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医药生物行业2026年度投资策略报告:十年创新,踏出海征程-20251214
Orient Securities· 2025-12-14 05:16
Core Insights - The pharmaceutical industry is experiencing a surge in innovative products, with clear domestic demand and significant potential for international expansion [4][14][25] - Investment opportunities are concentrated in innovative drugs and their supply chains, with a notable performance from CRO/CMO and chemical pharmaceuticals [9][15][17] - The report emphasizes the importance of innovation as the primary solution to industry challenges, driven by stable demand and supportive policies [26][32][41] Industry Overview - The pharmaceutical sector has faced revenue declines, with a 0.9% year-on-year decrease in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, and net profit down by 2.2% [15][16] - The innovative drug sector has outperformed, with CRO/CMO and chemical pharmaceuticals showing net profit growth of 31.0% and 16.6% respectively [17][18] - The overall market is characterized by low fund holdings and historical valuation bottoms, indicating high investment value [20][25] Demand and Payment Dynamics - The demand for healthcare services is steadily increasing, with a projected 5% growth in total medical visits and hospital admissions in 2024 [26][28] - The aging population is expected to drive long-term demand, with 220 million people aged 65 and above by 2050 [28][30] - The medical insurance fund's income growth has outpaced expenditure growth, leading to a significant increase in fund reserves [32][36] Financing and Market Trends - The IPO market for healthcare has rebounded, with 28 IPOs in the first three quarters of 2025, a 100% increase from the previous year [42][43] - License-out transactions have surged, with transaction numbers increasing by 41% and total amounts reaching $92 billion, indicating a robust market for innovative drug licensing [48][50] - The number of IND applications and new clinical trials for innovative drugs has been steadily increasing, with a notable rise in NDA approvals [53][57] Technological Advancements - The report highlights the emergence of new technologies such as ADC and small nucleic acids, with domestic companies leading in these areas [60] - The focus on dual antibodies and GLP-1 drugs is expected to drive significant growth, with multiple development directions emerging [9][60] - The report notes that domestic companies are increasingly recognized for their innovative capabilities, particularly in the ADC space [60]
“天价猴”再临CRO,20cm大红柱吹响昭衍新药(06127)股价反攻号角?
智通财经网· 2025-12-13 14:20
12月12月,昭衍新药港股股价高开高走,盘中最大涨幅达到21.22%,盘中最高价来到21.54港元,让昭衍新药股价时隔一个月重返20港元大关。 但实际上,昭衍新药此次股价新高之路并不平坦。就在6月17日冲高拉出条长上影线之后,昭衍新药股价却走出了三连跌的"断头铡"行情,并于6月20日盘中 最低触及13.89港元,较17日高点跌去28.73%。但6月23日,昭衍新药迅速止跌,股价转头向上,在7个交易日内收复大量"失地"。 与此同时,恒生医疗保健指数同样在"五连阴"后止跌回弹,6月20日至今,指数最大回弹幅度已达9.45%,港股医药板块显示出继续上攻的势头。在这一背景 下,昭衍新药在7月一路猛攻,最终站上28.70港元高点。 随后,指数继续缓慢爬高至9月上旬,而昭衍新药则在7月29日触高后便开始震荡下跌。 从技术面来看,昭衍新药股价在触高后,股价迅速向BOLL线中轨作技术性回归,并围绕中轨震荡了一个月,直到8月28日才首次触及BOLL线下轨,而从均 线角度来看,此次则是昭衍新药股价自今年6月以来首次回归60日均线。此后到10月3日,公司股价基本沿60日均线波动。 但在10月4日收盘价跌破60日线后,昭衍新药之后股 ...
“天价猴”再临CRO,20cm大红柱吹响昭衍新药股价反攻号角?
