Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that U.S. sanctions against Iran are intensifying, and OPEC has reached a consensus to increase production, indicating upward potential for the oil tanker sector [2][7] - The express delivery business volume has shown significant year-on-year growth, with a reported increase of 21.5% in 2024 [3] Summary by Sections Weekly Focus - The U.S. government has announced additional sanctions against Iran, targeting several individuals, entities, and vessels involved in Iranian oil exports, including 10 VLCC supertankers, which constitutes about 20% of the global tanker fleet [7] - OPEC has agreed to gradually increase production starting April, aiming to release 2.2 million barrels per day [7] Industry Data Tracking (2025.03.09 – 03.15) Aviation Data - Domestic flight volume for the week was 84,029 flights, averaging 12,004 flights per day, a slight decrease of 0.10% week-on-week and 0.50% year-on-year [10] - Domestic passenger volume reached 11.43 million, a 0.05% increase week-on-week and a 2.12% increase year-on-year [11] - The average domestic ticket price decreased by 3.49% week-on-week and 6.31% year-on-year [11] Express Delivery Data - For the week of March 3-9, the average daily collection volume was approximately 555 million pieces, a 3.99% increase from the previous week [17] - Year-to-date, the average daily collection volume is about 495 million pieces, reflecting a 36.00% increase year-on-year [17] - In 2024, the express delivery business volume increased by 21.5% year-on-year, with revenue up by 13.8% [3] Shipping Data - The BDI index for dry bulk shipping was reported at 1,517 points, a 20% increase week-on-week [48] - The VLCC-TCE rate was $38,329 per day, a 3% decrease week-on-week [49] Recent Key Reports - The report recommends focusing on companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy, Shandong Highway, and China Eastern Airlines, among others, as part of the investment strategy [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent decline in oil prices is expected to elevate the profit margins for the aviation sector, with Brent oil prices dropping below $70 per barrel and WTI prices below $67 per barrel [8] - The report suggests that if oil prices remain low, it could lead to cost savings of approximately 4-5 billion yuan for major airlines, equivalent to a ticket price reduction of about 3%-4% [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply-demand dynamics and macroeconomic conditions to ensure that the benefits of lower oil prices translate into profits for the airlines [13] Summary by Sections Weekly Focus - The focus of the week is on the accelerated decline in oil prices, which is expected to enhance the profit margins for the aviation industry [6] Industry Data Tracking (2025.03.02 - 03.08) Aviation High-Frequency Data Tracking - Domestic flight volume for the period was 81,367 flights, with a daily average of 11,624 flights, down 10.07% week-on-week and 7.47% year-on-year [10] - Domestic passenger volume reached 11.0615 million, down 12.05% week-on-week and 4.17% year-on-year [11] - The average full ticket price decreased by 4.76% week-on-week and 3.39% year-on-year [11] - The domestic passenger load factor was 83.18%, an increase of 3.73 percentage points year-on-year [12] - International passenger volume reached 1.315 million, down 5.27% week-on-week but up 26.01% year-on-year [14] Express Delivery High-Frequency Data Tracking - For the week of February 24 to March 2, the average daily express delivery volume was approximately 534 million pieces, with a delivery volume of about 541 million pieces, showing a slight decrease of 0.56% and an increase of 0.05% respectively compared to the previous week [19] - Year-to-date (January 1 to March 2), the average daily express delivery volume was approximately 488 million pieces, up 37.41% year-on-year [20] Shipping High-Frequency Data Tracking - The BDI index for the international dry bulk market was 1,263 points, up 17% week-on-week [51] - The CCFI index for the international container shipping market decreased by 3% week-on-week, while the SCFI index fell by 5% [51] - The VLCC-TCE rate for oil shipping was $39,359 per day, down 1% week-on-week [52] Recent Key Reports - The report includes a recommended investment portfolio consisting of companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy, Shandong Hi-Speed, and China Eastern Airlines, among others [5]

