【香港恒生指数收跌1.23% 泡泡玛特跌超8%】智通财经12月8日电，香港恒生指数收跌1.23%，恒生科 技指数收平。卓越睿新上市首日涨超87%；芯片股走强，华虹半导体涨超4%，上海复旦涨超3%，中芯 国际涨近3%。黄金股下跌，老铺黄金跌超6%，紫金黄金国际跌超4%；泡泡玛特跌超8%。 转自：智通财经 ...

12月8日市场高开高走，截至收盘，沪指涨0.54%，深成指涨1.39%，创业板指涨2.6%。沪深两市成交额2.05万亿，较上一个交易日放量3127亿。全市场超 3400只个股上涨。 福建板块再度爆发，安记食品（603696）5连板，舒华体育（605299）、福建金森（002679）等10余股涨停。 算力硬件概念走强，天孚通信（300394）触及20cm涨停创新高，光库科技（300620）、长光华芯、源杰科技、联特科技（301205）等多股涨逾10%。一 共有17只股票涨停或涨幅超过10%。 中信建投（601066）认为，近期，AI产业链催化不断，包括谷歌新模型性能大幅提升及TPU展示出的较强能力、DeepSeek V3.2正式版发布、亚马逊发布 Trainium3，以及摩尔线程上市市场展现出的高参与热情等等，同时更多公司包括英伟达、阿里、AMD等否认AI泡沫的观点，均展现了AI的良好发展前 景。目前，世界正处于AI产业革命中，类比工业革命，影响深远，不能简单对比近几年的云计算、新能源等，需要以更长期的视角、更高的视野去观 察。因此，对AI带动的算力需求以及应用非常乐观。 消息面上，据智通财经，德银最新研报指出 ...

美国市场表现成为焦点，此前泡泡玛特在三季度财报中披露美国销售同比增长超1200%，令投资者对海 外扩张充满期待。 但最新迹象显示增长动能正在减弱。伯恩斯坦驻香港亚洲消费股分析师Melinda Hu指出，股价疲软"很 可能是受11月份北美线下销售趋势下滑推动"，她预计公司本季度美国销售增速将放缓至500%以下。 晨星分析师Jeff Zhang警告，潜在的美国销售疲软可能削弱市场对泡泡玛特增长的信心，海外销售势头 此前一直是投资者紧密追踪的关键指标。 泡泡玛特股价周一遭遇重挫，投资者对这家潮玩制造商在美国市场的增长势头产生疑虑。在公司此前公 布美国市场超预期增长后，市场正密切关注其销售动能能否维持。 周一，泡泡玛特港股盘中一度暴跌9%，为逾一个月最大跌幅，较8月高点累计回撤约40%。市场担忧其 在美国"黑五"促销期间的销售可能未达预期，打击了投资者信心。 股价承压之际，做空力量持续集聚。据标普全球数据，截至上周四，泡泡玛特的卖空股份已升至流通股 的6.3%，创2023年8月以来最高水平。 光大证券国际策略师Kenny Ng表示，投资者对泡泡玛特销售势头放缓存在担忧，同时卖方的一些谨慎 观点也打压了股价。 从增长1 ...

Core Viewpoint - Pop Mart's stock price has been declining, currently down 8.95% to HKD 199.40, as it transitions from explosive growth to sustainable growth, according to Morgan Stanley's report [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Pop Mart's revenue for Q3 2025 saw a significant year-on-year increase of 245%-250%, driven by new product launches and revenue recognition from pre-sales [2] - Revenue in the Chinese market grew by 185%-190%, with offline channels increasing by 130%-135% and online channels by 300%-305% [2] - Internationally, revenue surged by 365%-370%, with the Americas experiencing a staggering growth of 1265%-1270% [2] Group 2: Market Sentiment - Despite strong financial results, Pop Mart's stock has been under pressure, with a notable drop of 8.08% on October 21 and 9% on October 23, marking the largest single-day decline since April [3] - Analysts express concerns that Pop Mart's revenue growth may peak this year, leading to potential slowdowns in the following year [3] - Short-selling activity has increased significantly, with shares shorted rising from 1.11 million to 1.62 million and the short-selling amount increasing from HKD 241 million to HKD 623 million [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - Pop Mart has officially opened its first store in Vancouver, Canada, attracting significant consumer attention with popular IP products [1] Group 1: Store Opening and Consumer Engagement - The opening of the first store in Vancouver is a response to high consumer demand observed on social media and e-commerce platforms [1] - The company aims to connect more directly with fans through physical stores, enhancing consumer experience [1] Group 2: Expansion Plans - Pop Mart currently operates over 60 physical stores in the United States [1] - The company plans to open additional stores in Vancouver by early 2026 and will enter Toronto, completing its core city layout across Canada's east and west coasts [1] - The brand is committed to further developing its presence in the North American market while maintaining its original brand ethos [1]

港股泡泡玛特持续走弱，盘中一度跌逾7%。 港股泡泡玛特持续走弱，盘中一度跌逾7%。 ...

