Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Viewpoints - The report discusses three potential paths for the construction materials industry to counteract "involution," aiming to alleviate deflation and stabilize employment. These paths include limiting capital expenditure, clearing existing production capacity, and constraining current output [6][7] - The report highlights the ongoing decline in cement prices and a decrease in glass inventory, indicating a weak demand environment [8] - Recommendations include focusing on special glass fiber and the African supply chain, with leading companies in existing markets being the main investment focus for the year [9] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report emphasizes the need for the construction materials industry to adapt to economic pressures through various strategies to manage supply and demand effectively [6][7] Market Performance - Cement prices have continued to decline, with the national average price dropping by 1.2% due to weak market demand and production issues [8][25] - The average cement price is reported at 353.39 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 41.13% [25] Recommendations - Special glass fiber is highlighted as a key area for investment, particularly in companies like China National Materials Technology, which is positioned to benefit from domestic substitution trends [9] - The African supply chain is also recommended, with companies like Keda Manufacturing showing strong performance in niche markets [9] Demand Trends - The report notes a significant decline in real estate transaction volumes, with a 17% year-on-year decrease in new home sales across 30 major cities [8] - The construction materials sector is expected to see a shift towards existing inventory products, driven by improved demand in the second-hand housing market and urban renovation policies [9]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [3][50]. Core Insights - Breakthroughs in electrolyzer technology have been observed, and the hydrogen heavy-duty truck sector is gradually maturing. The newly awarded electrolyzer projects are still primarily alkaline, but both PEM and AEM electrolyzer technologies have made significant advancements. It is recommended to pay attention to companies at the forefront of electrolyzer technology [2][40]. - The midstream sector is accelerating the development of hydrogen transportation and utilization, promoting the construction of hydrogen refueling stations. Companies with hydrogen transportation capabilities are recommended for attention [2][40]. - Transportation applications are leading the gradual maturation of the hydrogen fuel cell industry ecosystem, with a recommendation to focus on hydrogen vehicle companies related to heavy-duty trucks [2][40]. Industry Performance - As of July 4, 2025, the hydrogen energy index closed at 2135.09 points, with a weekly change of 1.03% and a year-to-date change of 20.16%. The hydrogen energy index ranked 53rd among the Shenwan secondary industry rankings this week, showing a significant decline [8][14]. - The TTM price-to-earnings ratio of the hydrogen energy index is 24.66 times, and the MRQ price-to-book ratio is 1.60 times as of July 4, 2025 [11][13]. Company Dynamics - The top five companies in the hydrogen energy sector by weekly increase are Xuedilong (31.74%), Kaimeteqi (27.46%), Shengdexintai (22.40%), Zhongcai Technology (20.71%), and Huaguang Huaneng (20.06%). The top three companies by weekly decrease are Guangzhi Technology (-15.82%), Taihe Technology (-9.40%), and Xinxunda (-9.13%) [14][16]. - This week, there were 9 awarded projects in the hydrogen energy sector, with 3 electrolyzer bidding projects totaling 520 MW and a total hydrogen production capacity of 104,000 Nm³/h [17][18]. Industry Dynamics - Significant developments include the approval of the first cross-province green hydrogen pipeline in Inner Mongolia and the launch of hydrogen two-wheelers in Dongguan. These initiatives are part of broader efforts to promote hydrogen energy as a strategic industry [35][36]. - Internationally, Morocco's large-scale green hydrogen project is making progress, and Uzbekistan's Tashkent green hydrogen project has successfully achieved hydrogen production [36][37].