive appreciation of the RMB, enhancing the willingness of export enterprises to settle in RMB [2]. - The RMB exchange rate has appreciated significantly, breaking the 7.2 mark and reaching around 7.1, which may pose risks to export competitiveness and necessitate measures to stabilize the currency [3]. Group 3: Bond Market Outlook - With the expectation of further monetary easing, institutions are optimistic about the bond market in the fourth quarter, predicting that the yield on 10-year government bonds may return to around 1.65% [5]. - After three months of adjustment, the bond market shows signs of stabilization, with expectations for a new downward trend in interest rates as the fourth quarter approaches [6].

风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑：小浪快报 9月22日，中际旭创跌5.1%，截至发稿，报400.00元/股，成交71.90亿元，换手率1.61%，总市值4444.47 亿元。 浙商汇金先进制造混合（013145）成立日期2021年8月16日，最新规模3560.7万。今年以来收益 35.85%，同类排名2124/8244；近一年收益86.53%，同类排名900/8066；成立以来收益0.62%。 浙商汇金先进制造混合（013145）基金经理为王霆。 截至发稿，王霆累计任职时间6年114天，现任基金资产总规模3560.5万元，任职期间最佳基金回报 78.5%， 任职期间最差基金回报6.09%。 资料显示，中际旭创股份有限公司位于山东省龙口市诸由观镇驻地，成立日期2005年6月27日，上市日 期2012年4月10日，公司主营业务涉及电机定子绕组制造装备的研发、设计、制造、销售与服务;光模块 设备制造。主营业务收入构成为：光通信收发模块97.58%，汽车电 ...

数据显示，浙商证券资管旗下1只基金重仓鹏鼎控股。浙商汇金转型成长（000935）二季度减持5300 股，持有股数3.95万股，占基金净值比例为3.25%，位居第六大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约 11.89万元。 浙商汇金转型成长（000935）成立日期2014年12月30日，最新规模3898.75万。今年以来收益37.51%， 同类排名1920/8244；近一年收益64.54%，同类排名1933/8066；成立以来收益32.83%。 9月22日，鹏鼎控股涨5.22%，截至发稿，报60.69元/股，成交8.48亿元，换手率0.62%，总市值1406.83 亿元。 资料显示，鹏鼎控股(深圳)股份有限公司位于广东省深圳市宝安区新安街道海滨社区海秀路2038号鹏鼎 时代大厦A座27层，成立日期1999年4月29日，上市日期2018年9月18日，公司主营业务涉及主要从事各 类印制电路板的设计、研发、制造与销售业务。主营业务收入构成为：通讯用板62.70%，消费电子及 计算机用板31.60%，汽车/服务器用板4.92%，其他(补充)0.78%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 浙商汇金转型成长（000935）基金经理为马斌博。 ...

今年以来，券商发债积极性较高，截至9月21日，合计发行规模达1.23万亿元。其中，科技创新债券 （以下简称"科创债"）凭借资金投向精准、融资模式灵活的优势，在金融支持科技创新企业发展中扮演 了关键角色。年内券商科创债发行规模已超570亿元，在政策引导与市场需求的双重驱动下，券商正以 融资与服务双轮驱动模式，为科技创新企业注入源源不断的金融活水。 本报记者 周尚伃 除了自身发行科创债，券商在科创债承销领域同样表现亮眼，成为连接科创企业与资本市场的关键纽 带。中国证券业协会最新数据显示，上半年，共有68家券商担任了科技创新债券的主承销商，合计承销 了380只债券，同比增长82.69%；承销金额合计达到3813.91亿元，同比增长56.48%，承销规模与数量均 实现大幅增长。 此外，券商对科技金融的深耕，还体现在长期战略布局上。近期，中国证券业协会正式发布《证券公司 做好金融"五篇大文章"专项评价办法（试行）》，通过14项代表性评价指标构建多维考核体系，引导券 商更好发挥功能性。其中，科技金融以50分的最高权重成为核心考核方向。 为把握发展机遇，券商将科创债相关业务作为重要的发力点，持续加强对科技型企业全链条全生命 ...

