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建筑材料行业周报:基本面疲软,期待更多地产政策-20250817
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-17 13:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [4] Core Views - The construction materials sector is experiencing weak fundamentals, with expectations for more supportive real estate policies [1] - The sector saw a net capital outflow of 517 million yuan during the week, indicating a cautious market sentiment [1] - The report highlights the potential for recovery in municipal engineering projects due to improved government fiscal policies [2] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of August 15, 2025, the national cement price index is 335.75 yuan/ton, a slight decrease of 0.06% from the previous week [3] - The cement output was 2.608 million tons, down 1.27% week-on-week, with a clinker capacity utilization rate of 51.74%, down 13.01 percentage points [3][16] - The cement industry faces challenges including slowing infrastructure growth, increasing differentiation in housing construction, and intense competition in the civil market [16] Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1235.66 yuan/ton, reflecting a decline of 3.08% from the previous week [3] - Inventory levels for float glass have increased, indicating ongoing supply-demand imbalances [6] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali fiberglass remains stable, with slight fluctuations in demand due to seasonal factors [7] - The report notes a potential recovery in demand for wind power fiberglass as bidding volumes increase [2] Consumer Building Materials - Consumer building materials are benefiting from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies [2] - The report recommends stocks such as Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials for their long-term market share growth potential [9] Carbon Fiber Market - The carbon fiber market is showing signs of slow recovery, with a production rate of 61.49% and an increase in inventory levels [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring price stabilization in the context of improving economic expectations [2]
1-7月水、电固投高增,关注区域基建板块
HUAXI Securities· 2025-08-17 11:05
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in fixed asset investment in water and electricity sectors, with a focus on regional infrastructure [1][3] - The cement market remains stable, while glass prices are experiencing fluctuations due to competitive dynamics [2] - The real estate market shows a decline in transaction volumes for both new and second-hand homes [3][21] - The report emphasizes the ongoing demand for construction materials driven by major national projects and infrastructure investments [7][8] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include strong performers like "Three Trees" and high-dividend stocks such as "Weixing New Materials" and "Rabbit Baby" [1] - Cement leaders like "Huaxin Cement" and "Conch Cement" are recommended due to their cost and scale advantages [7] - The report suggests focusing on companies benefiting from major engineering projects, such as "China Power Construction" and "China Energy Construction" [8] Market Trends - The national cement price is reported at 340.33 CNY/ton, showing stability despite low demand [2] - The average price of float glass has decreased to 1235.66 CNY/ton, reflecting a 3.08% decline from the previous week [2][73] - The report notes a 1.6% year-on-year increase in fixed asset investment, with infrastructure investment growing by 3.2% [3][6] Real Estate Market - New home transaction volume in 30 major cities decreased by 12% year-on-year, with a significant 44.7% drop from the previous week [3][21] - Second-hand home transactions in 15 monitored cities showed a slight decline of 1.7% year-on-year [3][21] Sector Performance - The report indicates a robust performance in the industrial sector, with a 9.0% year-on-year increase in industrial investment [6] - The water and electricity sectors are highlighted for their strong investment growth, with electricity supply investment up by 21.5% [6]
地产仍处弱景气,供给端的变化更值得期待
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-08-17 05:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the building materials industry [2]. Core Insights - The real estate sector remains in a weak economic environment, but changes on the supply side are more promising [1]. - The cement sector is expected to benefit from demand driven by urban renewal and supply restrictions, leading to improved market conditions [4][7]. - The report highlights the potential for price increases in waterproofing products, which could enhance industry profit margins [7]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The building materials industry consists of 73 listed companies with a total market value of 838.733 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 789.313 billion yuan [2]. - The report notes a decline in real estate development investment, with a 12% year-on-year decrease, and a 4% drop in commercial housing sales area [7]. Key Companies - North New Building Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 2.2 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Conch Cement: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.5 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - China Jushi: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.6 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Weixing New Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.6 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Sankeshu: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.5 yuan, with an "Overweight" rating [5]. - Huaxin Cement: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.2 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.4 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Qibin Group: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.1 yuan, with an "Overweight" rating [5]. - Dongfang Yuhong: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.1 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Jianlang Hardware: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.3 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - China National Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.5 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. Market Trends - The cement market saw a 0.2% increase in prices, with specific regions experiencing price hikes of 10-30 yuan per ton [31]. - The national cement output for January to July 2025 was 958 million tons, a 4.5% year-on-year decrease [7]. - The report anticipates a steady upward trend in cement prices due to rising coal costs and improved demand conditions [31]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that are likely to benefit from supply restrictions and urban renewal projects, such as Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement [7][8]. - It also suggests monitoring companies in the waterproofing sector, like Dongfang Yuhong, for potential profit margin improvements [7].
