Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the rebound in pig prices may be nearing its end, with supply pressure leading to a potential bottoming out of prices. As of November 9, 2025, the average price of live pigs in China is 11.90 yuan/kg, down 0.30 yuan/kg week-on-week and down 4.80 yuan/kg year-on-year [3][12] - The report highlights that the entry of second-stage breeding is nearing its end, with high existing stock levels leading to price pressure ahead of the New Year. The proportion of second-stage breeding in actual sales was 2.12% from October 20-31, 2025, up 0.03 percentage points month-on-month and 0.20 percentage points year-on-year [4][19] - The report suggests that the ongoing losses in pig farming may accelerate the culling of sows, driven by multiple factors including policy adjustments and disease outbreaks. Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [5][27] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The report notes that the average weight of pigs being sold has increased to 128.30 kg per head, with a week-on-week increase of 0.40 kg and a year-on-year increase of 2.23 kg. The price difference between fat pigs and standard pigs has narrowed, indicating an increase in fat pig supply [3][12] - The report also mentions that the breeding stock of sows has decreased by 0.77% month-on-month as of October 2025, with the price of 7 kg piglets rebounding to 198 yuan/head due to rising pig prices [4][24] Weekly Market Performance - From November 3 to November 7, 2025, the agricultural sector underperformed the broader market by 0.29 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.08% and the agricultural index rising by 0.79% [5][30] - The report highlights that the fishery sector led the gains among sub-sectors, with stocks like Jinxinnong, Yuegui, and Luoniushan showing significant increases [5][30] Price Tracking - As of November 7, 2025, the average price of live pigs is 11.91 yuan/kg, down 0.58 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the price of piglets is 18.93 yuan/kg, up 0.80 yuan/kg [5][38] - The report also tracks the prices of other agricultural products, noting increases in beef, shrimp, corn futures, and soybean meal futures [5][39][48] Key News - The report mentions that the National Bureau of Statistics reported a 10.1% month-on-month increase in the price of live pigs in late October 2025 [5][36] - It also notes that the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has released guidelines for the construction of a smart agriculture standard system [5][37] Feed Production - According to the China Feed Industry Association, the total industrial feed production in September 2025 was 30.36 million tons, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.4% [5][57] Import Data - In September 2025, pork imports totaled 80,000 tons, down 22.5% year-on-year, while chicken imports were 7,100 tons, down 75.2% year-on-year [5][54][55]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in pig prices in China, leading to reduced profits for major pig farming companies and highlighting the challenges faced by the industry due to oversupply and high debt levels [4][5][24]. Group 1: Current Market Conditions - Pig prices have reached a new low, with the average price for commodity pigs in October at 11.55 yuan/kg, a year-on-year decrease of 32.73% for Muyuan Foods [8][12]. - National pig prices dropped to 10.89 yuan/kg in October, marking the lowest level since 2019, with an overall year-on-year decline of approximately 30% [13][15]. - Major pig farming companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs reported significant drops in net profits for Q3 2025, with Muyuan's net profit down 55.98% and Wens' down 65.02% [18][19]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Imbalance - The primary reason for the price drop is a fundamental imbalance in supply and demand, exacerbated by lower-than-expected pork consumption and an increase in supply due to panic selling by farmers [24][25]. - The industry is facing a phase of oversupply, with the number of breeding sows remaining high at 40.35 million, which is significantly above the levels seen in 2019 [26]. Group 3: Financial Health of Companies - Major companies are focusing on reducing debt and improving financial health, with Muyuan's debt ratio decreasing to 55.5% and Wens' to 49.41% as of Q3 2025 [29][30]. - Smaller farming operations are struggling with higher costs and risks of financial instability, as their production costs exceed 6.5 yuan/kg compared to the larger companies' lower costs [22]. Group 4: Future Outlook - While pig prices have stabilized at low levels, analysts remain cautious about a significant rebound in prices due to anticipated increases in supply from expanded production [28]. - The industry is under pressure to rationalize production capacity, with regulatory bodies encouraging a reduction in breeding sow numbers to stabilize prices [24].

