Core Viewpoint - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders for the fiscal year 2025 to be between 2.419 billion yuan and 2.764 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.00% to 20.00% [1] Financial Performance - Basic earnings per share are projected to be between 2.0250 yuan and 2.3143 yuan [1] - Despite challenges such as fluctuations in the international trade environment, rising tariff costs, and exchange rate volatility, the company managed to maintain revenue levels year-on-year [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company accelerated its international expansion and launched new production capacities in Vietnam and Thailand [1] - Growth in sales of new products, particularly electric tools, contributed to the overall performance [1] Profitability Factors - The increase in gross margin was driven by product innovation and the growth of direct sales through cross-border e-commerce [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Juxing Technology, forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to be between 2418.81 million and 2764.35 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.00% to 20.00% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The expected net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses for 2025 is projected to be between 2308.81 million and 2654.35 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 0.20% to 15.20% [1] - The company anticipates that overall revenue for the year will remain flat year-on-year due to the impact of new production capacities in Vietnam and Thailand, as well as significant growth in new products, particularly electric tools [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The international trade environment has caused significant fluctuations, impacting the company's production and delivery schedules, particularly in the second quarter [1] - The negative effects of tariffs have raised average industry prices, leading to a notable decline in industry sales [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating its internationalization efforts and product innovation to mitigate the adverse effects of the trade environment [1] - New orders have shown a year-on-year increase, and the company plans to actively develop new businesses and products in 2026 to regain reasonable growth [1] Group 4: Currency Impact - The depreciation of the RMB against the USD has had some negative effects on the company; however, its high level of internationalization and product innovation has significantly reduced the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on profitability [1] - Increased sales from cross-border e-commerce and new products have effectively improved the gross margin [1] Group 5: Future Outlook - The company expects additional costs of 10 million USD due to the relocation of the Arrow factory in the fourth quarter, along with foreign exchange losses affecting the net profit attributable to shareholders for that quarter [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Giant Technology, expects a net profit attributable to shareholders for the fiscal year 2025 to be between 2.419 billion to 2.764 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.00% to 20.00% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit for 2025 of 2.419 billion to 2.764 billion yuan, which indicates a growth of 5.00% to 20.00% compared to the previous year [1] - Despite challenges such as fluctuations in the international trade environment, rising tariff costs, and exchange rate volatility, the company managed to maintain revenue levels year-on-year [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating its international expansion and is focusing on new production capacities in Vietnam and Thailand [1] - The growth in sales of new products, particularly in the electric tools segment, has contributed to the company's revenue stability [1] Group 3: Profitability Factors - The increase in gross profit margin is attributed to product innovation and the growth of direct sales through cross-border e-commerce [1]

证券代码：002444 证券简称：巨星科技 公告编号：2026-001 杭州巨星科技股份有限公司 一、本期业绩预计情况 1、业绩预告期间：2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 12 月 31 日。 2、业绩预告情况：自愿性业绩预告 （1）以区间数进行业绩预告的 单位：万元 | | 本会计年度 | | | 上年同期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股东 | | 241,880.55 | ～ | 276,434.91 | 230,362.43 | | 的净利润 | 比上年同期增长 | 5.00% | ～ | 20.00% | | | 扣除非经常性损益后 | | 230,880.55 | ～ | 265,434.91 | 230,410.71 | | | 比上年同期增长 | 0.20% | ～ | 15.20% | | | 基本每股收益（元/ | | 2.0250 | ～ | 2.3143 | 1.9286 | | 项 目 的净利润 股） | | | | | | 二、与会计师事务所沟通情况 本次业绩预告未经过注册会计师预审计。公司就业绩预 ...