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The "anti-involution" trend may drive the cement industry's supply and demand to bottom out earlier. The Central Financial Committee emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and improve product quality, which may lead to a reduction in actual cement production capacity from over 2.1 billion tons in 2023 to 1.7 billion tons, potentially restoring capacity utilization rates to over 70% [5][18] - The demand for high-end electronic fabrics is underestimated due to the surge in computing power driven by AI. The need for advanced materials is increasing, with domestic companies achieving breakthroughs in Low-DK and Low-CTE electronic fabrics, indicating a significant growth opportunity in this sector [5] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index rose by 4.0%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.4% [9] - Key stocks with significant gains include Zaiseng Technology (+37.1%), Honghe Technology (+23.9%), and Zhongcai Technology (+20.7%) [9] 2. Data Tracking 2.1 Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement nationwide is 348.5 RMB/ton, down 4.5 RMB/ton month-on-month and down 40.8 RMB/ton year-on-year [18] - The cement inventory ratio is 65.7%, down 0.4 percentage points month-on-month and down 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [18] 2.2 Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass is 1274.3 RMB/ton, down 4.6 RMB/ton month-on-month and down 438.8 RMB/ton year-on-year [39] - The total inventory of key production enterprises in 13 provinces is 59 million heavy boxes, down 2.5% month-on-month and up 7.7% year-on-year [39] 2.3 Photovoltaic Glass - The average price of 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass is 10.7 RMB/sqm, down 0.6 RMB/sqm month-on-month and down 4.6 RMB/sqm year-on-year [44] - The number of production lines for photovoltaic glass is 435, with a total daily melting capacity of 94,390 tons, down 4.0% month-on-month and down 17.0% year-on-year [44] 2.4 Glass Fiber - The average price of alkali-free glass fiber yarn is 4680.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month and up 15.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [52] - The average price of electronic yarn is 9100.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month and down 50.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [52] 2.5 Carbon Fiber - The average price of large tow carbon fiber is 72.5 RMB/kg, unchanged month-on-month and down 5.0 RMB/kg year-on-year [56] - The average operating rate of carbon fiber enterprises is 59.94%, down 0.19 percentage points month-on-month and up 13.54 percentage points year-on-year [56] 3. Investment Analysis - The investment strategy suggests that 2025 will be a turning point for listed companies, while 2026 will be a turning point for the industry. The report recommends focusing on companies in the high-growth sectors and those benefiting from the Belt and Road Initiative [5]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the building materials industry is expected to return to historical high demand levels due to the emergence of stock demand, with a significant shift towards consumption characteristics of building materials [4][7][22] - The residential renovation demand currently accounts for nearly 50% and is projected to reach around 70% by 2030, indicating a qualitative change in consumption demand for building materials [7][22][23] - The report highlights the potential of African markets for capacity expansion, identifying undervalued local leaders such as Keda Manufacturing, Huaxin Cement, and Western Cement [4][9][10] Group 2: Stock Chain Insights - The stock category is seen as a cyclical demand segment that can emerge positively, with a significant supply exit in consumer building materials due to the deep adjustment in the real estate sector [7][47] - The report predicts that by 2024, production levels for various building materials will be at approximately 90% for plastic pipes, 82% for gypsum board, and 62% for waterproofing materials compared to their peak levels [7][47][50] - The report suggests that the supply exit in consumer building materials is thorough, driven by the expansion of leading enterprises' advantages and changes in demand structure [7][47][50] Group 3: African Chain Insights - Africa is identified as a fertile ground for the export of building materials, driven by population growth and urbanization, with local leaders like Keda Manufacturing benefiting from market share advantages [9][10] - Keda Manufacturing holds a 20% market share in the ceramic tile market in Central Africa, with a net profit margin recovering to over 20% in Q1 2025 [9][10] Group 4: Domestic Substitution Chain Insights - The report highlights the opportunities for domestic substitution in building materials, particularly in specialty fiberglass and industrial coatings, driven by the transformation goals of becoming a manufacturing powerhouse [10][10] - Key players in specialty fiberglass, such as China National Building Material, are expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI computing power [10][10]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The