Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy is expected to continue its recovery amidst fluctuations, supported by proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies [1][5]. Group 1: Capital Market Development - The Chinese capital market has entered a new development phase, driven by global changes, technological trends, and institutional reforms [2]. - The restructuring of industries and finance globally presents opportunities for China, with a notable 7.1% year-on-year increase in exports in the first three quarters of this year [2]. - The resilience of Chinese manufacturing is highlighted, with local leading enterprises expected to transition into multinational giants, enhancing their pricing power [2]. Group 2: Technological Trends - The transition from old to new economic drivers, fueled by technology, is creating new opportunities in the capital market [3]. - Key technologies in China, such as artificial intelligence and biotechnology, are significantly developing, improving market risk appetite and attracting global capital [3]. - The market is shifting towards new development trends, with the electronic sector's market capitalization surpassing that of the banking sector this year [3]. Group 3: Institutional Reforms - The optimization of the institutional environment is expected to reshape the market ecosystem, enhancing the inclusiveness and adaptability of capital market systems [4]. - The focus will be on coordinating the development of investment and financing functions, with an emphasis on direct financing and supporting quality enterprises [4]. - There is a notable trend of converting household savings into investments, with significant room for increasing the proportion of residents' equity asset allocation [4]. Group 4: Economic Outlook - The Chinese economy is projected to achieve a growth target of around 5.0% in 2025 and maintain approximately 4.9% in 2026, with a "front low and back high" growth rhythm anticipated [5]. - Fiscal policies are expected to be more proactive, with a deficit ratio likely to remain around 4% and an increase in special bond quotas directed towards project construction [5]. - Monetary policy will continue to have room for adjustments, with structural monetary tools expected to remain effective [5]. Group 5: Asset Allocation - The global macro environment is generally loose, with attention needed on the changes in leading factors for bond market performance [5]. - The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate moderately, while gold remains an attractive long-term asset allocation option [5]. - The focus on activating domestic demand and upgrading industries is seen as a core direction for future policies [6]. Group 6: Investment Themes - The investment landscape is becoming clearer, with three main themes emerging: the revaluation of manufacturing pricing power, deepening international expansion of enterprises, and the continuation of the technology market [8][9]. - The manufacturing sector is expected to shift from scale expansion to pricing power and profit transformation, particularly in sectors like non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and new energy [9]. - The international expansion of enterprises is broadening, with a focus on sectors such as machinery, innovative pharmaceuticals, and military equipment [9].

Group 1 - The theme of the 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference held by CITIC Securities is "Striving for a New Journey," focusing on the global macro landscape and market investment strategies [1] - CITIC Securities General Manager Zou Yingguang highlighted the increasing international discourse power of China and the rising position of Chinese enterprises in the global value chain, indicating a positive accumulation of momentum in the capital market [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period will see new characteristics in the global context, technological trends, and institutional environment affecting China's capital market [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities Chief A-share Strategy Analyst Qiu Xiang stated that A-share companies are transitioning from local enterprises to global multinational corporations, marking a shift from emerging to mature market status [2] - Qiu Xiang noted that the overall volatility of the A-share market is expected to enter a long-term downward trend due to various mechanisms, including increased participation of retail investors seeking stable returns [2] - The influence of social media and diverse public opinion is expected to mitigate the effects of collective investor behavior, reducing the likelihood of one-sided market movements [2] Group 3 - Three key themes for industry allocation in 2026 include: upgrading traditional manufacturing and resource industries to enhance profit margins, the globalization of Chinese enterprises opening new profit growth opportunities, and a new round of systematic trends in the technology sector driven by application changes [3] - CITIC Securities Chief Economist Ming Ming anticipates a "front low, back high" growth pattern for China's economy in 2026, with moderate fiscal expansion and improved local government finances [3] Group 4 - The economic structure in 2026 is expected to be primarily production-driven, with external and internal demand becoming more balanced [4] - Fiscal policy is projected to moderately expand, with an increase in special bond quotas for project construction, while monetary policy may see further easing with potential rate cuts [4] - The focus of industrial policy during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period will shift towards balancing supply and demand, enhancing service consumption and investment in emerging industries to boost domestic demand's contribution to GDP [4]

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) to publicly issue short-term corporate bonds with a face value of up to 50 billion yuan to professional investors [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 11, 2025, CITIC Securities closed at 29.06 yuan, down 0.82% from the previous trading day [1]. - The stock opened at 29.34 yuan, reached a high of 29.4 yuan, and a low of 29.0 yuan on the same day [1]. - The total market capitalization of the company is 430.685 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 30.39 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.86% [1]. Group 2: Bond Issuance - The approval for the bond issuance is valid for 24 months from the date of registration [1]. - The issuance will be organized and implemented by the company's board of directors and management team, based on legal regulations and the authorization from the 2023 annual general meeting [1].

