Group 1 - The article discusses the recent market performance, indicating that the Shanghai Composite Index has stabilized around 3500 points, driven by policy expectations and potential government stimulus measures [1][2] - Analysts from Citigroup predict that the upcoming Politburo meeting will not revise the budget or increase government bond quotas, but will focus on implementing existing policies to support consumption and the real estate sector [1][2] - The article highlights that the real estate market has shown signs of recovery, with a potential for further gains in the coming weeks, based on historical trends of policy-driven market movements [3][5] Group 2 - The banking sector is expected to see an increase in dividend yields due to upcoming dividend distributions, which could enhance the attractiveness of bank stocks [7] - The article notes that the insurance sector is adjusting its investment strategies to favor high-dividend assets, which may impact the overall market dynamics [7] - The article mentions that the real estate index has risen by 9.69% since June 23, indicating a positive trend relative to the Shanghai Composite Index [3][5] Group 3 - The article outlines the upcoming key events in the financial calendar, including the Politburo meeting and FOMC meetings, which are expected to influence market sentiment and policy direction [2] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring economic indicators and policy announcements as they could significantly impact market performance in the second half of the year [2][10] - The article suggests that sectors such as renewable energy, construction materials, and industrial metals are likely to benefit from current market trends and policy support [15][18]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, which is expected to lead to significant improvements in the fundamentals of the real estate chain. Recommended stocks in the consumer building materials sector include Sankeshu, Dongfang Yuhong, Weixing New Materials, and Jianlang Hardware. Beneficiary stocks include Beixin Building Materials [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission has issued a special action plan for energy conservation and carbon reduction in the cement industry, aiming to control cement clinker capacity at around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025, with a target of reducing comprehensive energy consumption per unit product by 3.7% compared to 2020 [3] - The "equal tariff" policy is expected to benefit fiberglass leaders with overseas production bases, allowing them to raise prices and consolidate profitability [3] Market Performance - The construction materials index rose by 3.34% in the week from July 7 to July 11, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.52 percentage points. Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index increased by 6.41%, while the construction materials index rose by 6.60%, indicating a slight outperformance of 0.18 percentage points [4][13] - In the past year, the CSI 300 index increased by 15.62%, and the construction materials index rose by 15.80%, also showing a slight outperformance of 0.18 percentage points [4][13] Cement Sector - As of July 11, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 282.89 CNY/ton, a decrease of 3.48% month-on-month. The clinker inventory ratio was 65.89%, down 2.29 percentage points [6][23][24] - The price of cement varied by region, with notable declines in Northeast (-4.76%), North China (-2.33%), East China (-2.98%), South China (-5.74%), Central China (-3.41%), and Southwest (-4.93%) regions [23][29] Glass Sector - The average price of float glass as of July 11, 2025, was 1205.63 CNY/ton, with a slight increase of 0.17%. The average price of photovoltaic glass remained stable at 116.02 CNY/weight box [6][71][78] - The inventory of float glass decreased by 970,000 weight boxes nationwide, a decline of 1.66% [73][74] Fiberglass Sector - The price of non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3400 to 4100 CNY/ton, with flexible pricing based on regional differences [6] Consumer Building Materials - As of July 11, 2025, the price of crude oil was 70.63 USD/barrel, down 0.39% week-on-week. The price of asphalt was 4570 CNY/ton, up 1.11% week-on-week [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the African building materials sector and local manufacturing leader Keda Manufacturing, particularly following the ignition of Keda's base in Côte d'Ivoire in June [1][13]. Core Insights - The Kenyan government has implemented a tiered tax on imported building materials, including a 3% export promotion tax on ceramic tiles and sanitary ware, aimed at reducing import dependency and fostering local manufacturing [1][13]. - The report emphasizes the importance of local production and consumption integration, highlighting Keda Manufacturing's efforts to establish local production in multiple African countries [1][13]. - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in the PCB upstream new materials sector, particularly in electronic cloth and copper foil, driven by high demand in AI applications [2][14]. - The waterproofing industry is experiencing frequent price increases, indicating a consensus among leading companies to curb malicious competition and stabilize prices [3][15]. - The cement sector is undergoing capacity reduction efforts, with the China Cement Association advocating for a unified approach to actual and registered production capacities [3][15]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - Keda Manufacturing is recognized as a leader in local production within Africa, with recent developments in Côte d'Ivoire and supportive government policies in Kenya [1][13]. Cycle Interaction - Cement prices have shown a slight decline, with an average price of 347 RMB/t, down 46 RMB year-on-year, while glass prices have increased slightly to 1204.97 RMB/t [4][16]. - The report notes a stable demand for glass and fiberglass, with the latter maintaining a price of 3669 RMB/t [4][16][61]. National Subsidy Tracking - The report highlights government initiatives to boost consumption, including subsidies for building materials, which may benefit companies like Sangor and North New Materials [5][17]. Important Changes - Several companies, including Zhongcai Technology and China Jushi, have announced significant profit increases for the first half of 2025, indicating strong performance in the building materials sector [6][21].