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-13 14:20
12月12月,昭衍新药港股股价高开高走,盘中最大涨幅达到21.22%,盘中最高价来到21.54港元,让昭衍新药股价时隔一个月重返20港元大关。 在股价阴跌了4个多月后,昭衍新药(06127)靠着一根"20cm大红柱"将市场目光重新拉回到这家安评龙头以及近期再度暴涨的"猴价"上。 港股通资金成此次上涨"大赢家"? 今年7月,借着港股创新药的一波大涨行情,昭衍新药股价触及28.70港元,这一股价创下自2023年3月以来的股价新高。 但实际上,昭衍新药此次股价新高之路并不平坦。就在6月17日冲高拉出条长上影线之后,昭衍新药股价却走出了三连跌的"断头铡"行情,并于6月20日盘中 最低触及13.89港元,较17日高点跌去28.73%。但6月23日,昭衍新药迅速止跌,股价转头向上,在7个交易日内收复大量"失地"。 与此同时,恒生医疗保健指数同样在"五连阴"后止跌回弹,6月20日至今,指数最大回弹幅度已达9.45%,港股医药板块显示出继续上攻的势头。在这一背景 下,昭衍新药在7月一路猛攻,最终站上28.70港元高点。 | 实时 最近1日 最近5日 最近20日 最近60日 | | | | --- | --- | --- | ...
医疗服务行业周报 12.8-12.12:经济工作会议:优化集采、支付变革、长护险破题-20251213
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-12-13 13:22
--医疗服务行业周报 12.8-12.12 相关研究: 核心要点: 本周医药生物下跌 1.04%,涨跌幅排名位列申万一级行业第 17 位 证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 13 日 湘财证券研究所 根据 Wind 数据,本周申万一级行业医药生物下跌 1.04%,涨幅排名位列申 万 31 个一级行业第 17 位。沪深 300 指数下跌 0.08%,医药跑输沪深 300 指数 0.96 个百分点。申万医药生物二级子行业医疗服务 II 报收 6239.94 点,上涨 1.67%;中药 II 报收 6503.88 点,下跌 2.03%;化学制药Ⅱ报收 13372.56 点,下跌 0.75%;生物制品Ⅱ报收 6351.43 点,下跌 1.85%;医 药商业Ⅱ报收 5491.33 点,下跌 4.26%;医疗器械 II 报收 6489.33 点,下 跌 1.79%。 根据 Wind 数据,从医疗服务板块公司的表现来看,表现居前的公司有: 昭衍新药(+23.4%)、美迪西(+12.5%)、阳光诺和(+10.4%)、诺泰生物 (+6.3%)、博腾股份(+6.1%);表现靠后的公司有:光正眼科(-9.4%)、 兰卫医学(-8 ...
昭衍新药再涨超11% 实验猴面临涨价、缺货 安评CRO有望迎边际改善
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-13 03:38
消息面上,12月上旬,食蟹猴单价悄然跃过10万元大关。据红星资本局调查,从广东、广西、云南等地 多家实验猴养殖企业了解到,食蟹猴出现了供应短缺的现象,身价已涨至12、13万元。部分猴场表示, 明年上半年的猴子都已经订出去了。华泰证券此前研报指出,伴随后续供需缺口拉大,猴价或逐渐进入 新一轮上升周期(22年时高达15-20万元/只)。 昭衍新药 昭衍新药 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 34.35 3.12 9.99% 9.99% 6.66% 3.33% 0.00% 3.33% 6.66% 9.99% 28.11 29.15 30.19 31.23 32.27 33.31 34.35 09:30 10:30 11:30/13:00 14:00 15:00 0 141万 283万 424万 昭衍新药(603127)(06127)再涨超11%,截至发稿,涨11.42%,报19.8港元,成交额1.29亿港元。 华泰证券认为,昭衍新药是国内非临床安全性评价领域龙头,以过硬的服务能力持续提升海内外市场影 响力。公司在历经18-22年的业绩高增,23-25年的订单量价承压调整后,利空逐渐出清,26年起有望凭 借国内复苏(B ...