scarcity of orbital spectrum drives competition, and the construction of domestic low - orbit constellations has entered an accelerated phase. With limited low - orbit space and spectrum resources and strict deployment time requirements from the ITU, competition for resource locking is intensifying. China is expected to see an accelerated launch of low - orbit satellites from 2025 - 2030. Representative constellations include "Guowang", "Qianfan", and "Honghu - 3". Shanghai Harbor, with its satellite energy system products, is expected to benefit from the accelerated development of low - orbit satellites [5]. - Leading waterproofing companies such as Yuhong, Beixin, and Keshu have raised prices on both civil construction and engineering products. In the context of the industry's "anti - involution", the collective price increase by leading enterprises may promote price recovery, but the degree of price repair remains to be seen due to weak demand [5]. - Investment suggestions include paying attention to companies like Honglu Steel Structure, China Jushi, Punan Co., Ltd., Hainan Huatie, Beixin Building Materials, China National Chemical Engineering, China State Construction, Shanghai Harbor, Sinoma Science & Technology, and Keda Manufacturing [5]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Week - Specific Topic: Orbital Spectrum Scarcity Drives Competition, and Domestic Low - Orbit Constellation Construction Enters an Accelerated Phase - **Satellite Orbit Types**: Communication satellite orbits are mainly divided into GEO, MEO, and LEO. LEO can reduce power attenuation and communication delay, simplify terminal design, and is suitable for multi - satellite networking. Compared with GEO, LEO/MEO has smaller delay, and satellites are smaller and lighter, facilitating multi - satellite launches and reducing constellation construction costs and cycles [5][7]. - **Resource Scarcity and Competition**: Low - orbit space and frequency spectrum resources are scarce. The total capacity of low - orbit satellites is about 60,000, and Starlink plans to send 42,000 satellites into low - orbit by 2027, accounting for about 70%. The L, S, C frequency bands are almost exhausted, and the Ku, Ka bands are difficult to coordinate. According to ITU rules, operators need to complete satellite deployment within a specified time to lock resources, intensifying competition [5][11]. - **Policy Support**: Since 2014, China has successively introduced policies to encourage private capital to participate in commercial space activities. In 2023, commercial space was included in strategic emerging industries, and it has been mentioned in the government work reports of 2024 and 2025, indicating strong policy support [16]. - **Global and Domestic Constellation Construction Status**: Globally, SpaceX leads in low - orbit constellation construction, with other countries' enterprises following. In China, constellations like "Guowang", "Qianfan", and "Honghu - 3" have formulated phased launch plans. Although the number of launches in 2024 did not meet expectations, the launch rhythm is expected to accelerate from the second half of 2025 [5][17][23]. 3.2 Profit Forecast and Valuation of Main Covered Companies The report provides profit forecasts, valuations, and investment ratings for multiple companies, including Hainan Huatie, Punan Co., Ltd., China Jushi, etc. EPS, P/E, P/B, and other indicators for 2024 - 2027 are presented, and most investment ratings are maintained [33]. 3.3 Weekly Market Review - **Industry Index Performance**: In the week from June 28th to July 4th, 2025, the building and building materials industries showed certain fluctuations. Among building sub - sectors, the garden engineering index had the highest increase at 2.20%, while among various industries, the steel index had a relatively large decline [38][40]. - **Infrastructure Public REITs Performance**: The report lists the closing prices, 52 - week highs and lows, weekly, monthly, year - to - date, 250 - day, and IPO - since price changes of multiple infrastructure public REITs. The average weekly increase was 1.07%, the average monthly increase was 1.31%, and the average year - to - date increase was 20.99% [46][47]. 3.4 Aggregate Data Tracking - **Real Estate Data**: The report presents data on real estate new construction, construction, completion, sales area cumulative year - on - year growth, land transaction area, and real estate transaction data from 2022 - 2025 [49][58][68]. - **Social Financing Data**: Data on monthly new social financing, new RMB loans, new corporate bond financing, etc., from 2022 - 2025 are provided [78]. - **Infrastructure Investment Data**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rates of narrow - sense and broad - sense infrastructure investment, as well as investment in power, transportation, and water conservancy industries from 2022 - 2025, are shown. The new contract signing data of eight major construction central enterprises from 2022Q1 - 2025Q1 are also presented [88][94]. - **Special Bond Issuance Data**: Data on monthly and cumulative new and replacement special bond issuance from 2022 - 2025 are provided [96]. 