证券分析师 曾朵红 证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·电力设备 电力设备行业跟踪周报 储能锂电需求旺盛、明年盈利修复可期 2025 年 11 月 24 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阮巧燕 执业证书：S0600517120002 021-60199793 ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 相关研究 -19% -13% -7% -1% 5% 11% 17% 23% 29% 35% 41% 2024-11-25 2025-3-25 2025-7-23 2025-11-20 电力设备 沪深300 《锂电需求旺盛涨价诉求强、AIDC 潜 力可观》 2025-10-19 《动储产销两旺，量利双升，继续强 推》 2025-10-12 东吴证券研究所 1 / 48 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 电气设备 9617 下跌 10.54%，表现弱于大盘。核电跌 7.06%，新能源汽车跌 7.34%，风电跌 7.41%，发电设 备跌 8.09%，电 ...

每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：公司和宁德时代合作的主要产品有哪些，毛利率有多 少，目前在售宁德订单有多少？ 华自科技（300490.SZ）11月24日在投资者互动平台表示，公司为其提供锂电后段化成、分容智能生产 设备，目前锂电生产设备在手订单充足，业绩情况请以公司披露的定期报告为准。 （记者 胡玲） ...

Group 1: Industry Highlights - The domestic first large-capacity all-solid-state battery production line has been completed and is currently in small-batch testing, with reports indicating that it will be installed in vehicles by 2027, making 1000 km range for electric vehicles a possibility [4] - The Federal Reserve is managing interest rate cut expectations, with two officials calming the market after a significant drop, indicating a 69% probability of a rate cut in December, leading to a rebound in US stocks [5] - The lithium carbonate futures price has surged recently, prompting CATL to plan the earliest restart of an important lithium mine in Yichun next month, with significant gains in related market concept stocks [5] Group 2: Company Developments - Baillie Tianheng's self-developed dual-antibody ADC drug, iza-bren, has had its market application accepted, aimed at treating locally advanced or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma [7] - Huawei has released Flex:ai AI container software, which utilizes computing power slicing technology to divide a single GPU/NPU computing power card into multiple virtual computing units, enabling simultaneous support for multiple AI workloads [8] - Longxin Storage has launched DDR5 and LPDDR5X memory products, with both product series reportedly ranking at the top tier in terms of speed and capacity in the industry [8] - JinkoSolar's Tiger 3 modules have officially entered mass production, with global orders reaching 15 GW [8] - Chang'an Automobile plans to gradually release prototype vehicles starting next year and will launch its first vehicle-mounted component robot in the first quarter of next year [8] - The company Nenghui Technology signed a contract with Company X for a total estimated price of 10 million yuan for new energy power battery assembly [8] - Guotai Microelectronics' major shareholder and its concerted actors plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 2.24% [8]

Group 1 - The concept of a "C7 license" for low-speed electric vehicles, commonly referred to as "old man joy," has been circulated, claiming trials in cities like Shanghai and Guangzhou by the end of the year, but local authorities have denied these claims [1] - Xiaomi clarified rumors regarding a fire incident in its automotive factory, stating it was a minor event caused by a mishap during equipment debugging, with no injuries reported and production quality unaffected [2] - North Automotive Group reported that its order delivery cycle is now stabilized within 30 days, and parts availability has significantly improved from 65% to 95% [3] Group 2 - North Automotive Group announced a legal victory against a competitor for unauthorized use of its brand names, emphasizing the importance of protecting its intellectual property rights [4] - GAC Group has launched a pilot production line for solid-state batteries, aiming for mass production of automotive-grade batteries by 2026 [5] - CATL and SAIC Commercial Vehicle have entered into a strategic partnership to enhance collaboration in the fields of new energy and intelligent commercial vehicles [6] Group 3 - Tesla is facing a lawsuit in Washington state related to a fatal accident, with claims that a design flaw in the door handle obstructed rescue efforts during a fire [7]