Core Viewpoint - The humanoid robot industry is transitioning from "technology demonstration" to "commercialization," with Yushu Technology positioned as a leading player in the market, attracting significant attention from capital markets [1][2]. Group 1: Yushu Technology's Listing Logic - Yushu Technology possesses clear technological labels and industry status in the humanoid robot field, with breakthroughs in motion control, integration, and cost control, making its products viable for various applications [2]. - The capital market's focus on Yushu Technology extends beyond the company's growth potential to its role as a valuation anchor for the humanoid robot sector, potentially influencing the pricing logic of the entire industry chain upon its successful listing [2]. Group 2: Overview of Yushu Technology Concept Stocks - Yushu Technology concept stocks can be categorized into two types based on their benefit logic and sustainability: equity or quasi-equity beneficiaries and industry chain collaboration beneficiaries [3]. - The first category includes companies that hold direct or indirect equity in Yushu Technology, benefiting from capital appreciation post-listing, while the second category consists of companies that may receive ongoing orders as Yushu Technology's products scale up [3]. - The key to the industry chain concept lies in the "real supply ratio" and "sustainability," where only clear supply relationships and quantifiable revenue contributions can support long-term valuation appreciation [3]. Group 3: Beneficiary Paths and Analysis Matrix - The first category of beneficiaries includes companies like Shoucheng Holdings and Juxing Technology, which have direct equity ties to Yushu Technology, while the second category includes suppliers like Changsheng Bearing and Baotong Technology, which have confirmed orders [4][5]. - Investors should focus on the certainty of benefits, with a tiered approach: the first tier includes direct asset revaluation companies, the second tier includes verified business collaborators, and the third tier includes industry leaders benefiting from overall market growth [6][7]. Group 4: Shoucheng Holdings as a Central Beneficiary - Shoucheng Holdings is positioned as a central beneficiary in the Yushu Technology listing logic, having made early and sustained strategic investments in Yushu Technology, with a significant shareholding [6]. - The company benefits from three unique logic paths: direct equity value revaluation post-listing, thematic valuation premiums in the market, and long-term synergy from its "capital + scene" platform as Yushu Technology commercializes [7][8]. Group 5: Investment Strategy and Market Monitoring - Investors should prioritize companies with clear equity relationships or those with substantial orders, while remaining cautious of companies relying heavily on market sentiment rather than actual performance [8]. - Continuous monitoring of Yushu Technology's listing progress and related company announcements is crucial for navigating this thematic investment landscape [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the equipment manufacturing industry, particularly highlighting investment opportunities in AI-driven sectors and computing infrastructure [2]. Core Insights - The equipment manufacturing industry in China is transitioning into a technology-driven phase, with AI and computing infrastructure being key areas for investment. The report emphasizes the growth potential of AI endpoint products and computing infrastructure investments [2]. - The report identifies three main drivers for the recovery of machinery equipment exports by 2026: the expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, strong infrastructure demand along the Belt and Road Initiative, and the rising demand for AI computing equipment [3]. Summary by Sections AI-Driven Growth - Investment opportunities are seen in AI endpoints such as humanoid robots, smart manufacturing, and various consumer AI products, which are expected to experience rapid growth. This will lead to increased demand for chips used in training, inference, and storage, initiating a new investment cycle in semiconductor equipment [2]. - The report also highlights the importance of computing infrastructure investments to support AI endpoints, recommending investments in cooling systems and energy solutions due to power shortages [2]. Export Recovery Drivers - The report outlines three key drivers for the expected recovery in machinery equipment exports by 2026: 1. Recovery in overseas demand due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which will boost global industrial product demand [3]. 2. Strong infrastructure demand in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative, particularly in the Middle East, where domestic oil service equipment manufacturers are expected to benefit from high growth [3]. 3. Increased demand for equipment driven by AI computing needs, leading to growth in gas turbines and diesel generator sets, as well as PCB materials and testing equipment [3]. Company Profit Forecasts - The report provides profit forecasts for key recommended companies, all rated as "Buy," indicating a positive outlook for their performance in the coming years [5].