在卖出一侧，高盛(中国)证券有限责任公司上海浦东新区世纪大道证券营业部卖出35002.72万元，位列 卖出榜首。国泰海通证券股份有限公司总部卖出32659.35万元。华泰证券股份有限公司南京分公司卖出 18878.12万元。华泰证券股份有限公司深圳前海证券营业部卖出13355.16万元。中国国际金融股份有限 公司上海分公司卖出11665.23万元。前五大卖出席位合计卖出金额为111560.58万元。 本文源自：市场资讯 从数据来看，高盛(中国)上海浦东新区世纪大道营业部与国泰海通证券总部在买卖双方均出现大额交 易，呈现明显的多空分歧。该股自12月5日启动以来，股价经历了显著波动。 风险提示：以上内容基于公开数据整理，不构成任何投资建议。股市有风险，投资需谨慎。龙虎榜数据 仅为当日交易公开信息，不代表未来走势，投资者应注意市场波动风险。（本内容由AI基于交易所公 开数据整理生成，仅供参考，不构成投资建议。） 摩尔线程-U今日因日换手率达到30%登上龙虎榜。盘后数据显示，买卖席位均出现知名外资券商身影。 在买入一侧，摩根大通证券(中国)有限公司上海银城中路证券营业部位居榜首，买入金额为20711.03万 元。高盛 ...

中经记者 罗辑 北京报道 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议全面总结了2025年经济工作，深入分析当前经济形 势，系统部署2026年经济工作。 在政策取向上，会议提出"要坚持稳中求进、提质增效"，明确延续"更加积极的财政政策"和"适度宽松 的货币政策"。会议还确定了明年经济工作抓好的八项重点任务。其中，"坚持内需主导，建设强大国内 市场"居于首位。 多家券商机构指出，会议释放了积极的政策信号，为推动宏观经济回升向好，推动经济实现质的有效提 升和量的合理增长。机构预计，上市公司基本面有望回升，为市场持续上行提供有力支撑。 宏观政策延续积极 中信证券研究认为，从总量政策看，会议要求继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策，并 指出"发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应"，政策或更注重政策协调与落地效果。财政政策方面，会议保 持了"实施更加积极的财政政策"的定调，较去年相比，表述上减少了"提高赤字率"但增加"保持必要的 财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量"。 "我们预计明年财政预算赤字率或与去年持平，特别国债、地方新增专项债规模或会小幅提高。"中信证 券分析表示。 货币政策方面，中信证券强调，会议明确 ...

Core Insights - The securities sector experienced an increase of 0.61% on December 12, with Guolian Minsheng leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3889.35, up 0.41%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13258.33, up 0.84% [1] Securities Sector Performance - Guolian Minsheng (601456) closed at 10.89, with a rise of 2.93% and a trading volume of 1.7592 million shares [1] - Northeast Securities (000686) rose by 1.86% to 9.30, with a trading volume of 625,100 shares [1] - GF Securities (000776) increased by 1.65% to 20.95, with a trading volume of 455,400 shares [1] - Zhongyuan Securities (601375) saw a 1.40% increase to 4.35, with a trading volume of 390,900 shares [1] - Huatai Securities (601688) rose by 1.37% to 22.16, with a trading volume of 1.2342 million shares [1] - Shanxi Securities (002500) increased by 1.34% to 6.07, with a trading volume of 209,900 shares [1] - Guojin Securities (600109) rose by 1.31% to 9.25, with a trading volume of 272,800 shares [1] - Caitong Securities (601108) increased by 1.19% to 8.50, with a trading volume of 388,000 shares [1] - Huaxi Securities (002926) rose by 1.18% to 9.43, with a trading volume of 154,100 shares [1] - China Galaxy (601881) increased by 1.15% to 15.90, with a trading volume of 313,000 shares [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The securities sector saw a net inflow of 1.326 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 580 million yuan [3] - Speculative funds recorded a net outflow of 746 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 12.66, representing a potential upside of 25.9% from the current price of HKD 10.05 [4][5]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong performance with a significant increase in revenue and net profit, achieving a revenue of RMB 227.5 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 44.4%, and a net profit of RMB 109.7 billion, up 57.5% year-on-year [5]. - The return on equity (ROE) has improved to 8.77%, reflecting enhanced profitability and operational efficiency [5]. - The brokerage and margin financing businesses have shown robust growth, with net income from brokerage services reaching RMB 63.1 billion, a 70.7% increase year-on-year, benefiting from a 113% rise in average daily trading volume [5]. - The company's self-investment segment has also performed well, with net investment income growing by 42.4% year-on-year to RMB 121.03 billion [5]. - Investment banking revenues have rebounded, with net income of RMB 4.8 billion, a 29.9% increase year-on-year, driven by a significant rise in equity underwriting [5]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2023, the company is projected to have total revenue of RMB 336 billion, with a net profit of RMB 79 billion, translating to an EPS of 0.67 [3][6]. - The company expects revenue to grow to RMB 355 billion in 2024, followed by a decline to RMB 308 billion in 2025, before rebounding to RMB 342 billion in 2026 and RMB 361 billion in 2027 [3][6]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is RMB 147 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 46.5% [5][6]. - The company’s financial metrics indicate a price-to-book ratio of 0.9 for 2025, suggesting a favorable valuation relative to its net asset value [3][5].

