[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/机械工业/通用机械 证券研究报告 双环传动（002472）公司季报点评 2024 年 11 月 12 日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------------------------------|-------------| | 股票数据 | | | 11 [ Table_StockInfo 月 11 日收盘价（元） ] | 32.45 | | 52 周股价波动（元） | 18.09-33.18 | | 总股本 / 流通 A 股（百万股） | 847/752 | | 总市值 / 流通市值（百万元） | 27492/24409 | | 相关研究 | | | [Table_ReportInfo] 《新能源车齿轮和智能执行机构引领增长，盈 | | | 利能力持续上行》 2024.09.06 | | | 《盈利能力持续提升，构建多元化产品生态》 | | | 2024.04.16 | | | 《精密传动平台型公司，新能源齿轮、减速器 等持续发力》 ...

证券代码：002472 证券简称：双环传动 公告编号：2024-098 1、名称：浙江双环传动机械股份有限公司 浙江双环传动机械股份有限公司 一、本次营业执照变更内容 变更前注册资本：85,039.7292 万元 变更后注册资本：85,348.0732 万元 二、新的营业执照相关信息 关于公司完成工商变更登记的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 浙江双环传动机械股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 8 月 27 日召开第六届董事会第三十八次会议，审议通过了《关于变更注册资本及修订〈公 司章程〉的议案》。公司 2022 年股票期权激励计划激励对象在 2023 年 7 月 5 日至 2024 年 5 月 21 日行权期间，采用自主行权模式累计行权数量为 3,083,440 份，公司股份相应增加 3,083,440 股。截至 2024 年 5 月 21 日，公司总股本因股 票期权行权由原 850,397,292 股增加至 853,480,732 股，公司注册资本相应由原 850,397,292 元增加至 853,480,732 元。根据 ...

证券代码：002472 证券简称：双环传动 公告编号：2024-097 浙江双环传动机械股份有限公司 关于2022年股票期权激励计划预留授予的股票期权第二个行权 期采用自主行权模式的提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 1、本次行权的股票期权代码：037302，期权简称：双环 JLC2。 2、公司 2022 年股票期权激励计划（以下简称"本激励计划"）预留授予的 股票期权第二个行权期可行权的激励对象共计 53 人，可行权的股票期权数量为 218,610 份，行权价格为 16.57 元/份。 3、根据行权手续办理的实际情况，公司 2022 年股票期权激励计划预留授予 的股票期权第二个行权期实际可行权期限为 2024 年 11 月 8 日至 2025 年 10 月 16 日。 4、本次行权采用自主行权模式。 5、本次可行权股票期权若全部行权，公司股份仍具备上市条件。 浙江双环传动机械股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 10 月 28 日召开第七届董事会第二次会议和第七届监事会第二次会议，审议通过了《关于 2022 年 ...

