Group 1 - The company, Yongxing Materials, currently has a lithium battery production capacity of 30,000 tons per year [2] - Among this capacity, a 10,000-ton production line is undergoing a green, intelligent, and efficient lithium extraction technology upgrade project, which is progressing as planned [2] - The project is expected to be put into use on schedule [2]

Group 1 - The company, Yongxing Materials, currently has a lithium battery production capacity of 30,000 tons per year, with 10,000 tons undergoing a green and intelligent upgrading project [2] - The upgrading project is progressing as planned and is expected to be operational on schedule by the end of 2025 [2] - The company has been asked about the expiration of its safety production license, indicating ongoing regulatory considerations [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Yongxing Materials (002756) clarified on August 23 that the pricing of its lithium mica concentrate is determined according to relevant regulations, and there is no intention to deliberately lower the prices [1] Group 2 - The company responded to inquiries on an interactive platform regarding the pricing of lithium mica concentrate [1] - The statement emphasizes compliance with regulations in setting prices for its products [1] - The company aims to maintain transparency and address any concerns regarding its pricing strategy [1]

Core Viewpoint - Yongxing Materials (002756) reported a significant decline in net profit and revenue for the first half of 2025, indicating financial challenges and operational difficulties [1]. Financial Performance Summary - The total operating revenue for the first half of 2025 was 3.693 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.78% year-on-year [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 401 million yuan, down 47.84% compared to the previous year [1]. - The gross profit margin was 15.78%, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 16.91% [1]. - The net profit margin fell to 11.12%, a decline of 36.61% year-on-year [1]. - Total expenses (selling, administrative, and financial) amounted to 41.1544 million yuan, which is 1.11% of revenue, up 231.44% year-on-year [1]. - Earnings per share decreased to 0.76 yuan, down 47.22% year-on-year [1]. Cash Flow and Asset Changes - Cash and cash equivalents decreased by 14.25% due to dividend payments and investment in financial products [3]. - Inventory decreased by 6.22% as work-in-progress in the special steel materials business reduced [3]. - Short-term borrowings increased by 412.76% due to higher bank credit borrowings [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities dropped by 54.63%, attributed to reduced interest income and lower government subsidies [3]. Investment and Market Position - The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) was 6.72%, indicating average capital returns [4]. - Historical data shows a median ROIC of 17.7% since the company went public, suggesting a generally favorable investment return history [4]. - Analysts project a net profit of 888 million yuan for 2025, with an average earnings per share estimate of 1.65 yuan [4]. Fund Holdings - The largest fund holding Yongxing Materials is the Caitong Asset Management Balanced Value Fund, with a scale of 1.073 billion yuan and a recent net value increase of 0.29% [5]. - Several funds have newly entered the top ten holdings of Yongxing Materials, indicating growing interest from institutional investors [5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The prices of most non - ferrous metals showed fluctuations this week. For example, the price of lithium carbonate decreased, while that of some other metals like aluminum had mixed trends. The supply and demand situation in the non - ferrous metal market is complex, affected by factors such as production resumption, policy, and downstream consumption [2][45]. - The market sentiment and price trends of different non - ferrous metals are affected by various factors. For instance, the news of Jiangte Motor's lithium salt plant resuming production alleviated the short - term supply shortage panic in the lithium carbonate market, leading to price adjustments [45]. 3. Summarized by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Domestic Main Metal Spot Price Trends - The prices of most metals showed fluctuations in the week from August 15th to August 22nd. Copper decreased by 0.51% in futures and 0.43% in spot; aluminum decreased by 0.58% in futures but increased by 0.78% in spot; zinc decreased by 1.13% in futures and 1.11% in spot; lead decreased by 0.44% in futures and 0.30% in spot; nickel decreased by 0.96% in futures and 0.78% in spot; alumina decreased by 2.09% in futures and remained unchanged in spot; industrial silicon decreased by 0.68% in futures and 1.04% in spot; lithium carbonate decreased by 9.14% in futures and increased by 4.885% in spot; polysilicon decreased by 2.53% in futures and increased by 4.26% in spot [2]. 