受"双11"电商节及海外"黑五"跨境寄递增长等因素影响，每年11月都是快递行业全年最大的业务旺季， 其当月成绩单也通常被视作来年快递市场格局最重要的风向标之一，一直备受关注。 近日，四家A股快递公司顺丰控股（SZ002352，股价38.27元，市值1929亿元，以下或简称顺丰）、圆 通速递（SH600233，股价16.83元，市值576.01亿元，以下或简称圆通）、申通快递（SZ002468，股价 14.33元，市值219.36亿元，以下或简 称 申 通）和 韵 达 股 份（SZ002120，股价6.86元，市值198.89亿 元，以下或简称韵达）披露11月月度经营情况。从具体数据看，顺丰业务量增速继续领跑，申通因并表 浙江丹鸟物流科技有限公司（以下或简称丹鸟物流）实现收入和业务量大幅增长，而韵达则成为"通达 系"中唯一业务量同比下滑的公司。 《每日经济新闻》记者了解到，这也就意味着，国内主要上市快递企业的业绩分化依然明显。一方 面，"反内卷"成为行业共识后，单票收入自低点修复，价格竞争趋缓；另一方面，由于企业之间战略选 择的差异，在业务量与收入增速上形成了鲜明对比。快递行业竞争正从单纯的价格与规模扩张，逐步 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yunda Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 4.698 billion yuan from its express delivery services in November 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 2.17% with a total business volume of 2.175 billion parcels and an average revenue per parcel of 2.16 yuan, up 6.40% [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Yunda's express delivery service revenue reached 4.698 billion yuan in November 2025, with a business volume of 2.175 billion parcels [1] - The average revenue per parcel increased to 2.16 yuan, reflecting a growth of 6.40% year-on-year [1] - The company aims to enhance its operational quality and service levels through a focus on high-quality development and technological innovation [1][2] Group 2: Industry Trends - The express delivery industry in China has seen its annual business volume exceed 180 billion parcels for the first time, setting a new record [1] - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to boost industry profitability and rationalize pricing, contributing to a potential increase in average parcel prices [4] - The ongoing digital transformation and the implementation of a multi-layered technology strategy ("1+N+AI") are enhancing operational efficiency and service quality across the industry [2][4] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Yunda has established a comprehensive service network covering all provinces and major cities in China, with 71 transit centers nationwide [2] - The company is advancing its "comprehensive digitalization" strategy, focusing on business digitization and the integration of AI technologies to improve operational efficiency [2] - Yunda is actively promoting the use of unmanned vehicles and drones in various regions to enhance service delivery [2] Group 4: Seasonal Performance - During the current peak season, Yunda is leveraging advanced logistics facilities and smart technology to enhance customer experience and ensure efficient operations [3] - The company is committed to providing high-quality services during the peak season, focusing on safety, efficiency, and customer satisfaction [3] - Yunda is utilizing big data and AI for real-time analysis and resource allocation to maintain smooth operations during the busy season [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" and is maintained [15] Core Insights - The report provides a forward-looking analysis of the transportation industry for Q4 2025, highlighting improvements in passenger demand and operational efficiencies across various sub-sectors [2][6] Aviation - The aviation sector is expected to see marginal demand improvements, with significant reductions in losses anticipated for Q4 2025. Domestic business demand is stabilizing, and international flights continue to perform well despite short-term disruptions from flight cancellations [6][23] Airports - Domestic airport traffic is projected to increase, with international flights also climbing. Revenue is expected to improve as a result of rising passenger volumes and operational efficiencies [7][26] Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is experiencing a slowdown in growth but is improving profitability through price adjustments and a focus on high-value services. The net profit is expected to turn positive in Q4 2025 [8][29] Logistics - The logistics sector is stabilizing at the bottom of its performance cycle, with cross-border logistics showing signs of recovery. However, overall demand remains weak, leading to a slight decline in performance for major supply chain players [9][31] Maritime Transport - The maritime sector is witnessing a divergence in profitability among different vessel types. While container shipping faces pressure on earnings, oil and bulk shipping are expected to see improvements due to increased demand and operational efficiencies [10][32] Ports - Port operations are expected to benefit from improved handling of bulk goods and stable container throughput, supported by easing trade tensions and increased exports to ASEAN and EU regions [11][38] Highways - The highway sector is projected to see limited growth, with stable profitability expected as truck traffic shows slight improvements compared to the previous year [12][40] Railways - The railway sector is experiencing a split in performance, with passenger transport growth accelerating while freight transport growth is slowing down. The