Core Viewpoint - The pig farming industry is facing significant challenges as it enters the fourth quarter, with rising sales but declining revenues due to falling pig prices below cost levels and ongoing supply pressures [2][9]. Group 1: Sales and Revenue Trends - Many listed pig companies reported significant sales increases in October, with companies like Muyuan Foods (牧原股份) selling 7.076 million pigs, a year-on-year increase of 13.17%, but with a sales revenue decline of 22.28% to 10.331 billion yuan [3][4]. - Wens Foodstuff (温氏股份) sold 3.8928 million pigs in October, with a revenue of 5.048 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year sales increase of 45.69% but a revenue decline of 13.15% [4]. - New Hope (新希望) reported sales of 1.6851 million pigs, a 34.44% increase, but a revenue drop of 7.83% to 1.918 billion yuan [5]. Group 2: Profitability and Financial Health - The third quarter saw 19 out of 22 listed pig farming companies report a year-on-year decline in net profit, with 9 companies incurring losses. The total net profit for these companies was 5.684 billion yuan, down 35.86% from the previous quarter [7][8]. - Wens Foodstuff's third-quarter revenue was 25.937 billion yuan, a 9.76% decline, marking its first quarterly revenue drop in 2024, with a net profit decrease of 65.02% [7]. Group 3: Industry Challenges and Price Trends - The average price of pigs has been declining since September, reaching a low of 11.87 yuan/kg by November 17, down 30.26% year-on-year [9][11]. - The industry is experiencing negative profitability, with average losses of 185.68 yuan per pig for self-bred pigs and 289.07 yuan for purchased piglets as of late October [11]. Group 4: Capacity and Policy Responses - Despite ongoing capacity control policies, the reduction in the number of breeding sows has been minimal, with the total number of breeding sows only decreasing by 0.2% by the end of the third quarter [12]. - The government has mandated a reduction of 1 million breeding sows among 25 leading companies by January 2026, but the effectiveness of these measures remains to be seen [12][13]. Group 5: Cost Management Strategies - Leading companies like Muyuan Foods have successfully reduced their breeding costs from 13.1 yuan/kg in January to 11.6 yuan/kg by September, a decrease of approximately 11.5% [14][17]. - The primary costs in pig farming are feed and piglet costs, with feed accounting for over 60% of total costs. Recent trends show a decline in feed prices, which could help mitigate some financial pressures [14][16].

Group 1 - Company plans to raise no more than 3.6 billion yuan through a private placement to fund seven projects, including a 500,000 kW green power project in Inner Mongolia [1] - Company has received acceptance for a clinical trial application for its self-developed drug for metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma [1] - Company intends to establish a joint venture to implement a high-quality gallium arsenide chip construction project with a total investment of 272 million yuan [2] Group 2 - Company reported a revenue of 142 million yuan from pig sales in October, with a total sales volume of 162,800 pigs [3] - Company signed an annual procurement contract to supply 870,000 tons of electrolyte products from 2026 to 2028 [5] - Company plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 3% through various trading methods [7] Group 3 - Company intends to purchase 100 hydrogen fuel cell vehicles for a total price of 78.32 million yuan [9] - Company plans to acquire a 51% stake in a semiconductor equipment company for 510 million yuan [10] - Company has regained eligibility to participate in military procurement activities after being removed from the banned list [12] Group 4 - Company plans to establish a joint venture with state-owned funds for rural development with a total registered capital of 2.87 billion yuan [14] - Company reported a revenue of 1.918 billion yuan from pig sales in October, with a significant year-on-year increase [16][17] - Company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.01 yuan per share, totaling 7.9801 million yuan [18] Group 5 - Company has submitted an application for H-share listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [19] - Company received approval for its convertible bond issuance application [20] - Company plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary with an investment of 70 million yuan focused on innovative medical research [22] Group 6 - Company reported a 33.87% year-on-year increase in sales volume for October [26] - Company has received a product designation from a leading new energy vehicle brand, with an expected total revenue of approximately 470 million yuan [28] - Company has initiated a key Phase III clinical trial for an innovative eye drop treatment for moderate to severe dry eye syndrome [30] Group 7 - Company reported a total automobile sales volume of 170,700 units in October, a year-on-year decrease of 8.1% [30] - Company plans to invest 16 million USD in establishing a production base in Vietnam [33] - Company has received a warning letter from the regulatory authority due to a breach of commitment by its controlling shareholder [52]