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission to publicly issue short-term corporate bonds with a total face value of up to 50 billion yuan [1] Group 1 - The approval allows the company to issue bonds to professional investors [1] - The registered bonds can be issued in installments within a validity period of 24 months from the date of approval [1] - The maximum face value of the bonds is set at 50 billion yuan [1]

Group 1: Economic Outlook - The Chinese economy is expected to maintain a recovery trend with a projected growth of approximately 5.0% in 2025 and around 4.9% in 2026, with a "front low, back high" growth pattern anticipated for 2026 [3][6] - Fiscal policy in 2026 is expected to be more proactive, with a deficit rate likely to remain around 4%, and an increase in special bond quotas directed towards project construction [3][6] - The global economic landscape is anticipated to undergo a rebalancing phase, with both China and the U.S. expected to experience a "front low, back high" economic cycle [3][6] Group 2: Capital Market Dynamics - The Chinese capital market is transitioning from an emerging market to a mature market, with A-share companies increasingly becoming global players [1][7] - The capital market is expected to accumulate positive momentum, supported by enhanced international discourse power and the rising position of Chinese enterprises in the global value chain [2][5] - The market is likely to experience a low-volatility slow bull trend, driven by the transformation of Chinese companies into multinational corporations [1][7] Group 3: Investment Strategies - The investment strategy for 2026 emphasizes the importance of global market demand over local demand, as A-share companies expand their international exposure [7][8] - Three key investment themes are highlighted: upgrading traditional manufacturing for better pricing power, the globalization of Chinese enterprises, and the expansion of AI applications [8] - The upcoming market dynamics are influenced by the U.S.-China relationship, with significant events such as trade agreements and U.S. midterm elections expected to shape market conditions [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The recent trend of shareholder reductions in the brokerage industry, particularly by China Cinda Asset Management Co., is driven by individual capital allocation needs rather than a direct reflection of the companies' long-term profitability [2][3][5]. Group 1: Shareholder Actions - China Cinda plans to reduce its stake in Founder Securities by up to 1%, potentially cashing out over 670 million yuan based on the closing price of 8.22 yuan per share on November 4 [1]. - This marks the sixth planned reduction by China Cinda in three years, with previous reductions totaling over 900 million yuan [2][3]. - The reduction window is set from November 26, 2025, to February 25, 2026, with the stated reason being "operational development needs" [2]. Group 2: Company Performance - Founder Securities reported a significant increase in performance, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching 9.082 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 67.17%, and net profit of 3.799 billion yuan, up 93.31% [2][3]. - The strong performance indicates that there are no apparent flaws prompting shareholders to doubt the company's long-term prospects [2]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The brokerage sector has seen a wave of shareholder reductions since 2025, with several firms like Huaxi Securities and Bank of China Securities also announcing similar plans [3][4]. - The current market recovery has provided a favorable window for shareholders to realize gains, as many are facing liquidity pressures and need to convert financial assets into cash [4][5]. - The trend of reducing stakes is also influenced by the need for companies in cyclical industries to manage cash flow and mitigate risks associated with inventory and debt [4][5]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Despite the short-term performance boost from market conditions, challenges such as declining commission rates and competitive pressures remain unresolved, which may affect long-term investor confidence [5][6]. - Some brokerages are responding to these pressures by enhancing their business models, focusing on institutional services and derivative trading to maintain profitability [6][7]. - The overall brokerage sector is expected to continue seeing strategic investment opportunities, particularly as trading activity and margin financing have increased [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese capital market is entering a new phase, characterized by increased vitality and new opportunities for investment, as highlighted during the 2025 Capital Market Annual Conference with the theme "Striving for a New Journey" [1] Global Background - China's international influence and capabilities in global governance are significantly improving, with a 7.1% increase in exports in the first three quarters of this year, showcasing the resilience of Chinese manufacturing amidst global tariff challenges [1] - The demand from emerging markets and "Global South" countries, along with their resource endowments and market potential, will support Chinese enterprises' global expansion [1] Technological Trends - The Chinese capital market is experiencing a shift towards new development, driven by breakthroughs in industries such as artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and aerospace, which are enhancing risk appetite among investors [2] - The market structure is evolving, with the market capitalization of the electronic industry in A-shares surpassing that of the banking sector this year, indicating a trend towards greater representation of new productive forces [2] Macroeconomic Outlook - The Chinese economy is expected to show moderate recovery with structural differentiation next year, supported by the development of new productive forces that will stabilize economic growth over the next five years [4] - The "technology-industry-finance" cycle is anticipated to create more structural opportunities in the market [4] Institutional Environment - The capital market's inclusiveness and adaptability are improving, which is expected to bring a new atmosphere to the market ecosystem, particularly in supporting technological innovation and enhancing wealth effects [4][5] - There is a notable trend of converting household savings into investments, with significant room for increasing the proportion of equity assets compared to developed markets [5] - Future reforms will focus on creating a more attractive environment for long-term investments and enhancing the supply of quality financial products [5]

