Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the transition from a "one-time" era to a reusable rocket model, reshaping the commercial aerospace sector. China has elevated commercial aerospace to a strategic level, planning a constellation of thousands of satellites to compete in the space economy. The industry is following the low-cost, high-frequency technology paradigm validated by SpaceX's Falcon 9, with costs potentially dropping below $1,000/kg as operational capacity increases [2][3][4] - The next phase for commercial aerospace is the industrialization of space computing power. With breakthroughs in reusable rockets and mass manufacturing, the sector is entering a scalable era, focusing on commercial pathways for space computing power, which is gaining attention due to its low energy costs and minimal heat dissipation [2][3][4] Summary by Sections Section 1: Transition to Reusable Rockets - The report discusses the policy elevation of commercial aerospace in China, marking a new development stage with significant government support and strategic planning [10][11] - Key challenges include high costs, low launch frequency, and limited payload capacity, which are being addressed through advancements in reusable rocket technology and industrial production [15][21][23] Section 2: Industrialization of Space Computing Power - The report highlights the growing global demand for AI computing power and the limitations faced by ground data centers, positioning space computing as a high-value application area [2][3] - The cost structure of space data centers is analyzed, showing significant capital expenditure (Capex) advantages compared to ground facilities, with a ten-year total cost potentially being less than 50% of ground operations [2][3] Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in commercial aerospace and space computing, including but not limited to StarMap Control, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, and others [2][3][4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the bond market showed a pattern of "fast bull, slow bear, mainly oscillating", with the 10 - year Treasury bond yield fluctuating between 1.6% - 1.9%. The yield curve changed from bull - steep to bear - flat and then to bear - steep [2][9]. - In 2026, the yield curve is likely to maintain a relatively steep shape, with the short - end being prone to decline and the long - end difficult to fall. The probability of the curve remaining oscillating or slightly bull - steep is higher [3]. - In 2026, the riding strategy is a better choice than simply relying on duration extension. The 5 - year to 4 - year Treasury bond riding strategy is optimal on the current yield curve, with relatively controllable risks [4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 1.行情回顾：债市“快牛慢熊”，曲线从牛陡走向熊陡 - In 2025, the bond market experienced a "fast bull, slow bear" and entered an oscillating market. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield oscillated between 1.6% - 1.9%. The short - term bond interest rate first rose and then fell during the year, and the yield curve changed from bull - steep to bear - flat and then to bear - steep [9]. - In Q1, long - term interest rates dropped significantly, short - term interest rates rebounded sharply, and the curve changed from bull - steep to bear - flat; in Q2, the bond market entered a sideways consolidation, and the curve remained relatively flat; in Q3, long - term bond yields rose significantly, short - term fluctuations were limited, and the curve changed from bear - flat to bear - steep; in Q4, the "bear - steep" of the curve was further strengthened [11]. 3.2 2.行情展望：排除长端大幅上行风险，曲线陡峭化或延续 3.2.1 2.1 曲线形态：短端易落长端难下，收益率曲线或延续陡峭 - After the bear - steep, there are three typical trends: bear - flat, bull - steep, and oscillation. In 2026, the curve is most likely to remain steep or slightly bull - steep, with a high probability of a structural differentiation pattern of "short - end decline, long - end oscillation" [14][15]. 3.2.2 2.2 四个约束：限制长端收益率大幅上行的因素 - ROIC: The central decline of ROIC in recent years restricts the significant upward movement of long - term Treasury bond yields [16][18]. - Long - term loan interest rate and long - term Treasury bond interest rate: The long - term loan interest rate is still falling, and the long - term Treasury bond yield is difficult to rise significantly [19]. - Stock - bond ratio: The current stock - bond ratio is in a neutral range, and if the bond yield rises significantly, it will enter the allocation value range [21]. - Asset - liability ratio: The spread between the liability costs of banks and insurance and the Treasury bond yields has been significantly eased, and the stabilizing effect of the allocation disk may suppress the significant upward movement of yields [23]. 3.3 3.利率策略：做陡曲线，骑乘策略或是最佳选择 3.3.1 3.1 策略选择：曲线偏陡背景下，骑乘优于单纯久期博弈 - In 2026, it is difficult to simply rely on duration extension to bet on interest rate decline. The riding strategy can obtain certain returns from the curve shape and is more suitable for the market characteristics of "low interest rate, low volatility, and dominated by curve structural changes" [25][28]. 3.3.2 3.2 策略思路：在陡峭曲线下，选择1年持有期的曲线凸点 - In the riding strategy, the 5 - year Treasury bond riding to the 4 - year is the optimal convex point on the current yield curve, which can obtain relatively certain structural returns while controlling risks [30][32]. 3.3.3 3.3 策略模拟：不同情景下骑乘目标收益测算与风险衡量 - Under the static curve assumption, the one - year target return of the 5 - year to 4 - year riding strategy is about 2.01%; under the bull - steep assumption, it can be increased to about 2.20%. The 5 - year riding strategy has a relatively thick risk cushion, and the risk is relatively controllable [34][35].

