Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific investment ratings for the industry sectors mentioned [2]. Core Insights - The overall industry strategy focuses on the simultaneous rise in energy storage volume and price, with ongoing themes in space and AI [3]. - The new energy vehicle supply chain is entering an upward cycle, benefiting companies like CATL and EVE Energy due to the electrification upgrade and optimization of energy storage patterns [3]. - By the end of December 2025, China's electric vehicle charging infrastructure is expected to reach 20.092 million units, a year-on-year increase of 49.7% [3]. - Global energy storage battery shipments are projected to reach 640 GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 82.9%, with CATL maintaining a leading position [3][25]. - The solid-state battery sector is entering a critical phase of engineering and industrialization, with companies like Xiamen Tungsten and Peking University Technology benefiting [4]. Summary by Sections Energy Storage and New Energy - The energy storage trend continues to improve, with companies like Sungrow Power and Huaneng Power benefiting from a significant increase in domestic procurement, which exceeded 100 GWh for the first time [5]. - The average price of lithium battery storage systems has rebounded by 6.39% to 0.5226 yuan/Wh [5]. - AI expansion and global grid upgrades are driving demand for power equipment, benefiting companies like TBEA and Sanyuan Electric [5]. Lithium Carbonate and Battery Materials - The supply and demand for lithium carbonate are exceeding expectations, with companies like Salt Lake Potash and Hunan Youneng benefiting from favorable market conditions [4]. - The cost of phosphoric iron lithium cathode materials has increased, with processing fees rising by 318.7 yuan/ton compared to November averages [4][27]. AI and Robotics in New Energy - The integration of AI and humanoid robots in the new energy sector is gaining traction, with companies like Zhejiang Rongtai and Keda Li benefiting from advancements in robotics [7]. - Tesla's shift towards becoming a robotics company is expected to create new growth cycles, with significant implications for the automotive industry [7][26]. Market Trends and Projections - The report highlights that the global energy storage battery shipment is expected to reach 1,090 GWh in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 70% [25]. - The market for commercial energy storage products is evolving, with larger capacity batteries becoming mainstream and driving innovation in the sector [29].

Core Viewpoint - The company Puxin is recognized for its high-performance silicon-carbon anode materials, which are among the few in China capable of mass production, with significant advancements in capacity, low expansion, and long cycle life [2] Group 1: Product Performance - The new silicon-carbon anode materials exhibit high capacity, low expansion, and long cycle life [2] - The company has achieved bulk shipments of silicon-carbon anode products to consumer clients [2] Group 2: Market Development - The silicon-carbon anode products are undergoing certification with some clients in the power battery sector, with gradual deliveries expected by 2026 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is entering a new golden cycle, with significant performance increases reported by leading companies, driven by surging demand in end-user markets and rising prices of lithium battery materials, indicating a strong recovery in the market [3][14]. Group 1: Performance Forecasts of Leading Lithium Battery Companies - Nine leading lithium battery companies are expected to report substantial profit increases for 2025, with many achieving turnaround from losses to profits or experiencing significant growth [4][12]. - Penghui Energy forecasts a net profit of 170 million to 230 million yuan for 2025, marking a return to profitability [5]. - Pylon Technologies anticipates a net profit of 62 million to 86 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 50.82% to 109.21% [7]. - Hunan Youneng expects a net profit of 1.15 billion to 1.4 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 93.75% to 135.87% [8]. - Putailai projects a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.4 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 93.18% to 101.58% [9]. - Tianci Materials predicts a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.6 billion yuan, with an increase of 127.31% to 230.63% [10]. - Tianji Co. expects a net profit of 7 million to 10.5 million yuan, returning to profitability after a loss of 1.361 billion yuan in the previous year [10]. - Zhongcai Technology forecasts a net profit of 1.55 billion to 1.95 billion yuan, a growth of 73.79% to 118.64% [11]. - Xianlead Intelligent anticipates a net profit of 1.5 billion to 1.8 billion yuan, with a staggering growth of 424.29% to 529.15% [11]. Group 2: Factors Driving Performance Growth - The explosive growth in terminal demand, particularly in the global electric vehicle and energy storage markets, is a fundamental driver of performance increases [15]. - The recovery of the industry cycle and improved cost management have enhanced profitability across the supply chain, with core material prices stabilizing and recovering [16]. - Companies are focusing on technological iterations and precise capacity planning to align with industry trends, such as the production of silicon-carbon anodes and the expansion of phosphate manganese lithium projects [17]. - The expansion into overseas markets and diversification of application scenarios are emerging as new growth drivers for companies like Penghui Energy and Pylon Technologies [17].