Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the brokerage sector, indicating a synchronized performance with the market [1]. Core Insights - The brokerage index attempted to strengthen in January 2026 but ultimately failed, resulting in a decline of 1.49%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.65% [5][8]. - The brokerage sector experienced increased differentiation, with a notable number of stocks outperforming the brokerage index, leading to a higher average P/B ratio fluctuating between 1.426 and 1.541 times [5][11][14]. - The overall market conditions for January 2026 were characterized by a significant increase in trading volumes and a record high in margin financing balances, indicating a robust trading environment despite the sector's overall weakness [7][30]. Summary by Sections 1. January 2026 Brokerage Market Review - The brokerage index's performance was weak, with a 1.49% decline, ranking 28th among 30 industry indices [5][8]. - The average P/B ratio for the brokerage sector fluctuated between 1.426 and 1.541 times, reflecting a slight increase in valuation [14]. - A total trading volume of 1.03 trillion yuan was recorded, marking a 40.1% increase month-on-month [9]. 2. Key Market Factors Impacting January 2026 Performance - The equity market faced resistance after an initial rise, while the fixed income market showed signs of mild recovery, contributing to a rebound in proprietary trading [7][18]. - The average daily trading volume reached a historical high of 3.05 trillion yuan, with a total monthly trading volume of 60.90 trillion yuan, indicating a strong recovery in brokerage activity [26]. - Margin financing balances reached 27,153 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.9% month-on-month increase and a 53.1% year-on-year increase [30]. 3. February 2026 Performance Outlook for Listed Brokerages - Proprietary trading is expected to decline due to a cooling equity market, while brokerage activity may experience a seasonal drop in performance [7][40]. - The brokerage index is anticipated to face continued weakness, with a potential drop in overall monthly performance expected to return to relative lows seen in the previous 12 months [7][45]. - The report suggests that if the brokerage sector's valuation drops to 1.3x P/B, it may present a good opportunity for re-entry, particularly for leading firms with strong wealth management capabilities [7].

1)省份：湖北：前六天A级景区接待游客1502万人次，同比增长12.41%;四川前六日 A 级景区累计接待 游客4202万人次、门票收入3.38亿元;福建、上海、广西、山东等地景区客流与收入均实现稳步增长。 人均消费企稳，广西游客消费增速(12.1%)快于人次增速(11.5%);山东景区营业收入增速(9.6%)与接待人 次增速(10.6%)基本相近;2)重点景区：九华山、峨眉山、九寨沟等重点知名景区接待量均达饱和，整体 文旅消费呈现高景气态势;3)餐饮零售：假期天数增加叠加多地推出乐购新春活动，前四天全国重点零 售和餐饮企业日均销售额同比+8.6%;海底捞除夕与大年初一两天客流较去年同期增长超过10%。 假期出入境人次预计创新高，澳门旅游市场高景气延续 免税：重回高增长，高端复苏+新品类+政策助力 1)海南：高端消费复苏延续，叠加消费券+日本需求转移，海南前四天免税销售额9.7亿，同比+16%;2) 三亚免税：2月累计销售额同比+19%。其中，初二-初四三亚四家免税店销售额日均2.5亿，农历口径同 比+30%;中免海棠湾店初一至初二日均破2亿;3)珠海免税：新品类(黄金珠宝，苹果手机)+老品类协同发 力，截止 ...

截至发稿， 中国银河(06881.HK)跌4.79%、 中金公司(03908.HK)跌3.44%、 广发证券(01776.HK)跌 2.85%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中国银河证券发布研报称，推理算力资源亟需扩张，算力行业仍处于较高景气周期 上。春节期间国内通信行业全面发展，"十五五"开局首年，5G-A赋能马年春晚，5G-A的三大核心能力 (UCBC、RTBC、HCS)全面激活，支撑了超高清素材回传、跨会场演员"同台"互动以及分会场低空空域 的安全防护。结合春节期间算力应用的发展，以及春节前海外云厂商2026年资本开支计划及光通信产业 链订单情况，算力行业仍处于高景气周期中，且我国光通信产业链春节期间积极复产复工，假期对订单 兑现度的短期影响预计较小，META与英伟达合作预计将加速CPO的普及。 推理算力资源亟需扩张，算力行业仍处于较高景气周期上 春节期间国内通信行业全面发展，5G-A、卫星互联网、6G以及光通信行业受假期影响相对较小，应用 端AI智能体相关公司如智谱寻找算力合伙人、豆包2月16日暂停视频通话功能能等均体现出算力不足的 现状，AI应用的持续发展带动算力规模的持续上行； 事件：2026年春节期间国内外通信行业相关主题事件较多，产业链蓬勃发展。 海外相关新闻主要集中于数据中心建设以及GPU-XPU的路线上，英伟达当前行业龙头地位稳固，收购 G ...