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strong resilience of leading white goods companies, highlighting their high dividend yields, with Gree Electric at 7.3%, Midea Group at 5.1%, Hisense Home Appliances at 4.9%, and Haier Smart Home at 4.6% [6][22] - The "Home Appliance +" strategy indicates opportunities in extending the appliance industry into robotics, with companies like Midea Group and Fuhua Co. making significant advancements [6][58] - The export market shows potential, particularly in the U.S. real estate sector, with expectations of demand recovery due to anticipated interest rate cuts and housing stimulus policies [6][70] Section Summaries 2025 Home Appliance Review - The home appliance index has shown a modest increase of 7.7% year-to-date, underperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 9.7 percentage points [11][14] - The market style in 2025 has favored growth stocks, while the home appliance sector has leaned towards value, leading to a mismatch in market expectations [13][14] - The public fund allocation in the home appliance sector is at a historical low of 2.94%, indicating potential for future growth as external demand remains optimistic [18][19] Dividends - Leading white goods companies maintain high dividend yields, with Gree Electric at 7.3%, Supor at 6.1%, and Midea Group at 5.1%, reflecting strong earnings resilience [24][29] - The report suggests that the dividend rates for companies like Midea and Haier may continue to increase, supported by robust profit growth [24][30] Domestic Sales - The national subsidy policy has positively impacted consumer confidence, with a clear trend towards structural upgrades in appliance consumption [34] - The sales growth of home appliances has been driven by the "trade-in" policy, although growth rates have shown a declining trend in the latter part of the year [34][39] - The air conditioning market has maintained stable pricing, with a continued trend towards mid-to-high-end products [39] "Home Appliance +" - Midea Group has made significant investments in robotics, with humanoid robots already in practical application within factories [58] - Fuhua Co. is expected to launch its grain storage robots in 2026, indicating a diversification into new growth areas [59] - Key component manufacturers like Huaxiang Co. and Hanyu Group are positioned to benefit from the robotics trend, focusing on core components such as reducers and harmonic drives [64][65] Exports - The U.S. real estate market is expected to recover, with potential interest rate cuts and housing stimulus policies likely to boost demand for home appliances [71][84] - Retail inventory levels in the U.S. are high, which may affect sales performance in the short term, but long-term housing demand remains strong [76][83] - The report anticipates that if mortgage rates fall below 6%, there could be a significant recovery in demand within the real estate chain [84]

Summary of Great Star (002444 CH) Equity Research Report Company Overview - **Company**: Great Star - **Ticker**: 002444 CH - **Sector**: Household Durables - **Market Cap**: CNY 42,798 million (USD 6,073 million) [7][15] Key Points Industry Insights - **US Housing Market Recovery**: Predictions indicate a growth in existing home transactions in 2026 after three years of stagnation, suggesting macro tailwinds for Great Star's growth outlook, especially with a North America revenue mix of 65% in 1H25 [4][28]. - **Inventory Levels**: The inventory level of US tools and hardware stores is expected to peak in 1Q26, which may signal a potential inflection point in quarterly revenue decline for Great Star [3][21]. Financial Performance - **Revenue Forecasts**: Revenue estimates for 2025-27 have been revised down by 6-15% due to worse-than-expected consumption in 2H25 and a flat home improvement growth outlook [5][42]. - **Earnings Estimates**: EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027 have been cut by 5.9% and 12.5%, respectively [5][42]. - **Current Valuation**: The stock trades at 14x 2026e PE, in line with its historical average since 2018, but is considered deserving of a premium due to its global manufacturing footprint and improved product portfolio [5][48]. Investment Rating - **Rating**: Maintain Buy - **Target Price**: Raised to RMB 43.00 from RMB 41.90, implying a 20% upside from current levels [6][47]. - **Price Performance**: Current share price is CNY 35.83, with a target price indicating a potential increase [7][15]. Management Insights - **Insider Buying**: Chairman Mr. Qiu Jianping purchased 400k shares in December 2025, signaling confidence in the company's future [3][26]. - **Order Backlog**: Management reported a solid order backlog and new order growth towards year-end, contrasting with previous low season trends [3][11]. Risks and Challenges - **Profitability Concerns**: The company faces risks related to labor and raw material costs, which could impact margins if not passed on to consumers [58]. - **Exposure to Overseas Markets**: With 96% of revenues from overseas, economic and regulatory risks could affect profitability, especially amid US-China trade tensions [58]. - **M&A Integration Risks**: Recent M&A activities may pose integration challenges, impacting future growth and operational efficiency [58]. Financial Metrics - **Revenue Growth**: Expected to decline by 0.1% in 2025, followed by a recovery of 13.6% in 2026 and 14.0% in 2027 [13][12]. - **Net Profit**: Projected net profit for 2025 is CNY 2,634 million, with a gradual increase to CNY 3,482 million by 2027 [12][13]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: Estimated ROE for 2025-26 is around 15.2%, higher than the historical average of 12.7% [6][47]. Conclusion Great Star is positioned to benefit from a recovering US housing market and strong order momentum, despite facing challenges in consumption and profitability. The company's strategic initiatives and insider confidence suggest a positive outlook, warranting a Buy rating with an increased target price.