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance and strategic adjustments of the Jiashi New Energy Materials Stock A Fund, indicating a positive growth trajectory and a focus on resource-oriented upstream assets in the new energy sector [2][3]. Fund Performance - The fund reported a profit of 58.44 million yuan in Q4 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.0539 yuan [2]. - The net asset value (NAV) growth rate for the fund was 2.04% during the reporting period, with a total fund size of 2.855 billion yuan as of the end of Q4 [2][15]. - As of January 22, the fund's one-year compounded NAV growth rate reached 71.59%, ranking 4th among comparable funds [3]. Comparative Performance - Over the past three months, the fund's compounded NAV growth rate was 15.47%, ranking 11th out of 39 comparable funds [3]. - The fund's six-month compounded NAV growth rate was 57.48%, placing it 3rd among its peers [3]. - The fund's three-year Sharpe ratio was 0.5367, ranking 12th out of 32 comparable funds [8]. Risk and Exposure - The fund's maximum drawdown over the past three years was 55.48%, ranking 28th out of 32 comparable funds, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q3 2022 at 24.88% [9]. - The average stock position over the past three years was 91.63%, higher than the industry average of 87.73%, with a peak position of 94.62% at the end of 2023 [12]. Holdings and Strategy - The fund has a high concentration of holdings, with stable stock targets. As of Q4 2025, the top ten holdings included companies like CATL, Salt Lake Potash, and Huayou Cobalt [19]. - The fund management indicated a strategic shift towards increasing exposure to upstream assets related to lithium carbonate, cobalt, and nickel, in response to macroeconomic and market conditions [2].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is expected to see significant growth in 2025, driven by strong demand from downstream markets such as electric vehicles, energy storage, and consumer electronics [1] Group 1: Company Performance Forecasts - XianDao Intelligent anticipates a net profit of 1.5 billion to 1.8 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 424.29% to 529.15% due to a recovering global power battery market and strong demand in the energy storage sector [2] - PuTaiLai expects a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.4 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 93.18% to 101.58%, driven by the ongoing trend of electrification in the automotive market and recovery in the consumer electronics sector [4] - TianCi Materials forecasts a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.6 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 127.31% to 230.63%, attributed to increased sales of lithium-ion battery materials and effective cost control [5] - Hunan YuNeng projects a net profit of 1.15 billion to 1.4 billion yuan in 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 93.75% to 135.87%, driven by rapid growth in the demand for lithium battery cathode materials [6] Group 2: Industry Trends and Developments - The overall market for lithium battery materials is expected to improve, with many companies in the lithium battery supply chain predicting significant performance growth in 2025 [5] - The global household energy storage system shipment is projected to reach approximately 35 GWh in 2025, a nearly 50% year-on-year increase, indicating a new demand release cycle following inventory adjustments [9] - The effective production capacity for lithium hexafluorophosphate is expected to reach 40,000 tons in 2026, with an annual operating rate exceeding 90%, suggesting sustained high prices for lithium hexafluorophosphate [9]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Putailai, is expected to achieve a net profit of 2.3-2.4 billion yuan in 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 93%-102%, indicating a recovery from previous performance lows in the industry [4]. Group 1: Business Overview - Putailai provides integrated solutions for lithium battery manufacturing, covering key materials and automation equipment [5]. - The business segments include: 1. New energy battery materials and services, expected to account for 77.3% of revenue in the first half of 2025, including anode materials, coated separators, and key auxiliary materials [6]. 