Core Viewpoint - The company forecasts a significant increase in earnings for the first half of 2025, with net profit expected to rise by 81%-124% to 840-1040 million yuan, and non-recurring net profit projected to increase by 186%-254% to 670-830 million yuan, driven by price increases and improved sales in the wind power sector [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast - The company anticipates a profit midpoint of 580 million yuan for Q2 2025, with a non-recurring net profit midpoint of 500 million yuan, showing a notable improvement quarter-on-quarter [1] - The earnings slightly exceeded expectations due to price increases in certain fiberglass products in Q1 and increased wind power shipments in Q2, which diluted expense ratios and improved profit margins [1] Group 2: Product and Market Dynamics - Traditional fiberglass and blade profitability are expected to marginally improve, contributing to earnings elasticity, with price increases of at least 10% for wind power yarn and thermoplastic products in Q1 2025 [2] - The company is positioned as a comprehensive supplier of specialty fiberglass cloth, catering to the demand for low dielectric products used in high-speed switches and AI servers, which reduces electromagnetic interference and energy loss [2] - A planned investment of 1.4 billion yuan for a new production line capable of producing high-value-added specialty fiberglass cloth is expected to enhance the company's product offerings [2] Group 3: Strategic Focus - The company holds a 51% stake in a lithium membrane subsidiary, with a strategic focus on increasing shipment volumes despite pricing pressures in the industry [3] - Cost reduction strategies and government subsidies are anticipated to alleviate profitability pressures in the lithium membrane segment [3] Group 4: Profitability and Valuation - The company has raised its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025 and 2026 by 19% and 20% to 1.14 and 1.38 yuan, respectively, with current stock prices reflecting a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21x for 2025 and 17x for 2026 [4] - The target price has been increased by 55% to 27.4 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 15%, supported by expected profitability growth in specialty fiberglass cloth and the company's comprehensive supply capabilities [4]

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of AI servers and high-speed communication networks is driving the demand for large-size, multi-layer PCBs and high-frequency copper-clad laminates, leading to a significant growth cycle for specialty fiberglass cloth [1][2] Industry Overview - The overall server market is projected to reach approximately $306 billion in 2024, with AI servers expected to account for about $205 billion of that, indicating a strong growth trajectory for AI-related hardware [2] - The global PCB market is anticipated to reach $94.66 billion by 2029, driven by advancements in AI and other industries [2] Material Demand and Supply - Material costs constitute about 63% of PCB production costs, with copper foil, fiberglass cloth, and epoxy resin being the primary components [3] - Specialty fiberglass cloth is crucial for high-performance AI servers, with current supply being tight and major suppliers like Nitto Denko announcing a 20% price increase effective August 1, 2025 [3][6] Domestic Market Dynamics - Domestic companies are rapidly expanding production capacities for high-end fiberglass products to break the international monopoly, with significant expansions planned for 2024 and beyond [1][5] - Zhongcai Technology plans to increase its specialty fiberglass cloth production capacity from 26 million meters to 35 million meters, with a total investment of 1.43 billion yuan [6] - Honghe Technology is also preparing to invest 720 million yuan in a new high-performance fiberglass yarn production line, anticipating a production capacity of 1,254 tons annually [6] Stock Market Performance - Related listed companies have seen significant stock price increases this year, with Zhongcai Technology rising by 49.81% and Honghe Technology by 93.55% from June 16 to July 11 [8] - The stock price surge is attributed to the overall growth in the PCB sector and the influence of rising stock prices of companies like Nvidia in the US market [8]