3.2 Copper Inventory in Major Exchanges - As of August 15th, SHFE copper inventory was 86,300 tons, a week - on - week increase of 4,400 tons (5.37%). As of August 22nd, LME copper inventory was 156,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 200 tons. As of August 21st, COMEX copper inventory was 271,600 tons, a week - on - week increase of 4,800 tons (1.80%). After the tariff policy, the inventories in the three exchanges tend to be stable [10][15]. 3.3 Processing Fees of Metal Ores - As of August 21st, the spot TC of copper concentrate was - 38.2 dollars/ton, with a slight weekly increase of 0.2 dollars/ton, and the tight supply expectation at the mine end still exists. As of August 15th, the main port TC of zinc concentrate was 75 dollars/ton, with a slight weekly increase of 5 dollars/ton [18][23]. 3.4 Lithium - related Market - The lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) index soared this week. As of August 22nd, the latest quote was 934 dollars/ton, up 157 dollars from August 8th, remaining at a high level this year. This week, lithium carbonate first rose and then declined, with the main 2511 contract having a weekly decline of 9.14%. Jiangte Motor's lithium salt plant resuming production will directly increase domestic lithium carbonate supply, alleviating the short - term supply shortage panic [19][20][45]. 3.5 Aluminum - related Market - For aluminum, the supply of bauxite has less disturbance, and the price of imported bauxite is expected to be strong and volatile in the short term. The alumina supply has increased production and inventory. The electrolytic aluminum enterprises maintain a high - level operation, but the available primary aluminum in the market is limited. The inventory of electrolytic aluminum continued to increase this week. The futures prices of alumina and Shanghai aluminum maintained a volatile trend this week [24][27][34]. 3.6 Downstream Demand of Non - ferrous Metals - In July, automobile production and sales decreased month - on - month but increased year - on - year. The production and sales of new energy vehicles also increased year - on - year. From January to July, the new housing construction area decreased year - on - year, and the housing completion area also decreased. In June, the new photovoltaic installation volume decreased year - on - year and month - on - month [40][42][44]. 3.7 Strategy Recommendations - For lithium carbonate, in the short term, the price is volatile due to frequent news disturbances, and the position should not be too heavy. In the long term, the monthly output is still rising, and the oversupply pattern remains unchanged. For alumina and Shanghai aluminum, in the short term, alumina is in a weak volatile trend, and Shanghai aluminum is in a range - bound trend with a strategy of buying on dips. In the long term, when entering the downstream consumption peak season, if consumption recovers, Shanghai aluminum has upward momentum [45][46][49].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that the decline in lithium prices has negatively impacted the performance of Yongxing Materials, but the company has demonstrated excellent cost control measures to mitigate some of the adverse effects [2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Yongxing Materials reported a revenue of 3.693 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.78%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 401 million yuan, down 47.84% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 326 million yuan, a decrease of 45.96% year-on-year [2]. - For Q2 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 1.905 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 13.1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 209 million yuan, down 30.26% year-on-year, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.39% [2]. - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in Jiangxi for the first half of 2025 was 70,600 yuan per ton (including tax), a 32% year-on-year drop. In Q2, the average price was 65,000 yuan per ton (including tax), a 14% decrease from Q1 and a 39% decline year-on-year [2]. Cost Control - The company has shifted its sales model from primarily spot sales to a combination of spot and futures sales, which has helped reduce the impact of price fluctuations on profitability. In the first half of 2025, the sales volume of lithium carbonate was 12,050 tons, with a calculated unit cost of 41,200 yuan per ton, a year-on-year decrease of 19% [3]. - The company's ability to control costs effectively has been significant, with a unit gross profit of 20,300 yuan per ton, down 37% year-on-year [3]. Investment Outlook - Yongxing Materials is recognized as a leading player in the domestic lithium mica market, with significant cost advantages. The company is expected to maintain its market share during the industry downturn and is actively pursuing integrated expansion in mining and metallurgy to enhance resource security [3]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 872 million yuan, 1.197 billion yuan, and 1.491 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 1.62 yuan, 2.22 yuan, and 2.77 yuan, leading to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 22x, 16x, and 13x [3].

