TSMC ($TSM) reported a 39.1% YoY surge in Q3 profit, hitting a new record.Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company — the world’s largest chip foundry and a key supplier to global tech giants.✅ EPS: $2.92 vs. $2.59 est.✅ Revenue: $33.1B vs. $31.5B est.Strong AI chip demand continues to power TSMC’s record sales, with new capacity expansions already underway.Time to trade and ride the wave this Super Earnings Season!👉 https://t.co/OX1f7w3Kbu ...

Core Viewpoint - TSMC reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, driven by strong demand for advanced processes, particularly in AI applications [1][3][5]. Financial Performance - TSMC's consolidated revenue for Q3 reached NT$989.92 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30.3%. In USD, the revenue was $33.1 billion [3]. - The net profit for the quarter was NT$452.3 billion, marking a 39.1% year-on-year growth and setting a historical record [3]. - The gross margin was 59.5%, reflecting a 0.9 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [3]. Product Composition - In terms of product composition, the revenue from the 3nm process accounted for 23% of total wafer revenue, while the 5nm process contributed 37%, and the 7nm process made up 14%. Advanced processes (7nm and below) collectively represented 74% of total wafer revenue [3]. Platform Revenue Breakdown - High-Performance Computing (HPC) accounted for 57% of revenue, surpassing smartphones at 30%, IoT at 5%, automotive at 5%, and digital consumer electronics at 1% [4]. - The fastest-growing platform was IoT, which saw a year-on-year growth of 20%. Revenue growth for HPC, smartphones, and automotive platforms was recorded at 0%, 19%, and 18%, respectively [4]. Future Outlook - TSMC forecasts Q4 sales between $32.2 billion and $33.4 billion, exceeding market expectations of $31.23 billion. The gross margin is expected to be between 59% and 61% [4]. - For 2025, TSMC anticipates a revenue growth of approximately 30% [4]. Management Insights - TSMC's CEO emphasized the strong and increasing demand for AI, which is expected to drive future growth. The company plans to continue investing to support this demand [5]. - The management highlighted the need to address the supply-demand gap in advanced packaging and is working to enhance capacity for 2026 [5]. - TSMC is accelerating capacity expansion at its Arizona facility and is preparing to upgrade technology for more advanced processes. A second plot of land near the existing factory will be acquired to support expansion plans [5].

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a high and then a pullback on October 16, with trading volume dropping below 2 trillion yuan, indicating increased risk aversion among investors [1] - The technology sector showed weakness, but the ChiNext index focusing on artificial intelligence (AI) managed to close in the green, highlighting a divergence in sector performance [1] - The largest AI-focused ETF on the ChiNext, ETF 159363, saw a slight increase of 0.25% and recorded a trading volume of 584 million yuan, marking two consecutive days of gains [1] Industry Analysis - The optical module sector, particularly within the computing power chain, has shown signs of recovery, with leading companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and New Yisheng expected to maintain high growth rates in Q3 due to strong overseas demand for 800G optical modules [3] - The AI data center market is anticipated to grow significantly, with Alibaba projecting a tenfold increase in data center energy consumption by 2032, which is expected to drive orders and EBITDA growth for leading data center firms [3] - TSMC's Q3 financial report exceeded market expectations, reinforcing optimism regarding the surge in demand for AI chips, with the company expressing increased confidence in the AI market's positive trajectory [4] Investment Opportunities - The AI computing power sector is viewed as a thematic investment opportunity, with recommendations to focus on the first AI-focused ETF on the ChiNext (159363) and related funds, which have a significant allocation towards computing power and AI applications [4] - The ChiNext AI ETF has a market size exceeding 3.6 billion yuan and has maintained the highest trading volume among its peers, indicating strong investor interest [4]

Group 1 - Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) reported strong Q3 earnings, beating analyst estimates and providing an optimistic guidance for the current period, leading to a rise in its stock price [2][1] - The overall stock market experienced volatility, with major indexes initially gaining but closing mixed, while growth stocks, including TSM, performed well [1][4] - Futures for Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq rose slightly following TSM's positive earnings report [1]

