Xiaomi Corp. (1810.HK) Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Xiaomi Corp. - **Ticker**: 1810.HK - **Market Cap**: HK$1.4 trillion / $173.7 billion - **Enterprise Value**: HK$1.1 trillion / $146.5 billion - **Rating**: Buy Key Financial Highlights - **2Q25 Revenue**: Grew by +30% year-over-year (yoy) to Rmb 365.9 billion, driven by: - AIoT revenue growth of +45% yoy, exceeding expectations - EV sales offsetting a decline in smartphone sales (-2% yoy) due to a -5% decline in average selling price (ASP) [1][2] - **Adjusted Net Profit**: Increased by +75% yoy, primarily due to: - Higher-than-expected profitability from EV and new initiatives, achieving a record-high gross profit margin (GPM) of 26.4% - Non-operating items contributing positively despite increased income taxes [1][2] Smartphone Segment Performance - **Smartphone Revenue**: Declined -2% yoy to Rmb 45.5 billion, with total shipments of 42.4 million (+0.6% yoy) - **Market Share**: Maintained No.3 global smartphone shipment ranking with a 14.7% market share in 2Q25 - **ASP**: Decreased -3% yoy to Rmb 1,074 due to changes in product mix [30][31] - **Regional Performance**: - China: Revenue grew +10% yoy, with a market share gain of +1.1pp to 15% - International: Market share gains in Europe, Africa, Southeast Asia, and Latin America, but losses in India and the Middle East [30][31] AIoT and Other Segments - **AIoT Revenue**: Grew +45% yoy to Rmb 38.7 billion, with GPM increasing +2.8pp to 22.5% - **Connected Devices**: Number of connected devices increased by +20% yoy to 989 million, with significant growth in users with multiple devices [50][53] - **Smart Large Home Appliances**: Revenue grew +66% yoy, with record shipments in air conditioning units, refrigerators, and washing machines [53] EV Segment Insights - **EV Sales**: Contributed positively to overall profitability, with expectations for manufacturing capacity ramp-up in the latter half of 2025 [1][17] - **Future Outlook**: Anticipated improvements in consumer demand and visibility on new capacity supply in 2026 [17] Market Performance and Valuation - **Share Price Performance**: +4% over the past 3 months, +54% year-to-date, attributed to downward revisions in smartphone revenue estimates and concerns over AIoT growth [2][3] - **Forecast Revisions**: Revenue forecasts for 2025E-2027E largely unchanged, but adjusted net profit forecasts lowered by 1-4% due to higher R&D investments and taxes [18] - **Target Price**: Adjusted to HK$65, with a 24% upside potential [18] Upcoming Catalysts - **Product Launches**: Anticipated release of the flagship Xiaomi 16 series and HyperOS 3.0 by the end of September 2025 - **EV Manufacturing Capacity**: Monitoring progress in ramp-up and new model filings [19] Conclusion - **Investment Thesis**: Despite short-term challenges, Xiaomi's long-term growth potential remains strong, particularly in AIoT and EV segments, presenting an attractive opportunity for investors to accumulate positions at current price levels [3][17]

Summary of Xiaomi Corp 2Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Xiaomi Corp - **Industry**: Technology Hardware - **Market Cap**: US$170,748 million - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Price Target**: HK$62.00 - **Current Stock Price**: HK$52.40 Key Financial Highlights - **Adjusted Net Profit**: Rmb10.831 billion, up 75.4% YoY and 1.5% QoQ, marking the highest quarterly profit in company history [1] - **Total Revenue**: Rmb115.956 billion, representing a 30% increase YoY and 4% QoQ [9] - **Revenue Breakdown**: - **AIoT**: Rmb38.7 billion, up 45% YoY, 18% above estimates [1] - **Electric Vehicles (EV)**: Rmb21.3 billion, more than doubled YoY, 6% above forecast [2] - **Smartphones**: Rmb45.5 billion, down 2% YoY, 8% below forecast [2] - **Internet Services**: Rmb9.1 billion, up 10% YoY, 5% below estimates; overseas revenue reached Rmb3.0 billion, up 12.6% YoY [2] Margin Analysis - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Improved by 1.8 percentage points YoY to 22.5%, but declined 0.3 percentage points QoQ [3] - **Smartphone GPM**: Declined to 11.5%, down 0.7 percentage points YoY and 0.9 percentage points QoQ [3] - **AIoT GPM**: Improved to 22.5%, but declined 2.7 percentage points QoQ [3] - **EV GPM**: Increased to 26.4%, up 3.3 percentage points QoQ [3] Future Outlook - **3Q-4Q25 Expectations**: EV delivery is anticipated to be the key driver for growth, with expectations of increased delivery volumes for the YU7 model, which has a higher average selling price (ASP) and better margins [4] - **Smartphone Margins**: Expected to hit bottom in 3Q25, with a potential turnaround in 4Q25 [4] Additional Insights - **AIoT and EV Growth**: Stronger-than-expected growth in AIoT and EV segments offset the weakness in smartphone sales, leading to revenue and gross profit exceeding estimates by 2-3% [8] - **Investor Sentiment**: Anticipation of increased EV delivery volumes is likely to improve investor sentiment in the second half of 2025 [8] Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: Smartphone gross margin pressure due to inventory de-stocking and weak demand, along with fierce competition in the EV market [14] This summary encapsulates the key points from Xiaomi Corp's 2Q25 earnings call, highlighting financial performance, future outlook, and potential risks.

