Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [5]. Core Insights - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, while supply-side constraints are anticipated to continue, leading to a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals. If supply policies are implemented, the contraction in supply may accelerate, facilitating a quicker industry upturn [3][4]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - Steel prices have decreased, with the Shanghai rebar price dropping by 20 CNY/ton to 3240 CNY/ton, a decline of 0.61%. The total inventory of steel has increased by 1.70% to 12.7851 million tons [8][12]. - Apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.0174 million tons, down 0.96% week-on-week but up 28.96% year-on-year [21]. - The production of five major steel products was 8.2317 million tons, an increase of 0.44% week-on-week [12][37]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Approximately 60% of steel companies are currently operating at a loss, indicating a market-driven supply clearance is beginning to occur [4]. - The construction sector's demand for steel is expected to stabilize, while demand from infrastructure and manufacturing is projected to grow steadily [4]. Profitability and Production Margins - The average gross profit for rebar was 196.9 CNY/ton, down 11.7 CNY/ton from the previous week, while hot-rolled coil profit increased by 2.3 CNY/ton to 46.9 CNY/ton [39]. - The profitability rate of 247 steel companies was 39.39%, a decrease of 1.3% from the previous week [28]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel and Hualing Steel, as well as low-cost firms like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [4]. - It also highlights the potential of upstream resource companies like Hebei Resources and Erdos, which may benefit from a recovery in demand [4].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the commercial aerospace and large aircraft sectors, highlighting the importance of the defense and military industry in these areas [2][3] Group 1: Industry Overview - The Chinese aerospace sector is set to advance with initiatives like the "Tian Gong Kai Wu" plan, focusing on space tourism, smart infrastructure, and resource development [13] - The commercial aircraft and aerospace sectors are experiencing sustained high demand, with a focus on self-reliance in aviation engine development and the establishment of a strong aviation industry [14] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report identifies three key investment themes based on the "S-curve" evolution: 1. Supply chain reform and maintenance growth, recommending companies like AVIC Power and AVIC Control [15] 2. Expansion into overseas markets and civilian applications, recommending companies such as Guorui Technology and China Power [15] 3. New emerging industries like commercial aerospace and AI, recommending companies like Ruichuang Micro-Nano and Feilihua [15] Group 3: Company Analysis - AVIC Power is positioned as a core supplier in the aviation sector, benefiting from high-end aircraft production and potential market share growth in the civil aviation engine sector [21] - AVIC Heavy Machinery is expected to see revenue growth due to its comprehensive product offerings in aviation and engine sectors, with a focus on high-value components [23] - Guorui Technology is leveraging its radar business and low-altitude safety solutions, with projected revenue growth driven by defense modernization and low-altitude economic development [20] - Feilihua is a leading supplier of quartz materials for aerospace and semiconductor industries, benefiting from ongoing demand in both sectors [19] - Ziguang Guowei is focusing on the IC industry, with significant growth expected in the AI and communication sectors, emphasizing its competitive advantages in domestic and international markets [18]

Summary of Tongnan Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Tongnan Co., Ltd. specializes in high-temperature alloys and special stainless steel, with applications in aerospace and high-end equipment, particularly in casting large complex thin-walled structures, where it holds a leading domestic advantage [2][3] - The company's revenue is primarily derived from casting high-temperature alloys and deformed high-temperature alloys, each accounting for approximately 40% of total revenue, while special stainless steel and other alloys contribute 10% [2][4] - The company has a stable shareholding structure controlled by Chairman Wan Baifang and his father, with a completed equity incentive plan initiated in 2021 to enhance management efficiency and performance [2][6] Core Competencies - Tongnan's core competitiveness in the aerospace engine sector lies