智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，A股市场日均成交额(ADT)持续高企，目前对全年ADT预 测更具信心，将2025年ADT预测上调53%至1.53万亿元人民币，并预测2026及2027年ADT将保持每年 5%至6%的同比增长，相应将所覆盖中资券商2025至2027年各年盈利预测平均上调25%、23%及20%， 相信交投增加可带动经纪佣金、保证金利息及经营杠杆提升，市场流动性充裕将支持更多融资活动，预 料利好中金公司(03908)、中信证券(06030)及广发证券(01776)等拥有强劲承销、交易及资产管理业务的 券商。 该行预期券商板块平均股本回报率(ROE)将于2026年反弹至9%，其中，中信证券及中金公司的ROE分别 有望达10.7%及9.4%，目前预测中金、广发及中信证券的今年投资收入分别增长20%、21%及11%，而 东方财富(300059.SZ)及招商证券(06099)今年投资收入则可能录得下跌。 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.3% last week, closing at 3820.09 points, with a high of 3899.96 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.14%, closing at 13070.86 points, with a high of 13328.1 points [1] - The ChiNext Index rose by 2.34%, closing at 3091.0 points, with a high of 3168.68 points [1] - Global markets saw major indices rise, with the Nasdaq Composite up by 2.21%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 1.05%, and the S&P 500 up by 1.22% [1] - In the Asia-Pacific region, the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.59% and the Nikkei 225 Index increased by 0.62% [1] New Stock Issuance - Five new stocks were issued last week, with details as follows: - 001285.SZ - 瑞立科密, issued on September 19, 2025 - 301563.SZ - 云汉芯城, issued on September 19, 2025 - 301584.SZ - 建发致新, issued on September 16, 2025 - 301656.SZ - 联合动力, issued on September 15, 2025 - 920015.BJ - 锦华新材, issued on September 16, 2025 [2] Margin Financing and Securities Lending - The total margin financing and securities lending balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 23904.23 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 23738.49 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 165.74 billion yuan [3] - This represents an increase of 467.19 billion yuan compared to the previous week [3] - The Shanghai market's margin balance was 12189.53 billion yuan, up by 235.2 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen market's balance was 11714.7 billion yuan, up by 231.99 billion yuan [3] - A total of 3449 stocks had margin buying, with 264 stocks having buying amounts exceeding 1 billion yuan, led by 胜宏科技 (180.48 billion yuan), 中芯国际 (160.19 billion yuan), and 寒武纪 (154.55 billion yuan) [3][4] Fund Issuance - A total of 23 new funds were issued last week, including various bond and mixed funds [5] - Notable funds include 信澳信利6个月持有期债券C, 信澳月月盈30天持有期债券A, and 国寿安保鑫钱包货币D, among others [5][6] Share Buybacks - Fourteen companies announced share buybacks last week, with the highest amounts executed by: - 中国交建: 44,383,554.91 yuan - 雅戈尔: 24,812,112.00 yuan - 中百集团: 22,727,687.16 yuan - 硕贝德: 20,027,059.05 yuan - 迈威生物: 7,361,397.22 yuan [7] - The industries with the highest buyback amounts were construction decoration, textile and apparel, and retail [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - Recent market activity remains high, with Q3 performance expected to continue the trend of significant growth, suggesting a focus on leading companies and high-performing stocks within the sector [2][4] - In the insurance sector, the report confirms the logic of deposit migration, increased equity allocation, and improved new policy costs, enhancing the certainty of long-term ROE improvement and potential valuation recovery [2][4] - Recommendations include Jiangsu Jinzhong for stable profit growth and dividend rates, China Ping An for stable dividends and high yield, and China Pacific Insurance for its strong business model and market position [2][4] Market Performance - The non-bank financial index decreased by 3.7% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 4.2%, ranking low in the industry [5] - The average daily trading volume in the market increased to 25,178.46 billion, up 8.23% week-on-week, indicating a recovery in market activity [5][37] Insurance Sector Overview - In July 2025, the cumulative insurance premium income reached 42,085 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.75%, with life insurance contributing 31,153 billion and non-life insurance 10,933 billion [21][22] - The total assets of the insurance industry as of July 2025 were 39.59 trillion, with life insurance companies holding 34.69 trillion [26][27] Brokerage and Investment Business - The report highlights a recovery in trading activity, with the average daily turnover in the two markets showing an increase, and the margin financing balance rising to 2.40 trillion, up 2.65% [38][45] - The equity market remains volatile, with the CSI 300 index down 0.44% and the ChiNext index up 2.34% [42] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-performing stocks such as New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on performance elasticity and valuation levels [2][4]

截至2025年9月19日收盘，东方财富(300059)报收于26.55元，下跌1.19%，换手率3.21%，成交量429.08万手，成交额114.7亿元。 9月19日主力资金净流出14.56亿元；游资资金净流入4.7亿元；散户资金净流入9.86亿元。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 当日关注点 来自交易信息汇总：9月19日主力资金净流出14.56亿元，散户资金净流入9.86亿元。 交易信息汇总资金流向 董秘最新回复 投资者： 董秘你好，证监会征求意见的《公开募集证券投资基金销售费用管理规定》，对公司有何影响？ 董秘： 尊敬的投资者，您好，公司始终坚持规范运作，依法合规开展各项业务。后续，公司会持续关注相关政策发布动态，认真贯彻和落实好相 关要求。同时，公司会以用户需求为中心，加大产品服务创新力度，加快产品变革和服务升级，努力实现业务持续发展。 ...