focus on expanding non-coal business is expected to impact profitability negatively [13][42]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping industry, particularly recommending stocks such as China Shipbuilding, China Power, and Sumec [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the launch of the first shipping industry index fund on December 19, 2025, and notes a continued increase in second-hand ship prices, with a 5-year-old VLCC price rising by $2 million to $120 million [4]. - Seasonal fluctuations are observed in freight rates, with oil and bulk carrier second-hand prices increasing. The report recommends stocks like COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [4]. - The report anticipates a significant improvement in airline profitability due to supply constraints and increasing passenger demand, recommending stocks such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections Shipping Industry - The second-hand ship price index increased by 0.38% to 194.32 points, with a recommendation for COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [4]. - VLCC freight rates decreased by 11% to $101,623 per day, while Suezmax rates increased by 9% to $78,107 per day [4]. Airline Sector - The report indicates that the global aircraft manufacturing chain is facing unprecedented challenges, with an aging fleet and supply constraints expected to continue [4]. - Airlines are projected to experience significant profitability improvements, with recommendations for stocks such as China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines [4]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined for industry performance [4]. - Recommended stocks include Shentong Express and Yunda Holdings, with a focus on companies benefiting from Southeast Asian e-commerce growth [4]. Rail and Road Transport - Rail freight volume and highway truck traffic are expected to maintain steady growth, with data showing a slight decrease in freight volume [4]. - The report suggests that traditional high-dividend investment themes and potential value management catalysts will be key investment lines through 2025 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key companies in the aviation and logistics sectors, including China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and SF Express [2]. Core Insights - The aviation sector is expected to benefit from multiple catalysts, including the recovery of passenger demand and improved ticket pricing due to high load factors and regulatory support [4][6]. - The logistics and express delivery industry is experiencing a divergence in growth rates, with a focus on improving operational quality through policies aimed at reducing "involution" and the adoption of automation technologies [6][7]. Summary by Sections Aviation Sector - The report highlights the positive impact of the national strategy to expand domestic demand, which is expected to drive up airline stock prices. For instance, companies like China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines saw stock increases of 12.48% and 13.60%, respectively [4]. - Key metrics for airlines from December 15 to December 19 include average daily flights and aircraft utilization rates, with notable year-on-year increases in flight numbers for several airlines [4]. - The report emphasizes the long-term growth potential of the aviation sector, driven by a combination of recovering demand, regulatory support for pricing, and a gradual recovery in aircraft utilization rates [6]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is witnessing a mixed trend in volume and pricing, with November data showing a year-on-year increase in delivery volumes for some companies while others face declines [6]. - The report notes that the integration of Danbird Logistics into Shentong Express is expected to enhance scale and operational efficiency [6]. - The "anti-involution" policy is anticipated to improve profitability across the express delivery industry, with a focus on enhancing service quality and pricing strategies [6][7]. Infrastructure - The report suggests that the infrastructure sector, particularly highways, remains stable with consistent cash dividends and ongoing expansion projects [6]. - Data from December 8 to December 14 indicates a slight decline in freight traffic on highways and railways, but overall port throughput showed a year-on-year increase [6]. Shipping and Trade - The shipping sector is experiencing fluctuations in freight rates, with oil shipping showing strength while dry bulk rates are declining. The report suggests that geopolitical factors may reshape global shipping dynamics [7]. - The report recommends monitoring companies in the shipping sector for potential investment opportunities, particularly those positioned to benefit from seasonal demand increases [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the express delivery industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by