Core Insights - The aquaculture sector experienced a slight increase of 0.31% on November 7, with Tianyu Biological leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3997.56, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, down 0.36% [1] Aquaculture Sector Performance - Tianyu Biological (603717) closed at 9.46, up 3.05% with a trading volume of 169,600 shares and a turnover of 160 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Luoniushan (000735) at 8.12, up 2.40% with a volume of 1,088,900 shares [1] - Zhengbang Technology (002157) at 66.7, up 1.36% with a volume of 1,212,200 shares [1] - Muyuans (002714) at 49.71, up 0.93% with a volume of 285,500 shares [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The aquaculture sector saw a net inflow of 223 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 11.04 million yuan [2] - Key stocks with significant capital flow included: - Muyuan (002714) with a net inflow of 214 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Jingji Zhino (000048) with a net inflow of 50.59 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Zhengbang Technology (002157) with a net inflow of 24.48 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Group 1 - The Agricultural, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery ETF (159275) has shown a contrary rise, with an increase of 0.6% and a trading volume of 5.25 million yuan, bringing the fund's total size to 200 million yuan [1] - Key performing stocks include Honghui Fruits and Vegetables, Longniu Mountain, and Hainan Rubber, with respective increases of 6.22%, 4.04%, and 2.56% [1] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting on November 4, 2025, to establish a full-chain regulatory mechanism for agricultural product quality and safety [1] Group 2 - Pacific Securities highlighted multiple pressures on the breeding industry, including ongoing losses in the pig industry, high levels of breeding sows, and rising risks from African swine fever [2] - The poultry industry is experiencing a historical high in production capacity, with broiler prices fluctuating at low levels, while yellow chicken prices are rising due to seasonal demand [2] - The planting industry is stabilizing grain prices, with expectations for mid-term increases, and the seed industry is gaining strategic importance due to advancements in genetically modified crops [2]

Group 1 - The company reported a significant increase in pig sales in October 2025, with 1.6851 million pigs sold, representing a month-on-month increase of 20.86% and a year-on-year increase of 34.44% [2] - Revenue from pig sales was 1.918 billion yuan, showing a month-on-month increase of 9.85% but a year-on-year decrease of 7.83% [2] - The average selling price of pigs was 11.28 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 12.49% and a year-on-year decrease of 35.06% due to changes in the domestic pig market [2] Group 2 - The company plans to establish a joint venture with state-owned funds to promote rural development and enhance agricultural industry growth, aligning with national rural revitalization strategies [5][54] - The total registered capital of the joint venture is 2.87 billion yuan, with the company contributing 2.1 billion yuan, accounting for 73.17% of the total [5][54] - The joint venture will acquire 100% equity of three subsidiaries and establish 16 new subsidiaries focused on pig farming in key rural areas, utilizing a "company + farmer" model without increasing overall pig production capacity [5][54][55] Group 3 - The board of directors unanimously approved the establishment of the joint venture and the acquisition of subsidiaries, which does not require shareholder approval [7][55] - The joint venture aims to leverage the strengths of both state-owned and private enterprises to stimulate local economies and improve farmers' incomes [29][54] - The company assures that the establishment of the joint venture and related acquisitions will not adversely affect its financial or operational status [6][55]