3.5 High - Frequency Data Tracking - **Cement Data**: Information on national PO42.5 cement average price, East China regional cement price, cement - coal price difference index, cement capacity utilization rate, and cement production monthly year - on - year growth rate is presented [107][114]. - **Float Glass Data**: Data on glass spot price, futures price, inventory, and daily melting volume are provided [115][117][119][122]. - **Photovoltaic Glass Data**: Information on soda ash price, 2mm photovoltaic glass price, inventory, and daily melting volume is presented [122][123][125]. - **Glass Fiber Data**: Prices of SMC roving, winding direct roving, injection roving, G75 electronic yarn, and glass fiber inventory are shown [128][129][132][134][138]. - **Carbon Fiber Data**: Data on carbon fiber average price, raw silk price, inventory, production, capacity utilization rate, gross profit margin, cost, and gross profit are provided [135][139][142][146][148][151][152]. - **Magnesia and Alumina Price Data**: Prices of large - crystal fused magnesia and alumina are presented [153][156]. - **Upstream Raw Material Price Data**: Prices of asphalt, waste paper, PVC, and HDPE are shown [159][160][162][163]. - **Physical Workload Data**: Prices of titanium dioxide and acrylic acid, high - machine rental rate, excavator working hours, and asphalt average capacity utilization rate are presented [167][168][170][173].

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Viewpoints - The cement industry is expected to benefit from the improvement in infrastructure and real estate demand, with a long-term view of continuous optimization in supply structure. Recommended companies include Shengfeng Cement, Tapai Group, Huaxin Cement, Western Cement, and Tibet Tianlu [20][21] - The report highlights a significant drop in the sales area of commercial housing in 30 major cities, with a year-on-year decrease of 18.92% [2][15] - The cement price has recently hit a low, with the average price in East China down by 17 CNY/ton year-on-year, indicating potential for price rebound due to the implementation of price coordination mechanisms [3][14] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 1.54%, while the construction materials sector (CITIC) increased by 3.63%. Notable stock performances include Yamaton (+34.9%), Zhongcai Technology (+20.7%), and Kaisheng New Energy (+19.6%) [12][14] Recent Tracking of Key Sub-sectors - Cement: The national cement market price fell by 1.3% week-on-week, with average shipment rates around 42% due to weak demand [17] - Glass: The photovoltaic glass market saw a general decline in new orders, with prices for 2.0mm coated panels down by 2.27% [18] - Fiberglass: The market for non-alkali yarn remains stable, with prices holding steady at around 3669 CNY/ton [19] Long-term Value of Traditional Building Materials - The report emphasizes that traditional building materials are nearing a cyclical bottom, while new materials like carbon fiber are expected to see sustained growth due to high downstream demand and domestic substitution opportunities [20][21]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share PCB concept continues to rise, with several companies showing significant stock performance, indicating a positive trend in the industry [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Jin'an Guoji has achieved a three-day consecutive increase in stock price [1] - Honghe Technology has seen its stock rise three times in five days [1] - Defu Technology and Tongguan Copper Foil have both increased by over 10% [1] - Pengding Holdings, Lianrui New Materials, Zhongying Technology, and International Composite Materials are among the top gainers in the market [1]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The low dielectric electronic cloth industry is projected to have a very optimistic market outlook, with the CCL (Copper Clad Laminate) market expected to reach USD 20.2 billion by 2029, growing at an annual rate of 8.3% from 2025 to 2029. The high-end CCL segment is anticipated to grow even faster, with a growth rate of 26% from 2024 to 2026 [2][3]. Key Companies and Their Performance Zhongcai Technology (中材科技) - Zhongcai Technology is expected to achieve approximately RMB 1.5-1.6 billion in revenue for 2025, with a market capitalization