Group 1 - The 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference of CITIC Securities focuses on the theme "Striving for a New Journey," discussing global macro trends and investment strategies under new circumstances [1] - The conference features over 100 speakers and representatives from more than a thousand listed companies and investment institutions, highlighting its significance in the industry [1] - The general manager of CITIC Securities, Zou Yingguang, emphasizes the new mission and characteristics of the capital market during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, driven by international and domestic trends [2] Group 2 - Zou Yingguang notes that the global landscape is undergoing profound restructuring, presenting new opportunities for external breakthroughs [2] - The transition of China's economy from old to new driving forces is expected to create new opportunities in the capital market [2] - The improvement in the inclusiveness and adaptability of China's capital market system is anticipated to bring a new atmosphere to the market ecology [2] Group 3 - CITIC Securities' chief economist, Ming Ming, forecasts a recovery trend in China's economy, projecting a growth rate of around 5.0% in 2025 and approximately 4.9% in 2026 [2] - The economic growth in 2026 may exhibit a "low first, high later" pattern due to base factors and policy rhythms [2] - The chief analyst for macro and policy, Yang Fan, predicts a mild recovery in the economy with a structural differentiation, alongside resilient exports and gradually warming investments [3] Group 4 - The chief A-share strategist, Qiu Xiang, believes that A-share companies are transitioning from local to global exposure, indicating a shift from emerging to mature market characteristics [3] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan, Chinese companies are expected to enhance their position in the global value chain, converting share advantages into pricing power [3] - Three key investment themes are highlighted: upgrading traditional manufacturing, the globalization of Chinese enterprises, and the expansion of AI applications, which will enhance competitive advantages [3]

Core Insights - CITIC Securities has actively engaged in financing initiatives throughout the year, including becoming one of the first brokerages to participate in the company bond renewal issuance pilot program [2] - The issuance of bonds by CITIC Securities aligns with the broader trend in the brokerage industry, where major firms are capitalizing on declining domestic bond issuance rates to bolster their capital [2] - The company's bond issuance strategy reflects a precise alignment of strategic needs and market opportunities, enhancing its operational flexibility [2] Financing Activities - In May, CITIC Securities successfully conducted a renewal issuance of company bonds with a scale of 2 billion yuan [2] - On June 30, the company received approval to issue up to 30 billion yuan in perpetual subordinated bonds [2] - On September 11, CITIC Securities was approved to issue up to 60 billion yuan in company bonds [2] Industry Context - The trend of major brokerages, including Guotai Junan and Huatai Securities, frequently issuing bonds this year is attributed to the favorable market conditions [2] - The issuance of bonds by leading brokerages is seen as a response to national strategic calls to enhance direct financing, thereby supporting the real economy [2] - The emphasis on increasing direct financing in key policy documents indicates a market-driven necessity for brokerages to expand their business scale through bond market financing [2]

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference hosted by CITIC Securities emphasizes the positive momentum in China's capital market, driven by enhanced international influence, improved corporate positioning in the global value chain, and a mature market ecosystem [3][9]. Group 1: Conference Overview - The conference took place from November 11 to 13 in Shenzhen, themed "Striving for a New Journey," featuring speeches from CITIC Securities' executives and over 100 guest speakers [3][6]. - The event attracted significant attendance, with over 4,000 participants on-site and 33,000 online viewers, highlighting its importance in the industry [6]. - The agenda included more than 20 sub-forums covering various topics such as global economic outlook, emerging market investments, and AI applications [6]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - CITIC Securities' Chief Economist predicts a GDP growth rate of approximately 5.0% for 2025 and 4.9% for 2026, with a "front low, back high" growth pattern expected [9][10]. - The fiscal policy for 2026 is anticipated to be more proactive, maintaining a deficit rate around 4%, with an increase in special bond quotas directed towards project construction [10]. - The global economic landscape is expected to rebalance, with both the US and China experiencing a "front low, back high" economic cycle [10][11]. Group 3: Capital Market Characteristics - The capital market is expected to face new characteristics during the 14th Five-Year Plan, influenced by global changes, technological advancements, and improved institutional environments [8][9]. - The market's adaptability and inclusiveness are highlighted as key factors supporting technological innovation and wealth effects [8][9]. Group 4: A-Share Market Insights - The A-share market is transitioning from local exposure to global exposure, with Chinese companies increasingly participating in the global value chain, which is foundational for a low-volatility, slow-bull market [13][14]. - The upcoming period is seen as a golden opportunity for equity markets, particularly between the signing of the US-China trade agreement and the US midterm elections [6][14]. - Key investment themes include upgrading traditional manufacturing, expanding global operations, and leveraging AI for competitive advantage [14].