伟星新材(002372):夯实零售根基,加快推进国际化战略落地
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-08-15 11:57
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3][8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.078 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 11.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 271 million yuan, down 20.25% year-on-year [4] - The company is focusing on its "concentric circle" strategy to extend its industrial chain, particularly in waterproofing and water purification, while facing pressure from the main business due to a sluggish market [5] - The internationalization strategy is being advanced, with overseas revenue reaching 148 million yuan, a decrease of 12.03% year-on-year, attributed to weakened demand in some export markets and intensified competition [5] Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 6.378 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected decline to 5.821 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 7% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decline from 1.432 billion yuan in 2023 to 823 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 14% [3] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 40.50%, a decrease of 1.61 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares to all shareholders [5] Earnings Forecast - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are expected to decrease from 0.90 yuan in 2023 to 0.52 yuan in 2025, with a slight recovery to 0.59 yuan by 2027 [3] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 20.9 in 2025, indicating a valuation adjustment in response to declining earnings [3] Market Context - The company is facing intensified competition in the building materials sector, with major players increasing their market presence, leading to further pressure on profitability [5] - The overall market demand remains weak, impacting the company's revenue and profit margins [5]
研报掘金丨开源证券:伟星新材业绩增量可期,维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-15 06:57
Core Viewpoint - The report from Open Source Securities indicates that Weixing New Materials has significantly improved its Q2 performance, showing stable operational growth despite a challenging macroeconomic environment in the first half of 2025 [1] Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, the overall industry is under pressure with a decline in total volume and intensified market competition, impacting the company's revenue and profitability [1] - The core products, PPR pipes and fittings, have maintained relatively stable revenue and profitability, while the profitability of PVC products has improved [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company emphasizes a "three high" positioning strategy to enhance brand influence and strengthen customer loyalty [1] - It has established over 50 sales companies, more than 30,000 marketing outlets, and over 1,700 professional marketing service personnel nationwide, actively expanding its global marketing network [1] Cost Management - The company is solidifying internal management and enhancing cost control by strictly managing non-essential expenditures, aiming to improve efficiency amid industry pressures [1] Market Outlook - With supportive economic policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market and boosting consumption through trade-in programs, the real estate post-cycle industry is expected to benefit, further highlighting the company's brand advantages and potential for performance growth [1]
研报掘金丨华源证券:维持伟星新材“增持”评级,认为当前位置具配置价值
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-15 06:01
Core Viewpoint - Weixing New Materials is under performance pressure, awaiting signs of a bottoming out in its financial results [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 271 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 20.25% [1] - In the second quarter, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 157 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.55% [1] Industry Context - The main business of pipe materials is under pressure, while the PVC gross profit margin has rebounded against the trend [1] - The real estate sector has undergone deep adjustments, with limited further downside risks [1] Pricing and Market Dynamics - In the context of strong policy corrections against low-price disorderly competition, some segments of the building materials industry have already started to raise prices [1] - The plastic pipe industry is expected to replicate this pricing strategy, which could benefit Weixing New Materials as a leading retailer in the plastic pipe market [1] Dividend and Defensive Attributes - The company has a strong dividend gene, enhancing its defensive attributes, with a projected dividend payout ratio of 99% and a dividend yield of 5.4% for 2024 [1] - After the pressure in the industry subsides, the dividend yield is expected to provide a safety margin [1] Investment Outlook - Considering Weixing New Materials' dual benefits from domestic demand policy elasticity and high dividend defensive attributes, it is viewed as having configuration value at the current position, maintaining an "overweight" rating [1]