in its advanced casting technology, particularly in high-temperature alloy master alloys and deformed high-temperature alloys, which are essential for complex components like turbine blades and discs [3][4] - The company can produce large complex thin-walled structures with diameters exceeding 1 meter and wall thicknesses less than 2 millimeters, a capability that is rare among domestic competitors [3] Business Structure and Development - The business is categorized into four main segments: casting high-temperature alloys, deformed high-temperature alloys, special stainless steel, and other alloys, with a focus on expanding into the aerospace fastener market through subsidiaries [4][9] - The Shenyang subsidiary, while currently not significantly profitable, is expected to benefit from increasing demand for commercial aerospace engines, potentially becoming a new growth driver in the coming years [10] Order Situation and Future Prospects - As of mid-2025, the company faces performance pressure but has seen a significant increase in signed but unfulfilled contracts amounting to approximately 1.7 billion yuan, indicating strong future growth potential [7] - The company is targeting overseas markets and diversifying its product offerings to expand its customer base, which includes developing new businesses in aerospace fasteners [7] Industry Position and Competition - In the domestic high-temperature alloy sector, Tongnan is positioned alongside key players such as the Aviation Engine Group 621 Institute, Steel Research Institute, and the Shenyang Institute of Metal Research, forming a competitive triad [8] - The company relies on collaboration with the Shenyang Institute for technological advancements while also maintaining its own R&D capabilities [8] Future Development Path - Tongnan aims to evolve from a casting-focused company to a comprehensive aerospace component manufacturer, expanding into niche areas such as deformed high-temperature alloy bars and pipes, as well as special stainless steel pipes [9] - The establishment of subsidiaries is part of a strategy to achieve integrated supply chain management from raw materials to finished components, which is expected to drive long-term growth [9]

Group 1 - The stocks of Hangfa Control and Hangfa Technology reached the daily limit, indicating strong market interest and investor confidence [1] - Tunan Co. saw an increase of over 10% in its stock price, reflecting positive market sentiment [1] - Other companies such as Hangya Technology, Hangfa Power, Guojijiangong, and Feiwo Technology also experienced stock price increases, suggesting a broader trend in the aerospace sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The military industry shows strong resilience with a rebound in the military ETF Huabao (512810), which rose by 1.15% on January 27, recovering its 5-day and 10-day moving averages, driven by the strong performance of the large aircraft concept [1][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - The military ETF Huabao (512810) experienced a significant recovery, rising from a low of 1.7% to a peak of 1.7% during the day, with a total fluctuation of 3.33% [1][7]. - Major stocks in the aviation sector, such as AVIC's leading companies, AVIC Engine and AVIC Control, both hit the daily limit, while companies like Triangle Defense and Tunan Co. saw increases of over 10% [1][7]. - The military ETF Huabao attracted over 12 million yuan in net inflows on the previous day, indicating a positive shift in market sentiment [1][7]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - China Commercial Aircraft Corporation plans to accelerate the production and delivery of the C919 large aircraft, targeting the delivery of 28 or more units this year, with a production rate of one aircraft every 10 to 15 days if the current pace is maintained [3][9]. - The geopolitical landscape is shifting, with the former EU president noting a significant downturn in US-EU relations, prompting Europe to accelerate its defense autonomy and rapidly increase the production of military equipment [3][9]. - Guohai Securities suggests that the military industry is entering a demand-upward cycle over the next five years, recommending focus on military trade, commercial aerospace, and large aircraft sectors, while also paying attention to state-owned enterprise reforms [3][9]. Group 3: Investment Tools - The military ETF Huabao (512810), previously known as the National Defense Military ETF, covers various popular themes including large aircraft, commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, satellite navigation, military informatization, and controllable nuclear fusion, serving as an efficient tool for investing in core military assets [10].