小米集团-W(01810.HK)公告，第二季度营收1,159.6亿元，同比增长30%，预估1,149.4亿元；第二季度净 利润119.0亿元，预估88.8亿元。小米集团第二季度集团经调整净利润为108亿元，创历史新高，同比增 长75.4%。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Xiaomi Group's stock experienced a decline of 2.0% on August 20, trading at 51.35 HKD per share with a transaction volume of 8.05 billion HKD [1] - Xiaomi Group is primarily an internet company focused on smartphones, smart hardware, and IoT platforms, with a business model built on innovative, high-quality hardware, efficient new retail, and a rich array of internet services [1] - As of the mid-year report for 2025, Xiaomi Group reported total revenue of 227.249 billion RMB and a net profit of 22.829 billion RMB [1] Group 2 - For the fiscal year 2025, Xiaomi Group's profit attributable to shareholders reached 22.83 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 146%, with basic earnings per share of 0.9 RMB [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance of Xiaomi Group, which reported a revenue of 227.25 billion RMB for the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year growth of 38.2%, and an adjusted net profit of 21.51 billion RMB, up 69.8% year-on-year [1] - In Q2, Xiaomi achieved a revenue of 115.96 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, with an adjusted net profit of 10.83 billion RMB, which is a 75.4% year-on-year growth [1] - The Hong Kong stock market indices opened lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.61% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.75%, while the performance of individual stocks in the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF was mixed, with only a few companies like Sunny Optical Technology and Xpeng Motors seeing gains [1] Group 2 - Guojin Securities noted that Xiaomi's overall performance in Q2 2025 showed steady progress, with total revenue exceeding 100 billion RMB for three consecutive quarters and adjusted net profit surpassing 10 billion RMB for two consecutive quarters, driven by growth in smartphones, home appliances, and automotive sectors [2] - In Q2, Xiaomi delivered a total of 81,300 new cars, with cumulative deliveries reaching 300,000, generating revenue of 21.3 billion RMB from the automotive segment, which had a gross margin of 26.4%, an increase of 3.2% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The southbound capital flow into Hong Kong has reached nearly 960 billion HKD this year, primarily directed towards AI and new consumption sectors, indicating a trend towards emerging industries and potential for further capital inflow [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance of Xiaomi Group, which reported a revenue of 227.25 billion RMB for the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year growth of 38.2% and an adjusted net profit of 21.51 billion RMB, up 69.8% [1] - In Q2, Xiaomi achieved a revenue of 115.96 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, with an adjusted net profit of 10.83 billion RMB, which is a 75.4% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The automotive segment of Xiaomi delivered 81,300 new vehicles in Q2, with a cumulative delivery of 300,000 vehicles, generating revenue of 21.3 billion RMB and a gross margin of 26.4%, which improved by 3.2% quarter-on-quarter [2] Group 2 - The inflow of southbound funds into Hong Kong stocks has reached nearly 960 billion HKD this year, primarily directed towards artificial intelligence and new consumption sectors, indicating a trend towards emerging industries [2] - The Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180) includes 30 leading Hong Kong tech stocks, focusing on the AI industry chain, with major companies like Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Meituan, SMIC, and BYD potentially becoming the "seven giants" of Chinese tech stocks [2] - Investors without a Hong Kong Stock Connect account can access Chinese AI core assets through the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180) for a simplified investment approach [2]

