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锂电池产业链双周报(2025、11、07-2025、11、20):近期6F和磷酸铁锂等环节持续涨价-20251121
Dongguan Securities· 2025-11-21 09:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the lithium battery industry, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [50]. Core Insights - The lithium battery index has seen a decline of 4.16% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.43 percentage points. However, year-to-date, the lithium battery index has increased by 51.13%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 35.12 percentage points [2][13]. - Recent price increases in lithium carbonate, lithium iron phosphate, and hexafluorophosphate lithium (6F) have been noted, particularly a significant rise in 6F prices [6][46]. - The overall demand for lithium batteries remains strong, driven by the booming electric vehicle market, which has seen a monthly sales record in October, with a market penetration rate exceeding 50% [6][46]. Price Changes in the Lithium Battery Supply Chain - As of November 20, 2025, the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate is 93,700 CNY/ton, reflecting a 17.42% increase over the past two weeks. Lithium hydroxide prices have remained stable at 72,200 CNY/ton [4][27]. - Lithium iron phosphate prices have risen to 38,100 CNY/ton, up 9.64% in the same period. Prices for NCM523, NCM622, and NCM811 have also seen slight increases [30]. - The price of hexafluorophosphate lithium has surged to 175,000 CNY/ton, marking a 47.06% increase [34]. Market Outlook - The report expresses optimism for the overall demand for lithium batteries in the coming year, with an improving supply-demand balance in the industry. However, it notes that the first quarter is typically a slow season for electric vehicle sales, and production rates may decline towards the end of the year [6][46]. - The ongoing development of solid-state batteries is expected to create new demand for materials and equipment in the supply chain, with significant advancements anticipated in the coming years [6][46]. Company Performance Highlights - Notable companies in the lithium battery supply chain have shown significant stock performance, with ST Huzong, Tianhua New Energy, and Haike New Source leading the gains in the past two weeks [14][17]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with technological and cost advantages across various segments of the supply chain, particularly those involved in solid-state battery technology [6][46].
天赐材料:公司硫化物固态电解质处于中试阶段
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-11-21 09:19
Core Viewpoint - The company Tianqi Materials (002709) announced on November 21 that its sulfide solid electrolyte is currently in the pilot test stage, primarily providing kilogram-level samples to downstream battery manufacturers for material technology validation [1] Group 1 - The sulfide solid electrolyte is in the pilot testing phase [1] - The company is supplying kilogram-level samples to downstream battery manufacturers [1] - The company is collaborating with downstream clients for material technology validation [1] Group 2 - The UV glue frame has achieved small batch sales [1]
天赐材料:预计今年LiFSI的整体添加比例可达到2.2%
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-11-21 09:12
Core Viewpoint - The company Tianqi Materials (002709) anticipates an overall addition ratio of LiFSI to reach 2.2% this year, with expectations to increase to 3% next year due to rising demand for high-performance formulations such as fast charging [1] Group 1 - The company expects the addition ratio of LiFSI to reach 2.2% this year [1] - The demand for high-performance formulations, particularly fast charging, is expected to drive further increases in the addition ratio [1] - The company projects that the addition ratio will reach 3% next year [1]
天赐材料:公司现有年产30万吨磷酸铁项目已达到相对较高的开工率水平
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-11-21 09:12
Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Materials announced on November 21 that its existing annual production capacity of 300,000 tons of iron phosphate has reached a relatively high operating rate, leading to a gradual decrease in product costs and a continuous recovery in profitability [1] Group 1 - The company has achieved a high operating rate for its 300,000 tons iron phosphate project [1] - As the operating rate continues to improve, the product cost of iron phosphate is gradually decreasing [1] - The profitability level of the company is continuously recovering [1] Group 2 - The company has completed the development of its fourth-generation products [1] - The fourth-generation products have reached a high qualification rate [1]
天赐材料:从四季度销量预测看,2025年公司电解液全年销量预计72万吨
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-11-21 09:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Tianqi Materials has revised its sales forecast for electrolytes, expecting to exceed its initial target for 2025 [1] - The company anticipates a total sales volume of 720,000 tons for the year 2025, with approximately 310,000 tons in the first half and 410,000 tons in the second half [1]
天赐材料:公司现有六氟磷酸锂生产的产线上存在技改提升产能的空间
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-11-21 09:12
(编辑 王雪儿) 证券日报网讯 天赐材料11月21日发布公告,在公司回答调研者提问时表示,公司现有六氟磷酸锂生产 的产线上存在技改提升产能的空间,新增技改产能的投放节奏会结合市场的需求变化情况综合考虑。目 前公司技改项目相关手续正在申请办理,现有产线预计会维持相对较高的产能利用率水平。六氟磷酸锂 行业经历过几年的下行周期,全行业已达成一定共识,有序扩产和合理利润一定是未来的核心方向。 ...
天赐材料:公司现有电解液产能约85万吨,六氟磷酸锂产能约11万吨
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-11-21 09:12
(编辑 王雪儿) 证券日报网讯 天赐材料11月21日发布公告,在公司回答调研者提问时表示,公司现有电解液产能约85 万吨,六氟磷酸锂产能约11万吨,随着下游需求特别是储能市场的快速增长,目前公司电解液、六氟磷 酸锂、LiFSI等核心产品及材料已基本达到满产状态。 ...
