证券研究报告·行业点评报告 2026 年 1 月 14 日 江海证券研究发展部 1. 江海证券-行业点评报告-家用电器行 业："两新"政策优化及延续，11 月家用 空调内外销数据出炉 – 2025.12.29 2. 江海证券-行业点评报告-家用电器行 业：12 月白电排产数据公布，家用空调行 业短期调整，10 月洗衣机出口表现亮眼 – 2025.11.28 3. 江海证券-行业点评报告-家用电器行 业：10 月白电排产数据公布，8 月空调内 外销实际出货优于企业排产预期 – 2025.09.29 4. 江海证券-行业点评报告-家用电器行 业：2025 年家电以旧换新政策落地，有望 拉动家电内需增长 – 2025.01.10 家用电器行业 消费行业研究组 分析师：黄燕芝 2026 年首批超长期特别国债资金提前 下达，空调龙头企业宣布提价 事件： 投资要点： 江海证券有限公司及其关联机构在法律许可的情况下可能与本报告所分析的企业存在业务关系，并且继续寻求发展这些关系。因此，投资者应当考虑到本公司可能存在影响本报告客观性的 利益冲突，不应视本报告为投资决策的唯一因素。 敬请参阅最后一页之免责条款 执业证书编号：S1 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (first time) [6] Core Insights - In January 2026, TV panel prices are expected to see a slight increase across the board due to the upcoming World Cup in June and the continuation of national subsidy policies [6] - In Q3 2025, global OLED display shipments increased by 65% year-on-year, with a total of approximately 644,000 units shipped [6] - Major panel manufacturers are maintaining full production capacity, while brand manufacturers are strategically increasing inventory ahead of demand [6] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the industry has shown a relative return of -4.82% compared to the CSI 300 index, with an absolute return of 20.21% [3] Market Trends - The demand for TV panels is expected to rise due to the World Cup and subsidy policies, leading to a potential price increase in January [6] - The supply side has seen tight conditions for certain production lines, which may lead to price adjustments for specific panel types [6] Company Insights - ASUS, Samsung, and MSI are the top three companies in OLED display shipments, with market shares of 21.9%, 18.0%, and 14.4% respectively [6] - Samsung is set to launch new Micro RGB TVs in 2026, featuring advanced LED technology [6] Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include TCL Technology, JD.com A, OLED, Lite-On Technology, and Kangguang Technology due to the expected rise in TV panel prices and OLED shipment growth [6]

投资要点： 分析师：梁俊炜 执业证书编号：S1410524090001 A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资动 A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资动 和中证 1000（0.53%）涨幅最大，而上证 50（-0.43%）和沪深 300（-0.29%）下跌。 当年涨跌情况，中证 500（5.49%）涨幅最大，其次是中证 1000（4.1%）和创业板 指（3.95%），中证全指（3.78%）和中证 2000（3.46%）涨幅扩大，而沪深 300（3.17%） 涨幅最小。另外，中证 500、中证 1000、中证 2000 和中证全指连续三日连阳。 ◆均线比较：各跟踪指数仍在 5 至 60 日均线之上。创业板指自 2025 年 11 月首次 突破近 250 日高位。中证 500、中证 1000、中证 2000 和中证全指再次突破近 250 相关研究报告 证券研究报告·金融工程报告 2026 年 1 月 8 日 江海证券研究发展部 金融工程定期报告 金融工程研究组 A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资动态 2026.01.08 ◆市场表现：2026 年 1 月 7 日, 各宽基指数（表 1）涨跌各现，其中中证 500（0.78%） ...

- The report primarily focuses on tracking and analyzing the performance of broad-based indices in the A-share market, including metrics such as daily returns, moving averages, turnover rates, risk premiums, PE-TTM, dividend yields, and price-to-book ratios[1][2][3] - The turnover rate of indices is calculated using the formula: $ \text{Turnover Rate} = \frac{\Sigma(\text{Component Stocks' Free Float Shares} \times \text{Component Stocks' Turnover Rate})}{\Sigma(\text{Component Stocks' Free Float Shares})} $ This metric reflects the liquidity and trading activity of the indices[15] - The risk premium is measured relative to the 10-year government bond yield, serving as a benchmark for assessing the relative investment value and deviation of indices. The report highlights that indices like CSI 500 and SSE 50 exhibit high 5-year percentile values for risk premiums, indicating relatively attractive valuations[25][26][29] - The PE-TTM (Price-to-Earnings Trailing Twelve Months) is used as a valuation metric, with indices such as CSI 500 and CSI All Share showing high 5-year percentile values (99.92%), suggesting elevated valuations compared to historical levels[37][40][42] - Dividend yield is analyzed as a measure of cash return to investors, with indices like the ChiNext Index and CSI 300 showing relatively high 5-year historical percentile values (57.93% and 31.65%, respectively), indicating their attractiveness during periods of market downturns or declining interest rates[46][51][53] - The price-to-book ratio (P/B) is evaluated through the "break net ratio," which measures the proportion of stocks trading below their book value. The report notes that indices such as SSE 50 and CSI 300 have higher break net ratios, reflecting market sentiment and valuation levels[52][55]