Summary of Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - The conference call involved the company "双环传统" (Shuanghuan Chuantong), focusing on two main business segments: **New Energy Vehicles (NEV) Gear Business** and **Intelligent Execution Mechanisms** [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments Business Performance - The company reported a significant growth in the third quarter, particularly in the NEV gear business and intelligent execution mechanisms, which are expected to drive performance over the next two to three years [2]. - The gross margin for the third quarter increased compared to the second quarter, exceeding analysts' expectations, primarily driven by the growth in core business [2][3]. - The proportion of full-use vehicles in revenue reached nearly 60% in the third quarter, indicating a strong market presence [3]. Profitability Outlook - The company aims to maintain a net profit margin above 11%, with potential for further improvement in the next three years [3][4]. - Factors contributing to the expected growth in net profit margin include: - Continuous optimization of business structure, particularly in the NEV and gear segments [4]. - Ongoing technological innovations and cost reduction efforts [5]. - Enhanced production efficiency and quality control measures [5][6]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company experienced a decline in cash flow due to increased accounts receivable and strategic procurement of raw materials, which is expected to stabilize in the near future [11][12]. - The gross margin and net profit margin improvements are attributed to increased sales in the NEV sector, with a focus on achieving economies of scale [12][13]. Market Dynamics and Client Relationships - The company is closely monitoring the developments in the electric vehicle market, particularly with major clients like Tesla and other top-tier customers, which have shown stable growth [9][10]. - The company is expanding its client base, particularly in Europe, where new projects are being initiated [27][28]. Production Capacity and Utilization - The production capacity for NEV components is currently operating at nearly 100% utilization, with plans to further enhance efficiency through technological upgrades [17][18]. - The company is preparing for the launch of new products in 2025, with a focus on meeting the demands of high-end automotive clients [29][30]. Industry Trends - There is a noticeable shift in the automotive industry towards outsourcing gear production, with more manufacturers opting to procure directly from specialized suppliers rather than relying on traditional tier-one suppliers [35][36]. - The company is positioned to capitalize on this trend by leveraging its technological expertise and production capabilities [36][37]. Additional Important Insights - The company is committed to increasing its R&D investment to approximately 5% of revenue over the next one to two years, focusing on innovation and product development [7]. - The intelligent execution mechanisms segment is expected to see significant growth, with applications in various automotive functions such as electric tailgates and smart seats [22][24]. - The company anticipates that the market penetration of its products will increase, particularly in high-performance vehicles, with a projected market share of 10% to 20% for new technologies like the coaxial gearbox [31][32]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, financial performance, and market positioning within the automotive industry.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating and raises the target price to 36.90 CNY from the previous 33.04 CNY [4][12]. Core Insights - The company continues to enhance its gross margin in Q3 2024, with a competitive landscape solidifying, supported by product structure optimization and cost reduction efforts, which opens up profit growth potential. Rapid growth is observed in the new energy and consumer gear segments, alongside accelerated overseas expansion [3][4]. Financial Summary - For the first nine months of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 6.74 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 740 million CNY, up 25.2% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 710 million CNY, reflecting a 29.2% increase [4][5]. - In Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.42 billion CNY, a 10.7% year-on-year increase and a 7.7% quarter-on-quarter increase. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million CNY, marking a 20.0% year-on-year increase and a 5.3% quarter-on-quarter increase [4][5]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 23.96%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year and 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin was 11.4%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [4][5]. Business Development - The company is enhancing its overseas market presence and diversifying its business. It is expanding its product line through Ring Drive Technology, covering various intelligent actuators and establishing a production base in Hungary to strengthen its foothold in the European market [4][12]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the precision gear sector, with strong pricing power and improving profitability. The upcoming harvest period for its investments in robotics, consumer gears, and overseas markets is anticipated to drive rapid revenue growth [4][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price indicating a potential return of over 20% within the next six months [5][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.42 billion yuan for Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.7%. The main business, accounting for 85% of revenue, generated 2.05 billion yuan, up 15% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 270 million yuan, a 20% increase year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin reached a new high of 24%, up 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 11.4%, slightly down by 0.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter due to increased exchange losses. The improvement in gross margin is attributed to internal cost reduction and efficiency gains, as well as optimization of product and customer structure [1][2]. - The company is expanding its product offerings and enhancing operational efficiency through internal improvements, including the development of new gearbox technologies and the establishment of an automated manufacturing system [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow to 9.89 billion yuan in 2024, 11.53 billion yuan in 2025, and 13.42 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.5%, 16.6%, and 16.4% respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 1.05 billion yuan in 2024, 1.35 billion yuan in 2025, and 1.65 billion yuan in 2026, with growth rates of 28.2%, 29.1%, and 22.3% respectively [3][4]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 22.3x in 2024 to 14.1x in 2026, indicating an attractive valuation as earnings grow [3][4]. Operational Highlights - The company is focusing on both external expansion and internal efficiency improvements. It is developing new gearbox technologies and accelerating the construction of its overseas base in Hungary to support the global expansion of its electric vehicle gearbox business [2]. - Internally, the company is enhancing operational management efficiency through detailed management, process optimization, and cost reduction initiatives, alongside the establishment of a research institute for equipment development [2]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company reported a total revenue of 6.84 billion yuan in 2022, with a projected increase to 8.07 billion yuan in 2023 and 9.89 billion yuan in 2024. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 582 million yuan in 2022, expected to rise to 816 million yuan in 2023 and 1.05 billion yuan in 2024 [4][10]. - Key financial ratios indicate a healthy growth trajectory, with a projected gross margin of 23.43% in 2024 and a net profit margin of 10.59% [7][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 performance met expectations, with a total revenue of 2.42 billion yuan for the quarter, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.73% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.68% [2][3] - The company is positioned as a leader in electric drive gears, benefiting from the ongoing electrification of vehicles and the restructuring of the automotive gear market [4] - The company has expanded its business into precision reducers for industrial robots and consumer gears, which are expected to drive long-term growth [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 6.743 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 738 million yuan, up 25.21% year-on-year [2] - The Q3 2024 gross margin was 23.96%, an increase of 1.13 percentage points from the previous quarter, attributed to cost reduction and efficiency improvements [3] - The company’s net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 10.95%, a slight decrease of 0.25 percentage points from the previous quarter [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024-2026 has been adjusted to 1.031 billion yuan, 1.266 billion yuan, and 1.546 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.22 yuan, 1.49 yuan, and 1.83 yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings ratio for 2024-2026 is projected to be 23.55, 19.17, and 15.70 respectively [5]

证券代码：002472 证券简称：双环传动 浙江双环传动机械股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2024-005 | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------|--------------------------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" to the company, reflecting a downward adjustment due to recent stock price increases [5]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated resilient performance with revenue growth of 14.83% year-on-year, reaching 6.743 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, and a net profit increase of 25.21% to 738 million yuan [1]. - The company has successfully navigated industry headwinds, achieving a quarterly revenue of 2.42 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a 10.73% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 265 million yuan, up 20.01% [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 23.96%, with a net profit margin of 11.41%, both significantly higher than industry averages [1]. - The company is expanding its product lines in new energy vehicles and smart actuators, with revenue growth rates of 40.31% and 82.17% respectively in H1 2024 [1]. - The construction of the Hungary base is progressing, enhancing the company's international business and positioning it favorably in the European market [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024E, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.032 billion yuan, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 1.22 yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.51 [2][7]. - Revenue forecasts for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are 8.074 billion yuan, 9.415 billion yuan, and 11.284 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 18.08%, 16.61%, and 19.85% [2][7]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 10.25% in 2023 to 11.14% in 2024E [2][7].

上述担保额度的有效期自2023年年度股东大会审议通过之日起至2024年年 度股东大会召开之日止。以上事项具体内容详见公司于 2024 年 4 月 12 日、2024 年 5 月 9 日在《中国证券报》《上海证券报》《证券时报》《证券日报》及巨潮 资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn）披露的相关公告。 二、担保进展情况 近日,公司与交通银行股份有限公司杭州华浙广场支行签订的《保证合同》， 为全资子公司浙江环一科技有限责任公司（以下简称"环一科技"）与交通银行 股份有限公司杭州华浙广场支行开展的融资业务提供连带责任保证，保证金额为 人民币 5,000.00 万元。 本次担保事项在公司董事会和股东大会审议通过的担保额度范围内，无需再 次提交公司董事会或股东大会审议。 证券代码：002472 证券简称：双环传动 公告编号：2024-096 浙江双环传动机械股份有限公司 关于公司为子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、担保情况概述 浙江双环传动机械股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 4 月 10 日召开的第六届 ...