Group 1 - The company's actual controller, Chairman Qiu Jianping, has continuously increased his shareholding by 400,000 shares from December 1 to 4, bringing his total holdings to 46.4152 million shares, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future development [1] - The company has established 23 production bases globally, including 11 in China, 6 in Europe, 3 in the United States, and 3 in Southeast Asia, enhancing its ability to respond quickly to market demands and deliver large orders [1] - The electric tools business is entering a harvest period, achieving a revenue of 741 million yuan by 1H2025, with a year-on-year growth of 56.03%, accounting for 10.56% of total revenue, indicating a continuous increase in business weight and potential as a core growth driver [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in the real estate sector during the U.S. interest rate cut cycle, alongside its strong competitive position and imminent fundamental improvements [2] - Projected revenues for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 15.03 billion, 18.08 billion, and 21.55 billion yuan, with net profits of 2.64 billion, 3.20 billion, and 3.81 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 16.2, 13.3, and 11.2 times [2]

Core Viewpoint - The consumer goods export chain is expected to face multiple external disturbances in 2025, leading to structural differentiation in market conditions, with motorcycles and ATVs remaining strong while other segments see declining growth rates [1][2]. Group 1: 2025 Review - The consumer goods export chain encompasses a wide range of industries with varying growth drivers, resulting in a bottom-up driven market where individual stock logic is relatively independent, and sector effects are weak [2]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, revenue and net profit growth rates for export chain companies showed a declining trend, primarily due to tariff impacts and early inventory stocking by overseas clients [2]. - Despite the overall decline, certain segments like motorcycles and ATVs continue to outperform expectations, leading to sustained high growth in related companies' performance and stock prices [2]. Group 2: 2026 Outlook - The macroeconomic environment is expected to improve in 2026, with easing tariff issues and low freight costs, alongside the Federal Reserve initiating a new round of interest rate cuts, which will stimulate U.S. consumer and investment activities [3]. - The recovery of the U.S. real estate cycle is anticipated to benefit the tool industry, with continued attention recommended for the bathroom pump sector and domestic motorcycle exports [3]. Group 3: Tool Industry - Tool demand is directly correlated with the real estate industry's conditions, which are highly sensitive to mortgage rates currently suppressed by high rates, placing the real estate cycle at its lowest since 1999 [4]. - As the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts take effect, mortgage rates are expected to decline, leading to a recovery in new and existing home sales, which will subsequently drive tool demand [4]. Group 4: Plastic Bathroom Pump Industry - The plastic bathroom pump sector, used in facilities like massage bathtubs and swimming pools, sees strong demand in Europe and North America [5]. - This sector is linked to new construction projects and also benefits from upgrades in existing facilities, with demand likely to increase following interest rate cuts [5]. Group 5: Motorcycle Industry - The global motorcycle market is vast and resilient, with 2023 sales reaching 54.6 million units, a year-on-year increase of 2.44%, and a market size of $139.6 billion, up 2.72% year-on-year [6]. - The competitive landscape features Japanese brands leading, Indian brands in the second tier, and Chinese brands breaking through, while European and American brands maintain a presence in high-end segments [6]. - Domestic brands are gradually moving away from reliance on low-end commuter models, shifting towards high-value segments like large displacement and electric motorcycles, aiming to increase market share in Europe and the U.S. [6]. - Key recommendations include companies like Juxing Technology (hand tools + power tools) and Quan Feng Holdings (power tools + garden tools), with additional attention suggested for Lingxiao Pump Industry, Chunfeng Power (small and mid-cap), Longxin General (automotive), and Taotao Industry (automotive & home appliances) [6].