人民财讯12月8日电，港股午间收盘，恒生指数跌1.1%，恒生科技指数跌0.24%。泡泡玛特跌超8%；中 资券商股上涨，华泰证券涨超6%；煤炭股下跌，中国秦发跌超12%。 ...

图片来源：智通财经 港股泡泡玛特持续走弱，盘中一度跌逾7%。 ...

Summary of Pop Mart International Group Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Pop Mart International Group - **Industry**: Art Toy Culture and Retail - **Listing**: Listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange in December 2020 - **Key IPs**: Labubu, Molly, Skullpanda, Crybaby, Dimoo - **Retail Presence**: Operates 401 stores in mainland China and 120 stores outside mainland China as of end-2024 [10][10] Key Points from the Conference Call Product Strategy - **Sales Performance**: Sales this year have significantly exceeded expectations, but management is focused on long-term development [2][2] - **Internal Optimization**: Management is addressing weaknesses from rapid growth by optimizing organizational structure, channel operations, IP management, and supply chain capabilities [2][2] - **New Product Launches**: Q4 is the peak season, with new product series for top IPs planned for gradual weekly releases. However, the launch of Labubu 4.0 has been postponed to next year due to challenges from its popularity [2][2][2] Marketing and Capital Allocation - **Experiential Marketing**: The company is enhancing IP influence through flagship stores and immersive marketing strategies, such as character performances at theme parks and events like Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade [3][3] - **Interactive Engagement**: Future marketing will explore more interactive forms of IP engagement to enhance consumer experience [3][3] Supply Chain Management - **Supply Chain Optimization**: The supply chain has been optimized to a high level, but management aims to improve delivery speed through enhanced logistics and local warehousing [4][4] - **Demand Forecasting**: Sales data will inform more accurate demand forecasting, and marketing plans will be prepared earlier for key festivals [4][4] Financial Projections and Valuation - **Price Target**: The updated price target is HK$380.0, down from HK$435 due to higher beta assumptions [5][5] - **Revenue Growth**: Projected revenues are expected to grow from Rmb4,617 million in 2022 to Rmb86,042 million by 2029 [6][6] - **Profitability Metrics**: EBIT margin is projected to increase from 14.8% in 2022 to 46.1% by 2029, with net earnings expected to rise from Rmb573 million to Rmb30,693 million over the same period [6][6] Risks and Challenges - **Industry Risks**: Key risks include a slowdown in China's economy, increased competition from internet firms, regulatory scrutiny of the blind box format, and fashion risk in existing IPs [11][11] - **Company-Specific Risks**: Risks include failure to attract consumers with new IPs, challenges in expanding into low-tier cities, and profitability pressures from investments in new initiatives [12][12] Market Metrics - **Current Stock Price**: HK$224.80 as of November 28, 2025 - **Market Capitalization**: HK$302 billion (approximately US$38.8 billion) [7][7] - **Forecast Stock Return**: Expected price appreciation of 69.0% and a dividend yield of 2.1%, leading to a total forecast stock return of 71.1% [9][9] Conclusion Pop Mart International Group is positioned for significant growth in the art toy market, with a strong focus on optimizing internal capabilities and enhancing consumer engagement through innovative marketing strategies. However, the company faces various risks that could impact its long-term success.

Core Insights - The opening of POP MART's largest flagship store in Shanghai marks a significant expansion in the brand's presence, featuring a diverse IP-themed space and immersive experiences [1][5] - The store aims to create a "潮玩宇宙" (trendy toy universe) that caters to both seasoned collectors and newcomers, showcasing over 100 popular IP series and nearly 10,000 collectible items [5] Store Design and Experience - The store features an eye-catching entrance with dual-column IP art installations, enhancing the interactive experience and attracting visitors [6] - The second floor offers themed immersive scenes that provide a rich experience, quickly becoming a trending topic on social media [6] DIY Experience and Consumer Engagement - Unlike other stores that offer temporary DIY experiences, this flagship location features a permanent DIY workspace, allowing customers to create personalized collectibles, enhancing both emotional and collectible value [8] - The launch of this DIY experience has led to long queues of consumers eager to participate [8] Special Opening Events - From November 29 to December 3, the store will host special opening activities, including a limited edition commemorative coin vending machine themed around Shanghai [10] Strategic Location and Market Positioning - The store is strategically located in the core commercial area of Nanjing Road, reinforcing its position as a trendy hub [5][11] - The Shanghai Shimao Plaza, where the store is located, is designed as a "city theater," creating a dual-track model that combines "East District subculture economy" with "West District international trends" [11] Future Developments in the Area - The East District is accelerating the introduction of new subculture businesses, with upcoming openings of Youku Shopping and My Dream World, which will cater to fans of film and K-pop culture respectively [13] - The West District continues to enhance its high-end lifestyle offerings, featuring flagship stores from international brands like NIKE and LEGO, creating a complementary lifestyle circle [15] Transformation of Traditional Commercial Areas - Shanghai Shimao Plaza is redefining traditional commercial spaces by incorporating IP-driven events and first-store economies, enhancing its appeal to younger demographics [16] - This operational model of aggregating traffic through IP, enhancing experiences through scenes, and converting through diverse offerings serves as a replicable model for transforming traditional commercial districts nationwide [16]