Group 1: Market Performance - Heilongjiang Province's capital market index rose by 4.82% in December 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index, but slightly underperforming the ChiNext Index[19] - In the last three trading days of December, the Heilongjiang index experienced a minor decline of 0.38%, attributed to normal market adjustments[22] - The overall performance of listed companies in Heilongjiang was weak, with 24 companies reporting negative returns and only 15 achieving positive returns[25] Group 2: Key Company Highlights - Guanglian Aviation saw the highest increase at 112.11%, followed by Aerospace Science and Technology (+51.11%), New Light Optoelectronics (+41.21%), Dapeng Industry (+36.05%), and China First Heavy Industries (+32.56%)[25] - Notably, 12 companies experienced declines exceeding 5%, with four companies, including Renmin Tongtai (-14.68%) and Fuerjia (-14.51%), seeing declines over 10%[25] Group 3: Economic and Policy Developments - Heilongjiang Airport Group achieved record transportation figures in 2025, with 205,000 flight takeoffs and landings, 29.064 million passengers, and 154,000 tons of cargo, marking year-on-year increases of 1%, 1.2%, and 4.8% respectively[3] - The province announced a new consumption upgrade policy on December 31, 2025, offering subsidies for replacing old vehicles and purchasing energy-efficient appliances, with maximum subsidies of 20,000 yuan for new energy vehicles and 1,500 yuan for energy-efficient appliances[10] Group 4: Industry Trends - The establishment of the Huagong Technology Intelligent Manufacturing Northern Headquarters in Harbin, with an investment of 100 million yuan, aims to drive the integration of industry and technology, focusing on the production of intelligent laser weeding robots[12] - The manufacturing sector's PMI rose to 50.1% in December, indicating a return to expansion after eight months, with significant improvements in production and new orders[27]

Group 1 - The report highlights that the Heilongjiang Airport Group achieved record transportation volumes in 2025, with 205,000 flight takeoffs and landings, 29.064 million passengers, and 154,000 tons of cargo, representing year-on-year growth of 1%, 1.2%, and 4.8% respectively [3][9] - The group has expanded its domestic and international routes to 363, connecting 112 cities, and is promoting the integration of "aviation + tourism" to enhance local economic development [3][9] - The report notes the launch of a new consumption upgrade policy in Heilongjiang, providing subsidies for replacing old vehicles and purchasing energy-efficient appliances, aimed at stimulating consumer spending [5][10] Group 2 - The report indicates that the Heilongjiang sector index rose by 4.82% in December 2025, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices, with a notable divergence in the performance of listed companies [19][25] - Five companies in the province saw significant gains, with Guanglian Aviation leading at 112.11%, followed by Aerospace Science and Technology (+51.11%) and New Light Optoelectronics (+41.21%) [25][26] - Conversely, 24 companies reported negative returns, with four companies experiencing declines exceeding 10%, including Renmin Tongtai (-14.68%) and Fuerjia (-14.51%) [25][26] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the integration of industry and technology, citing the launch of the Huagong Technology Intelligent Manufacturing Northern Headquarters in Harbin, which focuses on the development of intelligent laser weeding robots [12][13] - The project, with an investment of 100 million yuan and an annual production capacity of 200 units, aligns with the "storing grain in the ground and technology" strategy, showcasing the region's commitment to technological advancement [12][13] - The report also mentions the CE certification obtained by the Kando robot from Harbin, which signifies its readiness for the European market, reflecting the growing recognition of Chinese manufacturing in the global arena [11]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The manufacturing PMI for December 2025 is reported at 50.1%, indicating a return to the expansion zone with a month-on-month increase of 0.9 percentage points. Large enterprises show a PMI of 50.8%, up 1.5 percentage points, while medium and small enterprises exhibit PMIs of 49.8% and 48.6%, respectively, indicating varying levels of improvement and pressure [6] - The production index within the manufacturing PMI is at 51.7%, reflecting a significant acceleration in production activities. The new orders index is at 50.8%, indicating improved market demand and increased order volumes [6] - The machine tool industry in China achieved a cumulative revenue of 942.1 billion yuan from January to November 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3%. Notably, the metal cutting machine segment saw a revenue increase of 10.5% [9] - Industrial robots maintained a rapid growth trajectory, with a cumulative production of 673,800 units from January to November 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 29.2% [9] Summary by Sections Manufacturing PMI - December 2025 manufacturing PMI is 50.1%, up 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, indicating expansion [6] - Large enterprises' PMI is 50.8%, medium enterprises at 49.8%, and small enterprises at 48.6%, showing varying levels of operational improvement [6] - The production index is 51.7%, and the new orders index is 50.8%, both indicating positive trends in manufacturing activity [6] Machine Tool Industry - Cumulative revenue from January to November 2025 is 942.1 billion yuan, with a 1.3% year-on-year growth [9] - Metal cutting machine revenue increased by 10.5%, with production reaching 783,000 units, a 12.7% year-on-year growth [9] - New orders for metal processing machines grew by 6.3% year-on-year, while the total import and export value reached 30.31 billion USD, a 5.4% increase [9] Industrial Robots - Cumulative production of industrial robots from January to November 2025 is 673,800 units, a 29.2% year-on-year increase [9] - Cumulative sales reached 723,000 units, with a year-on-year growth of 46.04% [9] - Export quantity increased by 81.65%, with a total export value of 494 million USD, reflecting a 60.55% year-on-year growth [9]

