执业证书编号：S1410524050002 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------|--------|-------------------------------|----------------------| | | | | | | % | 1 个月 | 3 个月 | 12 个月 | | 相对收益 | 8.02 | 19.28 | -1.82 | | 绝对收益 | 4.98 | 39.65 | 13.71 | | 数据来源：聚源 | 注： | 注：相对收益与沪深 2024 年 12 | 300 相比 月 5 日数据 | | --- | --- | |------------------------------------|--------------------| | 2024 年 12 月 6 日 | 江海证券研究发展部 | | 机械设备行业 | | | 冰雪经济助力东北振兴详细方案出炉， | | | 具体设备产业发展前景落实 | | 证券研究报告·行业点评报告 机械军工行业研究组 分析师：任沐昕 事件： 行业评级：中性（维持） 近十二个月行业表现 202 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, Wuxi Dingbang Heat Exchange Equipment Co., Ltd. [2] Core Viewpoints - Wuxi Dingbang specializes in heat exchange equipment for the petrochemical sector and has been recognized as a "Little Giant" enterprise by the state for its technical innovation capabilities [2][16]. - The domestic heat exchange equipment market is expected to grow steadily, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.29%, increasing from 90.02 billion yuan in 2023 to 99.21 billion yuan by 2026 [2]. - The company has a strong competitive position in the market due to its focus on innovation and a well-established R&D team, which has developed proprietary technologies and products that meet both domestic and international standards [2][3]. - The company's products are widely recognized by both domestic and foreign clients, providing energy-efficient and stable solutions for various operational conditions, including extreme temperatures and toxic environments [2][3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Wuxi Dingbang was established in 2003 and focuses on the research and sales of heat exchange equipment, primarily serving the petrochemical industry [16][18]. - The company has a strong organizational structure, with a major shareholder holding 68.72% of the shares, and a management team with extensive industry experience [27][29]. Industry Overview - The heat exchange equipment industry is crucial for energy efficiency in various sectors, including petrochemicals, power generation, and metallurgy [55][62]. - The demand for heat exchange equipment is particularly high in the petrochemical sector, which accounts for approximately 30% of the market demand [57][62]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 467.05 million yuan, 501.12 million yuan, and 525.64 million yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 46.31 million yuan, 58.09 million yuan, and 61.56 million yuan [3]. - The report estimates the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 26.97, 21.50, and 20.29, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to industry peers [2][3].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained at "Accumulate" [4] Core Insights - The report highlights that the beauty care industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth rates, particularly in November, influenced by the early promotional activities of the Double 11 shopping festival [1] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of specific companies, such as 毛戈平, which is positioned as a high-end beauty brand and is set to become the first domestic color cosmetics stock listed in Hong Kong [1][3] - The report suggests monitoring leading domestic skincare companies like 珀莱雅, as well as other listed companies such as 爱美客, 华熙生物, 丸美股份, 贝泰妮, and 福瑞达 [1] Summary by Sections Company Performance - 毛戈平 plans to issue 70.5882 million shares at a price range of HKD 26.3-29.8 per share, with an expected market capitalization of HKD 12.376-14.024 billion [1] - 毛戈平's online sales performance is notable, with GMV in the color cosmetics category on Douyin reaching over 141 million and 68.583 million in October and November respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 169.62% and 73.0% [1] - 韩束 regained the top position in the Douyin skincare category in November with a GMV exceeding 650 million, while 珀莱雅 ranked second [1] Market Trends - The report indicates that the GMV for Douyin's beauty category grew by 6.54% year-on-year in November, a significant decrease from the 30.49% growth in October [1] - The skincare category on Douyin saw a GMV of over 13.49 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 7.77%, but a month-on-month decline of 27.8% [1] - The color cosmetics category's GMV exceeded 5.4 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 14.22% and a month-on-month decline of 11.91% [1]

证券研究报告·行业点评报告 2024 年 12 月 6 日 江海证券研究发展部 医保个人账户打破地域限制， "家庭共 济"模式升级 分析师：吴春红 执业证书编号：S1410524050001 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------|--------------------|--------|---------| | | | | | | | 近十二个月行业表现 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | % | 1 个月 | 3 个月 | 12 个月 | | 相对收益 | 1.73 | -0.93 | -25.76 | | 绝对收益 | 1.14 | 19.65 | -12.42 | 事件： 行业评级：增持（维持） 数据来源：聚源 注：相对收益与沪深 300 相比 注：2024 年 12 月 5 日数据 相关研究报告 1. 江海证券-行业点评报告-医药生物行 业：医保基金预付政策实施，关注医药行 业个股机会 – 2024.11.26 2. 江海证券-行业点评报告-医药生物行 业：国家医保药品目录调整顺利结 ...