新能源重挫,碳酸锂期货大跌近8%,广期所出手!电池重挫,天赐材料跌超8%,电池50ETF(159796)放量大跌逾4%!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 06:05
Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in the U.S. stock market has led to a significant drop in the Asia-Pacific markets, particularly affecting sectors that had previously seen substantial gains, such as the battery sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) experienced a sharp decline of 4.76%, with trading volume exceeding 600 million yuan, surpassing the previous day's total [1] - Most component stocks of the Battery 50 ETF index have retreated, with the battery chemicals sector leading the decline. Notable drops include Tianhua New Energy down over 18%, Xingyuan Material down over 11%, and Rongbai Technology down over 10% [3] Group 2: Lithium Carbonate Futures - Lithium carbonate futures have plummeted, hitting a near 8% drop, which has triggered a widespread retreat in lithium mining stocks [3] - The recent imbalance in supply and demand in the lithium carbonate futures market has led to speculative trading, prompting the Guangzhou Futures Exchange to implement measures to stabilize the market [5] Group 3: Industry Insights - A report from China Securities Construction Investment indicates a shift in the lithium carbonate supply-demand dynamic from supply pressure to demand-driven growth, with a projected shortage of 1.3 million tons in November [6] - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has surged by 172% since September 1, driven by tight supply and strong downstream demand, with domestic power battery sales increasing by 49.9% year-on-year [6] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) has a high content of energy storage and solid-state batteries, with energy storage making up 26% and solid-state batteries 42% of the index, positioning it well to benefit from the expected growth in these sectors [8][10] - The ETF is noted for its low management fee of 0.15% per year, making it an attractive option for investors looking to capitalize on the battery sector's potential recovery [13]
化工板块突遇急跌,是风险还是黄金坑?机构:反内卷政策下的周期拐点或悄然临近
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-11-21 05:55
Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a decline on November 21, with the Chemical ETF (516020) dropping over 4% at one point and closing down 2.84% [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector, such as Enjie Co., Ltd. and Tianqi Lithium, saw significant losses, with Enjie hitting the daily limit down and Tianqi falling over 8% [1][2] - The Chemical ETF has shown a year-to-date increase of 30.5%, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index (17.28%) and the CSI 300 Index (16.01%) [1][3] Group 2 - The chemical industry has faced a continuous decline in product prices for four years, but recent policies aimed at reducing competition may signal a turning point [3][4] - The current price-to-book ratio of the Chemical ETF is 2.37, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to the past decade [4] - Analysts suggest that the industry may see improved supply-demand dynamics and profitability due to the "anti-involution" policies, with a focus on sectors like pesticides and organic silicon [5][6] Group 3 - The Chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Index, covering various segments of the chemical industry, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks [5][6] - Investors are encouraged to consider the Chemical ETF as a more efficient way to gain exposure to the chemical sector [5][6]
全球新型储能堪当大任,新质生产力领航发展 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-11-21 03:04
Core Insights - The report from Guosen Securities indicates that the domestic wind power installation is expected to maintain a growth rate of 10%-20% in 2026, supported by saturated orders and stable prices [1][2] - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers is improving quarterly, with export growth boosting performance, reflecting a synchronized recovery in both domestic and international markets [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of overseas expansion and AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) as key focus areas for 2026, with major domestic power equipment companies making breakthroughs in overseas markets and innovative products [1] Wind Power Sector - The wind turbine sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with significant growth in offshore wind installations and tenders, leading to increased orders and performance for related companies [2] - Key companies to watch in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Sany Renewable Energy, Times New Materials, Daikin Heavy Industries, Oriental Cable, and Haile Wind Power [2] Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery supply chain is expected to see a reversal in the downward price trend, with significant recovery in profitability anticipated for most products in 2026 [2] - New technologies such as steel-shell batteries, silicon anodes, and large energy storage cells are expected to achieve mass supply in 2026, while solid-state battery technology is accelerating towards industrialization [2] - Recommended companies in the lithium battery sector include CATL, EVE Energy, Zhongchuang Innovation, Zhuhai Guanyu, Tianci Materials, Enjie, Dingsheng Technology, and Xiamen Tungsten [2] Energy Storage Market - The electrification transition is driving explosive growth in the global energy storage market, with domestic market demand leading to a surge in storage orders [3] - The demand for large-scale energy storage in the U.S. is increasing due to power supply shortages, while unstable grid conditions in Europe are also boosting storage needs [3] - Companies to focus on in the energy storage sector include CATL, EVE Energy, Sungrow Power, and Deye [3] Photovoltaic Sector - The photovoltaic supply side is undergoing adjustments, with new technologies such as silver-free materials and perovskite layers gaining attention [3] - The profitability of silicon materials is expected to recover, with silver-free products nearing mass production by 2026 [3] - Key companies in the photovoltaic sector include GCL-Poly Energy, Xinte Energy, Tongwei Co., and Juhua Materials [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on new technology investment opportunities, such as solid-state batteries and flexible converters [3] - Emphasis is placed on overseas expansion and performance improvement for leading companies in lithium batteries and wind turbine components [3] - Long-term beneficiaries in green electricity alternatives include secondary distribution equipment and charging pile operations [3]