风险提示 中国银河证券主要观点如下： 春节假期重要事件回顾：(1)全球视角：贸易政策不确定性再起，美国最高法院裁定特朗普政府大规模 关税政策违法，特朗普称将对全球商品加征15%进口关税;1月货币政策会议纪要显示，美联储内部对货 币政策前景存在明显分歧;地缘扰动持续，美伊事态紧张。(2)国内视角：春节期间出行火热，春运前20 天预计全社会跨区域人员流动量达50.8亿人次，日均2.5亿人次，创下历史同期新高;截至21日晚上，春 节档电影总票房(含预售)已突破44亿元;科技题材成为春节假期焦点，央视春晚带动人形机器人相关产品 的消费热潮;《求是》杂志发表习近平总书记重要文章《当前经济工作的重点任务》。 三维度看节后市场如何布局?(1)政策：稳预期+做增量。2024年9月24日以来，A股迎来了一系列稳预 期、做增量的政策支持，旨在推动资本市场高质量发展，增强投资者信心，并为市场注入更多流动性。 春节后即将迎来"两会"，市场或提前布局政策预期。"两会"预计紧扣内需主导、创新驱动、改革攻坚、 对外开放等重点领域。在政策红利与产业升级共振下，A股市场长期稳健运行基础将进一步夯实。(2)流 动性：从三个价格看A股怎么走?从汇 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中国银河证券发布研报称，受春节假期影响，港股仅周一、周五两个交易日开盘， 港股三大指数震荡下跌。展望未来，建议关注：中东地缘风险升温，美国关税政策面临大幅调整，投资 者避险情绪升温，贵金属、能源等板块有望震荡上行；消费板块当前估值处于相对低位，随着促消费政 策增多，消费活力逐渐提升，消费板块有望继续上涨；科技板块仍是中长期投资主线，经历近期的回调 后，估值压力下降，在AI大模型更新加快、AI应用加速推进的背景下，相关板块有望反弹回升。 中国银河证券主要观点如下： 本周港股行情表现：(1)本周(2月16日至2月20日)，全球主要股指多数上涨。其中，受春节假期影响，港 股仅周一、周五两个交易日开盘，港股三大指数震荡下跌，恒生指数下跌0.58%，恒生科技指数下跌 2.78%，恒生中国企业指数下跌0.81%。(2)港股行业层面：一级行业中，本周8个行业上涨，3个行业下 跌。其中，能源、材料、工业行业指数涨幅居前，分别上涨3.65%、2.27%、1.03%；可选消费、日常消 费、通讯服务行业指数跌幅居前，分别下跌1.86%、1.50%、0.13%。从二级行业来看，本周石油石化、 有色金属、建筑、家电 ...

来源：中国银河策略 核心观点 本周港股行情表现:（1）本周（2月16日至2月20日），全球主要股指多数上涨。其中，受春节假期影 响，港股仅周一、周五两个交易日开盘，港股三大指数震荡下跌，恒生指数下跌0.58%，恒生科技指数 下跌2.78%，恒生中国企业指数下跌0.81%。（2）港股行业层面：一级行业中，本周8个行业上涨，3个 行业下跌。其中，能源、材料、工业行业指数涨幅居前，分别上涨3.65%、2.27%、1.03%；可选消费、 日常消费、通讯服务行业指数跌幅居前，分别下跌1.86%、1.50%、0.13%。从二级行业来看，本周石油 石化、有色金属、建筑、家电、造纸与包装行业指数涨幅居前，可选消费零售、日常消费零售、国防军 工、传媒、汽车与零配件行业指数跌幅居前。 本周港股流动性:（1）因春节假期，周一（2月16日）港股市场只交易半日，港交所成交额为850.56亿 港元。周五（2月20日），港交所成交额为1654.61亿港元，低于上一周2406.43亿港元的日均成交额水 平；沽空金额为237.27亿港元，占比14.43%，明显高于上一周12.56%的日均沽空金额占比水平。（2） 本周港股通暂停交易。（3）截至 ...

Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a positive outlook for the non-bank financial sector, driven by favorable policies and continued capital inflow, suggesting potential for sector rebound [1][6]. - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the sector, indicating expected strong performance relative to the market [2]. Market Performance - As of February 14, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.41%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.39%. The CSI 300 Index saw a modest gain of 0.36% [12]. - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.11 trillion yuan, reflecting a 12.3% decrease week-on-week [6]. Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The report indicates that listed insurance companies are expected to maintain high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest margins. The insurance fund utilization scale reached 38.5 trillion yuan in Q4 2025, up 15.7% year-on-year [18]. - The report suggests that the upcoming spring market rally may drive better-than-expected performance for insurance companies in Q1 2026, supported by a stable long-term interest rate and an upward trend in the equity market [18]. Securities Sector - The report discusses the recent optimization measures for refinancing announced by the three major exchanges, which aim to enhance financing efficiency and support high-quality enterprises [19]. - The new refinancing rules are expected to create structural opportunities for securities firms, shifting the focus from compliance to the ability to identify and serve quality clients [20]. - The report emphasizes that the optimization of refinancing will lead to a more differentiated regulatory system, benefiting quality companies while tightening controls on weaker entities [22]. Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed valuations for several key companies in the sector, including: - China Ping An (601318.SH) with a target price of 85.17 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - New China Life (601336.SH) with a target price of 94.21 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - China Life (601628.SH) with a target price of 55.47 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - The report also highlights the expected earnings per share (EPS) growth for these companies, indicating a positive outlook for their financial performance in 2025 and 2026 [7].

Core Viewpoint - Chinese securities firms are increasingly expanding their overseas operations, with multiple major and mid-sized firms announcing initiatives for international capital operations at the beginning of the year [1][2]. Group 1: Recent Developments - On February 13, major firms including CITIC Securities, CICC, and Zhongtai Securities announced guarantees for their overseas subsidiaries [2]. - GF Securities reported a change in registered capital from 7.606 billion RMB to 7.825 billion RMB due to a completed H-share placement, with funds aimed at enhancing overseas subsidiary capital [2]. - GF Securities plans to list its zero-interest convertible bonds on the Vienna MTF [3]. Group 2: Industry Trends - GF Securities is not the first to pursue overseas financing; Huatai Securities recently issued 10 billion HKD in zero-interest convertible bonds for international business support [5]. - Since 2025, over ten securities firms have made significant strides in international business, with firms like Western Securities and Dongwu Securities establishing wholly-owned subsidiaries in Hong Kong [6]. - The push into overseas markets represents a shift for Chinese securities firms from local intermediaries to global traders, driven by the need for risk hedging and capital flow [6]. Group 3: Performance Metrics - As of mid-2025, 13 out of 16 comparable A-share listed securities firms reported over 10% year-on-year growth in overseas business revenue [7]. - Notable revenue figures include CITIC Securities at 6.912 billion RMB (up 13.57%), CICC at 4.024 billion RMB (up 75.66%), and Haitong Securities at 2.459 billion RMB (up 76.21%) [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Experts predict that a significant number of quality domestic enterprises will connect with global markets through Hong Kong, creating opportunities for IPOs and cross-border capital services [9]. - The competitive edge in overseas business will increasingly focus on cross-border derivatives and FICC (Fixed Income, Currency, and Commodity) operations [10]. - Chinese securities firms are expanding beyond Hong Kong to Southeast Asia and the Middle East, establishing a comprehensive international business landscape [10]. Group 5: Strategic Considerations - The future growth potential for Chinese securities firms lies in cross-border wealth management, offshore RMB-related businesses, and investment banking in emerging markets [11]. - Firms are advised to build a composite team that understands both international rules and Chinese industries, while also enhancing cross-cultural integration [12].

证券日报网讯 2月13日，中国银河（601881）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，股价涨跌受多重因素 的影响。公司将在持续做好经营工作、提升内生价值的同时，通过多样化方式和渠道开展投资者沟通工 作、市值管理工作，努力推动公司市场价值与内在价值相匹配。 ...