执业证书编号：S1410524050001 相关研究报告 1. 江海证券-行业点评报告-医药生物行 业：医保基金预付政策实施，关注医药行 业个股机会 – 2024.11.26 2. 江海证券-行业点评报告-医药生物行 业：国家医保药品目录调整顺利结束，新 版医保目录将于 2025 年 1 月正式实施 – 2024.11.12 3. 江海证券-行业点评报告-医药生物行 业：抗肿瘤药物临床试验中的 SUSAR 分 析与处理技术指导原则发布，提升研发效 率与安全性 – 2024.10.14 4. 行业点评报告-医药生物行业：聚焦慢 性心力衰竭药物临床试验，驱动医药行业 创新与发展 – 2024.09.23 5. 行业点评报告-医药生物行业：聚焦国 家药品监督管理局政策改革与市场机遇 – 2024.09.18 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------|--------|-------------------------------|----------------------| | | | | | | 近十二个月行业表现 | | | | | | | | | | | ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the continuous investment opportunities in the 5G industry as it deepens its integration into various sectors [1] - By the end of 2027, the goal is to achieve a 5G penetration rate exceeding 85%, with significant application penetration in large and medium-sized industrial enterprises [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of 5G in driving new consumption and innovation across various sectors, including smart devices and AI integration [1] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The report outlines that by the end of 2027, the target is for 5G personal user network access traffic to exceed 75%, with over 100 million IoT terminal connections and more than 150 standardized 5G applications [1] - It also mentions the establishment of 70,000 5G industry virtual private networks and the construction of edge computing nodes [1] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies like Suobede and Feiling Kesi, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing development and upgrades in the 5G industry [1] - It encourages the development of new business models and products that leverage 5G technology, particularly in sectors such as automotive and smart home devices [1] Future Developments - The report indicates that the 5G network will evolve towards 5G-A, with a focus on enhancing coverage in rural and remote areas, utilizing satellite communication technology [1] - It also highlights the need for continuous innovation in 5G applications, particularly in AI and cloud computing, to meet the demands of various industries [1]

Industry Investment Rating - The industry rating for the shipbuilding sector is "Overweight" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The global shipbuilding market remains robust, with new ship prices maintaining stability [1] - The shipbuilding industry continues to experience high growth, with a significant increase in new orders in August 2024 [1] - The shipbuilding sector's upward trend in prosperity continued in the first half of 2024 [1] - China Shipbuilding Group secured multiple orders at the Greek exhibition, indicating sustained industry prosperity [1] - The shipbuilding industry maintains high prosperity, with green ships emerging as a new development direction [2] - From January to October, alternative fuel ship orders accounted for over 50% of total orders, surpassing the previous year's 39.6% [2] - The global cruise industry is steadily recovering, with the Asia-Pacific region expected to be the main driver of global cruise industry growth [2] Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the industry's relative return compared to the CSI 300 was 3.59%, with an absolute return of 16.93% [1] - Over the past 3 months, the industry's relative return was -18.05%, with an absolute return of 0.8% [1] - Over the past 1 month, the industry's relative return was -2.26%, with an absolute return of -0.78% [1] Market Dynamics - From November 25 to December 1, 2024, global shipyards received 44+2 new ship orders, with Chinese shipyards securing 30+2 orders [2] - South Korean shipyards led in alternative fuel ship orders in October, accounting for 55.5% of global orders by CGT [2] - Chinese shipyards secured 14 alternative fuel ship orders in October, with a market share of 25.9% [2] - The global new shipbuilding investment reached $168.4 billion, with alternative fuel ship orders valued at $89.6 billion, a 69% year-on-year increase [2] Future Outlook - The Asia-Pacific region is expected to drive global cruise industry growth, with a projected CAGR of 19.6% [2] - The US cruise market revenue is expected to reach $15.1 billion in 2024 and exceed $17 billion by 2028 [2] - Europe's cruise industry revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of nearly 1% over the next five years [2] Investment Recommendations - Long-term prospects for China's shipbuilding industry remain strong, with companies benefiting from decarbonization and demand growth [2] - Key companies to watch include China Shipbuilding, China Heavy Industry, Songfa Co, China Power, CSSC Defense, Yaxing Anchor Chain, and Nanjing Steel [2]

