Market Overview - The glass and fiberglass sector experienced a decline of 2.34% compared to the previous trading day, with International Composite Materials leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include: - Jiuding New Materials (002201) rose by 10.02% to a closing price of 13.94, with a trading volume of 1.9372 million shares and a transaction value of 2.652 billion [1] - Qibin Group (601636) increased by 1.43% to 6.39, with a trading volume of 630,000 shares and a transaction value of 286.8 million [1] - China Jushi (600176) saw a slight increase of 0.16% to 19.09, with a trading volume of 513,200 shares and a transaction value of 977 million [1] - International Composite Materials (301526) fell by 7.95% to 7.41, with a trading volume of 1.979 million shares and a transaction value of 1.497 billion [2] Capital Flow - The glass and fiberglass sector saw a net outflow of 360 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 506 million [2] - Detailed capital flow for specific stocks indicates: - Jiuding New Materials had a net inflow of 30.3 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 12.9 million [3] - North Glass (002613) experienced a net outflow of 1.859 million from institutional investors but a net inflow of 735,600 from retail investors [3] - China Jushi had a net outflow of 7.5775 million from institutional investors, with retail investors contributing a net outflow of 2.93287 million [3]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.01% on January 20, with 20 industries experiencing gains, led by the oil and petrochemical sector and construction materials, which rose by 1.74% and 1.71% respectively [1] - The telecommunications and defense industries saw the largest declines, with drops of 3.23% and 2.87% respectively [1] - Overall, there was a net outflow of 95.72 billion yuan in the main funds across the two markets, with 11 industries seeing net inflows [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The banking sector had the highest net inflow of funds, totaling 1.472 billion yuan, and increased by 0.80% [1] - The real estate sector followed with a 1.55% increase and a net inflow of 627 million yuan [1] - The power equipment sector experienced the largest net outflow, with 19.054 billion yuan, followed by the electronics sector with an outflow of 18.394 billion yuan [1] Construction Materials Sector - The construction materials industry rose by 1.71% with a net inflow of 256 million yuan, comprising 71 stocks, of which 48 increased and 22 decreased [2] - Notable stocks with significant net inflows included Jiuding New Materials with 348 million yuan, Anhui Conch Cement with 229 million yuan, and Tibet Tianlu with 141 million yuan [2] - Stocks with the largest net outflows included Zais Technology and China National Materials, each with outflows of 134 million yuan [2] Key Stocks in Construction Materials - Jiuding New Materials: +10.02% with a turnover rate of 32.18% and a net fund flow of 348.14 million yuan [2] - Anhui Conch Cement: +5.74% with a turnover rate of 2.82% and a net fund flow of 228.75 million yuan [2] - Tibet Tianlu: +3.96% with a turnover rate of 9.91% and a net fund flow of 141.07 million yuan [2]

Group 1: Cement Industry - The national market is gradually entering the off-season, with overall demand showing a downward trend, particularly in the housing construction market, while infrastructure demand is regionally differentiated under policy influence, and the civil market shows relatively rigid demand [1] - In the medium term, the cement industry's capacity is expected to continue declining under policies limiting overproduction, leading to a significant increase in capacity utilization and profit elasticity [1] - Key companies to watch include Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement [1] Group 2: Glass Industry - The demand side is experiencing a continuous decline in 2025 due to the impact of real estate, with short-term demand during the traditional peak season showing limited improvement and high inventory levels among intermediaries [1] - The supply side faces ongoing supply-demand contradictions, and despite recent cold repairs of multiple production lines, prices are expected to remain low and fluctuate in the short term [1] - Key company to watch is Qibin Group [1] Group 3: Glass Fiber Industry - As the year-end approaches, many pool kiln factories focus on cash collection, resulting in weak performance in middle and downstream deliveries [2] - The supply side sees the completion of cold repairs at China Jushi's production line, with a resurgence in production; the electronic yarn segment is thriving due to demand from the AI industry, leading to a rise in both volume and price for low dielectric products [2] - Key companies to watch include China Jushi and China National Building Material [2] Group 4: Consumer Building Materials - The industry has reached a profitability bottom, with prices having no downward space after years of competition; there is a strong demand for price increases and profit improvement driven by anti-involution policies [2] - In 2025, multiple categories such as waterproofing, coatings, and gypsum boards are expected to issue price increase notices, with anticipated profit improvements for leading companies in 2026 [2] - Key companies to watch include Oriental Yuhong, Sankeshu, Beixin Building Materials, and Rabbit Baby [2] Group 5: Market Overview - In the past week (January 12–18), the main index performance was as follows: the Shenwan Building Materials Industry Index decreased by 0.67%, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.45%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.14%, the ChiNext Index increased by 1.00%, and the CSI 300 Index decreased by 0.57% [2] - Among the 31 first-level sub-industry indices in Shenwan, the building materials sector ranked 18th in terms of performance [2]

