Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance is gradually improving, with high dividend expectations likely to continue [4] - The effectiveness of the explosive product strategy is significant, and future performance growth is anticipated [5] Financial Performance Summary - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected at 5,315 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.0% - For 2024, revenue is expected to decline by 14.2% to 4,559 million yuan, followed by an increase of 8.4% in 2025 to 4,943 million yuan - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 572 million yuan in 2023, decreasing to 433 million yuan in 2024, and then increasing to 529 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.3% [6][9][11] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.63 yuan in 2025, 0.76 yuan in 2026, and 0.87 yuan in 2027, with adjustments made based on recent reports [6][9] - The target price is set at 11.34 yuan, based on a 15 times PE valuation for 2026 [6][9] Market Performance - The company has shown a 17.3% absolute performance increase over the last 12 months, outperforming the market benchmark [2]

Investment Rating - The report suggests prioritizing investments in foreign trade, followed by domestic demand, with a focus on the export manufacturing sector for clearer performance recovery by 2026 [38]. Core Insights - In September 2025, US apparel and accessories retail sales grew by 6.7% year-on-year, although the inventory-sales ratio declined both year-on-year and month-on-month [38]. - The current overseas K-shaped consumption trend shows strong performance in both high-end and mass value-for-money segments [38]. - Key targets for investment include Huali Industrial Group, Stella International Holdings, Shenzhou International, and Best Pacific International, with specific focus areas in home textiles, affordable luxury, and low valuation high dividend companies [38]. Summary by Sections Industry Data Tracking - In October 2025, China's apparel retail sales increased by 6.8%, while textile and apparel exports decreased by 12.6% [16]. - The cumulative textile and apparel exports from January to October 2025 amounted to approximately $243.94 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.79% [18]. Market Performance - The A-share textile and apparel sector rose by 2.75% in the last week, outperforming the broader market [6]. - The current PE valuation for the textile and apparel sector stands at 20.65 times, below the historical average of 24.70 times [10]. Key Announcements and News - Huitai Textile reported a 6.7% decline in revenue for the six months ending September 30, 2025, primarily due to tariff disruptions and low capacity utilization [33]. - Kappa's parent company reported a 49% increase in profit for the first half of the fiscal year, indicating strong brand and operational performance [34].

Investment Rating - Investment advice is to outperform the market, with a focus on specific companies such as Huali Industrial Group, Stella International Holdings, Shenzhou International, and Best Pacific International [40][16]. Core Insights - October Swiss watch exports to China increased by 12.6% year-on-year, marking two consecutive months of double-digit growth. The overall Swiss watch exports showed a global decline of 4.4% [40][4]. - The report highlights a clearer recovery logic for the export manufacturing sector in 2026, driven by three main factors: clarity in US tariff policies, reduced tariff pressure with brands, and improved production efficiency [40][4]. - The North American luxury market is showing leading growth, supported by expectations of interest rate cuts, although Q4 performance needs to be monitored due to high base effects [40][4]. Industry Data Tracking - In October 2025, China's retail sales of clothing increased by 6.8%, while textile and apparel exports fell by 12.6% [17][19]. - Cumulative textile and apparel exports from January to October 2025 amounted to approximately $243.94 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.79% [19][19]. - The report notes that the export of textiles and clothing in October 2025 was approximately $22.26 billion, down 12.64% year-on-year [19][19]. Recommended Stocks and Valuation - Recommended stocks include Huali Group, Stella International, Shenzhou International, and Best Pacific International, all rated as outperforming the market [16][40]. - The report provides earnings forecasts for these companies, indicating a positive outlook for their performance in the coming years [16][40].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential for investment opportunities in the textile and apparel sector, particularly focusing on new consumption trends and global manufacturing recovery [3][16][18]. Industry Performance - The textile and apparel sector outperformed the market during the week of November 17 to November 21, with the SW textile and apparel index declining by 4.8%, which was 0.3 percentage points better than the SW All A index [4][10]. - Recent industry data shows that from January to October, the total retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles reached 1,205.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.5% [3][34]. Textile Sector Insights - The Australian wool price index stabilized at 983 cents per kilogram as of November 20, 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 32.3% and a monthly increase of 5.4%, indicating a bullish trend in wool prices [10][50]. - The report suggests that the current price increase in Australian wool is in its early stages, driven by supply constraints and new demand from sports wool yarns, presenting investment opportunities [10][18]. Apparel Sector Insights - Amer Sports reported a 30% increase in revenue to $1.76 billion for Q3 2025, with a net profit increase of 161% to $190 million, exceeding previous guidance and indicating strong growth in the outdoor segment [13][15]. - The report recommends focusing on outdoor sports brands such as Bosideng, which is expected to benefit from seasonal sales and a favorable market environment [15][18]. Investment Strategy for 2026 - The investment strategy for the textile and apparel industry in 2026 focuses on consolidating positions and exploring new consumption trends, particularly targeting younger consumer demographics [16][17]. - The report highlights the importance of the global tariff landscape stabilizing, which is expected to enhance the competitiveness of core manufacturing [18]. Key Recommendations - Recommended companies in the outdoor sports segment include Anta, Bosideng, and 361 Degrees, with a focus on brands that are well-positioned to capitalize on the upcoming winter season and the Milan Winter Olympics [17][18]. - The report also identifies potential in discount retail and personal care sectors, suggesting companies like Hailan Home and Nobon Co., which are expected to benefit from changing consumer behaviors [17][18].