Group 1 - The third quarter earnings season has begun with major Wall Street banks reporting their quarterly results [1][2] - Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report a 7.9% increase in earnings per share for Q3, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of positive earnings growth, although this represents a slowdown from the 12% growth in Q2 [1] - Major financial institutions including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and BlackRock have reported their earnings, with additional reports expected from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and others [2][3] Group 2 - The earnings calendar for the week includes results from various companies such as United Airlines, Johnson & Johnson, and American Express, indicating a broad range of sectors reporting [4] - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company provided an important update on its business and chip demand, highlighting the significance of the semiconductor industry in the current earnings season [3]

Group 1 - Major stock index futures are showing positive movement, with Dow futures up 0.25%, S&P 500 futures up 0.27%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.42% [1] - Semiconductor stocks are experiencing a broad increase, with Nvidia up 1.07%, Broadcom up 1.69%, AMD up 0.78%, and Micron Technology up 2.66% [1] - TSMC reported a record high net profit for Q3, with consolidated revenue of NT$989.92 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30.3%. In USD, revenue for the quarter was $33.1 billion, and net profit was NT$452.3 billion, a 39.1% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin of 59.5% [1] Group 2 - NIO's stock fell over 7% following a lawsuit from Singapore's sovereign wealth fund, which accused the company and its executives of securities fraud related to a short-selling report from June 2022 [2] - Deutsche Bank raised ASML's target price from €900 to €1000 while maintaining a "buy" rating, anticipating fourth-quarter orders to rise to €6.9 billion [2] - Salesforce expects to exceed $60 billion in revenue by 2030, surpassing analyst expectations of $58.37 billion, leading to a stock increase of over 5% [3] - Nscale announced a $14 billion agreement with Microsoft for the purchase of approximately 200,000 Nvidia GPUs, contributing to a 0.26% increase in Microsoft's stock [3] - Canada is threatening legal action against Stellantis over plans to shift production of a vehicle model to a U.S. factory, resulting in a 0.59% decline in Stellantis' stock [3]

Core Viewpoint - TSMC reported a record net profit of NT$452.3 billion for Q3 2025, driven by strong demand from AI investments and major clients like Apple, despite facing challenges from U.S. tariffs and geopolitical tensions [1][2][11]. Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached NT$989.92 billion, a 30.3% year-on-year increase, with a net profit growth of 39.1% [1][11]. - The gross margin for Q3 was 59.5%, with an operating margin of 50.6% and a net profit margin of 45.7% [11]. - TSMC has revised its full-year revenue growth forecast to 34-36%, up from nearly 30% previously [2][11]. Capital Expenditure - TSMC's capital expenditure for 2025 is projected to be between $40 billion and $42 billion, with an average of $41 billion, reflecting an increase from the previous average of $40 billion [3][12]. - Capital expenditures for Q3 were $9.7 billion, bringing the total for the first three quarters to $29.39 billion [3][12]. AI Market Outlook - TSMC's chairman emphasized the ongoing strong demand for AI-related products, with expectations of maintaining a compound annual growth rate of around 40% for AI business [5][6][9]. - The company is adapting to the evolving AI landscape by enhancing its production capabilities and collaborating closely with clients [9][10]. Global Strategy - TSMC's global expansion strategy is based on customer demand, geographical flexibility, and government support [12]. - The company is accelerating the introduction of advanced processes in its Arizona facility and expanding its operations in Japan and Germany [13][12]. Advanced Process Development - TSMC's 2nm process is set to enter trial production in Q4 2025, with mass production expected next year [13]. - The company is also focusing on advanced packaging technologies to meet increasing demand [13].