over 5% in the next 3-6 months [28]. Core Insights - The express delivery industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth, with SF Express and YTO Express continuing to outperform the industry [2]. - The report emphasizes investment opportunities under the "anti-involution" trend, highlighting the potential for revenue and performance elasticity in the upcoming verification period [3]. - The report recommends YTO Express and Shentong Express, noting their strong performance metrics and resilience in a slowing industry [3]. - Jitu Express is also recommended due to its significant growth in Southeast Asia, which supports stable profitability in the domestic market [3]. - SF Express is viewed positively despite short-term performance pressure, with effective operational activation mechanisms driving business scale expansion [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - In November, the industry completed a business volume of 18.06 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, with a cumulative volume of 180.74 billion pieces for the year, up 14.9% [6]. - Industry revenue in November was 137.65 billion yuan, down 3.7% year-on-year, while cumulative revenue for the year reached 1,355.06 billion yuan, up 7.1% [6]. - The average revenue per piece in November was 7.62 yuan, down 8.3% year-on-year, with a cumulative average of 7.50 yuan, down 6.8% [6]. Company Performance - In November, SF Express led the industry with a business volume growth rate of 20.1%, followed by Shentong Express at 14.7% and YTO Express at 13.6% [6]. - Shentong Express reported the highest revenue growth in November at 33.1%, while YTO Express and SF Express had growth rates of 11.1% and 9.9%, respectively [6]. - The average revenue per piece for Shentong Express was 2.41 yuan, up 15.9% year-on-year, while SF Express reported 13.47 yuan, down 8.5% [6]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights the ongoing "anti-involution" trend as a key driver for performance elasticity among express delivery companies [3]. - The report notes that the capital expenditure peak for SF Express has passed, leading to a stabilization in depreciation and amortization [4]. - The industry concentration ratio (CR8) stands at 86.9%, indicating a high level of market concentration [9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that the express delivery industry is experiencing a structural optimization in peak season, with leading e-commerce express companies increasing their market share [3][4] - In November, the express delivery business volume grew by 5.0% year-on-year, with cumulative physical goods online retail sales reaching 11.82 trillion yuan, a 5.7% increase [4][15] - The report emphasizes the ongoing growth potential in the express delivery sector, driven by the rise of live e-commerce and increasing online shopping penetration [7][40] Summary by Sections Industry Situation - In November, the express delivery industry saw a business volume increase of 5.0% year-on-year, with a cumulative total of 1,807.4 billion packages delivered from January to November, reflecting a 14.9% year-on-year growth [4][15] - The average package value decreased by 12.9% year-on-year to approximately 65.4 yuan [15] Company Performance - In November, the business volume for major companies was as follows: YTO Express at 2.886 billion packages, Shentong Express at 2.502 billion packages, Yunda Express at 2.175 billion packages, and SF Express at 1.534 billion packages [5][28] - SF Express's business volume growth rate was 20.13%, while cumulative growth from January to November was 27.25% [5][28] Market Share - Cumulative market share from January to November showed YTO Express at 15.6%, Shentong Express at 13.1%, Yunda Express at 13.0%, and SF Express at 8.4% [5][29] - SF Express's market share increased by 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [29] Pricing Situation - The average price per package in the express delivery industry increased by 1.9% month-on-month in November, reaching 7.62 yuan, although it was down 8.3% year-on-year [6][26] - SF Express's average price per package was 13.47 yuan in November, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.29 yuan [6][29] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in SF Express as a leading comprehensive express logistics company, anticipating a turning point in operations and cash flow [8][41] - It also suggests looking at Zhongtong Express and YTO Express, while keeping an eye on Yunda Express and Shentong Express due to the ongoing recovery in the express delivery sector [8][41]

韵达股份（002120）(002120.SZ)披露2025年11月快递服务主要经营指标，公司2025年11月快递服务业 务收入46.98亿元，同比增长2.17%;完成业务量21.75亿票，同比下降4.19%;快递服务单票收入2.16元，同 比增长6.40%。 ...

人民财讯12月19日电，韵达股份（002120）12月19日公告，公司11月快递服务业务收入46.98亿元，同 比增长2.17%；完成业务量21.75亿票，同比下降4.19%；快递服务单票收入2.16元，同比增长6.40%。 ...

韵达股份公告，公司2025年11月快递服务业务收入46.98亿元，同比增长2.17%；完成业务量为21.75亿 票，同比下降4.19%；快递服务单票收入为2.16元，同比增长6.40%。 ...