Group 1 - The steel sector was the only industry to see net inflows of capital during the week from September 15 to September 19, while sectors such as computers, electronics, power equipment, non-bank financials, and non-ferrous metals experienced significant net outflows [1] - The computer sector faced substantial selling pressure, with nearly 26 billion yuan in net outflows [1] Group 2 - Among individual stocks, O-film Technology received the highest net inflow of 1.773 billion yuan, with a weekly increase of 7.40% [1] - Other notable net inflows included Ganfeng Lithium at 1.229 billion yuan, Kaimete Gas at 1.122 billion yuan, and BYD at 1.049 billion yuan [1] - In terms of net outflows, Shenghong Technology, Dongfang Wealth, and Shanzhi Gaoke faced significant sell-offs of 5.730 billion yuan, 5.208 billion yuan, and 2.965 billion yuan respectively [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The non-bank financial sector is expected to benefit from a strategic allocation opportunity as the market remains active, with a trend of institutional and retail funds entering the market under a low interest rate environment [5] - The brokerage sector is experiencing high profitability and favorable valuation, indicating a high probability of success and returns [5] - The report highlights the potential for further expansion in the growth rate of brokerage firms' Q3 reports, driven by increased trading activity and margin financing [6] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The non-bank financial sector has shown a positive trend, with the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index reflecting a steady increase [2] Brokerage Sector Insights - Daily average stock fund transaction volume reached 2.99 trillion, up 8% month-on-month, with a cumulative daily average of 1.90 trillion for 2025, representing a 108% year-on-year increase [6] - Margin financing balance increased to 2.39 trillion, a 30% growth since the beginning of the year, accounting for 2.54% of the A-share market capitalization [6] - The report anticipates further improvement in investment banking, derivatives, and public fund businesses, with leading brokerages' return on equity (ROE) expected to expand [6] Insurance Sector Insights - China Ping An has increased its stake in China Pacific Insurance H shares, indicating strong investment strategies in high-dividend assets [7] - The insurance sector is expected to see improvements in ROE due to stable long-term interest rates and reduced liability costs, enhancing the attractiveness of H shares [7] Recommended and Beneficiary Stocks - Recommended stocks include Huatai Securities, Guosen Securities, Oriental Securities H, GF Securities, and China Pacific Insurance [8] - Beneficiary stocks include Tonghuashun, Jiufang Zhitu Holdings, and Xinhua Insurance [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Views - The fundamentals of the non-bank financial industry show a positive trend with high certainty of recovery in valuations for insurance and brokerage firms [1] Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Sub-Industry Performance - In the recent five trading days (September 15-19, 2025), only the diversified financial sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, with diversified finance down 0.03%, securities down 3.55%, insurance down 4.80%, and the overall non-bank financial sector down 3.80% [10][11] - Year-to-date performance shows diversified finance up 11.54%, insurance up 5.74%, brokerage up 4.47%, and the overall non-bank financial sector up 5.27%, while the CSI 300 index is up 14.41% [11][12] Securities Sector - Trading volume has significantly increased year-on-year, with the average daily trading volume for September reaching CNY 28,214 billion, up 209.19% year-on-year and 7.65% month-on-month [16] - The margin trading balance as of September 18 was CNY 24,025 billion, up 75.22% year-on-year and 28.85% since the beginning of the year [16] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities industry is projected at 1.3x for 2025, with recommendations for leading firms benefiting from active capital market policies, such as CITIC Securities and Dongfang Zhi Tong [21] Insurance Sector - The net profit of listed insurance companies showed a slight increase, with a total net profit of CNY 1,782 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [23] - The new business value (NBV) for life insurance remains high, with significant growth rates reported by major firms, driven by improved value rates due to declining interest rates and increased new premium sales [23] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently at 0.65-0.86 times the 2025E P/EV, which is considered historically low, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [27] Diversified Financial Sector - The trust industry saw its total assets reach CNY 29.56 trillion by the end of 2024, a year-on-year growth of 23.58%, although profits have significantly declined [29] - The futures market experienced a trading volume of 10.59 billion contracts in July, with a transaction value of CNY 71.31 trillion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 48.89% and 36.03% respectively [36] - The report suggests that innovation in risk management will be a key direction for the futures industry moving forward [41] Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The recommended ranking for the industry is insurance > securities > diversified finance, with key recommendations including China Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, and Dongfang Zhi Tong [47]

Group 1 - The A-share market's margin financing balance has reached a historical high, surpassing 2.4 trillion yuan, with a cumulative increase of 141.1 billion yuan from early September to September 18 [1][2] - The manufacturing sector leads in net financing purchases, with nearly 100 billion yuan, followed by the financial sector with over 10 billion yuan [2] - As of September 18, the financing balance in the manufacturing and financial sectors exceeds 600 billion yuan and 1 trillion yuan respectively, while some sectors like accommodation and catering have less than 1 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - Specific stocks with high financing balances include Dongfang Caifu, China Ping An, and Guizhou Moutai, each exceeding 10 billion yuan, with Dongfang Caifu and China Ping An surpassing 20 billion yuan [3] - The net financing purchases from September 1 to September 18 show that 24 stocks had net purchases exceeding 1 billion yuan, with Sunshine Power leading at over 5 billion yuan [4] - The average price change for the top 24 stocks since September is 20.61%, significantly outperforming the broader market, with some stocks like Sunshine Power and Huagong Technology seeing increases over 30% [6]

Group 1 - The A-share market's margin financing balance has surpassed 2.4 trillion yuan, reaching a historical high, with a cumulative increase of 141.1 billion yuan from early September to September 18 [1] - The manufacturing sector leads in net financing purchases, with nearly 100 billion yuan, followed by the financial sector with over 10 billion yuan, and other sectors like information technology and mining also showing significant net purchases [1] - As of September 18, the financing balance in the manufacturing and financial sectors remains high, with the manufacturing sector exceeding 600 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - Specific stocks with significant financing balances include Dongfang Caifu, China Ping An, and Guizhou Moutai, each exceeding 10 billion yuan, with Dongfang Caifu and China Ping An both surpassing 20 billion yuan [2] - The net financing purchases from September 1 to September 18 show a concentration in technology stocks, with 24 stocks having net purchases exceeding 1 billion yuan, led by Yangguang Electric with over 5 billion yuan [2] - The average price change for the top 24 stocks in net financing purchases since September has been 20.61%, significantly outperforming the broader market [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in margin financing in the A-share market, with the total margin balance surpassing 2.4 trillion yuan, reaching a historical high [1][2] - From September 1 to September 18, the margin balance increased by 141.1 billion yuan, primarily driven by the growth in financing balance [1][2] Group 2 - According to Wind data, most industry sectors experienced net inflows of financing during the same period, with the manufacturing sector leading with nearly 100 billion yuan in net purchases [2] - The financial sector followed with over 10 billion yuan in net purchases, while information transmission, software, and IT services saw over 6 billion yuan [2] Group 3 - Specific stocks with high financing balances include Dongfang Caifu, China Ping An, and Guizhou Moutai, each exceeding 10 billion yuan, with Dongfang Caifu and China Ping An surpassing 20 billion yuan [3] - The stocks with significant net inflows of financing also predominantly belong to the technology sector, indicating a strong preference for tech stocks among investors [3][5] Group 4 - The average price change of the top 24 stocks with high net inflows since September is 20.61%, significantly outperforming the broader market [5] - Notable stocks such as Yangguang Electric and Xianlong Intelligent have seen price increases exceeding 30% during this period [5]