证券研究报告：食品饮料|点评报告 发布时间：2025-12-25 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 16521.46 | | 52 | 周最高 | 18638.17 | | 52 | 周最低 | 16379.5 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 2025-07 2025-10 2025-12 食品饮料 沪深300 ⚫ 投资要点 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:杨逸文 SAC 登记编号:S1340522120002 Email:yangyiwen@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《政策利好叠加周期拐点预期，乳制品 板块表现强势》 - 2025.12.2 ...

证券研究报告：电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 107.19 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）4.83 | / 4.21 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）517 | / 451 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 107.19 / 60.40 | | 资产负债率(%) | 6.5% | | 市盈率 | 140.97 | | 第一大股东 | 刘强 | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 分析师:翟一梦 SAC 登记编号:S1340525040003 Email:zhaiyimeng@cnpsec.com l 投资要点 以AI 为核心，构建计算、存储、感知与执行的全栈技术体系。 在计算领域，公司基于 RISC-V 架构，重点发力 AI-Vision、LLM、 AI-MCU/AI-MPU 等方向，持续迭代 CPU 与 NPU 技术，从 NPU 1.0 发 展到即将推出的 NPU 4.0，实现算力从 0.1Tops 到 512Tops 的跨 越，满足从端级到边缘 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][10]. Core Insights - The company has completed acquisitions of two subsidiaries, Weisi Shuanglian and Deyou New Materials, which are expected to enhance future performance through synergistic value [3][10]. - The company is focusing on high-frequency and high-speed copper foil (HVLP5), which has low surface roughness and high peel strength, suitable for applications in AI servers [4][10]. - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 430 million, 578 million, and 691 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to be 110 million, 160 million, and 203 million yuan in the same years [5][12]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve a revenue growth rate of 49.43% in 2025, followed by 34.36% in 2026 and 19.47% in 2027 [7][12]. - The EBITDA is expected to increase from 160.11 million yuan in 2025 to 303.31 million yuan in 2027 [7][12]. - The net profit margin is projected to be 28.6% in 2024, decreasing slightly to 25.7% in 2025, and then increasing to 29.4% by 2027 [12].