exceeding RMB 20 billion. The Low DK and Q products are projected to generate revenues of RMB 290 million in 2025 and RMB 770 million in 2026, corresponding to a market cap potential of RMB 23 billion [4][15]. - By 2027, the net profit is expected to reach RMB 1.1 billion, leading to a market cap of RMB 56 billion. The company has over 50% growth potential due to its comprehensive product system and large production capacity [4][15]. Honghe Technology (宏和科技) - Honghe Technology is expected to generate a net profit of approximately RMB 110 million in 2025, increasing to RMB 310 million in 2026. The overall net profit is projected to rise from RMB 430 million in 2025 to at least RMB 860 million in 2026, indicating significant market space [5][16]. - The estimated market cap for 2026 is around RMB 17.3 billion, with potential growth to RMB 25.7 billion by 2027 [5]. International Composite Materials (国际复材) - International Composite Materials is expected to double its supply of low DK2 products by 2026, reaching 500,000 to 600,000 meters. The profit from low DK2 products could reach RMB 250 million [6][12]. - The company anticipates a total profit of RMB 300 million in 2026, with a market cap estimated between RMB 18 billion and RMB 25 billion, indicating a 60% growth potential [12][18]. Feilihua (菲利华) - Feilihua relies heavily on military logic, with its K fabric business expected to match Zhongcai's scale. The production capacity for 2026 and 2027 is projected at 2 million and 4 million meters, respectively, with corresponding profits of RMB 170 million and RMB 370 million [8][17]. Honghe Technology (红河科技) - Honghe Technology's business is purely focused on electronic cloth, with an expected profit of RMB 200 million in 2025. The company is noted for its high business elasticity, with potential growth exceeding that of Zhongcai and International Composite Materials [10][11]. Market Trends and Pricing - There is a market trend towards price increases, which could enhance net profits by approximately 8-9%. For instance, a leading Japanese manufacturer plans to raise prices, reflecting a tight supply-demand situation in the industry [18]. - If price increases are considered, the market cap for Zhongcai Technology could rise from RMB 45 billion to over RMB 50 billion, while Honghe Technology could increase from RMB 20 billion to over RMB 22 billion, and Feilihua could reach around RMB 30 billion [18]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Zhongcai Technology, Honghe Technology, and International Composite Materials, all of which have significant growth potential in the low dielectric electronic cloth business. Zhongcai Technology is particularly highlighted due to its comprehensive product range and largest production capacity [9]. Conclusion - The low dielectric electronic cloth industry is poised for substantial growth driven by demand from high-end GPUs and AI hardware. Key players like Zhongcai Technology, Honghe Technology, and International Composite Materials are well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, making them attractive investment opportunities.

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **special fiberglass cloth industry** and its relationship with **high-speed high-frequency PCB materials** driven by the surge in demand for **AI servers and switches** [2][10]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Demand Surge for High-Speed High-Frequency PCB Materials**: The demand for materials such as **Ma 8** has significantly increased, with expectations for **Ma 9** to be widely adopted by the second half of 2026. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for LOWDK electronic cloth is projected to reach **50%** in the coming years [2][8]. 2. **Special Fiberglass Cloth Market Growth**: Sales forecasts for special fiberglass cloth are **90 million meters** in 2025, **140 million meters** in 2026, and **210 million meters** in 2027, driven by product iterations and increased penetration of **1.6T switches** [2][11]. 3. **Second-Generation Materials**: The application of second-generation materials in high-end products is increasing, but growth is limited by supply shortages and yield ramp-up issues. The market potential remains significant as penetration rates are expected to improve with advancements in technology [2][3]. 4. **Low Thermal Expansion Fiber Cloth**: This material is essential for advanced packaging processes to address chip heat dissipation issues, with a projected CAGR of **70%** over the next two years, particularly driven by demand from **TSMC** and **Apple** [2][15]. 