Group 1 - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a profit of 840 million to 1.04 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year growth of 80.77% to 123.81% compared to 464.68 million yuan in the same period last year [1][2] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 670 million and 830 million yuan, indicating a substantial increase of 186.13% to 254.47% from 234.16 million yuan in the previous year [1][2] - Basic earnings per share are expected to be between 0.5006 yuan and 0.6197 yuan, compared to 0.2769 yuan in the same period last year [1][2] Group 2 - The increase in financial performance is attributed to the optimization of the product structure of fiberglass products, a year-on-year increase in prices, and a growth in sales of wind turbine blade products [2]

本公司及其董事、监事、高级管理人员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整， 公告不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 证券代码：002080 证券简称：中材科技 公告编号：2025-029 中材科技股份有限公司 2025 年半年度业绩预增公告 本次业绩预告相关数据是公司财务部门初步测算的结果，未经会计师事务所 审计。公司已就业绩预告有关事项与会计师事务所进行了预沟通，公司与会计师 事务所在本报告期的业绩预告方面不存在分歧。 三、业绩变动原因说明 报告期内，公司玻璃纤维产品结构优化、价格同比上升，风电叶片产品销量 同比增长，归属于上市公司股东的净利润、归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性 损益后的净利润及基本每股收益等财务指标较上年同期增长。 四、风险提示 公司 2025 年半年度具体财务数据以公司公布的 2025 年半年度报告为准。提 醒投资者谨慎决策，注意投资风险。 （一）业绩预告期间：2025 年 1 月 1 日—2025 年 6 月 30 日 （二）业绩预告情况 □亏损 □扭亏为盈 ■同向上升 □同向下降 □其他 | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- ...

Core Viewpoint - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a growth of 80.77% to 123.81% compared to the same period last year [1] Financial Performance - The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders is between 840 million yuan and 1.04 billion yuan [1] - This represents a substantial year-on-year increase in profitability [1] Product Performance - The company has optimized the structure of its fiberglass products, contributing to improved financial results [1] - There has been a year-on-year increase in the sales volume of wind turbine blade products [1]

Summary of the Conference Call for Zhongcai Technology Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses Zhongcai Technology's performance in the high-end materials market, particularly focusing on OPE (Optical Performance Enhancer) and carbon hydrogen resin sectors [2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **OPE Orders and Delivery**: Zhongcai Technology has a robust order book for OPE, with expected deliveries of 30-35 tons this month. The company anticipates a significant increase in carbon hydrogen resin deliveries from 40 tons in July to 50-60 tons in Q4, indicating strong growth momentum [2][3]. 2. **AI Development Impact**: The advancement of AI necessitates improvements in both computing power and algorithms. Domestic large models are lagging in speed and performance compared to international counterparts, primarily due to hardware patent restrictions. This has led to increased capital market interest in computing power enhancements [2][4]. 3. **International Market Development**: The high-speed digital business has transitioned from materials like Ma 6 and Ma 7 to Ma 8, which is now mature in international markets. The company plans to start transitioning to Ma 9 in Q3, with expectations of a significant ramp-up in Q4 and a full-scale explosion in 2026, positioning Zhongcai as a mainstream supplier [2][5]. 4. **Material Composition Changes**: The Ma 9 numerical system reduces OPE components while increasing the use of carbon hydrogen resin. This change aims to optimize medium loss from 8/10,000 in Ma 8 to between 5/10,000 and 6/10,000, catering to lower-tier market demands [2][6][7]. 5. **Carbon Gold Product Production**: The production of carbon gold products is expected to reach 40 tons in July, increasing to 50-60 tons in Q4. Demand from major clients has doubled, with the company capturing 70-80% of the domestic market share in special carbon fiber quality [2][8][9]. 