Group 1 - Company Biao Bang Co., Ltd. has decided to terminate the planning of a change in control due to failure to reach consensus on key terms with the trading party, and will resume trading on November 7, 2025 [1] - Company Su Da Wei Ge plans to acquire 51% of Changzhou Weipu Semiconductor Equipment Co., Ltd. for 510 million yuan, making it a subsidiary [2] - Company Bei Ji Shen Zhou expects its revenue for 2025 to be between 36.2 billion yuan and 38.1 billion yuan, an increase from the previous forecast of 35.8 billion to 38.1 billion yuan [3] Group 2 - Company Hua Hong Semiconductor reported a revenue of approximately 12.58 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.82% [4] - Company Jie Neng Wind Power plans to raise no more than 3.6 billion yuan through a private placement to fund various green power projects [5] - Company Zhen Ai Mei Jia is in the process of transferring control, with trading suspended since November 5, 2025, and expected to remain suspended for up to three trading days [7] Group 3 - Company Xin Hope plans to establish a joint venture with state-owned funds with a total registered capital of 2.87 billion yuan, where Xin Hope will contribute 2.1 billion yuan [8] - Company Yun Nan Ge Ye has approved a project to establish a new semiconductor materials company with an investment of 500 million yuan [8] - Company Tian Ci Materials has signed contracts for the supply of electrolyte products with two major clients, with expected total volumes of 87,000 tons and 72,500 tons for the years 2026-2028 [9][10]

Group 1 - BeiGene adjusts its 2025 revenue forecast to between RMB 36.2 billion and RMB 38.1 billion, with R&D, sales, and management expenses estimated at RMB 29.5 billion to RMB 30.9 billion, maintaining a gross margin of 80% to 90% [1] - Lixing Co. signs a strategic cooperation agreement with Zhejiang Rongtai to collaborate in key areas such as screw components for industrial robots, aiming for a sustainable partnership [1] - Zhongjian Technology signs a procurement contract worth RMB 563 million for carbon fiber materials, representing 69.34% of its audited revenue for the last fiscal year [2] Group 2 - Energy-saving Wind Power plans to raise up to RMB 3.6 billion through a private placement to fund multiple wind power projects [3] - Lian De Co. announces a reduction of 1.9528 million shares by its controlling shareholder and concerted parties on November 5, 2025 [4] - Biao Bang Co. terminates its control change planning due to a lack of agreement on core terms, with stock resuming trading on November 7, 2025 [5] Group 3 - Tianci Materials signs a framework procurement contract with Guoxuan High-tech for an estimated total of 870,000 tons of electrolyte products from 2026 to 2028 [5] - Su Da Weige plans to acquire 51% of Changzhou Weipu Semiconductor Equipment Co. for RMB 510 million, enhancing its capabilities in semiconductor defect detection equipment [6] Group 4 - Zhongtong Bus reports a 33.87% year-on-year increase in sales volume for October [7] - New Hope sees a 20.86% month-on-month increase in pig sales in October [7] - Baiyun Airport experiences a 12.04% year-on-year growth in passenger throughput, reaching 7.6422 million in October [7] Group 5 - Upwind New Materials completes a tender offer acquisition, increasing Zhiyuan Hengyue's shareholding to 58.62% [8] - Chongqing Construction wins a bid for a RMB 781 million EPC project [8] - Tonghua Jinma plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary with an investment of RMB 70 million [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company announced the establishment of a joint venture with central enterprise funds and underdeveloped area funds to enhance rural development and pig farming without increasing overall production capacity [1] Group 1: Joint Venture Details - The company will collaborate with Central Enterprise Rural Industry Investment Fund Co., Ltd. and Underdeveloped Area Industry Development Fund Co., Ltd. to establish a new company named New Six Innovation Rural Development Co., Ltd. (tentative name) [1] - The total registered capital of the joint venture is 287 million yuan, with the company contributing 210 million yuan (73.17%), the central enterprise fund contributing 70 million yuan (24.39%), and the underdeveloped area fund contributing 7 million yuan (2.44%) [1] Group 2: Acquisition and Expansion Plans - The joint venture will acquire 100% equity of the company's wholly-owned subsidiaries, Baiyin New Hope Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. and Panzhou New Six Agricultural Development Co., Ltd., as well as the controlling subsidiary Guanyin New Breeding Co., Ltd. [1] - The joint venture plans to independently establish 16 new subsidiaries in key support areas for pig farming, primarily using an "enterprise + farmer" free-range model, which will not increase the company's or the industry's pig production capacity [1]