Financial Performance - TSMC reported consolidated revenue of NT$989.92 billion and net income of NT$452.30 billion for Q3 2025, with diluted EPS of NT$17.44 (US$2.92 per ADR unit) [2] - Year-over-year, Q3 revenue increased by 30.3%, net income rose by 39.1%, and diluted EPS grew by 39.0% [3] - Compared to Q2 2025, Q3 revenue increased by 6.0% and net income increased by 13.6% [3] - TSMC's Q3 2025 net sales were NT$989,918 million, a 30.3% increase from NT$759,692 million in Q3 2024 [6] - TSMC's income from operations for Q3 2025 was NT$500,685 million, reflecting a 38.8% increase from NT$360,766 million in Q3 2024 [6] Margins - Gross margin for Q3 was 59.5%, operating margin was 50.6%, and net profit margin was 45.7% [4] - For Q4 2025, TSMC expects revenue to be between US$32.2 billion and US$33.4 billion, with a gross profit margin between 59% and 61% [5] Technology and Production - Shipments of 3-nanometer technology accounted for 23% of total wafer revenue, while advanced technologies (7-nanometer and above) represented 74% of total wafer revenue [4] - The company manufactured 11,878 products for 522 customers in 2024, utilizing 288 distinct process technologies [9] Industry Position - The company has been a leader in the semiconductor foundry industry since its founding in 1987, supporting a global ecosystem of customers and partners [8]

Core Insights - TSMC reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for Q3, with both metrics growing over 30% year-on-year, driven by surging demand from AI clients like OpenAI, Meta, and xAI [2][3][6] Financial Performance - TSMC's revenue for Q3 reached NT$989.92 billion (approximately RMB 230.16 billion), a 30.3% increase from NT$759.69 billion in the same quarter last year and a 6.0% increase from NT$933.79 billion in the previous quarter [2][3] - Net income attributable to shareholders was NT$452.30 billion (approximately RMB 105.16 billion), up 39.1% year-on-year from NT$325.26 billion and up 13.6% from NT$398.27 billion in Q2 [3][4] - The gross margin for Q3 was 59.5%, an increase from 57.8% year-on-year and 58.6% quarter-on-quarter [6] Market Share and Technology - TSMC's market share in the pure foundry market is projected to grow from 63% in Q1 2024 to 71% by Q2 2025, attributed to increased capacity in 3nm technology and high utilization rates for AI GPUs [2] - Advanced process technologies (7nm and below) accounted for 74% of total wafer revenue, with 3nm contributing 23% and 5nm contributing 37% [5][6] Revenue by Application - High Performance Computing (HPC) and smartphones accounted for 57% and 30% of net revenue, respectively, with HPC's share decreasing from 60% in Q2 [7] - TSMC's revenue from North American clients constituted 76% of total net revenue, highlighting a heavy reliance on this market [9] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - TSMC's capital expenditure for Q3 was approximately USD 9.7 billion, with total spending for the year nearing USD 30 billion [10][11] - The company anticipates capital expenditures for 2025 to be in the range of USD 40-42 billion, reflecting strong demand for 2nm technology [11] - TSMC expects AI-related revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 40% over the next few years, driven by increasing demand for AI infrastructure [12][20]

Group 1 - Major stock index futures are showing positive movement, with Dow futures up 0.25%, S&P 500 futures up 0.27%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.42% [1] - Semiconductor stocks are experiencing a broad increase, with Nvidia up 1.07%, Broadcom up 1.69%, AMD up 0.78%, and Micron Technology up 2.66% [1] - TSMC reported a record high net profit for Q3, with consolidated revenue of NT$989.92 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30.3%. In USD, revenue for the quarter was $33.1 billion, and net profit was NT$452.3 billion, a 39.1% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin of 59.5% [1] Group 2 - NIO's stock fell over 7% following a lawsuit from Singapore's sovereign wealth fund, which accused the company and its executives of securities fraud related to a short-selling report from June 2022 [2] - Deutsche Bank raised ASML's target price from €900 to €1000 while maintaining a "buy" rating, expecting fourth-quarter orders to rise to €6.9 billion [2] - Salesforce anticipates revenue exceeding $60 billion by 2030, surpassing analyst expectations of $58.37 billion, leading to a stock increase of over 5% [3] - Nscale announced a $14 billion deal with Microsoft for the purchase of approximately 200,000 Nvidia GPUs, contributing to a 0.26% increase in Microsoft's stock [3] - Canada is threatening legal action against Stellantis over plans to shift production of a vehicle model to a U.S. factory, resulting in a 0.59% decline in Stellantis' stock [3]