5. **Supply-Demand Dynamics**: The industry is experiencing tight supply conditions, with **Nitto Denko** and **China National Materials** as major suppliers. Even with full capacity utilization, a supply-demand gap is anticipated in 2025 and 2026 due to low yields in high-end products [2][16]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Market Position of Key Players**: - **Taiwan's Taiming** holds over **70%** market share in AI servers and plans to expand capacity, indicating a strong growth outlook for the industry from late 2024 to mid-2027 [4][20]. - **China National Materials** is positioned as a core company in the industry, with expectations for significant sales growth driven by high-end product upgrades [17][21]. 2. **Technological Barriers**: The industry faces two main technological barriers: formulation barriers for second-generation materials and process difficulties related to electrical performance and bubble treatment in fibers [26]. 3. **Future Market Projections**: The PCB market is expected to grow significantly, with projections of **$20 billion** by 2030, driven by a compound growth rate of **20%** in computing power and a potential **$15 billion** market for LODK materials [14]. 4. **Performance Expectations for China National Materials**: The company anticipates a main revenue of **1.7 billion** yuan in 2025, with special fiberglass contributing approximately **300-400 million** yuan. If the special fiberglass market reaches **20 billion** yuan, the company's revenue could potentially reach **8 billion** yuan with a profit of around **3 billion** yuan [25]. Conclusion The conference call highlights a robust growth trajectory for the special fiberglass cloth and high-speed PCB materials industry, driven by technological advancements and increasing demand from AI and high-end applications. The interplay between supply constraints and market opportunities presents both challenges and significant potential for key players like China National Materials and Taiming.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the building materials industry, particularly highlighting the recovery potential in the consumption building materials sector and the cement industry [2][4]. Core Insights - The building materials industry has seen a resurgence in attention since July 1, driven by expectations of supply-side improvements and demand upgrades, particularly in the cement and glass sectors [2][4]. - The cement industry is expected to benefit from policies aimed at limiting overproduction, while the glass industry is experiencing changes due to reductions in production capacity and demand fluctuations [2][9]. - The waterproofing sector has seen unprecedented price increases among leading companies, indicating a potential recovery in profitability [3][5]. - AI demand is reshaping market expectations, particularly in the low dielectric cloth segment, which is expected to see continued product premium during the upgrade process [3][26]. Summary by Sections Consumption Building Materials - The logic of improving market dynamics is beginning to materialize, with price communication among companies becoming more favorable [5]. - The waterproofing industry has seen a significant price increase among leading firms, indicating a recovery in profitability [5][6]. - The report anticipates that profitability recovery will outpace revenue growth in 2025, driven by cost reductions and stabilized pricing [5]. Cement - The cement industry is experiencing a "reverse involution" with policies aimed at limiting overproduction, which is expected to stabilize prices [9][11]. - Demand remains weak, with a notable decline in production and sales, but the industry is expected to see a recovery in profitability as supply-side adjustments take effect [11][12]. - The report likens the supply-demand dynamics in the cement industry to a "tortoise and hare" race, where supply adjustments may lead to improved profitability despite weak demand [12][14]. Glass - The float glass market is currently facing pressure with prices remaining low and demand weak, leading to cash flow challenges for many companies [17][24]. - The report highlights that the photovoltaic glass sector is entering a cash loss zone, prompting accelerated cold repairs among manufacturers [24][25]. - The automotive glass segment is expected to maintain stable profitability due to product structure improvements and cost optimization [21][22]. Fiberglass - The demand for low dielectric cloth is expected to increase due to the AI industry's growth, with companies positioned well for product upgrades [26][27]. - The report notes that mainstream electronic cloth products are performing steadily, with potential price increases anticipated in the future [27][28]. Carbon Fiber - The wind power sector is seeing a recovery in demand, which is expected to lead to improved profitability in Q2 [32].