证券研究报告：电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 买入 |维持 个股表现 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 2025-07 2025-10 2025-12 -30% -22% -14% -6% 2% 10% 18% 26% 34% 42% 50% 信维通信 电子 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 37.92 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）9.68 | / 8.25 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）367 | / 313 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 38.96 / 18.20 | | 资产负债率(%) | 45.1% | | 市盈率 | 55.24 | | 第一大股东 | 彭浩 | 研究所 端侧复苏释放增量，商业卫星深耕赋能 l 投资要点 经营业绩持续向好。2025 年前三季度，公司实现营业收入 64.62 亿元，同比增加 1.07%；实现归母净利润 4.86 亿元，同比减少 8.77%； 实现扣非归母净利润 4.29 亿元，同比增加 4.69%。Q3 单季，公司实 现营业收入27.59亿元，同比增加4.20%；实现归母 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative increase in stock price between 10% and 20% over the next six months [6][11]. Core Insights - The company is a leading enterprise in the rail transit equipment sector, specializing in the research, production, sales, and service of rail transit vehicle supporting products, with a comprehensive service capability from design to delivery [4]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.516 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 493 million yuan, up 69.79% year-on-year [5]. - The establishment of a new aerospace investment company marks the company's entry into the commercial aerospace sector, which is expected to provide new growth opportunities [5]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.537 billion yuan, 6.312 billion yuan, and 6.975 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.06%, 13.99%, and 10.51% [6][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 607 million yuan, 669 million yuan, and 746 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 100.87%, 10.24%, and 11.52% respectively [6][9]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 17.95 in 2025 to 14.60 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation [6][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has launched the SesameX multidimensional embodied intelligence computing platform, which aims to transition robots from being "operational" to "evolving" [4] - The platform includes three self-developed computing modules (Kalos, Aura, Liora) that are highly integrated and compatible with mainstream interfaces, providing a production-level hardware foundation [4] - The company is focusing on two core scenarios: advanced driving assistance and embodied intelligence, collaborating with strategic partners to innovate applications in these fields [5] - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 8.1 billion, 14.0 billion, and 20.1 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to be -1.21 billion, -640 million, and -140 million yuan for the same years [6][8] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 805 million yuan in 2025, 1.404 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.007 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 70%, 75%, and 43% respectively [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be -1.214 billion yuan in 2025, -636 million yuan in 2026, and -142 million yuan in 2027, indicating a significant recovery trend [8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be -1.89 yuan in 2025, -0.99 yuan in 2026, and -0.22 yuan in 2027 [11] Relative Valuation - The company is positioned to capture significant growth opportunities in the intelligent driving and embodied intelligence sectors, with a focus on advanced functionalities for smart vehicles [9] - The report compares the company with peers in the industry, indicating a favorable outlook for substantial scale growth [9]

Group 1 - The current mainstream narrative in dollar trading includes "de-dollarization," where central banks are seen as potential long-term buyers of gold, but they did not show significant buying activity during the 30% price surge from August to October 2025 [3][12] - The second perspective focuses on the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle, with a close correlation between gold price increases and expectations of rate cuts, although the historical significance of these expectations during the price surges remains unclear [3][17] - The third perspective examines the source of rigid demand from the private sector, suggesting that the influx of funds into gold ETFs indicates a shift away from U.S. Treasury securities due to perceived risks, making gold an attractive alternative [4][26] Group 2 - The report anticipates that the largest opportunity for gold in 2026 may arise in February, coinciding with potential increases in U.S. national debt and traditional peaks in Treasury issuance, which could drive demand for gold [5][30] - The analysis indicates that the relationship between gold price movements and the inventory levels of primary dealers in U.S. Treasuries is significant, suggesting that monitoring Treasury refinancing plans may provide better insights into gold buying opportunities [4][28] - The report highlights that the rigid demand for gold is primarily driven by long-term investors, such as insurance funds and central banks, who require long-duration assets to match their liabilities, especially in light of concerns over U.S. Treasury reliability [29][30]

强于大市 |维持 行业基本情况 | 收盘点位 | | 8269.04 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 9323.49 | | 52 | 周最低 | 6764.34 | 证券研究报告：医药生物|点评报告 行业投资评级 分析师:盛丽华 SAC 登记编号:S1340525060001 Email:shenglihua@cnpsec.com 分析师:陈峻 SAC 登记编号:S1340525110002 Email:chenjun@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《STAT6 PROTAC 1b 期数据媲美 Dupi， 重视自免口服市场掘金潜力》 - 2025.12.15 第六批高值医用耗材国家集采工作正式启动，头部 国产企业有望凭借集采中选获得更多市场份额 行业相对指数表现（相对值） 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 2025-07 2025-10 2025-12 -9% -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 19% 23% 医药生物 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 l 相关事件 第六批高值医用耗材国家集采工作正式启动。2025 年 1 ...