证券代码：601975 证券简称：招商南油 公告编号：临 2024-041 招商局南京油运股份有限公司 关于控股股东增持进展暨权益变动达到 1%的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次权益变动属于增持变动，不涉及要约收购，招商局南京油运股份有 限公司（以下简称"招商南油"或"公司"）控股股东、实际控制人未发生变化。 增持计划基本情况：公司于 2024 年 10 月 14 日披露了《关于控股股东增 持公司股份计划的公告》（临 2024-034），公司控股股东中国长江航运集团有限 公司（以下简称"长航集团"）拟于前述公告披露之日起 6 个月内，通过上海证 券交易所允许的方式（包括但不限于集中竞价交易、大宗交易等）增持公司 A 股股份；本次拟增持股份不低于公司总股本的 1%，不超过公司总股本的 1.72%； 本次增持计划的价格上限为不超过 4.67 元/股（以下简称"本次增持计划"）。 增持计划实施进展情况：截至 2024 年 12 月 27 日，长航集团累计增持公 司股份 48,113,022 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, citing the sustained prosperity of refined oil transportation and potential cyclical dividends for shareholders [2][4][8]. Core Views - The company, China Merchants Nanjing Tanker Corporation, is a leader in refined oil transportation in the Far East, with a diversified business model that includes oil, chemical, and gas transportation. It has the largest MR refined oil fleet in the region and ranks second in domestic crude oil transportation [2][4][8]. - The report highlights that supply constraints are expected to support the continued prosperity of refined oil transportation, driven by geopolitical factors and an aging fleet that limits supply growth [2][4][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - China Merchants Nanjing Tanker Corporation has transitioned from inland river oil transportation to maritime oil transportation since 2007 and has become a subsidiary of China Merchants Group, which provides strong backing [24][40]. - The company operates a diversified business model focusing on liquid cargo transportation, including crude oil, refined oil, chemicals, and gas, enhancing its core competitiveness and risk resilience [40][41]. Market Conditions - The refined oil transportation market is experiencing sustained demand due to geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing Red Sea situation, which has increased transportation times and costs, thereby boosting demand for shipping capacity [92][94]. - The report anticipates that the demand for refined oil transportation will continue to grow, supported by increased oil demand and refining capacity, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region [81][85]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.102 billion, 2.193 billion, and 2.245 billion RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 35.00%, 4.31%, and 2.40% [4][8]. - The report indicates that the company's earnings per share (EPS) will correspond to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 7.13, 6.83, and 6.67 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4][8]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes that the aging fleet poses a significant challenge to supply growth, with a substantial portion of the fleet being over 15 years old, which is expected to limit new supply from replacing older vessels [76][77]. - The global refining capacity is shifting eastward, which is expected to benefit long-distance maritime transportation demand, as longer shipping routes will be required [81][85]. Investment Logic - The company is well-positioned to benefit from cyclical dividends as the refined oil transportation market remains robust. The report suggests that the company could potentially distribute dividends of around 1 billion RMB annually, corresponding to a dividend yield of approximately 6% [8][55].

证券代码：601975 证券简称：招商南油 公告编号：2024-040 招商局南京油运股份有限公司 2024 年第三次临时股东大会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 一、 会议召开和出席情况 | 1、出席会议的股东和代理人人数 | 1,578 | | --- | --- | | 2、出席会议的股东所持有表决权的股份总数（股） | 1,781,208,963 | | 3、出席会议的股东所持有表决权股份数占公司有表决权股 | 37.0941 | | 份总数的比例（%） | | (四) 表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定，大会主持情况等。 会议由公司董事会召集，采用现场会议和网络投票相结合的方式召开。受公 司董事长张翼先生的书面委托，董事李增忠先生通过视频方式主持会议，符合《公 1 2、 议案名称：关于选举任登政先生为公司第十一届董事会非独立董事的议案 审议结果：通过 表决情况： | 股东类 | 同意 | | 反对 | | 弃权 | | | --- | - ...

上海海复律师事务所 经验证，公司本次股东大会的召集、召开程序符合法律、行政法规及公司章 程的规定。 海复律师事务所 法律意见书 关于招商局南京油运股份有限公司 2024 年第三次临时股东大会法律意见书 致：招商局南京油运股份有限公司 根据《中华人民共和国证券法》、《中华人民共和国公司法》以及中国证券监 督管理委员会的相关规定，本所接受贵公司的聘请，指派张建新、赵一帆律师出 席招商局南京油运股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2024 年第三次临时股东大 会，并就公司本次股东大会出具法律意见书。为出具本法律意见书，本所律师出 席了公司 2024 年第三次临时股东大会，并审查了公司提供的有关文件。 本所律师按照律师行业公认的业务标准、道德规范和勤勉尽责精神，对公司 2024 年第三次临时股东大会的召集及召开的相关法律问题提供如下意见： 一、本次股东大会的召集、召开程序 1、公司于 2024 年 11 月 29 日在中国证券报、上海证券报和上海证券交易所 网站(http://www.sse.com.cn/)上发布了《招商局南京油运股份有限公司关于召 开 2024 年第三次临时股东大会的通知》，将公司 2024 年第三次 ...