2. New energy automation equipment and services, projected to represent 26.1% of revenue in the first half of 2025, offering complete production line design from materials to equipment [7]. - The company's unique business model integrates material research with equipment design, creating a closed-loop system that enhances customer responsiveness [9]. Group 2: Market Position and Product Development - Putailai has entered the supply chains of major battery manufacturers such as CATL, LG Energy, and BYD, with anode material capacity exceeding 300,000 tons and coated separator capacity surpassing 10 billion square meters [11]. - The company has secured over 200 million yuan in orders for solid-state battery equipment, indicating market recognition of its technological solutions [13]. - Key technological advancements include the mass production of solid-state electrolytes and innovative materials for solid-state batteries, which are currently in the customer evaluation phase [14]. Group 3: Industry Context and Growth Drivers - The new energy battery industry is emerging from a two-year destocking cycle, with lithium carbonate prices dropping from 600,000 yuan/ton to below 100,000 yuan/ton, leading to a recovery in demand expected by the end of 2024 [17]. - The global penetration rate of electric vehicles is projected to increase by over 25% in 2025, while energy storage installations are expected to double [17]. - Putailai's product upgrades, such as the mass production of silicon-carbon anodes, are aligned with the growing demand for high-energy-density batteries [18]. Group 4: Financial Performance - Putailai's revenue trajectory aligns with industry cycles, with revenue increasing from 9 billion yuan in 2021 to 15.5 billion yuan in 2022, followed by a decline to 13.5 billion yuan in 2024, and a recovery to 10.8 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [22]. - The company's net profit is expected to increase by 62%-102% in 2025, demonstrating significant recovery potential [25]. Group 5: Future Outlook and Challenges - The company is currently in a capital expansion phase, with cash flow from operations increasing but free cash flow remaining negative due to high capital expenditures [30]. - As of September 2025, Putailai has 7.8 billion yuan in cash and 3 billion yuan in financial assets, with short-term and long-term borrowings totaling 8.6 billion yuan, indicating a manageable debt situation [33]. - The company plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which will serve as a new financing channel and support its global strategic layout [33].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the lithium battery industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [47]. Core Insights - Global energy storage battery shipments are projected to grow by over 80% year-on-year in 2025, with significant contributions from both the automotive and energy storage sectors [40]. - The lithium battery index has seen a decline of 5.75% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.46 percentage points [12]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for the lithium battery market, driven by strong demand in the energy storage sector and supportive government policies [43]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of January 22, 2026, the lithium battery index has decreased by 4.84% year-to-date, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 6.87 percentage points [12]. - The report notes a recent upward trend in lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices, with increases of 19.84% and 17.19% respectively over the past two weeks [24][5]. Price Changes in the Lithium Battery Supply Chain - Prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate averaged 166,100 CNY/ton, while lithium hydroxide (LiOH 56.5%) was priced at 160,200 CNY/ton as of January 22, 2026 [24]. - Positive price movements were observed in cathode materials, with lithium iron phosphate and NCM materials seeing increases of 16.60% and 12.35% respectively [27][22]. Industry News - By the end of 2025, China's new energy storage capacity is expected to reach 144.7 GW, marking an 85% increase year-on-year [40]. - The global lithium battery production is projected to reach 3,092 GWh in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 34.6% [40]. Company Announcements - Companies such as Penghui Energy and Defu Technology have reported significant expected profit increases for 2025, indicating a positive trend in the industry [42]. - CATL has introduced a new sodium battery solution, showcasing innovation in the battery technology space [40]. Weekly Perspective - The report emphasizes that while the demand for power batteries may weaken in the short term due to seasonal factors, the energy storage market continues to grow rapidly, supported by favorable policies [43].

