中经记者 何莎莎 北京报道 在2025年陆家嘴论坛上，中国人民银行行长潘功胜宣布八项重磅金融举措，从设立银行间市场交易报告 库到推进人民币外汇期货交易，一系列政策组合拳引发市场高度关注。如何准确认识这些政策背后的深 层逻辑以及对未来的影响，《中国经营报》触角"零观财经"节目与浙商证券研究所宏观联席首席分析师 廖博，展开了深度对话。 "在外部环境存在不确定性的大背景下，陆家嘴论坛在金融领域从多个视角给予了决策层的指引，既着 眼于当下金融市场稳定，更致力于中长期金融体系改革与国际竞争力提升。"廖博指出，"'一行一局一 会'主要领导都提供了相应的增量政策信息，在这些政策组合拳的综合施策之下，无论是金融市场层 面，还是基本面层面，都将迎来更加积极的成果。" 筑牢金融防线 打开金融开放新空间 在廖博看来，八项举措出台的宏观背景呈现"双主线"特征：一方面，美国对华加征关税的90天缓冲期临 近结束，中东地缘政治风险升级，外部环境不确定性显著上升；另一方面，国内经济正处于结构转型关 键期，新质生产力培育与传统动能修复需要金融政策精准发力。"本质上，八项措施是为未来可能出现 的外部冲击筑牢了金融防线，同时通过制度创新打开金融开 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the appointment of Zhang Liying as the new CFO of Guodu Securities, marking a significant step in the integration of Guodu Securities and Zheshang Securities following a change in control [2][6] - Zhang Liying's appointment fills the vacancy left by the resignation of former CFO Yang Jiangquan, who resigned due to a regulatory investigation by the China Securities Regulatory Commission [2][6] - The integration of Zheshang Securities and Guodu Securities is part of a broader restructuring, with Zheshang Securities acquiring a 34.25% stake in Guodu Securities, officially becoming the controlling shareholder [6][7] Group 2 - Zhang Liying has extensive experience in accounting and auditing, having worked at PwC and KPMG before joining Zheshang Securities in 2009 [5][2] - The management changes at Guodu Securities also include the appointment of several senior executives from Zheshang Securities, indicating a strategic alignment and consolidation of leadership [8][7] - Zhang Hui, the new general manager of Guodu Securities, has a long history in the securities industry and played a key role in the acquisition negotiations, facilitating the successful integration of the two firms [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Ice Wheel Environment, is focused on providing advanced system solutions and lifecycle services in the energy and power sectors, with a range of products including compressors and heat exchangers, operating in a temperature range of -271°C to 200°C [2][3]. Group 1: Business Overview - The company offers a variety of products such as screw compressors, centrifugal compressors, absorption compressors, piston compressors, and various industrial heat pumps, among others [2][3]. - The company has a mature supply of magnetic suspension compressor products, which have been used in venues for the Beijing Winter Olympics [3]. - The customer industries served include food freezing and refrigeration, cold chain logistics, industrial cooling systems, commercial air conditioning, and special industrial air conditioning [3]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The company has developed a helium compressor for superconducting magnets used in controlled nuclear fusion devices, which operates at extremely low temperatures [4]. - The company has made significant advancements in screw compressor technology, leading to improved performance and quality, and has received national recognition for its innovations [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - The company's Q1 2025 report shows a main revenue of 1.373 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.05%, and a net profit of 93.726 million yuan, down 22.45% year-on-year [6]. - The company has a debt ratio of 44.64% and a gross profit margin of 25.03% [6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Predictions - In the last 90 days, three institutions have given buy ratings for the stock [7]. - Detailed profit forecasts indicate expected net profits of 679 million yuan for 2025, 757 million yuan for 2026, and 854 million yuan for 2027 from various institutions [9].

