Group 1 - The semiconductor industry is projected to achieve a significant milestone, with global semiconductor revenue expected to reach $216.3 billion in Q3 2025, marking the first time quarterly revenue surpasses $200 billion, and an annual revenue forecast of $800 billion [1] - The strong growth in the semiconductor industry is attributed to the expansion of AI advanced processes and a super cycle in storage, with logic chip revenue expected to grow by 37.1% in 2025 and global storage market growth projected at 39.4% in 2026, surpassing the 27.8% growth expected in 2025 [2] - The semiconductor equipment sector is positioned as a critical upstream component of the industry, with expectations for a significant increase in domestic semiconductor equipment orders and performance in 2025, driven by advancements in AI and the expansion projects of major domestic storage manufacturers [2] Group 2 - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the CSI Semiconductor Industry Index, with over 50% equipment content, and has seen a year-to-date increase of over 55%, outperforming similar indices in the semiconductor sector [2] - The semiconductor equipment segment is recognized as a foundational element of the industry, with a clear long-term growth logic supported by structural strong dynamics [2]

12月12日，科创芯片板块午后飙涨，截至14:14，科创芯片50ETF（588750）放量涨超2%，反包昨日跌幅！ 科创芯片50ETF（588750）标的指数成分股多数冲高，半导体设备板块短线拉升，拓荆科技涨超10%，芯原股份涨超8%，中微公司涨超3%，中芯国际涨超 2%，寒武纪、海光信息等回调。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 | 估算权重 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 688041 | 海光信息 | -1.36% | 10.30% | | 2 | 688256 | 寒武纪-U | -2.14% | 9.13% | | 3 | 688981 | 中芯国际 | 2.31% | 8.75% | | র্ব | 688008 | 澜起科技 | 0.84% | 8.67% | | 5 | 688012 | 中微公司 | 3.98% | 7.67% | | 6 | 688521 | 芯原股份 | 8.03% | 3.06% | | 7 | 688498 | 源杰科技 | 1.43% | 2.92% | | 8 | 688347 | 表机公司 | -2.43% ...

午后半导体设备产业链回升。截至13：42，半导体设备ETF（561980）盘中上涨2.36%、实时成交额破2亿，成分股拓荆科技、 天岳先进大涨超9%，晶瑞电材涨超7%，中科飞测、长川科技涨超6%，南大光电、华海清科、中微公司等多股拉升。 | 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 日 周 月 季 年 多周期 设置 画线 | 净值 叠 区 信息 删自选 十 一 | + | | | 半导体设备ETF 561980 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分时走势 半导体设备ETF 最新:1.992 均价:1.948 IOPV: 1.9963 1,997 | | | 2.61% | | | | | | 1.992 | | | 2.35% | 1. | 992 +0.046 +2.364% | | | | 1.987 | | | 2.09% | 委比 | +1.40% | | 476 | | 1.982 | | | 1.83% | 5 | 1.997 | | 2163 | | 1.977 | | | 1.57% | | | | | | 1.971 ...

12月12日下午，A股三大指数集体上涨，上证指数盘中上涨0.17%，电子、通信、国防军工等板块涨幅 靠前，综合、商贸零售跌幅居前。芯片科技股走强，截至13点04分，芯片ETF（159995.SZ）上涨 1.72%，其成分股拓荆科技上涨9.37%，龙芯中科上涨6.42%，北京君正上涨5.63%，豪威集团上涨 4.48%，中微公司上涨4.02%。 消息方面，随着Token调用量持续攀升，在全球AI推理需求快速增长的驱动下，海外CSP进一步加大算 力基础设施投入，AI推理相关资本开支持续上行。25Q3海外四大CSP的资本开支合计979亿美元， qoq+10%，延续了季度间上升的趋势。相较之下，国内整体算力资本开支仍处于追赶阶段。尽管国内 CSP与海外巨头在投入总量上仍存在一定差距，但从Token调用量与业务规模来看，字节等头部厂商已 接近谷歌体量。 东吴证券表示，整体来看，国产先进制程扩产稳步推进叠加产业链自主可控进展加速，将显著增强国内 算力产业的供给保障能力。在AI推理和训练需求持续提升的背景下，国产算力厂商有望充分受益，业 绩释放可期。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

在「红色警报」后，OpenAI拿出了最新的顶级模型GPT-5.2系列，谷歌也率先反击，推出全新版Gemini Deep Research Agent，聚焦上游半导体设备领域的半 导体设备ETF（159516）盘中领涨超2.8%。 资金持续抢筹，半导体设备ETF（159516）近5日净流入超1.4亿元，年初以来份额增长超160%，当前规模超64亿元，居同类产品第一。 基于这些能力提升，OpenAI称为专业知识型工作打造的GPT-5.2是公司至今最强的模型，"GPT-5.2在众多基准测试中都刷新了行业水平，例如GDPval测试 中，这款模型在涵盖44个职业的明确知识型工作任务中表现超过了行业专家。" 来源：OpenAI OpenAI与谷歌竞争不断，AI景气度持续上行 在「红色警报」后，OpenAI 在北京时间本周五拿出了最新的顶级模型 GPT-5.2 系列 —— 迄今为止在专业知识工作上最强大的模型系列。包含GPT-5.2 Instant、Thinking和Pro模式，此时距离OpenAI更新GPT-5.1只过去了一个月。 此次应对挑战，OpenAI拿出了更多"真枪实弹"。GPT-5.2推出了更多智能上的更新，也 ...