韧性十足，军工再度反弹！1月27日，军工ETF华宝（512810）从水下1.7%拉起，午后一度上探1.7%，收涨1.15%收复5日及10日均线，振幅达3.33%。大飞 机概念强力助攻，中航系龙头航发动力、航发控制双双涨停，三角防务、图南股份涨超10%居前。 数据来源：iFinD，截至2026.1.18。上述含量占比指数分别为商业航天指数（886078）、低空经济指数（886067）、大飞机指数（885566）、卫星导航指数 （885574）、军工信息化指数（886076）、可控核聚变指数（886065）。 注：投资者在申购或赎回基金份额时，申购赎回代理机构可按照不超过0.5%的标准收取佣金，其中包含证券交易所、登记机构等收取的相关费用。 风险提示：军工ETF华宝被动跟踪中证军工指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布于2013.12.26。文中指数成份股仅作展示，个股描述不作为任何形式的投资 建议，也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向，标的指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整。基金管理人评估的军工ETF华宝的风险等 级为R3-中风险，适宜平衡型（C3）及以上的投资者。任何在本文出现的信息（包 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a significant rise in the large aircraft concept stocks, with Tuanan Co. increasing over 10%, and Hangfa Technology hitting the daily limit for the seventh consecutive day [1] - China Commercial Aircraft Corporation plans to moderately increase the production and delivery of its C919 narrow-body aircraft, targeting the delivery of 28 or more units this year [1] Group 2 - Notable stock performances include Tuanan Co. with a 10.45% increase and a market capitalization of 15.6 billion, and Hangfa Technology with a 10% increase and a market capitalization of 17.5 billion [2] - Other companies such as Triangle Defense and Zaiseng Technology also experienced significant gains, with increases of 9.68% and 7.65% respectively [2] - The year-to-date performance shows Hangfa Technology leading with a 43.18% increase, while Zaiseng Technology has decreased by 13.15% [2]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the ongoing prosperity in the commercial aerospace and military sectors, highlighting opportunities in overseas markets and the importance of technological advancements in the industry [2][3] Group 1: Industry Overview - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing upward momentum, driven by SpaceX's advancements in reusable rocket technology, which could reduce space access costs by 100 times [13] - The military aviation sector is expected to benefit from increased demand for large aircraft and military trade, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 [14] - The report identifies a focus on supply chain reforms and the integration of AI technologies as key trends shaping the future of the defense and aerospace industries [15] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends companies that align with the "S-curve" evolution, focusing on supply chain reforms and automation, including firms like航发动力 (Aero Engine Corporation) and 中航沈飞 (AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation) [15] - Companies positioned for expansion in military trade and civil aviation, such as 国睿科技 (Guorui Technology) and 中国动力 (China Power), are highlighted for their growth potential [15] - Emerging industries like commercial aerospace, AI, and quantum computing are also recommended, with firms like 睿创微纳 (Ruichuang Micro-Nano) and 菲利华 (Feilihua) noted for their innovative capabilities [15] Group 3: Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - 航发动力 (Aero Engine Corporation) is projected to have a 2025E EPS of 0.22 CNY, with a PE ratio of 216.82 for 2025 [6] - 中航高科 (AVIC High-tech) is expected to achieve a 2025E EPS of 0.90 CNY, with a PE ratio of 29.16 for 2025 [6] - The report provides detailed financial metrics for various companies, indicating growth in EPS and improvements in PE ratios across the sector, reflecting a positive outlook for the defense and aerospace industries [6]

南财智讯1月24日电，图南股份在投资者关系活动中表示，公司未来发展战略立足高温合金等先进金属 材料领域，致力于为航空航天、舰船、能源等高端装备制造领域提供高性能合金材料和制品；在产品及 市场端，将巩固现有主营业务，重点发展高端民品业务，力争形成以军品配套和高端民品稳定发展为基 础的产品结构，支撑高质量发展与投资者回报水平提升；同时坚持新技术新产品研发，不断拓宽产品 链，拓展国内外市场，目标建成具有自主知识产权和核心竞争力的高性能合金材料及其制品研发生产基 地。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent increase in nickel prices has raised questions about its impact on the company's performance, but the company asserts that it has not significantly affected its results so far [1] Group 1: Raw Material Impact - The company's main raw materials include electrolytic nickel, cobalt, and chromium, and fluctuations in their prices significantly affect procurement costs in the industry [1] - The company employs various strategies to mitigate the risks associated with rising raw material prices, such as bulk purchasing and strategic timing of procurement [1] Group 2: Pricing Strategy - The company's product pricing primarily follows a cost-plus model, using the current market prices of electrolytic nickel and other metals as a base, with an added processing fee [1] - Pricing adjustments also consider market conditions, customer demand, long-term relationships, payment terms, and strategic partnerships [1] Group 3: Current Performance - Currently, fluctuations in raw material prices have not had a major impact on the company's performance [1]