Group 1 - The overall market performance shows mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 1.3%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index increased by 1.14% and 2.34% respectively [1] - Citic Securities emphasizes the importance of the globalization of leading Chinese manufacturing companies, suggesting that this will enhance pricing power and profit margins, leading to market capitalization growth beyond domestic economic fundamentals [1] - The financing trends around the National Day holiday indicate a pattern of "pre-holiday contraction and post-holiday explosion," with historical data suggesting a high probability of A/H shares rising after preventive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][2] Group 2 - Huajin Securities notes that historically, after high-level fluctuations in a bull market, A-shares tend to continue rising, with current policies and external events remaining positive [2] - Dongwu Securities identifies potential market directions for the fourth quarter, suggesting a structural shift may occur, with cyclical sectors and low-position technology branches being key areas to watch [3] - China Galaxy Securities recommends focusing on sectors benefiting from policy and industry support, such as AI, lithium batteries, and consumer services, especially with the upcoming holidays boosting travel-related stocks [4] Group 3 - Western Securities reports a contraction in A-share valuations, with the coal industry leading gains due to rising coal prices driven by winter supply concerns [5] - The market is expected to experience a period of consolidation, with support levels identified at previous lows, and recommendations to maintain current positions until adjustments are complete [7] - Kaisheng Securities highlights the ongoing dominance of technology sectors, driven by relative profitability and global semiconductor cycles, with AI emerging as a significant demand driver [8] Group 4 - Debon Securities indicates that the current market is at the beginning of a new dollar interest rate cut cycle, with a slow bull market expected to continue, particularly in sectors like AI and solid-state batteries [9] - Xiangcai Securities suggests that the A-share market is likely to operate in a "slow bull" manner, influenced by ongoing policies and the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on technology, green initiatives, and consumer services [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the probability of the domestic central bank following the Federal Reserve in cutting interest rates has increased, with a higher likelihood of implementation after the end of October [1][4] - External constraints are weakening, creating a "maneuvering space" for monetary policy, as the narrowing of the China-US interest rate differential reduces the risk of capital outflow, thus opening a window for monetary easing [2] - The current low net interest margin of commercial banks and rising real interest rates pose internal constraints on further interest rate cuts, making the central bank cautious about comprehensive rate reductions [3] Group 2 - The bond market is showing signs of stabilization after three months of adjustments, and there is an expectation for a new round of smooth declines in bond market rates entering the fourth quarter [1][4] - Investors are advised to prepare for defensive strategies and consider entering the market around the 10-year government bond yield of 1.8% [1][4]

Core Viewpoint - The express delivery industry in August showed signs of recovery with revenue reaching 1189.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, and a business volume of 16.15 billion pieces, up 12.3% year-on-year [1][2]. Industry Summary - August express delivery revenue was 1189.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.2%, and business volume reached 16.15 billion pieces, growing 12.3% year-on-year [1][2]. - The average price per delivery in August was 7.37 yuan, reflecting a slight month-on-month increase of 0.01 yuan but a year-on-year decline of 7.2% [2]. - Major provinces like Guangdong and Zhejiang have stabilized their express delivery prices [2]. Company Performance - YTO Express reported revenue of 53.9 billion yuan in August, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%, with a business volume of 25.1 billion pieces, up 11.1%. The average revenue per piece was 2.15 yuan, down 1.13% year-on-year but up 0.07 yuan month-on-month [3]. - Yunda Express achieved revenue of 41.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, with a business volume of 21.45 billion pieces, up 8.7%. The average revenue per piece was 1.92 yuan, down 3.52% year-on-year but up 0.01 yuan month-on-month [3]. - Shentong Express reported revenue of 44.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.5%, with a business volume of 21.47 billion pieces, up 10.9%. The average revenue per piece was 2.06 yuan, up 3% year-on-year and up 0.09 yuan month-on-month [3]. Price Increase Trends - Provinces like Liaoning and Heilongjiang announced price increases effective from September 20, with over 80% of the national market share in provinces that have announced price hikes [4]. - The industry has seen a slight price recovery since the "anti-involution" policy was implemented, and the trend of rising prices is expected to continue [4]. - The upcoming autumn and winter seasons are anticipated to boost demand, potentially leading to further increases in delivery fees [4]. Profitability Elasticity - A price increase of 0.1 yuan is estimated to increase the average revenue per delivery for listed companies by 0.05 yuan, contributing to a net profit increase of 0.0375 yuan per piece [5]. - For 2024, the estimated profit per piece for major companies is as follows: YTO (0.15 yuan), Shentong (0.05 yuan), Zhongtong (0.3 yuan), and Yunda (0.08 yuan). A nationwide price increase of 0.3 yuan would result in profit elasticity of 75%, 245%, 38%, and 141% respectively [5]. Investment Recommendations - Despite challenges in the first half of 2025, the express delivery sector is expected to recover due to price stabilization and improved competitive dynamics [6]. - Recommended stocks include YTO Express (600233.SH), Shentong Express (002468.SZ), Jitu Express-W (01519), Zhongtong Express-W (02057), and Yunda Express (002120.SZ) [6].

与此同时，就微观流动性而言，下半年以来，港股特别是恒生科技板块持续向好。一方面，以国际中介 机构的持股数量为统计口径，其持有的恒生科技数量自4月以来快速提升；另一方面，以港股通为观察 口径，对恒生科技的持股数量从6月开始明显回升。 智通财经APP获悉，浙商证券发布研报称，AI应用，港股互联网先行，美联储降息落地、港股互联网传 统业务或触底以及AI业务正迎快速发展三重因素共振。加之，板块估值尚处历史低位。看好港股互联 网的战略配置机会。最关键的是，针对AI进展较快的互联网龙头，理解其估值空间，不能用修复逻 辑，而应基于AI投资时代的成长逻辑重塑。建议关注大模型及垂类应用线索代表性公司。 浙商证券主要观点如下： 驱动因素一：流动性持续迎利好 站在当前，结合美国经济数据情况，本轮美联储降息类型更接近预防式降息。因此，单就美联储降息的 影响而言，对恒生科技走势构成边际利好。 自2023年以来，全球AI产业浪潮来临，股市也迎来AI投资时代，AI的快速进展将重塑这些公司的成长 逻辑，打开成长空间。 投资建议：大模型以及垂类线索 从估值的角度看，截至9月16日，恒生科技的PE-TTM约23倍，处于2020年7月以来32%分 ...