Core Viewpoint - The recent stock transfer of Ningde Times (300750) from Goldman Sachs (Asia) Securities to Citibank, valued at HKD 2.905 billion, indicates a significant shift in shareholder strategy amidst the unlocking of nearly 50% of its H-share IPO locked shares, which may exert pressure on the stock price [1] Group 1: Stock Transfer and Market Impact - On November 21, Ningde Times' shareholder transferred shares worth HKD 2.905 billion from Goldman Sachs (Asia) Securities to Citibank, representing 3.86% of the company [1] - Nearly 50% of Ningde Times' H-share IPO locked shares were unlocked on November 20, with approximately 77.5 million shares facing potential sell-off [1] - Morgan Stanley noted that some strategic investors, such as Sinopec, are unlikely to sell their shares, but the current H-share price is 107% higher than the IPO price, and the H-share is trading at a 23% premium to the A-share, which is rare for dual-listed shares, suggesting potential pressure on the stock price due to the unlocking [1] Group 2: Shareholder Actions - Shareholder Huang Shilin plans to transfer 45.6324 million shares through an inquiry-based transfer, representing 1% of the total share capital as of November 13, 2025 [1] - The preliminary inquiry transfer price is set at RMB 376.12 per share, which would allow Huang Shilin to cash out approximately RMB 17.163 billion [1] - Huang Shilin is a co-founder of Ningde Times and previously served as the vice chairman and deputy general manager, currently holding a 10.21% stake, making him the third-largest shareholder [1]

Core Insights - On November 21, shareholders of CATL (03750) transferred shares from Goldman Sachs (Asia) Securities to Citibank, with a market value of HKD 29.05 billion, accounting for 3.86% of the company [1] Group 1: Shareholder Activity - Nearly 50% of CATL's H-share IPO lock-up shares were released on November 20, with approximately 77.5 million shares facing potential sell-off [1] - Huang Shilin, a co-founder and the third-largest shareholder of CATL, plans to transfer 45.6324 million shares through an inquiry-based transfer, representing 1% of the total share capital as of November 13, 2025 [1] - The initial inquiry transfer price is set at HKD 376.12 per share, potentially allowing Huang Shilin to cash out HKD 17.163 billion [1] Group 2: Market Implications - Morgan Stanley indicated that some strategic investors, such as Sinopec, are unlikely to sell their shares, but the release of lock-up shares may exert pressure on the stock price due to CATL's current share price being 107% higher than the IPO price and a 23% premium of H-shares over A-shares, which is rare in dual-listed shares [1]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate futures market experienced a significant decline after a period of continuous increase, with the main contract LC2601 dropping by over 9% on November 21, closing at 91,020 yuan/ton [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The main contract for lithium carbonate futures saw a substantial drop of 9% on November 21, following a strong upward trend that began on November 5, where it had cumulatively increased by 24.5% by November 20 [1]. - The A-share lithium battery concept sector also faced widespread declines, with leading lithium mining companies such as Shengxin Lithium Energy, Jinyuan Co., and Tianqi Lithium all hitting the daily limit down [1]. - Battery manufacturers also experienced declines, with companies like Desay Battery and XWANDA dropping over 6%, while EVE Energy fell nearly 6%, Guoxuan High-Tech dropped over 4%, and CATL fell over 2% [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The decline in lithium carbonate prices is attributed to market concerns regarding a potential narrowing of the supply-demand gap in December, following an announcement from the Guangzhou Futures Exchange regarding increased transaction fees and limits on daily opening positions for non-futures company members [2]. - The domestic inventory of lithium carbonate has been decreasing for 13 consecutive weeks, with a total reduction of 22,000 tons, leading to a new low in total inventory turnover days at 28.1 days since the futures listing [1].