Market Overview - On August 19, Hong Kong's three major indices opened high but closed lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.21% at 25,122.9 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.67% at 5,542.03 points, and the National Enterprises Index down 0.3% at 9,006.23 points [1] - The technology sector saw more declines than gains, with notable movements in stocks such as Tencent and NIO rising nearly 1%, while NetEase and Xiaomi fell over 1% [1] Southbound Capital - On August 19, southbound capital recorded a net inflow of 18.573 billion HKD, bringing the total net inflow for the year to 958.881 billion HKD, significantly exceeding last year's total [2] Company Performance - Xiaomi Group reported its Q2 earnings on August 19, with revenue reaching 116 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, and adjusted net profit of 10.8 billion CNY, up 75.4% [3] - Pop Mart disclosed that its revenue for the first half of the year was 13.876 billion CNY, a 204.4% increase year-on-year, with adjusted net profit of 4.71 billion CNY, up 362.8% [3] Foreign Investment Trends - As of August 18, over 70 listed companies had qualified foreign institutional investors (QFII) among their top ten shareholders, with a total market value of approximately 6.8 billion CNY, indicating increased foreign institutional investment in the Chinese stock market [3] Short Selling Data - On August 19, a total of 637 Hong Kong stocks were short-sold, with total short selling amounting to 31.137 billion HKD. The top three stocks by short selling amount were Tencent (2.243 billion HKD), Xiaomi (1.941 billion HKD), and Alibaba (1.288 billion HKD) [4] Institutional Insights - Zhongtai International noted that despite marginal economic slowdowns in July, market risk appetite remained intact, with A-shares reaching new highs and significant net inflows into Hong Kong stocks [5] - The institution suggested focusing on sectors such as technology innovation (AI/Semiconductors), biomedicine, and high-dividend assets (utilities, energy, and leading consumer stocks) due to favorable long-term capital allocation and market recovery [5][6]

Market Overview - On August 19, Hong Kong's three major indices opened high but closed lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.21% at 25,122.9 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.67% at 5,542.03 points, and the National Enterprises Index down 0.3% at 9,006.23 points [1] - Technology stocks generally declined, with notable movements in individual stocks such as Tencent Holdings and NIO rising nearly 1%, while NetEase and Xiaomi Group fell over 1% [1] Southbound Capital - On August 19, southbound capital recorded a net inflow of 18.573 billion HKD, bringing the total net inflow for the year to 958.881 billion HKD, significantly exceeding last year's total [2] U.S. Market Performance - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones up 0.02% and reaching a historical high during the session, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by 0.59% and 1.46%, respectively [3] - Notable declines were observed in Chinese concept stocks, with Xunlei down over 10% and Weibo down over 6% [3] Company Earnings Reports - Xiaomi Group reported Q2 earnings on August 19, with revenue reaching 116 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, and adjusted net profit of 10.8 billion CNY, up 75.4% year-on-year [4] - Pop Mart disclosed that its H1 revenue exceeded the total for the previous year, with earnings of 13.876 billion CNY, a 204.4% increase, and adjusted net profit of 4.71 billion CNY, up 362.8% [4] Foreign Investment Trends - As the Chinese stock market strengthens, foreign institutional investors are increasing their positions, with over 70 listed companies reporting QFII holdings totaling approximately 6.8 billion CNY [4] Short Selling Data - On August 19, a total of 637 Hong Kong stocks were short-sold, with total short selling amounting to 31.137 billion HKD. Tencent Holdings, Xiaomi Group, and Alibaba were the top three in short selling amounts [5] Institutional Insights - Zhongtai International noted that despite marginal economic slowdowns in China, market risk appetite remains intact, with A-shares reaching new highs and significant inflows into the Hong Kong market [6] - The expectation of an 85% probability of a Fed rate cut in September is likely to support Hong Kong stocks, with a focus on technology innovation and non-bank financial sectors [6] Hong Kong ETFs - The Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) focuses on e-commerce and new consumption sectors, while the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180) includes key AI assets [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that due to weak smartphone demand and rising raw material costs, the adjusted net profit forecast for Xiaomi Group-W (01810) for 2025 has been lowered by 5.9% to 46.139 billion yuan, while the profit forecast for 2026 remains unchanged [1] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.0 times for 2025 and 18.5 times for 2026, with a target price of 70.0 HKD, implying a potential upside of 33.6% [1] Group 2 - In Q2 2025, the adjusted net profit exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching 1159.