Group 1 - The fiberglass sector showed initial strength, with Jiuding New Materials hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other companies such as Jin'an Guoji, China Jushi, China National Building Material, and Jizhong Energy also experienced gains [1]

Market Overview - The glass and fiberglass sector increased by 2.19% on January 19, with Jiuding New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Jiuding New Materials (002201) closed at 12.67, up 9.98%, with a trading volume of 661,900 shares and a transaction value of 819 million [1] - International Composites (301526) closed at 8.05, up 5.78%, with a trading volume of 2,155,100 shares and a transaction value of 1.717 billion [1] - Yao Pi Glass (618009) closed at 8.29, up 3.11%, with a trading volume of 111,300 shares and a transaction value of 90.799 million [1] - Other notable stocks include Qibin Group (601636) at 6.30 (+2.77%), Shandong Pofiber (605006) at 7.58 (+2.71%), and Honghe Technology (603256) at 41.35 (+2.63%) [1] Capital Flow - The glass and fiberglass sector saw a net inflow of 667 million from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 481 million [1] - Jiuding New Materials had a main fund net inflow of 2.79 billion, representing 34.10% of its total [2] - International Composites had a main fund net inflow of 188 million, accounting for 10.95% [2] - Other companies like Honghe Technology and Zhongcai Technology also reported net inflows from main funds, while retail funds showed significant outflows across various stocks [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current trends in the chemical industry, focusing on price movements, supply and demand dynamics, and investment opportunities in undervalued leading companies amid a backdrop of geopolitical tensions and changing market conditions [1][4][8]. Industry Dynamics - In the week of January 12-18, 49 out of 100 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 20 experienced declines, and 31 remained stable. The average monthly price of 49% of products rose compared to the previous month [3]. - The average price of WTI crude oil futures increased by 0.54% to $59.44 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures rose by 0.66% to $63.76 per barrel during the same week [4]. - As of January 9, U.S. crude oil production averaged 13.753 million barrels per day, a decrease of 58,000 barrels from the previous week but an increase of 272,000 barrels year-on-year. Total U.S. oil demand was 21.009 million barrels per day, up by 178,200 barrels from the previous week [4]. Price Movements - The price of butadiene rose by 4.04% to 9,663 yuan per ton as of January 18, with a month-on-month increase of 25.98% but a year-on-year decrease of 20.8%. The production of butadiene was 109,300 tons, down 2.85% from the previous week [5]. - Epoxy propane prices increased by 8.84% to 8,620 yuan per ton, with a year-on-year rise of 9.88%. The market operating rate was 65.38%, reflecting a 1.51% increase from the previous week [6][7]. Investment Recommendations - As of January 18, the price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the SW basic chemical sector is 14.68, at the 59.64% historical percentile, while the price-to-book ratio is 1.54, at the 40.20% historical percentile. The SW oil and petrochemical sector has a TTM P/E ratio of 13.44, at the 39.81% historical percentile [8]. - Investment suggestions include focusing on undervalued leading companies, the impact of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries, and the growing importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials and certain new energy materials amid rising prices [2][8]. - Recommended stocks include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and others, with a focus on sectors like semiconductor materials, OLED materials, and new energy materials [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Insights - The construction materials sector has shown a slight decline in social financing growth, prompting a focus on high-dividend stocks and sectors such as real estate and technology [3] - The cement market is experiencing price fluctuations, with a current average price of 347.7 yuan/ton, down 4.8 yuan from last week and down 56.2 yuan from the same period in 2025 [10][11] - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in companies benefiting from high dividends, export-oriented industries, and home renovation sectors [3] Summary by Sections 1. Cement Market Overview - The national average cement price is 347.7 yuan/ton, reflecting a decrease of 4.8 yuan from the previous week and a decrease of 56.2 yuan year-on-year [10][11] - The average cement inventory ratio is 58.9%, down 1.4 percentage points from last week but up 1.4 percentage points from the same period in 2025 [16][20] - The average daily cement shipment rate is 39.2%, down 5.0 percentage points from last week but up 7.0 percentage points year-on-year [16][20] 2. Glass Market Overview - The average price of float glass is 1138.3 yuan/ton, an increase of 16.3 yuan from last week but a decrease of 246.1 yuan from 2025 [41][42] - The inventory of float glass in 13 provinces is 4,986 million weight boxes, a decrease of 209 million from last week but an increase of 1,071 million from the same period in 2025 [46][49] 3. Fiberglass Market Overview - The effective production capacity for fiberglass is projected to reach 759.2 million tons in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 6.9% [4] - The demand for fiberglass is expected to maintain steady growth, driven by wind power and new applications, despite a potential slowdown in overall growth [4] 4. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include China National Building Material, Huaxin Cement, and others that are expected to benefit from industry recovery and structural improvements [4][3] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong dividend yields and those involved in technology and home renovation sectors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the fiberglass sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a favorable policy environment that is expected to support the fiberglass sector's growth, particularly in 2026, with anticipated price increases for electronic fabrics due to supply constraints and high demand for mid-to-high-end products [7][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of leading companies in the construction materials sector, which are expected to show resilience and profitability as the real estate market stabilizes [7][11]. Summary by Sections Cement - The cement market is entering a seasonal slowdown, with prices expected to decline as demand weakens ahead of the Chinese New Year. The average price is around 353 RMB/ton, with a decrease of 4.7 RMB/ton week-on-week [25][27]. - Southern regions are experiencing a temporary uptick in demand due to project completions before the holiday, while northern regions face declining demand due to cold weather [32][34]. Glass - Float glass prices have seen a slight increase, with an average price of 1,138 RMB/ton, while inventory levels have decreased by 4% week-on-week [35]. - The report anticipates a stable price environment for glass in the short term, with supply reductions expected to support price stabilization as the industry faces ongoing profitability challenges [44]. Fiberglass - The report notes that electronic fabric prices have increased, with the G75 electronic yarn priced between 9,300-9,700 RMB/ton, and the 7628 electronic fabric priced at 4.4-4.85 RMB/meter, reflecting a stable demand and supply situation [49]. - The fiberglass sector is expected to benefit from structural adjustments in product offerings, leading to a favorable supply-demand balance and potential price increases in 2026 [11][45]. Carbon Fiber - Carbon fiber prices are expected to remain stable in the short term, with the report highlighting the potential for increased demand driven by advancements in commercial aerospace [11][13].

Group 1 - The company announced a response to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's second round of inquiry regarding the private placement review dated January 9, 2026 [1] - The controlling shareholder and actual controller have developed a solution to address the issue of competition within the same industry, planning to integrate operations through various methods and resolve the issue by December 2026 [1] - The fundraising project primarily targets the special fiber cloth project, which is part of the existing business and does not introduce new competition within the same industry [1] Group 2 - Since the acceptance of the issuance application on November 27, 2025, there have been no significant public opinion events affecting the issuance, and information disclosure has not faced any challenges [1]

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