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 emphasizes five essential approaches for economic work under new circumstances, including fully tapping economic potential and combining policy support with reform innovation [2] Group 1: Domestic Market and Consumption - The conference highlights the need to build a strong domestic market, focusing on boosting consumer spending and income to enhance residents' consumption capacity [3] - Specific measures include implementing actions to stimulate consumption, improving supply quality, and stabilizing employment and income expectations [3] - The emphasis is on optimizing policies for service consumption and removing unreasonable restrictions in the consumption sector [3] Group 2: Innovation and New Momentum - The conference stresses the importance of innovation-driven development and aims to establish international technology innovation centers in key regions [4] - It calls for a new round of high-quality development actions for key industrial chains, particularly in electric vehicles, photovoltaics, and energy storage [4][5] - Policies will focus on enhancing the innovation ecosystem and protecting intellectual property rights in emerging fields [4] Group 3: Reform and Market Vitality - The conference outlines reforms to enhance market vitality, including the establishment of a unified national market and addressing "involution" in competition [6][7] - It emphasizes the need for tax system reforms to improve local financial capabilities and support consumer-driven competition [7] - Measures will also target the revitalization of state-owned and private enterprises, addressing issues like overdue payments to private firms [7] Group 4: External Cooperation and Trade - The conference reiterates the importance of steady external openness, particularly in the service sector, and encourages the development of digital and green trade [8] - It aims to accelerate the signing of regional and bilateral trade agreements to enhance international cooperation [8] Group 5: Regional Development and Urban-Rural Integration - The conference promotes urban-rural integration and regional collaboration, focusing on the development of county towns and revitalizing rural areas [9][10] - It emphasizes the need for coordinated development among major city clusters and enhancing cross-regional cooperation [9] Group 6: Green Transition and Carbon Neutrality - The conference prioritizes green transformation, emphasizing the development of a new energy system and the promotion of energy efficiency in key industries [11][12] - It aims to expand the application of green electricity and strengthen the national carbon trading market [12] Group 7: Social Welfare and Public Services - The conference addresses key social welfare issues, including employment, social security, education, and healthcare, with a focus on stabilizing the birth rate [13] - It proposes comprehensive solutions to reduce burdens on residents in these areas, aiming to enhance overall living standards [13] Group 8: Risk Management and Real Estate - The conference outlines strategies for risk management, particularly in the real estate sector, shifting focus from stabilizing prices to controlling supply and inventory [14][15] - It emphasizes the need for reforms in housing provident funds and improving the financial health of local governments [14]

Core Viewpoint - China Galaxy Securities (601881) is expected to continue releasing growth potential due to its advantages in risk management, customer base, and policy benefits, amid industry recovery and business structure optimization, with a target price of HKD 12.66 and a "Buy" rating [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of CNY 22.75 billion, a year-on-year increase of 44.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 10.97 billion, up 57.5% year-on-year; the weighted average ROE reached 8.77%, an increase of 2.97 percentage points year-on-year [2] - In Q3 alone, the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 4.48 billion, soaring 73.9% year-on-year and 29.0% quarter-on-quarter, marking the best single-quarter performance in history [2] Brokerage and Margin Financing - The brokerage business net income reached CNY 6.31 billion, a year-on-year increase of 70.7%, accounting for approximately 28% of total revenue; Q3 revenue was CNY 2.66 billion, up 125% year-on-year and 54% quarter-on-quarter, significantly outpacing market transaction growth [3] - The average daily trading volume of stock funds in the market increased by 113% year-on-year to CNY 1.81 trillion, and the margin financing balance reached CNY 2.39 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 66.2% [3] Investment Performance - The net investment income (including fair value changes) for the first three quarters was CNY 12.103 billion, achieving a year-on-year growth of 42.4%; Q3 alone saw a year-on-year increase of 32.6% [4] - As of the end of Q3, the financial asset scale was CNY 417 billion, a 9% increase from the beginning of the year, with other debt investments increasing by 16.3% to CNY 256.7 billion [4] Investment Banking Recovery - Investment banking net income for the first three quarters was CNY 480 million, a year-on-year increase of 29.9%; equity underwriting scale reached CNY 24.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1,420% [5] - The bond underwriting scale was CNY 576.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 76.1%, with market share rising to 4.7% [5] - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be CNY 14.7 billion, CNY 16.9 billion, and CNY 18.3 billion, corresponding to year-on-year growth rates of 46.5%, 14.9%, and 8.6% respectively [5]