生物科技股走强,昭衍新药涨超17%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-12 06:35
12月12日,港股市场生物科技股走强,其中,昭衍新药涨超17%,加科思-B涨超8%,轩竹生物-B涨超7%,康方生 物、圣诺医药-B涨超6%,基石药业-B涨超5%,同源康医药-B、云康集团、云顶新耀、映恩生物-B涨超4%。 港股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>>责任编辑:栎树 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | 年初至今涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 06127 | 昭衍新药 | C | 17.39% | 20.860 | 156.34 Z | 123.89% | | 01167 | 加科思-B | | 8.19% | 9.120 | 71.78亿 | 618.11% | | 02575 | 轩竹生物-B | | 7.88% | 83.500 | 432.49 Z | 619.83% | | 09926 | 康方生物 | | 6.81% | 125.400 | 1155.11亿 | 106.59% | | 02257 | 圣诺医药-B | | 6.14% | 8.810 | 9.45 Z | 154.62 ...
港股生物科技股走强,昭衍新药涨超17%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-12 06:30
格隆汇12月12日|港股市场生物科技股走强,其中,昭衍新药涨超17%,加科思-B涨超8%,轩竹生物- B涨超7%,康方生物、圣诺医药-B涨超6%,基石药业-B涨超5%,同源康医药-B、云康集团、云顶新 耀、映恩生物-B涨超4%。 ...
主力资金流入前20:特变电工流入5.57亿元、比亚迪流入5.52亿元
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-12 03:47
Core Insights - The main focus of the articles is on the significant inflow of capital into various stocks, highlighting the top 20 stocks by capital inflow as of December 12, with notable performances in sectors such as electric equipment, automotive, and technology [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance - TBEA (特变电工) saw a capital inflow of 557 million, with a price increase of 6.18% [2] - BYD (比亚迪) experienced a capital inflow of 552 million, with a price increase of 1.15% [2] - Antai Technology (安泰科技) had a capital inflow of 499 million, with a price increase of 7.29% [2] - China Western Power (中国西电) reported a capital inflow of 471 million, with a price increase of 10.06% [2] - Longxin Bochuang (长芯博创) achieved a capital inflow of 412 million, with a price increase of 11.86% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The electric equipment sector is prominently represented, with multiple companies like TBEA, China Western Power, and Zhongneng Electric (中能电气) showing strong capital inflows and price increases [2][3] - The automotive sector, led by BYD, also shows positive capital inflow, indicating investor confidence in the automotive market [2] - The healthcare sector, represented by Zhaoyan Pharmaceutical (昭衍新药), recorded a capital inflow of 419 million, reflecting growth potential in medical services [2]
港股昭衍新药涨超11%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-12 02:24
每经AI快讯,昭衍新药(06127.HK)涨超11%,截至发稿,涨11.42%,报19.8港元,成交额1.29亿港元。 ...
港股异动 | 昭衍新药(06127)再涨超11% 实验猴面临涨价、缺货 安评CRO有望迎边际改善
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 02:18
消息面上,12月上旬,食蟹猴单价悄然跃过10万元大关。据红星资本局调查,从广东、广西、云南等地 多家实验猴养殖企业了解到,食蟹猴出现了供应短缺的现象,身价已涨至12、13万元。部分猴场表示, 明年上半年的猴子都已经订出去了。华泰证券此前研报指出,伴随后续供需缺口拉大,猴价或逐渐进入 新一轮上升周期(22年时高达15-20万元/只)。 华泰证券认为,昭衍新药是国内非临床安全性评价领域龙头,以过硬的服务能力持续提升海内外市场影 响力。公司在历经18-22年的业绩高增,23-25年的订单量价承压调整后,利空逐渐出清,26年起有望凭 借国内复苏(BD出海热潮、IND数量上升)+海外离岸外包双轮驱动进入新一轮增长通道。实验猴价格 上升、新签订单回暖等或为后续主要催化。方正证券则建议关注业绩企稳且订单改善,明年有望迎来板 块拐点的安评CRO。 智通财经APP获悉,昭衍新药(06127)再涨超11%,截至发稿,涨11.42%,报19.8港元,成交额1.29亿港 元。 ...