每经AI快讯，12月12日，国家大基金持股板块短线拉升，燕东微涨超10%，拓荆科技、中微公司、北方 华创、赛微电子、兴福电子等跟涨。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

国家大基金持股板块短线拉升，燕东微涨超10%，拓荆科技、中微公司、北方华创、赛微电子、兴福电 子等跟涨。相关ETF方面，芯片ETF龙头（159801）涨1.55%，成交额8337.27万元，芯片龙头ETF （516640）涨1.65%，成交额6223.6万元。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the mechanical equipment industry [2][3]. Core Views - The mechanical equipment industry saw a 2.9% increase last week, ranking second among 31 primary industries. Sub-industries such as engineering machinery (+6%) and specialized equipment (+3.45%) showed strong performance, while rail transit equipment experienced a decline of 0.82% [3][14]. - The report suggests that with the completion of the third-quarter reports, market risk appetite is expected to improve. It recommends a balanced approach between technology growth and cyclical investments, focusing on sectors and stocks with performance support [3][4]. - Key areas of focus include humanoid robots, PCB equipment, semiconductor equipment, and cyclical recovery in engineering machinery and general equipment [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Recent Trends - In November 2025, excavator sales reached 20,027 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.9%. Domestic sales were 9,842 units (+9.11%), while exports were 10,185 units (+18.8%). Cumulatively, from January to November, 212,162 excavators were sold, marking a 16.7% increase year-on-year [5][44]. - The report highlights a structural recovery in the industry, driven by domestic demand from large projects and a new round of replacement cycles [5][44]. 2. Sub-Industry Performance - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a significant recovery, with excavator sales showing strong growth. The report emphasizes the importance of technological upgrades and global expansion for leading companies [5][44]. - The industrial robot sector saw a production increase of 17.9% in October 2025, indicating potential investment opportunities as the industry adjusts to new demands [28][44]. 3. Key Companies and Recommendations - The report identifies several companies for investment consideration, including XCMG Machinery (000425.SZ), SANY Heavy Industry (600031.SH), and Huazhong CNC (688697.SH), which are expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery and technological advancements in the industry [7][44]. - The semiconductor equipment sector is highlighted as a critical area for investment, with companies like North Huachuang (002371.SZ) and Zhongwei Company (688012.SH) recommended due to their strong market positions and growth potential [4][7]. 4. Policy and Market Drivers - The report notes that government policies are strongly supporting the high-end machine tool sector, with initiatives aimed at accelerating domestic production and technological breakthroughs [5][46]. - The global demand for high-end manufacturing is recovering, as indicated by Japan's machine tool orders, which have seen continuous growth driven by exports [5][46].

证券研究报告 聚四海星火，淬国之重器——全面为国产算力生产配套 -2026年机械行业年度投资策略 西部证券研发中心 2025年12月8日 张恒晅 | 分析师 S0800525020001 zhanghengxuan@research.xbmail.com.cn 核心结论 AI驱动全球半导体大周期，中国大陆半导体产业同样受惠于此，叠加政策引导，国内集成电路有望实现全产 业链自主可控。 AI发展方兴未艾，IDC预计全球生成式AI市场五年复合增长率或达56.3%，而芯片是AI产业链的核心上游环 节之一，SEMI预测AI驱动下2030年全球半导体市场规模将突破1万亿美元，其中，服务器、数据中心和存储 领域的市场规模复合增速达到18%，领先下游其他领域。而半导体设备作为芯片产业链上游同步受益，LAM 预计未来5年全球数据中心累计2.5万亿美元的资本开支将催生2000亿美元的半导体设备需求。 国内AI产业链投资同样旺盛，同时，算力、存储芯片仍然面临较高的海外依赖度，进口受限叠加国内政策引 导，国内芯片产业链有望实现从上游设备到下游设计环节的全链条自主可控。 先进逻辑方面，国产算力突破，带动国内先进逻辑代工需求。与非网指出 ...

（上接1版） 圆桌座谈环节由中国科学技术大学科技商学院、管理学院执行院长叶强主持。芯原股份董事长戴伟民、 华恒生物董事长郭恒华、拓荆科技董事长吕光泉、利元亨创始人卢家红、和元生物董事长潘讴东、罗曼 股份董事长孙凯君、太力科技董事长石正兵等企业家参与座谈，分享了在强化核心技术攻关、优化公司 治理结构、利用资本市场工具实现跨越式发展等方面的经验与思考。 良好的生态离不开科技创新的源头活水。中国科学技术大学党委常委、副校长傅尧表示，中国科大以制 度创新为先导，率先探索并构建"赋权+转让+约定收益"为核心的科技成果转化新模式；以资本为纽 带，构建"教育—研发—孵化—投资"全链条创新创业生态，推动科技、产业、资本深度融合。中国科大 将继续发挥基础研究深厚、学科交叉融合的优势，聚焦集成电路、人工智能、量子科技、新能源、新材 料等前沿领域，打造更多原始创新成果，并推动其走向"从1到100"的产业化突破，共同构建"资本赋能 科创、科创引领产业"的良性生态，为发展新质生产力、推动高质量发展注入更强的"科大动能"。 中介机构是连接资本与实体经济的桥梁，是市场生态中不可或缺的专业力量。华安证券党委书记、董事 长章宏韬表示，"十四五 ...