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) with a target price of 21.34 RMB [4] Core Views - The company is a leading enterprise in the domestic valve actuator field, benefiting from the accelerated development of the nuclear power industry [4] - The company's Q3 revenue reached 58.82 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 1.02%, with net profit attributable to the parent company increasing by 29.34% to 10.17 million RMB [4] - The company's profitability continues to improve, with a gross profit margin of 41.44% in the first three quarters, up 3.93 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company's contract liabilities increased by 59.29% year-on-year, driven by the growth in sales contracts, particularly in the nuclear power sector [4] - The nuclear power industry is expected to grow significantly, with China's nuclear power installed capacity projected to reach 120 million kilowatts by 2030, and nuclear power generation expected to account for 10% of total electricity generation by 2035 [4] - The company is expected to maintain rapid growth in revenue and net profit, with projected revenue of 306/393/497 million RMB for 2024-2026, and net profit of 53/71/93 million RMB, representing year-on-year growth of 48.30%/34.80%/30.30% [4] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 was 176 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 16.04%, with net profit attributable to the parent company increasing by 42.72% to 25.05 million RMB [4] - The company's operating cash flow for the first three quarters was 63.38 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 261.86%, driven by increased sales and labor income, as well as additional compensation from demolition [4] - The company's ROE is expected to increase from 12.0% in 2023 to 19.5% in 2026, reflecting improved profitability and efficiency [7] Industry Outlook - The nuclear power industry is entering a period of accelerated development, with downstream demand expected to increase significantly [2] - China's manufacturing PMI in November 2024 was 50.3%, indicating continued economic recovery and increased demand in downstream industries [4] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the nuclear power industry, with its early entry into the nuclear power valve actuator market providing a competitive advantage [4] Valuation - The company's current PE ratio is 24x for 2024, expected to decrease to 14x by 2026, indicating potential for valuation upside [4] - The company's PB ratio is expected to decline from 4.3x in 2023 to 2.7x in 2026, reflecting improved asset efficiency [7]

证券研究报告·行业点评报告 2024 年 12 月 2 日 江海证券研究发展部 风电设备行业 执业证书编号：S1410524040001 联系人：王金帅 执业证书编号：S1410123090009 行业评级：增持（维持） 11 月风电招标持续放量，风机价格有 望企稳回升 分析师：张诗瑶 事件： 近十二个月行业表现 2024 年 11 月 29 日，广东帆石一 1GW 海风风机正式中标结果披露：明阳智能 中标 700MW（二标段 4047 元/KW、三标段 4093 元/KW），金风科技中标 300MW （一标段 3890 元/KW），整体中标均价 4014 元/KW。 投资要点： 风电招标规则修改，风机招标价格有望企稳回升。11 月 22 日，国电投第 80 批 陆上风力发电机组规模化采购开标结果公布，规模总计 8.40GW。本轮招标的评 标办法一改过去以价论标的做法，具体规则：评标价格低于或等于评标基准价 的得满分;评标价格高于评标基准价 5%以内(含 5%)的，每高 1%在满分的基础 上扣 0.4 分，评标价格高于评标基准价 5%以上部分，每高 1%扣 0.8 分;扣完为 止。本次项目集采中，参与竞标的整 ...

执业证书编号：S1410523100001 联系人：吴雁宇 执业证书编号：S1410124010015 行业评级：增持（维持） 2024 年 11 月 26 日，体育总局、国家民委等 7 部门发布《关于体育促进铸牢中 华民族共同体意识的指导意见》。 投资要点： 明确到 2030 年，体育促进铸牢中华民族共同体意识要取得显著成效。 到 2030 年，体育促进铸牢中华民族共同体意识取得显著成效，民族地区的体育 健身活动更加丰富，中华传统体育文化的影响力明显提升，高素质体育人才队 伍不断壮大；民族地区全民健身公共服务体系全面建成，实现民族地区县（市、 区）、乡镇（街道）、行政村（社区）三级公共健身设施全覆盖；围绕着民族地 区体育事业高质量发展，抓实一批中华传统体育示范项目，打造一批知名体育 赛事，推出一批体育旅游精品线路，组织一批体育促进各民族交往交流交融活 动，培育一批体育人才基地；各族群众的体育意识、健康意识、中华民族共同 体意识显著增强，获得感、幸福感和归属感显著提升，全民健身、全民健康与 铸牢中华民族共同体意识工作深度融合。 建立健全民族地区青少年体育后背人才培养体系。 抓好民族地区青少年体育后备人才培养， ...