本次发行采取以简易程序向特定对象发行股票的方式，在中国证监会作出予以注册决定后十个工作日内 完成发行缴款。 本次发行的发行对象为财通基金管理有限公司、诺德基金管理有限公司、深圳市共同基金管理有限公司 —共同成长基金、华安证券（600909）资产管理有限公司、陈吴星、广发证券股份有限公司、上海处厚 私募基金管理有限公司—处厚拙巧抱朴私募证券投资基金、上海处厚私募基金管理有限公司—处厚远航 专项2号私募证券投资基金、华夏基金管理有限公司、东海基金管理有限责任公司、林金涛、至简(绍兴 柯桥)私募基金管理有限公司—至简瑞景一号私募证券投资基金、于振寰、济南国泰高新建设投资合伙 企业(有限合伙)、锦绣中和(天津)投资管理有限公司—中和资本耕耘9号私募证券投资基金。发行对象不 超过35名特定对象，所有发行对象均以现金方式认购。上述发行对象在本次发行前后与公司均不存在关 联关系，本次发行不构成关联交易。 本次发行价格为5.86元/股。 中国经济网北京6月19日讯梅轮电梯（603321）(603321.SH)昨晚发布关于2024年度以简易程序向特定对 象发行股票申请获得上海证券交易所审核通过的公告。 梅轮电梯公告称，公司于6 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zheshang Securities highlights the optimistic outlook for the globalization and valuation reshaping of domestic innovative drugs in China, particularly in the fields of dual antibodies and ADCs, as they enter a period of accelerated global expansion [1] Financial Performance - Commercialization is expected to improve profitability, with 32 sample innovative drug companies projected to invest 67.2 billion yuan in R&D in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.23% [1] - The sales and R&D expense ratios for 22 sample innovative drug companies are continuously declining from 2021 to 2024, which is expected to drive improved profitability for companies like BeiGene and Innovent Biologics [1] Commercialization Insights - The sales revenue of 17 commercialized innovative drug companies is projected to reach 91.3 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 35%, indicating strong growth momentum despite a high base [2] MNC Strategies - The report notes that while multinational corporations (MNCs) have established strong first-generation IO pipelines, there has been no significant breakthrough in second-generation IOs, with companies like BMS and Pfizer acquiring Chinese pipelines through licensing [3] - MNCs are expected to leverage their ample cash flow and stable net profit contributions to enhance their pipeline strategies in the IO and ADC sectors [3] Domestic Market Dynamics - The competitiveness of domestic companies is strengthening, with significant business development (BD) transactions expected to continue into 2025, such as the licensing agreements involving 3SBio and Hengrui Medicine [4] - The commercialization of potential blockbuster drugs is accelerating, with a rich pipeline of NDA reserves expected to drive revenue and profit growth for domestic innovative drugs [4] - Domestic companies are leading in the development of second-generation IO and ADCs, with a robust pipeline that includes various promising targets [4]

Core Viewpoint - The coal supply growth rate is declining but remains high, while demand is weak, particularly in the power sector. The chemical sector shows better demand. Coal prices have significantly decreased, and stable long-term contract prices are expected. Policy expectations are increasing due to weak supply-demand fundamentals, with a need for production cuts to stabilize coal prices [1][4]. Supply - Domestic coal production continues to grow, but the growth rate has decreased. From January to May 2025, the total raw coal production reached 1.985 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.0%. In May alone, production was 403 million tons, up 4.2% year-on-year [2]. - Coal imports have slightly decreased, with a total of 189 million tons imported from January to May, down 7.9% year-on-year. In May, imports were 36.04 million tons, a decrease of 17.8% year-on-year [2]. - The transportation of coal from Xinjiang has declined, with a total of 22.01 million tons transported by rail from January to March 2025. In April, policies were introduced to reduce transportation costs, alleviating pressure on coal transportation [2]. Demand - Coal consumption has shown signs of weakness but remains resilient overall. From January to April 2025, total coal consumption was approximately 1.66 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.3%. The chemical industry experienced the fastest growth, consuming 140 million tons, up 10.8% year-on-year [3]. - The steel industry consumed 230 million tons, a 2.8% increase year-on-year, while the building materials sector saw a decline of 1.9% with 140 million tons consumed. The power sector experienced a significant drop, consuming 940 million tons, down 2.7% year-on-year [3]. Price - The average prices of various coal types have decreased. From January to May, the average prices for thermal coal, coking coal, and anthracite were 740.0, 1406.5, and 898.4 yuan per ton, respectively, representing year-on-year declines of 20.5%, 38.7%, and 7.1% [4]. - The long-term contract price for Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal decreased from 693 yuan per ton at the beginning of the year to 669 yuan per ton in June. It is expected that long-term contract prices will stabilize as spot prices gradually stabilize [4]. Policy - The company anticipates that policy measures will be implemented based on historical experiences, with expectations for effective outcomes. The company has gained experience from previous supply-side structural reforms and energy production increases to address coal overcapacity and supply tightness [4]. - To stabilize coal prices, it is predicted that production must be reduced by at least 57 million tons from June to December, even under optimistic demand scenarios. In neutral and pessimistic demand scenarios, reductions of 81 million tons and 106 million tons are required, respectively [4].