Investment Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes the stabilization of global tariff negotiations, which does not alter the core competitiveness of global manufacturing, and highlights optimism towards two major industrial chains and a price increase cycle [3][4]. Industry Performance Review - As of November 14, 2025, the SW textile and apparel index has increased by 16.9%, ranking 17th in relative performance across the market. The manufacturing sector shows higher certainty compared to brands still in recovery [4][8]. - Domestic demand is at a low point in 2025 but is expected to recover in 2026-2027, focusing on the characteristics of young consumer groups to explore high-growth areas in new consumption [4][21]. New Consumption Trends - High-performance outdoor apparel is identified as a growth area with low penetration and high potential, with the market size projected to reach 102.7 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 17% year-on-year [4][33]. - Discount retail is highlighted as a scarce high-growth area within the consumption sector, with rapid expansion in urban outlets and hard discount specialty stores [4][46]. - The personal care and cleaning market, particularly wet wipes, is noted for its rapid growth and increasing necessity among young consumers, with a market size in China expected to reach 100 billion yuan [4][62]. - The sleep economy is emerging as a significant market, with explosive growth in household textile products, driven by young consumers' acceptance [4][20]. - The report discusses Nike's innovation cycle, which is expected to benefit from inventory replenishment and product innovation, similar to Adidas's recovery cycle [4][20]. - The Australian wool price increase cycle is anticipated due to supply contraction and demand highlights, with potential market space comparable to previous high points in 2011 and 2018 [4][20]. - The healthcare material upgrade cycle presents broad replacement opportunities for overseas non-woven fabrics [4][20]. Global Manufacturing Insights - The report notes that the resolution of tariff variables is expected to lead to a new growth phase for leading companies [4][27]. - The textile industry has undergone a pressure test for external demand, with recent tariff negotiations expected to boost export chain expectations for 2026 [4][26]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-growth new consumption areas and the competitive strength of global manufacturing as key investment strategies [4][27].