招商局南京油运股份有限公司 2024 年第三次临时股东大会会议资料 议案一：关于新建 4 艘 6.5 万吨级 PANAMAX 油轮的议案 2024 年 12 月 17 日 招商局南京油运股份有限公司 2024 年第三次临时股东大会议程 时间：2024 年 12 月 17 日上午 9:30 地点：南京市中山北路 324 号油运大厦 16 楼会议室 主持人：张翼董事长或其授权的主持人 会议议程 一、审议议题 1.关于新建 4 艘 6.5 万吨级 PANAMAX 油轮的议案； 2.关于选举任登政先生为公司第十一届董事会非独立董事的议案。 二、股东发言及股东提问。 三、与会股东和股东代表对议案投票表决。 四、大会休会（统计现场投票表决结果）。 五、宣布现场表决结果。 招商局南京油运股份有限公司 2024 年第三次临时股东大会会议资料 各位股东： 招商局南京油运股份有限公司（简称"招商南油"或"公司"）是 招商局集团航运板块旗下专业化的油轮公司，原油运输一直是公司业绩 的"压舱石"。目前，公司原油船队的运力老化、船型偏小、能耗偏高， 市场份额存在流失风险。为巩固和提升公司内贸原油运输市场地位与份 额，公司拟投资建造 4 ...

证券代码：601975 证券简称：招商南油 公告编号：临 2024-039 招商局南京油运股份有限公司 关于控股股东首次增持公司股份暨增持计划进展的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 三、增持计划的实施进展 2024 年 11 月 29 日，公司收到长航集团的通知，长航集团根据本次增持计 划首次增持公司股份，现将有关情况公告如下： 2024 年 11 月 29 日，长航集团通过上海证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价方 式增持了公司 15,499,000 股股份，约占公司总股本的 0.32%，增持金额为 48,550,261.00 元人民币（不含税费）。 本次增持完成后，长航集团直接持有公司 1,372,924,761 股股份，占公司总 股本的 28.59%。 首次增持情况：2024 年 11 月 29 日，招商局南京油运股份有限公司（以 下简称"招商南油"或"公司"）控股股东中国长江航运集团有限公司（以下简 称"长航集团"）通过上海证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价方式增持了公司股份 15,499,000 ...

证券代码：601975 证券简称：招商南油 公告编号：临 2024-037 一、董事会会议召开情况 公司于 2024 年 11 月 23 日以电子邮件的方式发出召开第十一届董事会第七 次会议的通知，会议于 11 月 28 日以通讯表决的方式召开。会议应参与表决董事 8 人，实际参与表决董事 8 人。本次会议的召开符合《公司法》和《公司章程》 的规定，会议决议合法、有效。 二、董事会会议审议情况 会议表决通过了如下决议： （一）通过《关于新建 4 艘 6.5 万吨级 PANAMAX 油轮的议案》。 为优化公司原油船队运力结构，改善船队运营能力，巩固和提升公司原油运 输市场竞争力，进一步增强公司可持续发展能力，公司董事会同意投资不超过 181,748 万元（含税），在非关联方中国船舶集团广船国际有限公司新建 4 艘 6.5 万吨级 PANAMAX 油轮。新船为新一代小巴拿马船型，满足 TierⅢ排放要求，加 装艏侧推装置，并采用甲醇双燃料预留设计。上述 4 艘船舶预计于 2027 年至 2028 年陆续交付。 招商局南京油运股份有限公司 第十一届董事会第七次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在 ...

证券代码：601975 证券简称：招商南油 公告编号：2024-038 招商局南京油运股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年第三次临时股东大会的通知 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 一、 召开会议的基本情况 (一) 股东大会类型和届次 2024 年第三次临时股东大会 召开的日期时间：2024 年 12 月 17 日 9 点 30 分 召开地点：南京市中山北路 324 号油运大厦 16 楼会议室 1 股东大会召开日期：2024年12月17日 本次股东大会采用的网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票 系统 (二) 股东大会召集人：董事会 (三) 投票方式：本次股东大会所采用的表决方式是现场投票和网络投票相结 合的方式 (四) 现场会议召开的日期、时间和地点 (五) 网络投票的系统、起止日期和投票时间。 网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 网络投票起止时间：自 2024 年 12 月 17 日 至 2024 年 12 月 17 日 本次股东大会审议议案及投票股东类型 | 序 | | ...