Group 1: Commodity Market Insights - Citigroup predicts gold prices will fall below $3000 per ounce in the coming quarters, with a target range of $2500-$2700 by mid-2026 due to weakening investment demand and improved global economic outlook [1] - Citigroup expects Brent crude oil prices to trade around $70-$80 per barrel in the near term, while maintaining a long-term forecast of $60-$65 per barrel [2] - Bank of America warns of declining foreign demand for U.S. Treasury bonds, with custodial assets dropping over $60 billion since April [3] Group 2: Economic Policy and Market Impact - Morgan Stanley suggests that the "Beautiful America" bill may increase the deficit without significantly boosting economic growth, predicting a fiscal drag on GDP in the medium term [2] - Dutch Bank analysts indicate limited upside potential for the U.S. dollar, as geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices may not provide sufficient support [4] - German Bank analysts note that the recent strength of the dollar is primarily driven by rising oil prices rather than its safe-haven status [5] Group 3: Domestic Economic Outlook - CITIC Securities forecasts continued rapid economic growth in Q2, driven by strong industrial and service sector performance, with a focus on consumer demand and investment trends [8] - CITIC Securities identifies a long-term growth trend in the controllable nuclear fusion industry, supported by favorable policies and increased financing [8] - CITIC Securities anticipates that recent policy changes in drug and medical supply procurement will benefit high-quality innovative companies in the pharmaceutical sector [8] Group 4: Market Trends and Predictions - Zheshang Securities predicts a dual bull market for stocks and bonds in the second half of the year, driven by improved economic conditions and supportive policies [9] - Huatai Securities highlights the potential for a surge in oil transportation rates due to increased risks in the Strait of Hormuz, impacting global shipping supply chains [10] - Tianfeng Securities recommends focusing on high-elasticity industries such as storage and AI, anticipating optimistic growth in the semiconductor sector [10]

目前王青山尚在囹圄之中，此次起诉主要由相关人士代理。 任职期间，王青山合计获得税前报酬为1749.1万元，平均年收入250万元左右。 2023年财报显示，王青山当年主动离职后，浙商证券曾支付176.48万元的以往年度税前绩效薪酬递延金 额，但2024年财报中已无该项递延金额的列示。 根据浙商证券的薪酬制度，高管的递延支付期限不少于3年。 百万年薪券商总裁疑似成为讨薪"牛马"。 近日，浙江法院官网披露的开庭公告显示，王青山因劳动争议起诉浙商证券，该案将于6月19日上午开 庭。 该人士正是浙商证券前任总裁王青山。 王青山于2017年至2023年5月担任浙商证券总裁，此后浙商证券称其因个人原因离职。 但据多家媒体报道，2023年3月浙商证券总裁王青山在参加浙江省交通投资集团财务有限公司干部会议 时，被"叫出会场"，并就此失联。 今年一季度下滑趋势更为显著，浙商证券当期收入为29.94亿元，同比缩水了近1/4。 业绩增长乏力的同时，浙商证券的投行业务曾因内控问题遭到监管"点名"。 今年3月，证监会发现浙商证券质控现场核查不到位、内控流程不规范、内控意见跟踪落实不到位、保 荐工作报告未完整披露质控内核关注的问题，对其采 ...

Core Viewpoint - The economic recovery in May shows a positive trend, with industrial growth driven by government policies, but a potential decline in the second quarter is anticipated [1] Economic Performance - In May, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 5.8% year-on-year in real terms [1] - The overall economic performance is expected to exhibit fluctuations due to rising uncertainties in both internal and external environments [1] Market Outlook - The second half of the year may present a dual bull market for stocks and bonds, supported by a potential easing of US-China trade relations and risk mitigation from "quasi-stabilization" funds [1] - A structural market trend is anticipated in A-shares, characterized by alternating low volatility dividends and technological growth [1] Fixed Income - The 10-year government bond yield is expected to decline to around 1.5% amid a low probability of large-scale domestic demand stimulus within the year [1]

证券代码：601878 证券简称：浙商证券 公告编号：2025-035 浙商证券股份有限公司 2025 年度第二期短期融资券兑付完成公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 浙商证券股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）于 2025 年 3 月 14 日成功发 行了浙商证券股份有限公司 2025 年度第二期短期融资券（以下简称"本期短期 融资券"），本期短期融资券发行规模为人民币 15 亿元，票面利率为 2.03%， 短期融资券期限为 91 天，兑付日期为 2025 年 6 月 13 日（详见本公司于 2025 年 3 月 18 日登载于上海证券交易所网站 www.sse.com.cn 的《浙商证券股份有限 公司 2025 年度第二期短期融资券发行结果公告》）。 特此公告。 浙商证券股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 6 月 17 日 2025 年 6 月 13 日，本公司按期兑付了本期短期融资券本息共计人民币 1,507,591,643.84 元。 ...