锂电池产业链 超配（维持） 锂电池产业链双周报(2026/01/09-2026/01/22) 行 业 2025 年全球储能电池出货同比增长超 80% 2026 年 1 月 23 日 投资要点： 分析师：黄秀瑜 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340512090001 行情回顾：截至2026年1月22日，锂电池指数近两周下跌5.75%，跑输沪 深300指数5.46个百分点；锂电池指数本月至今累计下跌4.84%，跑输沪 深300指数6.87个百分点；锂电池指数年初至今下跌4.84%，跑输沪深300 指数6.87个百分点。 周 报 电话：0769-22119455 邮箱：hxy3@dgzq.com.cn 锂电池产业链近两周价格变动： 锂电池指数走势 资料来源：iFinD，东莞证券研究所 锂盐：截至2026年1月22日，电池级碳酸锂均价16.61万元/吨，近两周上 涨19.84%；氢氧化锂(LiOH 56.5%)报价16.02万元/吨，近两周上涨17.19%。 正极材料：动力型磷酸铁锂报价5.48万元/吨，储能型磷酸铁锂报价5.39 万元/吨，近两周分别上涨16.60%和18.46%；NCM523、NCM622、NCM8 ...

证券代码：603659 证券简称：璞泰来 公告编号：2026-003 上海璞泰来新能源科技集团股份有限公司 关于对子公司提供的担保进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 担保对象及基本情况 | | 被担保人名称 | "广东嘉拓"） | | 广东嘉拓自动化技术有限公司（以下简称 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 担保 | 本次担保金额 | 12,000 | 万元 | | | 对象 | 实际为其提供的担保余额 | 97,000 | 万元 | | | | 是否在前期预计额度内 | 是 | □否 | □不适用：_________ | | | 本次担保是否有反担保 | □是 | 否 | □不适用：_________ | 累计担保情况 | 对外担保逾期的累计金额（万元） | 0.00 | | --- | --- | | 截至本公告日上市公司及其控股子 | 1,750,115.00 | | 公司对外担保总额（万元） | | | 对外担保总额占上市公司最近一期 | 9 ...

Industry Overview - The lithium carbonate market price has returned to 170,000 yuan/ton, with a significant increase in market activity following a drop to 150,000 yuan/ton, indicating market acceptance of the new price level [7] - The domestic lithium battery market is expected to see stable prices in the first quarter, with a projected year-on-year production decline of only 10-15%, which is better than previous years [15] Market Insights - In 2025, China's automobile sales are projected to reach 34.4 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 9.4%, and new energy vehicles (NEVs) accounting for 50.8% of domestic sales [3] - The Congo government has submitted a shortlist of state-owned mineral assets to the U.S., aiming to attract investment and enhance its influence in the critical mineral supply chain [4] Company Developments - Wanrun New Energy plans to invest 1.079 billion yuan in a high-pressure dense lithium iron phosphate project, with a production capacity of 70,000 tons per year [5] - Putailai has forecasted a net profit of 230 to 240 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of over 90% [6] Price Trends - As of January 22, 2025, the price for battery-grade lithium carbonate is between 161,000 to 168,000 yuan/ton, while industrial-grade is between 147,000 to 153,000 yuan/ton [8] - The price for ternary materials is experiencing fluctuations, driven by the rise in lithium carbonate prices, with 5-series single crystal materials priced at 195,000 to 202,000 yuan/ton [9] Supply Chain Dynamics - The supply of phosphoric acid is expected to be tight this year, influencing the pricing and availability of lithium iron phosphate [10] - The electrode material market is stable, with some small and medium manufacturers increasing prices for mid- to low-end products by 1,000 to 2,000 yuan/ton [12] Future Outlook - The global lithium battery application market is anticipated to grow significantly from 2025 to 2029, with ongoing research and competitive strategy analysis being conducted [18]