Core Viewpoint - China Galaxy Securities (06881) is positioned to leverage its strengths in risk management, customer base, and policy advantages, with expectations for continued growth potential amid industry recovery and business optimization, targeting a price of HKD 12.66 and maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of CNY 22.75 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 44.4%, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching CNY 10.97 billion, up 57.5% year-on-year [2] - The weighted average ROE reached 8.77%, an increase of 2.97 percentage points year-on-year, indicating significant improvement in profitability [2] - In Q3 alone, net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 4.48 billion, soaring 73.9% year-on-year and 29.0% quarter-on-quarter, marking the best quarterly performance in history [2] Group 2: Brokerage and Margin Financing - The brokerage business net income was CNY 6.31 billion, a year-on-year increase of 70.7%, accounting for approximately 28% of total revenue, with Q3 income reaching CNY 2.66 billion, up 125% year-on-year [3] - The average daily trading volume in the market increased by 113% year-on-year to CNY 1.81 trillion, contributing to the growth in brokerage income [3] - The margin financing balance reached CNY 2.39 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 66.2%, reflecting a robust customer base and effective conversion capabilities [3] Group 3: Investment Performance - The net investment income (including fair value changes) for the first three quarters was CNY 12.103 billion, achieving a year-on-year growth of 42.4% [4] - The financial asset scale reached CNY 417 billion by the end of Q3, a 9% increase from the beginning of the year, with other debt investments rising by 16.3% to CNY 256.7 billion [4] - The ratio of equity securities and derivatives to net capital increased from 27.27% at the beginning of the year to 32.69%, indicating strong investment and risk control capabilities [4] Group 4: Investment Banking - The investment banking net income for the first three quarters was CNY 480 million, a year-on-year increase of 29.9%, although its impact on overall performance remains limited [5] - The scale of equity underwriting reached CNY 24.1 billion, a staggering increase of 1,420% year-on-year, with a market share increase of 1.68 percentage points to 2.5% [5] - The bond underwriting scale was CNY 576.1 billion, up 76.1% year-on-year, with a market share increase of 1.44 percentage points to 4.7%, ranking sixth in the industry [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities emphasizes the importance of the "14th Five-Year Plan" for the consumption industry, highlighting the need to focus on medium- to long-term consumption goals and the specific policies related to consumption expected to be implemented by 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Developments - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11, 2025, underscored the need to prioritize domestic demand and build a strong domestic market, implementing actions to boost consumption and develop plans for increasing urban and rural residents' income [2][4]. - The government has been actively promoting various policies to stimulate consumption, including the introduction of a special fund of 150 billion yuan for consumption upgrades and an additional 300 billion yuan in 2025 for similar initiatives [3][4]. Group 2: Consumption Trends - The report anticipates significant changes in service consumption by 2026, with a more favorable outlook compared to goods consumption, driven by recent policies aimed at enhancing service consumption and removing unreasonable restrictions in the consumption sector [1][3]. - The retail sales growth rate showed a year-on-year increase of 2.9% in October 2025, although it experienced a slight month-on-month decline of 0.1 percentage points, indicating ongoing challenges in the consumption market [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend quality companies during market style shifts, as well as companies with alpha potential in various segments, including new consumption in the social service sector and food and beverage industries [5]. - Specific recommendations include companies like Gu Ming and Da Mai Entertainment in the new consumption sector, and Midea Group and Haier Smart Home in the home appliance sector, which are noted for their high dividend yields [5].

Core Viewpoint - North Special Technology (603009.SH) has received approval from the Shanghai Stock Exchange for its application to issue A-shares to specific investors through a simplified procedure, pending final registration approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) [1] Group 1: Issuance Details - The company plans to issue a total of 7,980,845 shares, aiming to raise no more than 300 million RMB, which does not exceed 20% of the company's net assets as of the end of the previous year [2] - The pricing benchmark date for the issuance is set for August 28, 2025, with the issue price determined at 37.59 RMB per share, which is 80% of the average trading price over the 20 trading days prior to the benchmark date [3] - The total subscription amount from the investors is 30 million RMB, and the funds raised will be used entirely for the construction of the Thailand screw production base project (Phase I) [3] Group 2: Shareholder Information - As of the date of the fundraising prospectus, Jin Kun holds 10,688.41 million shares, representing 31.57% of the total share capital, making him the controlling shareholder and actual controller of the company [4] - Jin Xiao Tang holds 2,774.88 million shares, accounting for 8.20% of the total share capital, and is related to Jin Kun as a father-son relationship, constituting a concerted action [4] - The issuance will not change the control of the company, as Jin Kun remains the controlling shareholder post-issuance [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities indicates a clear upward trend in both domestic and international sales growth for excavators in November compared to October, driven by a recovery in demand from the wind and hydropower sectors and strong overseas demand, particularly in Europe, North America, and Australia [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - In November, the growth rate of excavator sales, both domestic and international, increased compared to October, indicating a synchronized upward trend in industry demand [1] - The recovery in non-excavator segments, driven by wind and hydropower, continues to show positive momentum [1] Group 2: International Demand - Demand for mining machinery remains strong in Australia and Latin America, contributing to the overall positive outlook for the industry [1] - In 2024, domestic brands are expected to account for 19.2% of global (excluding China) demand for excavators, suggesting significant room for growth in export volumes [1]