Group 1 - The core focus of broker research in November has been on Chinese companies expanding overseas, with a total of 1990 research sessions conducted covering 398 A-share listed companies [1] - The most frequently researched stock this month is Trina Solar, which has been surveyed 39 times, followed by Luxshare Precision and Anji Technology, each with 36 surveys [1] - The industrial machinery and electronic components sectors have seen the highest interest, with 37 and 28 companies respectively being researched [1] Group 2 - Among the 398 stocks, 220 have seen price increases, with the highest increase being 189.46% for Huasheng Lithium Battery [1] - In terms of broker participation, CITIC Securities led with 102 research sessions, followed by Guotai Junan and Changjiang Securities with 99 and 77 sessions respectively [2] - The overseas expansion of Chinese companies has been a key topic during broker inquiries, with Trina Solar reporting significant growth in orders from high-margin markets like the US and Europe [2] Group 3 - The trend of Chinese companies going global is expected to significantly enhance their profit growth potential, as indicated by the performance of some representative companies exceeding market expectations [3] - The active research by brokers not only aids in value discovery and risk warning but also helps in understanding the cross-border financial needs of Chinese companies [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Shenzhou International, Tabo, and Huayi Group, with respective PE ratios of 15x, 15x, and 21x for 2025 [6][30][34]. Core Views - The recent performance of downstream brand Nike is gradually improving, which is expected to benefit upstream manufacturing companies through order recovery [2][3][31]. - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing fluctuations in orders and profit performance in the short term, but the long-term competitive landscape is expected to optimize, particularly for companies with integrated and international supply chains [30][32]. Summary by Sections Recent Revenue Reports - In October 2025, revenue for Feng Tai Enterprises, Yu Yuan Group (manufacturing), and Ru Hong decreased by 2.3%, 7.7%, and 6.9% year-on-year, respectively. Cumulatively from January to October 2025, their revenues changed by -4.1%, +1.2%, and +4.1% [1][15][17]. - China's apparel and accessories export value from January to October 2025 was $126.2 billion, down 3.8% year-on-year, while textile yarns and fabrics exports were $117.7 billion, up 0.9% [1][23]. Downstream Brand Performance - Nike's revenue is showing signs of improvement, with inventory conditions also stabilizing. This is expected to lead to order recovery for upstream manufacturers like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group [2][26][31]. - Other brands such as Amer and On are maintaining strong growth, while Adidas is actively restocking [2][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that are likely to benefit from Nike's recovery, including Shenzhou International, Tabo, and Huayi Group, as well as other strong performers in the sportswear sector like Anta Sports and Li Ning [3][32][34]. - In the fashion and leisure apparel segment, companies like Bosideng and Hailan Home are highlighted for their potential growth as the winter season approaches [32][33]. Market Trends - The report notes that the Southeast Asian countries are outperforming China in apparel exports, with Vietnam's textile exports growing by 7.7% year-on-year from January to October 2025 [1][23]. - The overall market for sportswear is expected to show resilience despite fluctuations, with long-term growth potential [12][32].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates a moderate recovery in the domestic apparel industry in 2025, with retail sales of clothing, shoes, and knitted products increasing by 3.1% year-on-year to 1.1 trillion yuan, although still lagging behind the overall retail performance of consumer goods, which grew by 4.5% [1][12] - The report highlights that the gap in retail sales growth between clothing and overall consumer goods has narrowed significantly compared to 2024, where clothing sales only grew by 0.3% [1][12] - The report notes that the textile and apparel index has shown a fluctuating upward trend, with the A-share textile and apparel sector rising by 11.3% in 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 20.6% [2][28] Group 2 - The textile manufacturing sector is expected to see performance and valuation recovery in 2026, driven by the diminishing impact of reciprocal tariffs and improvements in Nike's operational status [3][28] - The report anticipates that clothing consumption will continue to experience a volatile recovery in 2026, with functional and mass-market clothing expected to outperform the broader market [3][28] - The home textile sector is entering a new replacement cycle, supported by subsidy policies, with recommendations to focus on companies like Luolai Life and Mercury Home Textile [3][28] Group 3 - The report provides investment recommendations, suggesting a focus on companies such as Huayi Group, Shenzhou International, and Crystal International in the textile manufacturing sector, and Anta Sports and 361 Degrees in the apparel sector [3][28] - The report emphasizes that the performance of the brand apparel sector has shown gradual improvement, with key companies maintaining healthy inventory levels and experiencing a slight increase in gross margins [46][50] - The textile manufacturing sector has faced revenue pressure due to reciprocal tariffs, with a noted decline in net profit for key companies in the first three quarters of 2025 [61][62]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.39 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.8%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 340 million yuan, up 30.0% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 300 million yuan, an increase of 23.2% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue reached 1.20 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.9%, with a net profit of 150 million yuan, up 50.1% year-on-year, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 140 million yuan, an increase of 42.0% year-on-year [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 3.39 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 340 million yuan, reflecting a 30.0% increase year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 300 million yuan, up 23.2% year-on-year. In Q3, the revenue was 1.20 billion yuan, a 9.9% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 150 million yuan, marking a 50.1% year-on-year growth [2][4]. Market Dynamics - The growth in Q3 revenue was driven by strong performance in e-commerce channels, which outpaced direct sales and franchise operations. The franchise channel showed weaker inventory replenishment intentions, but there is potential for recovery in Q4 due to low inventory levels. The furniture business is expected to maintain stable revenue, with losses improving, particularly as the U.S. enters a rate-cutting cycle, which may support a return to healthy growth [10]. Margin and Cost Management - The gross margin improved significantly, increasing by 3.8 percentage points to 48.1% in Q3, benefiting from lower raw material costs and product mix optimization. The sales expense ratio rose by 2.1 percentage points, primarily due to increased e-commerce promotional activities, while the management expense ratio decreased by 0.5 percentage points to 5.6%. Overall, the net profit margin attributable to the parent company increased by 3.4 percentage points to 12.8% [10]. Future Outlook - Looking ahead, the replenishment of franchise inventory is expected to drive positive growth in franchise revenue. The anticipated U.S. interest rate cuts are expected to reduce losses for the Lexington business. Under a neutral outlook, the projected net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 are estimated at 510 million yuan, 580 million yuan, and 640 million yuan, respectively. The current price corresponds to a PE ratio of 15, 13, and 12 times for the respective years. Additionally, the company is expected to distribute a dividend of 0.6 yuan per share in 2025, yielding approximately 6% [10].

Investment Rating - Investment advice: Short-term pressure on October export data, Q4 overseas consumption needs observation. By 2026, export manufacturing sector recovery is clearer due to several factors [39]. Core Insights - October 2025, China's textile/apparel exports down 9.0%/16.0% YoY, slower than September. The decline is attributed to a high base from last year's brand restocking [39][18]. - The Lyst Q3 list shows a preference for affordable luxury brands, with YSL, Miu Miu, COS, THE ROW, and COACH dominating the top five positions [39]. - COACH's growth accelerates, with FY26Q1 revenue of $1.70 billion, up 13.1% YoY, driven by strong performance in North America and Greater China [39]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The textile and apparel sector saw a 0.80% increase in A-share market performance, with the textile manufacturing sector up 0.96% and apparel/home textiles up 2.23% [6]. - PE valuation for the textile and apparel sector is currently at 20.11 times, below the historical average of 24.76 times [10]. 2. Industry Data Tracking - In September 2025, China's clothing retail grew by 3.6%, while textile exports in October fell by 12.6% [16][18]. - October 2025 textile exports amounted to approximately $22.26 billion, with a year-on-year decline of 12.64% [18]. 3. Key Announcements and News - Tapestry's FY26Q1 revenue was $1.70 billion, exceeding expectations, with a significant contribution from COACH [39]. - Canada Goose reported a revenue of C$273 million for FY25Q2, down 1.8% YoY, primarily due to increased expenses [39].