Market Overview - The energy metals sector increased by 1.72% on August 22, with Huayou Cobalt leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3825.76, up 1.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12166.06, up 2.07% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Huayou Cobalt (603799) closed at 47.94, up 6.30% with a trading volume of 1.156 million shares [1] - Boke New Materials (605376) closed at 50.55, up 5.20% with a trading volume of 185,600 shares and a transaction value of 938 million [1] - Sai Rui Aluminum (300618) closed at 40.06, up 3.73% with a trading volume of 274,500 shares and a transaction value of 1.103 billion [1] - Tengyuan Diamond (301219) closed at 67.45, up 3.06% with a trading volume of 133,100 shares and a transaction value of 908 million [1] - Tianqi Lithium (002466) closed at 43.10, up 1.08% with a trading volume of 471,400 shares and a transaction value of 2.021 billion [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The energy metals sector experienced a net outflow of 12.34 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 23.3 million [2] - The main capital flow data indicates that Tianqi Lithium had a net inflow of 132 million from institutional investors, while Huayou Cobalt had a net outflow of 93.82 million [3] - Retail investors contributed a net inflow of 2.98 million to Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240), despite a net outflow from institutional and speculative investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Yongxing Materials [3] Core Views - The company's performance has been negatively impacted by declining lithium prices and weak downstream demand in the steel sector. The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in Jiangxi was 70,600 CNY/ton in the first half of 2025, a 32% year-on-year decrease [8] - Despite the challenges, the company has demonstrated excellent cost control, which has mitigated some of the adverse effects of price declines. The sales model has shifted to a combination of spot and futures sales to reduce the impact of price volatility [8] - The company is a leading player in lithium mica in China, maintaining market share during industry downturns and actively pursuing integrated expansion in mining and metallurgy to enhance resource security [8] Financial Forecast Summary - Revenue is projected to decline from 80.74 billion CNY in 2024 to 76.71 billion CNY in 2025, with a revenue growth rate of -33.76% in 2024 and -4.98% in 2025 [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease from 10.43 billion CNY in 2024 to 8.72 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a profit growth rate of -69.37% in 2024 and -16.43% in 2025 [2] - The gross profit margin is forecasted to decline from 18.15% in 2024 to 13.38% in 2025, with an expected recovery to 19.21% by 2027 [2] - The diluted EPS is projected to decrease from 1.94 CNY in 2024 to 1.62 CNY in 2025, with a gradual increase to 2.77 CNY by 2027 [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q2 cost reduction efforts have shown significant results, and there is considerable price elasticity expected in the second half of the year [8] - The company achieved a revenue of 3.69 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 17.8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 400 million yuan, down 47.8% year-on-year [8] - The lithium carbonate sales volume in H1 2025 was 12,000 tons, with expectations of reaching 25,000 to 26,000 tons for the entire year [8] - The company is expected to maintain a low cost level in the second half of the year, with lithium prices projected to fluctuate around 80,000 yuan per ton, potentially contributing 300 million yuan in profit [8] - The company’s investment income significantly increased, with a 143% year-on-year growth in H1 2025 [8] - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 900 million yuan, 1.11 billion yuan, and 1.67 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8] Financial Summary - The total revenue forecast for 2023 is 12.19 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 21.76% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is projected at 3.41 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 46.09% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 6.32 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 5.54 [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 15.25 billion yuan by 2025, with a debt ratio of 9.84% [6][9]

证券研究报告 永兴材料 (002756 CH) 锂价下跌对公司上半年业绩形成拖累 2025 年 8 月 22 日│中国内地 特钢 | 华泰研究 | | | 中报点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 8 月 | 22 日│中国内地 | 特钢 | 目标价(人民币): | 38.39 | 李斌 研究员 | SAC No. S0570517050001 | libin@htsc.com | | --- | --- | | SFC No. BPN269 | +(86) 10 6321 1166 | | 张智杰* | 联系人 | | SAC No. S0570124050019 | zhangzhijie@htsc.com | 基本数据 | 目标价 (人民币) | 38.39 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 (人民币 截至 8 月 21 日) | 34.98 | | 市值 (人民币百万) | 18,858 | | 6 个月平均日成交额 (人民币百万) | 322.43 | | 52 周价格范围 (人民币) ...