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors, nor their construction, evaluation, or backtesting results[3][8][19]

- The report primarily focuses on tracking and analyzing the performance of broad-based indices in the A-share market, including metrics such as daily returns, turnover rates, risk premiums, PE-TTM, dividend yields, and net asset break rates[1][2][3] - **Risk Premium Analysis**: The risk premium is calculated using the yield of 10-year government bonds as the risk-free rate. The report highlights that indices like CSI 500 (52.54%) and CSI 2000 (48.73%) have relatively high 5-year percentile values, while indices like SSE 50 (30.87%) and ChiNext (19.05%) are lower. The risk premium for CSI 500 and CSI 2000 shows higher volatility compared to other indices[29][31][33] - **PE-TTM Analysis**: The PE-TTM values are used as a valuation reference. CSI 500 (97.6%) and CSI All Share (96.28%) have high 5-year percentile values, while SSE 50 (85.7%) and ChiNext (58.43%) are relatively lower. The report notes that the valuation levels of most indices have been on an upward trend since late 2024, with a turning point observed in September 2025[41][44][45] - **Dividend Yield Analysis**: Dividend yield is analyzed as a measure of cash return. ChiNext (61.57%) and CSI 1000 (35.79%) are at relatively high 5-year historical percentiles, while CSI 500 (15.62%) and CSI 2000 (12.81%) are lower. The report emphasizes the importance of high dividend yields during periods of market downturns and declining interest rates[50][55][57] - **Net Asset Break Rate**: The net asset break rate, which reflects the proportion of stocks trading below their net asset value, is used as a market valuation indicator. Current break rates are reported as SSE 50 (22.0%), CSI 500 (11.2%), CSI 1000 (8.1%), and CSI 2000 (3.55%), among others. A lower break rate may indicate market optimism about future growth[56][59][61]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The global first 30MW pure hydrogen gas turbine has achieved significant breakthroughs, marking the successful transition from blueprint to reality, with potential applications in various energy scenarios [6] - Hydrogen energy production and consumption are steadily growing, with global hydrogen production and consumption expected to reach approximately 105 million tons by the end of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 2.9% [6] - The green hydrogen industry is entering a fast track, with a total of 865 green hydrogen projects in China as of mid-2025, and a disclosed potential capacity of 11.0616 million tons per year [6] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the industry has shown an absolute return of 41.06% and a relative return of 24.52% compared to the CSI 300 index [3] Investment Highlights - The hydrogen energy sector is witnessing a surge in renewable energy hydrogen production projects, with over 250,000 tons/year of cumulative capacity established, and a 42% year-on-year increase in new capacity in 2024 [6] - Investment opportunities are identified in three main areas: hydrogen production equipment, fuel cells, and green methanol [6]