伟星新材(002372):困境下坚守经营质量底线,稳扎稳打谋长远发展
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-15 03:58
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Maintain Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has demonstrated resilience in its waterproof business despite a challenging environment in the domestic real estate and infrastructure sectors, with a focus on long-term development and maintaining operational quality [1][2] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts downward due to the lack of significant improvement in terminal demand for plastic pipes, projecting net profits of 890 million, 990 million, and 1.09 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [4] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.078 billion, a year-on-year decline of 11.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 271 million, down 20.25% [1] - The company's cash flow remains strong, with a net operating cash flow of 581 million, a year-on-year increase of 99.1%, primarily due to reduced raw material purchases [4] - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 40.5%, a decrease of 1.61 percentage points year-on-year, with PVC products showing a gross margin increase of 2.55 percentage points to 23.54% [3] Product Performance Summary - The PPR series products generated revenue of 933 million, down 13.04% year-on-year, while PE series products saw revenue of 411 million, down 13.28% [2] - The waterproof business showed steady growth, with an increase in service users and matching rates, while the water purification business is still undergoing adjustments [2] Cash Flow and Dividend Summary - The company completed a semi-annual dividend of 157 million, maintaining a payout ratio of 58%, consistent with the previous year's mid-term dividend operations [4]
东吴证券晨会纪要东吴证券晨会纪要2025-08-15-20250815
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-15 02:03
Macro Strategy - The report highlights that government bonds support the improvement of social financing, while an active stock market boosts M2 growth, downplaying the negative growth in monthly loans [1][16] - In July 2025, new social financing reached 1.16 trillion yuan, an increase of 389.3 billion yuan year-on-year, with government bond financing being a major contributor [16][17] - The M2 growth rate increased by 0.5 percentage points to 8.8% in July 2025, driven by an active stock market and improved fiscal spending [16][17] Fixed Income Analysis - The report discusses the comparative value of non-ETF component bonds in the sci-tech bond market, suggesting a shift towards these bonds for better liquidity and potential inclusion in ETF [1][18] - The analysis indicates that the credit spreads of non-ETF component bonds are generally higher than those of ETF component bonds, suggesting a larger selection of bonds with compression potential [1][19] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the performance of sci-tech bonds in the context of market fluctuations and the potential for future inclusion in ETFs [1][19] Industry Insights - The "anti-involution" policy is compared to the supply-side reform, indicating a shift in focus towards new industries such as renewable energy, semiconductors, and high-end equipment [2][22] - The report notes that the current economic environment shows signs of structural and institutional overcapacity, particularly in emerging industries like photovoltaics and lithium batteries [2][22] - The analysis suggests that the "anti-involution" policy aims to enhance quality development rather than merely reducing capacity, with a focus on market-driven measures [2][22] Company Recommendations - Jinlang Technology is projected to benefit from increased demand in Europe and Asia, with a forecasted net profit growth of 68% in 2025 [8] - Upme Holdings is expected to achieve significant profit growth through its multi-brand strategy, with a projected net profit increase of 42.3% in 2025 [9] - Nasda is recognized as a leading domestic printer manufacturer, with a focus on enhancing competitiveness through R&D investments [10]
海思科目标价涨幅48% 健盛集团、爱旭股份评级被调低丨券商评级观察
南财投研通数据显示,8月14日,券商给予上市公司目标价共17次,按最新收盘价计算,目标价涨幅排 名居前的公司有海思科、万辰集团、伟星新材,目标价涨幅分别为48.00%、41.16%、38.89%,分别属 于化学制药、休闲食品、装修建材行业。 | | | | 08月14日目标价涨幅排名 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 加盟 | 证券名称 | 机构 | 最新评级 | 磨岩目挫代 (元) | 目标涨幅 (%) | | 002653 | 超音频 | 华泰金融控股(香港) | 玉) | 88.09 | 48.00 | | 300972 | 万辰集团 | 华泰全融控股(香港) | 派) | 212.66 | 41.16 | | 002372 | 伟星新材 | 中信证券 | 采入 | 15.00 | 38.89 | | 600050 | 中国联通 | 中信证券 | 派) | 7.10 | 31.97 | | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 野村东方国际证券 | 増持 | 1880.85 | 31.81 | | 000690 | 宝新能源 | 华泰证券 | 派) | ...
中邮证券给予伟星新材买入评级,行业需求承压,修炼内功夯实核心竞争力
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-15 01:10
中邮证券8月15日发布研报称,给予伟星新材(002372.SZ,最新价:10.8元)买入评级。评级理由主要 包括:1)上半年收入下滑,下游需求不足是主因;2)盈利能力保持韧性,现金流表现较好;3)坚持 三高定位,同心圆持续推进。风险提示:房地产需求持续走弱风险,行业竞争格局恶化风险。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) ...