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, slightly below expectations by 1.7%, while the adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.831 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 75.4%, exceeding expectations by 6.4% [2] - The growth in IoT business revenue was a key driver, alongside better-than-expected automotive gross margins [2] Group 3 - In Q2 2025, Xiaomi's smartphone shipments increased by 0.6% year-on-year to 42.4 million units, maintaining a global market share of 14.7%, ranking third [3] - Market share improvements were noted in Southeast Asia, Europe, Latin America, and Africa, with increases of 1.6 percentage points, 3.4 percentage points, 1.0 percentage point, and 2.7 percentage points respectively [3] - The ASP (average selling price) of smartphones decreased by 2.7% year-on-year to 1,073 yuan, while the smartphone gross margin fell by 0.7 percentage points to 11.5% due to a higher proportion of low-margin products [3] Group 4 - IoT revenue grew by 44.7% year-on-year to 38.712 billion yuan in Q2 2025, driven by significant growth in major appliances, wearables, and tablets, with air conditioner shipments exceeding 5 million units [4] - The IoT gross margin decreased by 2.7 percentage points to 22.5% due to the impact of the "618" promotional event, but it remained at a good level [4] - Internet business revenue increased by 10.1% year-on-year to 9.097 billion yuan, with a gross margin decline of 3.0 percentage points to 75.4%, attributed to changes in advertising revenue structure [4] Group 5 - In Q2 2025, the company delivered 81,300 vehicles, with an ASP of 253,700 yuan, and the gross margin increased by 3.27 percentage points to 26.4%, primarily due to economies of scale and increased deliveries of the Ultra model [5] - The company is optimistic about the profit elasticity from automotive order deliveries and the long-term ecological value of its "people, vehicles, and home" strategy [5]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's Q2 financial report shows record high revenue and net profit, driven by strong performance in smartphones, IoT, and automotive sectors. Key investor concerns include the profitability of the automotive business, sustainability of high-end smartphone margins, and the potential of AI strategy to create new valuation narratives [1][5][12]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q2 reached 116 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of record highs [5][12]. - Adjusted net profit for the quarter was 10.8 billion yuan, up 75% year-on-year, also a record high for three consecutive quarters [5][12]. - Gross margin improved to 22.5%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [5][12]. Automotive Business - Xiaomi's automotive business reported a reduced operating loss of 300 million yuan in Q2, with hopes of achieving monthly or quarterly profitability in the second half of the year [1][11]. - Vehicle deliveries reached 81,300 units in Q2, a 197.7% increase from the same period last year, contributing to a 233.9% surge in automotive revenue to 21.3 billion yuan [1][11]. - The company plans to enter the European electric vehicle market by 2027 [1][11]. Smartphone Business - Xiaomi aims to join the "200 million club" in global smartphone shipments within the next three to five years [1][11]. - Despite an increase in high-end smartphone sales, Q2 smartphone gross margin fell to 11.5% due to rising component costs and a slower new product release schedule [1][11][12]. - The company maintained a global smartphone market share of 14.7%, ranking third worldwide [12][13]. IoT and AI Strategy - The AI strategy is structured in three layers: large models, application layer, and transformation layer, aiming to create a closed-loop ecosystem of "people-vehicle-home" [2][12]. - IoT revenue reached 38.7 billion yuan in Q2, a 44.7% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.5% [12][13]. - The company emphasizes the importance of self-developed chips and AI technology as core competitive advantages [7][12]. Home Appliances - Revenue from smart home appliances reached a record high, growing 66.2% year-on-year, with air conditioning sales exceeding 5.4 million units, also showing over 60% growth [9][12]. - The company is focused on transforming traditional home appliances into smart products, leveraging user scenarios for innovation [9][10]. Market Position and Future Outlook - Xiaomi's strategy includes avoiding price wars and focusing on long-term market positioning rather than short-term rankings [3][11]. - The company is committed to continuous investment in core technologies and aims for sustainable growth across all business lines [11][15].