6. **Capacity and Demand**: Zhongcai Technology does not face capacity bottlenecks, with a monthly production capacity of 80 tons and an annual capacity of 3,500 tons at the Meishan plant. The increase in orders in the second half of the year is attributed to rising market demand rather than taking market share from other suppliers [2][11][12]. 7. **Pricing Trends**: The price of Ma 9 resin is expected to be five times that of Ma 8, with Ma 8 carbon fiber priced around 500,000 yuan per ton and Ma 9 projected to be between 2-4 million yuan per ton. Variations in carbon fiber structures among manufacturers may limit the potential for changes post-stabilization [2][19][20]. 8. **Market Dynamics**: There are currently no explicit price reduction demands from clients, and high-end products like gold paper have not seen price declines. The market remains stable, with companies focusing on their supplier situations [2][14][16]. 9. **Future Production Plans**: The Meishan base's capacity release is scheduled for 2026, with the potential to support production volumes of several hundred tons after upgrades [2][15]. 10. **Competition and Market Share**: The OPE market share is difficult to predict, but if demand doubles by the end of 2026 and existing suppliers cannot meet it, Zhongcai Technology may increase its market share [2][17]. Additional Important Insights - **Technical Barriers**: The chemical industry faces significant technical barriers due to the experience required for production. Many companies are interested in entering the field, but achieving stable mass production and customer certification remains challenging [2][24]. - **Client Preferences**: Domestic downstream clients currently prefer using carbon hydrogen materials over PTFE materials, indicating a shift in material preferences [2][21]. - **Future Projections**: The expected shipment volume for special carbon crystals in 2026 is projected to reach at least 10 tons, with a total annual volume of around 180 tons, which is substantial given the high price range [2][26].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The rapid development of AI servers and high-frequency communication networks is driving the demand for large-size, high-layer PCBs and high-frequency copper-clad laminates (CCLs), leading to an accelerated iteration of PCB and CCL products [5][17] - The special glass fiber cloth market is expected to grow rapidly, with domestic manufacturers accelerating their penetration into the market [6] - Traditional glass fiber cloth prices are continuously rising, indicating a recovery in profits [7] Summary by Sections Special Glass Fiber Cloth: AI Catalyzes Demand, Domestic Manufacturers Rise - The development of AI is accelerating the upgrade of PCBs, resulting in a supply-demand imbalance for special glass fiber cloth [14] - The market for Low-Dk and Low-CTE glass fiber cloth is currently dominated by Japanese and Taiwanese manufacturers, but domestic companies are increasing their production capacity [6][31] - The demand for special glass fiber cloth is expected to significantly increase during 2025 and 2026, with several domestic manufacturers planning to expand production [6][34] Traditional Glass Fiber Cloth: In a Price Increase Cycle, Profits Continue to Recover - The average price of traditional glass fiber cloth has risen by approximately 8% from the beginning of 2025, with further upward potential [7][35] - The profitability of special glass fiber cloth is higher than that of traditional glass fiber cloth, which is expected to drive profit margins for related manufacturers [35] Investment Recommendations - With the acceleration of chip iterations and the increasing penetration of 800G switches, the demand for PCB and CCL products is expected to grow, benefiting from the performance improvements of glass fiber cloth materials [45] - Key beneficiaries in the glass fiber cloth sector include Honghe Technology and China National Materials Technology, while beneficiaries in the quartz cloth sector include Feilihua [45][46]