Core Insights - The domestic first large-capacity all-solid-state battery production line has been established, currently undergoing small-scale testing production, marking a significant milestone in the all-solid-state battery technology [1] - The all-solid-state battery is recognized as the "holy grail of next-generation battery technology," offering higher energy density, inherent safety, longer lifespan, and wider temperature range compared to traditional liquid lithium batteries [2] - Multiple companies are advancing their solid-state battery projects, with plans for small-scale vehicle integration and mass production set for 2027 [4] Industry Developments - The all-solid-state battery technology is included in the national strategic development plan, indicating its importance for future energy storage solutions [2] - Major players like CATL and Changan Automobile are targeting 2027 for mass production, with significant improvements in battery safety and energy density [2] - The industry is expected to see a peak in pilot production lines in 2026, with small-scale commercialization anticipated by 2027 [3] Company Progress - GAC Group has completed the first large-capacity all-solid-state battery production line, capable of producing batteries with an energy density nearly double that of current batteries [1] - SAIC Group and Penghui Energy have also reported advancements in their solid-state battery production lines, with plans for sample production and vehicle testing in the near future [4] - Companies are focusing on overcoming technical bottlenecks related to manufacturing costs, cycle life, and environmental adaptability to facilitate the industrial application of solid-state batteries [4]

Core Viewpoint - The industry remains optimistic about the unexpected growth of the energy storage sector despite recent declines in the A-share storage index, driven by increasing demand and large-scale project implementations [1] Group 1: Industry Outlook - The energy storage industry is expected to benefit from China's continued expansion of renewable energy installations and the construction of new power systems during the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] - The shift in storage demand from the power generation side to the grid side is becoming more pronounced, indicating a trend towards larger projects [1][3] - The introduction of the "136 Document" has decoupled energy storage from renewable energy construction, allowing it to become an independent market investment entity [3] Group 2: Company Developments - Companies like Haibo Technology and CATL are experiencing a surge in orders, with Haibo Technology planning to purchase at least 200 GWh of battery cells from CATL between 2026 and 2028 [2] - CATL has announced significant expansions across multiple bases, with the Jining base alone expected to add over 100 GWh of storage capacity by 2026 [2] - The recent equipment failure at Shandong Genyuan New Materials has created a supply variable, amplifying market attention on the energy storage supply chain [2] Group 3: Market Demand and New Applications - The rapid expansion of overseas markets, particularly in North America, Europe, and Southeast Asia, is driving up demand for energy storage solutions [4] - New applications such as data centers and high-energy-consuming factories are increasingly seeking direct connections to renewable energy sources, further supporting energy storage demand [5] - Analysts predict a 40% year-on-year growth in global energy storage demand by 2026, driven by the needs of artificial intelligence data centers and renewable energy integration [5] Group 4: Policy and Economic Factors - Recent government policies are setting higher renewable energy installation targets, with energy storage identified as a critical component for consumption [6] - The energy storage sector is expected to support significant investment demand in the economy, following the real estate sector [6] - The industry is poised for growth, with the potential for large-scale development contingent on government initiatives to enhance public storage infrastructure [5][6]

Core Insights - The "Sea and Air Integrated Low-altitude Economic Solution" was officially launched on November 22, featuring a combination of "zero-carbon water airports" and eVTOL aircraft, marking a significant breakthrough in low-altitude infrastructure [2][3] - This innovative solution aims to extend low-altitude infrastructure to vast water areas, enhancing efficiency and reducing overall costs while addressing traditional industry pain points such as site selection and slow deployment [2][3] Company Developments - The solution includes adaptable water-based eVTOL takeoff and landing sites for industrial-grade aircraft, enabling rapid deployment of low-altitude economic infrastructure in coastal and inland water cities [3] - The solution is expected to expand applications in five core scenarios: energy platform operations, emergency rescue, high-frequency commuting, sea and air tourism, and mobile airport operations [3] Industry Trends - The low-altitude economy is at a critical window for systematic and large-scale development, as highlighted in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3] - The integration of the "Sea and Air Integrated Low-altitude Economic Solution" signifies a potential market expansion for battery products from passenger vehicles to low-altitude aviation, contributing to the establishment of a zero-carbon transportation ecosystem [3]